Sunrise 6:59 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 2:34 PM   Moonset 3:22 AM

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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 249 Pm Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.Friday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.Saturday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday - Southwest winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - West winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Tuesday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 249 Pm Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis - Light winds and seas continue through the weekend with an onshore flow developing each afternoon along the coast as a warm and dry airmass remains in place. As another storm system approaches north florida on Monday, some Thunderstorms and increasing winds and seas are possible, especially across northern waters.

FXUS62 KTBW 181827 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 227 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Broad upper-level ridging remains in place as a weak but dry surface high persists at the surface. The sea breeze boundaries are the main feature of note in this setup as the light flow is allowing inland propagation and a moderating of coastal temperatures with water temperatures in the 70s. However, the aforementioned dry and stable airmass remains a barrier to any convective development, despite a setup not unlike a summer day.

Over the coming days, the gradual return of moisture may yield enough low-level convergence to support an isolated shower across the interior of the peninsula. That being said, this is still very low probability. As such, have introduced a 10% POP for parts of the interior, but it's really difficult to have much more confidence than that into next week.

The most notable feature on the horizon for next week is a shortwave trough that yields some amplification in the flow and a period of enhanced vertical ascent that may yield a few storms across mainly the northern half of the Florida peninsula on Monday.
Otherwise, though, weather conditions are not really expected to change. If anything, it may yield an increase in the overall moisture content, favoring additional diurnal activity through the end of the week.

Overall, though, conditions largely look warm and dry. While this is a little earlier than normal and favors some record high temperatures being set, we are fast approaching that period of the year where this becomes the norm.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

No significant aviation concerns through the weekend as VFR conditions prevails for the next few days. Only point of note is that a sea breeze is expected to develop each day.

MARINE
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Light winds and seas continue through the weekend with an onshore flow developing each afternoon along the coast as a warm and dry airmass remains in place. As another storm system approaches north Florida on Monday, some thunderstorms and increasing winds and seas are possible, especially across northern waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Conditions remain warm and dry through the weekend as high pressure remains in control. However, winds are forecast to remain light at this time with no red flag conditions expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 69 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 68 87 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 66 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 68 86 67 87 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 61 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 71 84 71 83 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Hernando Beach
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Thu -- 04:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:49 AM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:26 PM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hernando Beach, Rocky Creek, Little Pine I. Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Hudson
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Thu -- 04:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:02 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:39 AM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:14 PM EDT     1.35 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:08 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hudson, Florida, Tide feet

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