Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fern Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 8:27PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 3:15 PM EDT (19:15 UTC) Moonrise 12:42PMMoonset 12:34AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 241 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 241 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will remain south of the local waters through the weekend. This will provide a gentle south to southwest wind flow with continued benign sea conditions. However, increasing moisture will bring a return to offshore moving storms in the afternoon and evening beginning Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday june 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fern Park, FL
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location: 28.63, -81.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 201838
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
238 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Discussion
Rest of today tonight... The local forecast area remains sandwiched
between a weak surface trough over north florida and the axis of
the atlantic ridge to the south. Synoptic low-level flow has
turned more southerly, with a slight offshore component north of
the cape. Deeper moisture remains north and west of the area,
though some of this moisture is beginning to creep into areas
north and west of interstate 4 as low-level flow veers. As a
result, rain chances will remain confined generally over our
northern and western zones in the vicinity of deeper moisture and
late-day boundary collisions. Convection through mid-afternoon
has not been very deep given the stable warm conditions aloft, so
it will take late-day boundary interactions to see deeper
convection (storms). Will maintain 30-40% pops along i-4 (higher
north, lower south) through sunset, with a slight chance through
midnight. Drier air will preclude the need for pops along the
space and treasure coasts.

Thursday-Sunday... The stout h50 ridge over the top of florida will
weaken Friday-Saturday as a closed low moves southeast and then east
across the mid ms and oh valleys. The ridge will rebuild across the
se CONUS and florida over the latter part of this weekend. Surface
low level ridge will respond by shifting overs south fl and the keys
through Saturday, before drifting back north toward lake okeechobee
on Sunday. Coupled with increasing mean layer moisture and much
weaker mid level drying capping, the flow pattern will favor the
eastern side of the peninsula for diurnal convection (50-60%).

Thursday will be the hottest day (l-m90s), with temps dropping
back closer to their normal readings of near 90 along the coast
and l90s inland. Mins in the l70s.

Monday-Thursday... The mid level ridge over the SE CONUS ridge is
progged to very slowly weaken, with some suggestions of a weak mid
level vort lobe dropping south around its eastern flank into or a
little east of florida Wednesday-Thursday. Regardless, a weak low
level flow pattern, typical of summer, is expected, with scattered
afternoon-early evening diurnal convection each day, and near climo
temps.

Aviation
ContinuedVFR outside of scattered late afternoon and early
evening shra tsra in the vicinity of interstate 4 and points north
(kdab- ksfb- kmco-kism and klee). Will maintain vcts at these
terminals and update with tempos and convection evolution becomes
more apparent. Dry conditions will prevail across the space and
treasure coasts (ktix south to ksua).

Marine
Rest of today tonight... As the afternoon atlantic sea breeze
circulation weakens, expect onshore (se) winds 10-15 knots to
veer more southerly and offshore overnight. Seas generally 1-2
feet. A few storms may push toward the intracoastal north of the
cape this evening, though greatest convective coverage should
remain across inland areas.

Thursday-Sunday... A rather benign wind-sea pattern will prevail over
the maor, outside of afternoon and early evening storms, which will
be the main concern for mariners through his weekend. The chance
for late day offshore-moving storms will be progressively higher the
farther north once heads, especially on Friday-Saturday.

Outside of storms, expect a gentle to moderate offshore breeze,
becoming onshore along the immediate coast, mainly on Thursday
and again Saturday, the two days in which the offshore gradient
will be slightly weaker. Seas around 1 feet near shore and 2 feet
offshore, perhaps reaching 3 feet offshore volusia county at
times. However, wave model guidance has shown a persistent high
bias toward this end so far this summer.

Hydrology
The st. Johns river above lake harney near geneva is forecast to
remain above action stage and below flood stage as it levels out
through late this week and into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 92 76 91 20 50 30 50
mco 75 93 76 92 20 50 20 50
mlb 75 92 76 91 10 50 30 50
vrb 74 92 74 92 10 50 30 50
lee 75 91 76 91 20 50 20 50
sfb 75 93 76 92 20 50 20 50
orl 75 92 76 91 20 50 20 50
fpr 72 92 74 91 10 50 30 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ulrich blottman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41118 40 mi46 min 79°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 43 mi46 min SE 8.9 G 12 86°F 85°F1015.7 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 46 mi53 min 83°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 62 mi36 min S 12 G 14 82°F 83°F1014.4 hPa73°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 71 mi91 min ESE 7 88°F 1015 hPa77°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando Executive Airport, FL6 mi83 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F71°F52%1014.2 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL12 mi23 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F71°F51%1012.7 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL14 mi23 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy92°F71°F51%1013 hPa
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL24 mi20 minSE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy92°F73°F56%1013.6 hPa

Wind History from ORL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E12SE12SE7SE9SE7SE6SE3E5SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmSE4S6S7S9S66SW6SW5SW5SW6
1 day agoE10E13
G16
E10E13E11E7E7E4--------SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE43SW4S3Calm--3
2 days agoE8E13NE8NE7E9E4E3E5E5E3CalmCalmNW3CalmNE3NE4NE5E7NE53E6E7E9E7

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:50 AM EDT     3.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 10:41 AM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:39 PM EDT     3.73 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:59 PM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:48 PM EDT     3.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:10 PM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.83.83.83.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.83.8

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:38 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 09:11 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:12 PM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:37 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.72.32.82.92.621.30.60.1-0.100.51.21.92.42.72.62.21.610.40.10.10.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.