Tuesday, March19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 7:35PM Tuesday March 19, 2019 6:44 PM EDT (22:44 UTC) Moonrise 5:16PMMoonset 5:39AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Tue Mar 19 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday evening...
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Tue Mar 19 2019
Synopsis..A weak cool front stalled across the florida straits and the northern bahamas will remain in place through mid week. Hazardous boating conditions will prevail behind the front with a moderate to fresh north to northeast breeze prevailing. Small craft advisories are in place through mid week. Winds will slowly diminish through late week, however boating conditions will remain poor through Thursday as northeast swells impact the east florida coast.
Gulf stream hazards..North to northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas building to 7 to 9 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday march 17th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 192004
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
400 pm edt Tue mar 19 2019

Discussion
Current tonight...

dual frontal boundaries over the neck of the fl peninsula and the fl
straits continue to flank central fl. Deep moisture pooling between
the two fronts with the latest rap40 analysis showing airmass nearly
saturated thru the h100-h50 lyr. Despite this, precip diminishing
acrs much of central fl based on latest regional and local wsr-88d
trends... Confirmed by IR Sat imagery showing the highest coldest
cloud tops moving off the SE fl coast with warming tops to the west.

A thin band of enhanced cloud tops extending from apalachicola into
the ERN gomex not generating sig returns on the ktlh radar.

A pair of small sfc lows low lvl vorts have dvlpd along the frontal
boundary over the fl straits... One over the yucatan channel, the
second over the NRN bahamas. Aloft, a broad mid upr lvl trof over
the ERN gomex deep south will push acrs the fl peninsula overnight,
inducing the two low lvl vorts to merge east of the NRN bahamas by
daybreak wed, forcing low lvl winds to back from E NE to N ne. Rap40
showing a bull's eye of mid lvl vort along approaching the fl
straits, but little in the way of strong lift over the ERN gomex.

Likewise, upr lvl divergence maxes noted over the big bend and fl
straits, but nil btwn the two. Indeed, GFS indicating deep lyr
dynamic support thru 06z tonight, then ending abruptly with a
neutral or weakly sinking mid upr lvl airmass by daybreak.

Moisture trapped blo a weak h85-h70 subsidence inversion coupled
with an onshore flow thru a nearly saturated h100-h85 lyr will
require pops areawide, but potential will be reduced from prev
fcsts. Will keep lkly pops along the coast, chc pops interior under
cloudy skies. Mins in he u50s l60s along the coast... M u50s west of
i-95.

Wed Wed night... (previous modified)
a broad mid level trough and the newly merged low lvl vortex will
pull eastward into the W atlc with mid level flow becoming westerly
in the afternoon. At the surface, the pressure gradient will remain
tight enough for breezy conditions along the east coast beaches and
fairly high moisture in the h100-h85 layer supporting onshore moving
showers, though QPF will be blo 0.10". Pops will range from 30-40pct
along the coast to 20-30pct across the interior (except lake co).

Onshore NE flow will keep aftn maxes in the l m70s except u60s the
volusia N brevard co. Beaches... Overnight mins in the m u50s except
l60s along the immediate treasure coast.

Thu-thu night (previous modified)...

a reinforcing shot of dry north to northwest flow is expected Thu as
another shortwave trough moves toward the mid atlantic u.S. There
will not be much moisture to work with as northwesterly low level
flow allows for drying in the 850-700 mb layer, with very dry air in
the mid and upper levels. Some cool air advection will keep
afternoon highs in the lower to mid 70s under mostly sunny skies by
afternoon as clouds clear from north to south. Also, an east coast
sea breeze, centered across the cape, could develop later in the
afternoon. This will temporally shift winds from the east near the
coast during the aforementioned time frame. High pressure over
central u.S. Will shift east Thu night, extending towards the fl
peninsula. Weather conditions will really dry up by this point, with
a NW surface wind flow, bringing down temps to the upper 40s to near
50, while coastal areas of the treasure coast will range 50 to 55.

Fri-sun (previous modified)...

a deep longwave trough near the eastern seaboard Friday will lift
and transition offshore through the weekend. Surface high pressure
near the ms valley on Friday will drift east toward the oh valley
sat and off the carolina coast Sunday. North to northwest low level
and a dry airmass will bring mostly clear conditions Friday with
highs again in the lower to mid 70s. Low level winds will veer to
onshore Sat and become east-southeast Sunday. Cool morning lows are
expected each morning with a dry airmass in place. Lows will range
from 45-50 across portions of the interior to the 50s along the
coast warming to the lower 60s coast by Sunday night. Highs will
warm up a few degrees during the fri-sun period, starting Fri with
highs in the mid 70s to near 80 by Sunday.

Mon-tue...

a high pressure exiting the southeast u.S. Will continue to move
east, stretching west towards the fl peninsula on mon. Then a low
pressure system over southeast u.S. Will push to the southeast,
turning the local winds from south to southwest by Tue morning.

Increase in moisture will reach east central fl late Mon night into
tue. Temps will remain warm in the warm sector in the upper 70s to
lower 80s both days with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Aviation Thru 20 18z.

Sfc winds: thru 20 02z... Ne 9-13kts coastal sites ocnl sfc g18-
23kts. Btwn 20 02z-20 05z... Coastal sites bcmg N NE 8-12kts...

interior sites 6-10kts. Btwn 20 12z-20 15z... Bcmg N NE 9-13kts
coastal sites N of kmlb ocnl sfc g18-22kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 20 06z... S of kism-ktix MVFR CIGS btwn fl015-
030... Coastal sites MVFR vsbys lkly in -ra... Interior sites chc MVFR
vsbys in -ra. Btwn 20 06z-20 12z... MVFR CIGS all sites... Coastal
sites chc MVFR vsbys in -ra... Interior sites slgt chc MVFR vsbys in
-ra. Btwn 20 12z-20 18z... E of komn-ksef areas MVFR CIGS chc MVFR
vsbys -ra... W of omn-ksef slgt chc MVFR vsbys in -ra.

Marine
Tonight Wed wed night...

tight sfc pgrad will loosen from CAPE canaveral southward as a small
sfc low lvl vortex just east of the fl keys works its way acrs the
nrn bahamas and disturbs the LCL wind field. This will allow winds
south of the CAPE to diminish, dropping from a fresh to strong ne
breeze to a moderate to fresh NE breeze overnight, then gentle to
moderate NE breeze on wed. Pgrad will remain tight enough north of
the CAPE to maintain a fresh to strong NE breeze acrs volusia co.

Waters overnight, but even these will diminish to a gentle to
moderate NE breeze by late Wed evng.

Despite the diminishing winds, the current NE fetch extends clear
back to bermuda and has generated a long swell train that will keep
the LCL atlc wave heights enhanced thru daybreak thu. Tonight, seas
6-8ft nearshore and 7-9ft offshore overnight... Up to 10ft with rain
likely areawide. Aft daybreak wed... Seas subsiding to 6-8ft off the
volusia coast... 5-7ft space treasure coasts. Aft sunset wed, seas 4-
6ft nearshore and 5-7ft offshore... Up to 8ft in the gulf stream
north of CAPE canaveral. Chc of rain.

No changes to the config timing of the sca, currently scheduled to
expire Wed evng. This likely will be extended for portions of the
lcl atlc, particularly the gulf stream.

Thu-thu night...

nnw NW winds expected to 12-16 kts as a reinforcing frontal trough
moves through the waters, decreasing Thu night to below 10 kts and
picking up again later in the night. Seas will be slow to subside
across the offshore waters ranging from the 4-6 ft near shore to 6-8
ft across of the offshore gulf stream waters with a northeast swell
of 9 to 10 sec.

Fri-sun (previous discussion modified)... Cool air advection
continues Friday with northwest winds to 10-15 knots and poor
boating conditions offshore. Winds will gradually veer to onshore on
sat and Sun and diminish to 10 kts or less allowing for more
favorable boating conditions for the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 59 69 52 71 60 20 10 0
mco 59 74 54 76 70 20 0 0
mlb 62 73 56 73 90 40 10 10
vrb 61 74 57 75 90 50 20 10
lee 55 73 53 75 50 10 0 0
sfb 58 72 51 74 70 20 0 0
orl 59 74 54 76 70 20 0 0
fpr 61 74 56 75 90 50 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Wednesday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
long term impact wx... Negron


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi50 min N 4.1 G 5.1 64°F 68°F1019 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi44 min 66°F4 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi34 min ENE 12 G 18 65°F 1018.2 hPa60°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi119 min NNE 14 62°F 1021 hPa58°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi58 minNE 37.00 miOvercast68°F59°F73%1018.6 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi48 minNNE 310.00 miLight Rain64°F58°F83%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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NW3NW3NW5NW5CalmCalmCalmE5NE4E5NE6NE5NE3
1 day agoN10N15N10------------------N12N12
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2 days agoNE9NE9NE9------------------N12N8NW6N4N8N8N15N15N15N15
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Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Tue -- 03:24 AM EDT     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:39 AM EDT     4.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:07 PM EDT     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:30 PM EDT     4.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1444.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:57 AM EDT     -0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:12 AM EDT     4.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:25 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.7-0.30.51.72.83.84.243.32.210.1-0.5-0.40.21.32.53.64.24.23.72.61.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.