Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:57PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:39 AM EST (11:39 UTC) Moonrise 11:58AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 326 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late Thursday night...
Today..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..East winds around 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 326 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
Synopsis..A cool front will weaken as it pushes across south florida and the northwest bahamas into this afternoon. High pressure will build across the southeast united states behind the front, forcing local onshore winds to freshen out of the north and northeast and bring hazardous boating conditions for the latter half of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds up to 15 knots will produce seas up to 5 ft today. Seas will build to 7 feet in the gulf stream tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday january 21st. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 240755
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
255 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Discussion
Today... A frontal boundary will move through south fl and the nw
bahamas today with northerly surface winds this morning becoming nne
in the afternoon. A drier low level airmass will move gradually
southward into central sections this afternoon and toward the
treasure coast later tonight. Lingering low level moisture will
affect mainly far southern sections today with some mid and high
level cloudiness approaching NRN areas in the late afternoon. High
temperatures will be cooler in the mid 60s along the volusia coast
to near 70 in orlando and the lower 70s for the SRN interior.

Tonight... As surface high pressure builds toward al and ga, the
pressure gradient will tighten with northerly winds expected. Winds
will become breezy along the beaches as winds increase across the
atlantic waters through the night. Lows will be cooler in the 40s
across the NRN interior volusia and inland brevard counties. It will
be milder along the treasure coast and martin county with lows in
the 50s.

Thu-fri... A cool start to the morning on Thu with very early morning
wind chills in the u30s north of i-4. Fairly strong high pressure
over the deep south will move to along the eastern seaboard thu
evening, then just offshore and into the western atlc by late
fri Fri evening. Initial north winds will veer to easterly by early
fri thru Fri night. The pressure gradient remains fairly tight and
we will see breezy gusty conditions on both Thu fri. Mainly dry
conditions, though we may see some light precip (schc) along the
treasure coast on Fri due to the deep onshore flow. Pwat values
generally under one inch during this time with deepest moisture over
the southern portion of our cwa. Mainly zonal flow aloft with
increasing heights at 500 mb over the region into early Sat morning.

Highs mainly in the 60s on Fri with near 60 degrees l60s along the
volusia coast and u60s 70 degrees over martin county. Highs continue
to climb into the u60s l70s areawide on fri. Overnight lows for fri
morning in the u40s north of i-4 and 50s southward, except around 60
degrees southeast martin county. Overnight lows for Sat morning
generally in the 50s areawide, except l60s southeast st. Lucie coast
and coastal martin county.

Sat-sun... Surface high pressure ridging continues north of the area
on Sat with a gradual shift further eastward into the western atlc
over the weekend. This as weak low pressure develops over the
northern gomex Sat night and begins to move eastward. This feature
should move across the fl panhandle Sun afternoon, then up the
southeast u.S. Coast Sun night. The 00z GFS remains faster than the
00z ecmwf. Eventually this low with the help of some subtle
shortwave energy aloft will drag a cold front across ecfl; late sun
afternoon evening if the GFS has its way or Sun overnight early mon
if the ECMWF is the winner. While timing and low front location
remain of low confidence at this time, it appears that a period of
likely pops will be associated with this system. Isolated lightning
storms may also develop and for right now have matched up with
neighboring offices and added a small lightning threat north of i-4
sun afternoon early evening. The window for heaviest precip lies
from late aftn Sun into Sun night. Expect this window to tighten as
model clarity presents itself closer to this weekend.

The winds begin to veer a bit more to ese on Sat sat night, then
more southerly into Sun with the approach of this next low pressure
system. Temperatures mainly in the 70s areawide on sat, perhaps only
around 70 for the volusia coast, and 70s areawide again on sun,
perhaps around 80 degrees south of orlando depending on timing of
the low pressure, clouds, and precip. Lows Sat overnight Sun morning
in the l60s, except u50s north of i-4 and potential m60s for the
immediate space treasure coasts. Overnight lows Sun night mon
morning in the 50s, except l60s along the south brevard treasure
coasts.

Mon-tue... Early portion of this period to be affected obviously in
timing of the aforementioned front. Depending also on how fast the
moisture scours out have left a schc for showers along north of i-4
with low end chance (near 30pct) across our south. General drying at
least by Mon evening thru Tue is expected as high pressure builds
into the area. The pressure gradient looks to remain rather tight
into early next week so we may see some breezy gusty conditions on
either of these days.

Some cooler temperatures to start the new week with 60s on mon,
except perhaps l70s for okeechobee and the treasure coast. Tue's
highs a couple few degrees cooler than mon. Lows in the 40s mon
overnight Tue morning for much of the interior, except l-m 50s
closer towards the space treasure coasts. Lows for overnight Tue wed
morning generally in the 50s, but areas north of i-4 may still
realize u40s.

Aviation
MainlyVFR weather expected the next 24 hrs. Sct-bkn lower clouds
cigs in the 030-040 range are expected to develop in the kfpr-ksua
corridor into the afternoon. Otherwise a drier low level airmass
should limit cumulus development from kism-ktix northward through
23z. Sct-bkn jet stream cirrus expected across terminals for tonight.

Marine
Today... Northerly winds are expected to near 15 knots with seas up
to 5 ft offshore behind the frontal boundary moving southeast of the
area.

Tonight... With surface high pressure building into the southeast and
a tightening pressure gradient will see northerly winds increase to
15-20 knots into late evening and around 20 knots from midnight
onward. This will builds seas to around 7 ft in the gulf stream late
tonight. Will start advisory at 11 pm for all the waters with winds
expected to increase to around 20 knots overnight.

Thu-thu night... High pressure over the deep south moves to along the
eastern seaboard Thu night. The pressure gradient will remain fairly
tight, such that, initial nne winds around 20 kts and gusty continue
overnight while veering to ene by daybreak Fri morning. Six foot
seas over the open atlc will build to 7-8 ft gulf stream and 5-7 ft
near shore. Small craft advisory areawide for the hazardous small
craft boating conditions.

Fri-sat... The high pressure pushes off of the mid atlc coast and
into the western atlc late Fri afternoon Fri evening with mainly
e ese winds. Conditions expected to remain poor to hazardous for
small craft. Winds will decrease to 15-20 kts over the gulf stream
and 10-15 kts elsewhere. However, seas will remain elevated into the
weekend, in upwards of 6-9 ft at times over the gulf stream and 5-7
ft near shore, perhaps 4-6 ft near shore volusia coast. Expect sca's
to be extended into this weekend for much of the area. Light precip
chances will exist over the period with deep onshore flow.

The next low pressure front to affect the area will cross the waters
late Sun into early Mon with a period of likely precip, and perhaps
isolated lightning. Confidence is low on timing due to model
inconsistency which should become more clear closer towards the
weekend.

Fire weather
Today... Northerly winds inland will allow a drier airmass to move
down the peninsula with min rhs to 32-35 percent west of a lake
george to kissimme line. Critically long rh durations are not
expected. Winds will be 10 mph or less across the interior and
around 10 mph near the immediate coast.

Thu-fri... Developing onshore flow (ne on Thu and E on fri) will
elevate rhs with stronger surface and transport winds leading to
good to very good dispersion values during the daytime hours.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 64 43 61 49 0 0 0 0
mco 69 47 66 50 0 0 0 0
mlb 68 47 65 55 0 0 0 0
vrb 69 49 65 57 10 10 0 0
lee 69 44 65 46 0 0 0 0
sfb 68 45 65 49 0 0 0 0
orl 70 47 67 50 0 0 0 0
fpr 70 52 67 57 10 10 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 7 am est
Thursday for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-
20 nm-flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Volkmer
long term... .Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41118 11 mi69 min 58°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi51 min NNW 7 G 15 57°F 63°F1021.8 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi106 min 60°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi49 min N 18 G 21 67°F 72°F4 ft1019.7 hPa53°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi114 min NNW 4.1 51°F 1023 hPa37°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi1.7 hrsNNW 910.00 miFair58°F48°F70%1019.9 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------SW5SW5SW5SW10SW10SW10SW15SW12SW12SW10SW10NW12NW8NW8W8
1 day ago------------------E5E5E5E5SE13SE14
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2 days ago------------------N12N12N8N12N10NE7E10E10SE10E10E5E5NE5NE5NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:00 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:47 AM EST     3.95 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST     3.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:47 PM EST     3.96 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:56 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:24 PM EST     4.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
444444444444444444444444

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:31 AM EST     3.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:45 PM EST     3.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:55 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:11 PM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.23.22.92.21.50.80.40.40.71.322.73.23.332.41.60.80.2-0.10.10.61.32.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.