Monday, October23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:46PM Monday October 23, 2017 8:08 PM EDT (00:08 UTC) Moonrise 9:46AMMoonset 8:43PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 319 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 319 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge will retreat eastward over the atlantic ahead of a cold front which will push through the waters late Tuesday and Tuesday night. Behind the front Wednesday, expect a surge of northwest winds and building seas, which will gradually subside through late week.
Gulf stream hazards..South winds 15 to 20 knots with seas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday october 22nd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 34 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 30 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 232002
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
402 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017

Discussion
Tonight... There will be an increase in coverage of showers storms
into this evening as increasingly moist south southwest flow
combines with upper divergence ahead of an upper level trough. The
assocd cold front is currently located from central ga southward
across tlh and into the gulf. Considerable cirrostratus continues
to overspread northern sections which has limited heating today
but developing convection on the fl west coast will push east and
interact with the east coast sea breeze over interior sections
toward evening. Additional storms should develop over southern
sections where more heating has taken place. So have drawn 50 pops
all areas. Convection will likely persist well into the night
supported by forcing aloft. The cold front is forecast to reach
lake volusia counties by sunrise then push more slowly across ec
fl during tue.

Tuesday-Wednesday (previous)... Strong upper low pressure with
associated deep troughing over the central CONUS will move slowly
east and weaken gradually with a mid-level trough axis finally
sliding across the central fl peninsula Wed overnight. This upper
system will help drive a significant cold front into north-central
fl by sunrise Tue morning, then across ecfl during the day on tue
and Tue night. A tight pressure gradient will remain as weak high
pressure builds into the area behind the front late Tue overnight
into wed. An above normal chance of showers and thunderstorms
will precede the boundary on Tue with much drier air filtering
into the area from the north on wed. The showers and storms will
feed off of pwats between 1.70-1.90 inches and some modest surface
heating. The best dynamics, however, will remain north of the
area. A few strong storms may be possible but currently are not
anticipating any severe weather.

Rain chances will range from 30 to 40 percent north of i-4 to 60
percent south of orlando tue. Rain chances will diminish from north
to south over the area Tue night. Have precip slowly ending on wed
over the treasure coast okeechobee county as the ECMWF is a bit
slower to scour out moisture.

Max temps in the l80s tue, perhaps m80s should enough surface
heating occur, and l-m70s on wed. Mins falling back into m-u50s
north l-m60s south behind the front Tue overnight, with l50s for
most of the area Wed night, even some u40s north of i-4 or normally
cooler areas of ecfl.

Thursday-Sunday (previous)... Aloft upper troughing continues to
push eastward away from the peninsula as brief shortwave ridging
moves across the state and northerly winds quickly back to
southwesterly ahead of an approaching upper trough to the west for
fri into the weekend. At the surface weak high pressure builds
across the region on thu, then off of the atlantic seaboard late
fri into Sat with the approach of a tropical low from the south.

Presently, the ECMWF lifts this feature into the fl straits by
late sat, northeast across southeast fl Sat night, and further
northeastward away from the peninsula on sun, swept away by an
approaching front upper trough combo. Model consistence and timing
of surface upper features will play a key role going forward with
exact track strength of this system.

After cooler than normal conditions again on thu, temps should
rebound closer to climo Thu night-fri with the onset of
return onshore flow, then remain near climo next weekend. For now
have kept land areas dry thru Fri night, then introduce a small
threat for showers on Sat Sun (moisture gradient could be tight from
north to south).

Aviation
Scattered shra tsra will move in from the west into this evening
ahead of a strong cold front. Will likely need to add tempo
groups for many terminals for MVFR CIGS and vsbys due to
convection through 04z. Lingering showers possible overnight
mainly south of mco. Cold front will slowly push southeast across
the area on Tue with sct tsra developing aft 15z mainly mco south.

Marine
Tonight... S SE pressure gradient will veer out of the S sw
supporting wind speeds of 13-18 knots and seas 4 to 5 feet with up
to 6 feet well offshore. Will maintain caution headline for the
offshore waters of volusia and brevard. There will be an increase
in coverage of storms pushing offshore this evening and overnight.

Tuesday-Friday (previous)... A rather significant cold frontal
boundary will press southward across the coastal waters tue-tue
night with weak high pressure building in from the west for the
remainder of the extended. S ssw winds around 10 kts and up to 15
kts well offshore on Tue will gradually veer (toward NW n) during
the day evening as the front slowly moves southward across the
area. During the late evening overnight Tue wind speeds will
gradually increase to around 20 kts over much of the area due to a
tighter pressure gradient. The gradient will be slow to decrease
into late Wed afternoon night as the wind direction remains NW n.

Wind speeds will continue to decrease Thu into Fri as the
northerly wind component veers to easterly by Thu overnight into
fri.

Offshore moving showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal
boundary Tue tue night, finally clearing the southern coastal marine
legs by late Wed morning or early afternoon with mostly dry
conditions prevailing into late work-week. Lightning, gusty winds,
and torrential downpours appear to be the main storm threats.

Seas will build 3-5 ft on Tue with some 2 ft seas possible very near
shore and far southern marine legs. Seas are forecast to build to
around 6-7 ft again on Wed wed night offshore gulf stream, then
subside again thu-fri.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 72 83 58 73 50 40 20 10
mco 71 84 60 75 50 50 20 0
mlb 74 85 63 76 50 60 40 20
vrb 74 85 66 76 50 60 50 30
lee 70 83 57 74 50 20 10 0
sfb 71 84 59 74 50 40 20 10
orl 71 84 62 75 50 40 20 0
fpr 74 85 67 76 50 60 60 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Johnson kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi51 min SSE 12 G 17 80°F 80°F1015.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi48 min 80°F5 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi39 min SSE 19 G 23 82°F 1013.9 hPa75°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi84 min S 4.1 80°F 1015 hPa75°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi82 minSSE 57.00 miOvercast82°F75°F79%1014.2 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi71 minSSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F74°F85%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5------------------S6S6S6S15SE15
G23
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1 day agoE10------------------E10E10E10E710E710SE10SE10SE14--SE12SE10SE10E7E7
2 days agoE15------------------E15E10E10E10E14E12E14E15E15E15E15
G20
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Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Mon -- 01:44 AM EDT     4.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:55 PM EDT     4.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:18 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.34.3

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:31 AM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:44 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:49 AM EDT     4.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:00 PM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:54 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.832.11.30.80.81.32.133.94.54.64.33.72.92.11.51.31.522.83.64.14.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.