Friday, December14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Homosassa, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:36PM Friday December 14, 2018 9:21 PM EST (02:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:27PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 50% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 855 Pm Est Fri Dec 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am est Saturday...
.severe Thunderstorm watch 438 in effect until 10 pm est this evening...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds around 20 knots then becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..North winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 855 Pm Est Fri Dec 14 2018
Synopsis..A complex storm system will continue to move through the region overnight, producing high chances of showers and Thunderstorms. Hazardous marine conditions expected with gusty winds, heavy rainfall, dangerous lightning and a possible waterspout or two are possible as this system moves across the area. A long period swell will move into the eastern gulf waters with large seas through the weekend. Conditions will slowly improve by Monday as high pressure builds into the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Homosassa, FL
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location: 28.78, -82.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 150126
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
826 pm est Fri dec 14 2018

Discussion
The squall line is currently in place from NW sumter county
sw through pinellas county, and continuing SW through the
rest of the central coastal waters. The line continues to
slow in its progression through the area, but there
continues to be strong winds aloft and high helicity and
shear, so will allow the severe thunderstorm watch in place
continue through 10pm tonight. Have also adjusted the pops
for the overnight period and will update for that. Rest of
forecast is on track.

Aviation
Squall line is moving into the northern TAF sites currently.

Will continue to spread southward through the evening hours
and gradually clear north to south as well toward morning.

Have MVFR ceilings continuing through the later morning
hours, then finally lifting in the afternoon. Winds veer to
the west behind the line.

Marine
The squall line will continue to move through the coastal
waters through the overnight hours, with lingering showers
remaining behind it. SCA will continue across the area
through 4am, with another SCA likely needed for seas only
there after as significant swells from the west gulf move
into the waters. Winds turn to the west through tomorrow,
then the N NW for Sunday and Monday. Will keep current watch
and advisories for now. Current forecast is on track.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 65 71 60 69 100 30 10 10
fmy 68 75 62 74 80 30 10 0
gif 65 73 58 72 90 40 10 10
srq 66 71 62 70 100 30 10 10
bkv 63 72 55 69 100 30 10 10
spg 64 72 61 69 100 30 10 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Monday evening for coastal
charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal
manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Flood watch until 4 am est Saturday for coastal citrus-
coastal hernando-coastal levy-coastal pasco-inland
citrus-inland hernando-inland levy-inland pasco-
sumter.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory until 4 am est Saturday for coastal
waters from bonita beach to englewood fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from englewood to tarpon springs fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from tarpon springs to
suwannee river fl out 20 nm-tampa bay waters-waters
from bonita beach to englewood fl out 20 to 60 nm-
waters from englewood to tarpon springs fl out 20 to
60 nm-waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river fl
out 20 to 60 nm.

Update aviation marine... 24 hubbard
upper air... 18 fleming
decision support... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 24 mi88 min SSW 5.1 G 11 73°F 1015.3 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 30 mi82 min S 8.9 G 11 64°F 1013.8 hPa (-0.5)64°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 44 mi88 min SSW 11 G 13 66°F 1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Crystal River Airport, FL10 mi27 minSSE 310.00 miLight Rain68°F66°F94%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12SE10SE10SE10SE7SE6E6NE3E6SE5SE7S12S15
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S15SW5E5E5E4E4N4NE5NW5S3S11
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4NE5NE4NE5NE4NE6NE6E9E10E12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmN4CalmNE3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmNE3E6CalmCalmE6Calm3S4NW6NW5N3NE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Tuckers Island, Homosassa River, Florida
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Tuckers Island
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:37 AM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:50 AM EST     1.68 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:17 PM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:38 PM EST     1.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.60.70.91.11.41.61.71.51.30.90.70.50.30.30.30.40.60.811.10.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Mangrove Pt., Crystal Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.