Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Hill, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:30PM Thursday November 15, 2018 3:00 AM EST (08:00 UTC) Moonrise 1:11PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 842 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am est Thursday through Friday morning...
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots late in the night. Seas building to 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 842 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..Winds will shift to the northwest on Thursday as a strong cold front crosses the waters. A moderate to fresh breeze will develop behind the boundary and lead to poor to hazardous boating conditions into Friday, especially in the gulf stream.
Gulf stream hazards..South to southwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas building to 5 to 7 feet north of sebastian inlet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday november 12th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Hill, FL
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location: 28.9, -80.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 150319
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1019 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Turning much cooler Thursday night behind strong cold front...

Update
Central florida remains within a warm and unstable environment
ahead of a strong cold front over the eastern gulf of mexico and
north florida. Showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to
develop within the warm southerly flow, particularly over the
western half of the state and eastern gulf in the vicinity of a
developing weak area of low pressure. Expect the greatest
coverage to remain north and west of the area overnight as the low
pressure lifts into the northeastern gulf of mexico and over
north florida. With that in mind, dropped pops from this
afternoon's package, focusing on areas along and to the northwest
of i-4 with 40-50%. Otherwise, 20-30% should suffice.

Expect the surface front to make it to lake county around sunrise
before steadily progressing east across the rest of the area
Thursday morning. Shower chances should remain confined to the
treasure coast during the first half of the Thursday as the front
moves through.

Aviation
Greatest chance for shra overnight expected between klee-kdab with
progressively lower chances the further south and east one
travels. A strong cold front will move across the area Thursday
morning, bringing an opportunity for MVFR ceilings, initially to
klee between 10-14z, a bit later the further east and south one
travels. Expect ceilings to lift and clear later Thursday
afternoon.

Marine
Southeast winds shifting to gentle to moderate S SW breeze
overnight as a cold front pushes into central florida. Winds will
turn to the northwest Thursday morning as the front moves across
the waters. Seas 3-4 feet and up to 5 feet in the gulf stream at
sunset... By daybreak building to 4-6 feet north of sebastian inlet
(up to 7 feet in the gulf stream), 3-5 feet south of the inlet.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 68 73 46 64 50 20 0 0
mco 68 76 49 67 40 20 0 0
mlb 71 79 51 69 30 30 0 0
vrb 71 80 54 70 30 40 10 0
lee 67 70 44 65 50 20 0 0
sfb 68 75 46 66 40 20 0 0
orl 68 75 49 67 40 20 0 0
fpr 72 80 56 71 30 40 10 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 4 pm Thursday to 10 am est Friday for
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Thursday to 10 am est Friday for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Ulrich cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 36 mi31 min S 8.9 G 14 78°F 80°F1015.3 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 39 mi31 min 79°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 45 mi21 min S 19 G 23 81°F 1014.2 hPa74°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 56 mi76 min S 5.1 75°F 1014 hPa74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL22 mi68 minS 610.00 miA Few Clouds75°F73°F96%1013.7 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL22 mi68 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F75°F100%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------N6NE8NE8NE8NE8NE8NE9NE9NE10NE7NE7E4E4E4E4SE4
1 day ago----------------SW4CalmSW3SW4SW5SW5SW8SW10SE8SE8SE8SE8SE8433
2 days ago----------------E6SE5SE13SE13SE12SE11--S6S6SE10SE8SE5SE5SE4SE4--

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.