Sunday, May28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Edgewater, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:17PM Sunday May 28, 2017 8:13 PM EDT (00:13 UTC) Moonrise 8:23AMMoonset 10:22PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west in the late evening and overnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge across south florida will migrate northward into the waters by mid week. This will cause winds from the west to gradually become south or southeast.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday may 28th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 34 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Edgewater, FL
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location: 28.95, -80.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 281933
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
333 pm edt Sun may 28 2017

Discussion
Hot and dry through memorial day...

tonight... Slightly increased west northwest flow over northern
sections advected in higher dew points and brought a little bit
of cloudiness along west of i-4 this afternoon. Southern interior
sections were drier, but the east coast sea breeze pushing inland
should raise dew points there into early evening. As a result,
guidance min temps showed readings considerably higher than this
morning, especially across northern sections. Shaved a few degrees
off of MOS values, otherwise have followed the moderating trend.

The hrrr model has not been showing any late night fog, but mos
suggests patchy stratus late in the north. Also, will include
patchy smoke for parts of brevard due to a wildfire west of
cocoa.

Memorial day... Center of mid level anticyclone will push east of the
area but ridge will still extend back over the area. This will
continue some subsidence and keep moisture confined to a shallow
layer near the surface. Only expect a little bit of cloudiness
during daytime heating. Temperatures will continue hot in the
lower to mid 90s. Dew points will be a bit higher, around 70, so
heat indices should creep up to the upper 90s in some areas.

Tue... Ridge axis begins a slow shift northward, with moisture
increasing across the area in a low level S SE flow. This combined
with ridge aloft shifting east of the area will begin to introduce
some low end rain chances, with isolated to scattered showers and
storms possible, mainly across the interior with any sea breeze
interactions later in the day and into the evening. Model rh cross-
sections show the potential for an increase in cirrus which may
filter the sunshine slightly, but it will still be hot with highs in
the lower 90s coast and mid 90s interior.

Wed-sat... (modified previous discussion) high pressure ridge axis
will continue a slow northward migration back across central and
north fl. Moisture will continue to gradually increase which should
produce scattered afternoon and evening lightning storms focused
across the interior. Rain chances are forecast to increase from 30-
40 percent Wed across the interior to 50-60 percent Fri sat, with
lower rain chances along the treasure coast where there will be less
chance for storms to push back to the coast. Highs in the mid 90s
interior on Wed then lower 90s late week, upper 80s coast.

Aviation Vfr until after midnight, then patchy stratus is
possible again northward from about kism-kmco-ktix.

Marine
Tonight-memorial day... A slight diurnal wind increase should occur
this evening, especially in the north for south southwest winds up
to 10-15 knots. Winds should then gradually veer and be from the
northwest near 10 knots early in the morning. Memorial day looks
continued good for small craft operation with the offshore wind
flow diminishing and a sea breeze developing in the afternoon.

Seas 2 feet or less.

Tue-fri... High pressure ridge axis will slowly migrate northward
across the area into the work week. S SE flow will generally range
from 10-15 knots, with seas up to 2-3 ft. Best chance for storms
will be across the interior, but a few may be able to push offshore
especially north of the CAPE each afternoon evening.

Fire weather
An influx of higher dew points has kept rh values higher than forecast
and have cancelled the red flag warning for interior sections.

Monday... Though it will continue hot and very dry, dew points will
remain elevated and min rh values should only fall to around
35 percent over the interior. West winds will be less than 10 mph,
then a 10 to 15 mph sea breeze will move inland in the afternoon.

Tue-thu... Mid level ridge will continue east into the atlantic and
assocd subsidence will weaken so do not expect critical rh values.

But the concern will shift to isolated to scattered lightning storms
igniting brush fires.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 71 93 71 92 0 0 10 20
mco 71 96 73 96 0 0 10 30
mlb 71 93 74 91 0 0 10 10
vrb 70 94 73 91 0 0 10 10
lee 71 96 74 95 0 0 10 30
sfb 71 96 74 95 0 0 10 30
orl 71 96 74 96 0 0 10 30
fpr 70 93 72 92 0 0 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Lascody
long term... .Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 40 mi44 min SE 5.1 G 7 79°F 79°F1017 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 42 mi23 min 77°F1 ft
41116 47 mi44 min 78°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 48 mi34 min SE 5.8 G 5.8 79°F 78°F1016.5 hPa75°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 52 mi89 min SE 4.1 87°F 1016 hPa74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi27 minESE 510.00 miClear82°F69°F66%1015.6 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL18 mi21 minVar 310.00 miA Few Clouds82°F71°F69%1015 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL22 mi21 minWNW 710.00 miFair90°F66°F47%1014.7 hPa

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7Calm----------------W5W5W5W11NW9W6
G15
NW10E5NE8NE8E8E8E8E5
1 day agoE4Calm----------------CalmCalmCalmCalmE5E5NE5E7E8E8E9E8E10SE7
2 days agoW8W8----------------W5W5W5NW5NW6NE10NE10NE10NE10E10E10E6E6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South
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Sun -- 05:15 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:15 AM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:36 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:55 PM EDT     3.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.32.61.70.80.1-0.2-00.51.32.12.83.132.51.70.8-0-0.5-0.5-00.81.62.53.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
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Ponce Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:31 AM EDT     3.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:50 PM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.42.81.910.2-0.2-0.10.31.11.92.63.13.12.71.910.1-0.4-0.6-0.20.51.42.33

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.