Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belleview, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 7:44PM Monday March 27, 2017 6:31 PM EDT (22:31 UTC) Moonrise 6:11AMMoonset 6:29PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 330 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots becoming southeast around 5 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds around 5 knots becoming west around 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots becoming east around 5 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots becoming west around 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots becoming northeast around 5 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..East winds around 5 knots becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming south after midnight, then increasing to around 15 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..South winds around 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Southwest winds around 15 knots becoming west around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a light to moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 330 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Synopsis..SEasonable conditions with no significant marine concerns for the next several days as surface high pressure continues to ridge westward from the atlantic over the florida peninsula and eastern gulf of mexico. Light east to southeast wind overnight and during the morning hours will shift onshore with sea breeze development near the coast each afternoon. Winds offshore are likely to become light and variable each afternoon before finally going west to northwest in the evening hours.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belleview, FL
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location: 28.99, -82.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 271914
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
314 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Near term /tonight-Tuesday/
Rest of this afternoon/evening... Weak low level ridge axis at the
surface will support both atlc/gomex sea breeze fronts pushing
inland and diurnal heating & pwats just below an inch ahead of
approaching shortwave aloft may be just enough to trigger a few
isolated showers/storms over inland SE ga and the suwannee valley of
inland north fl but overall any coverage still looks to be 20% or
less and brief in timing/intensity. Activity will fade quickly after
sunset during the evening hours.

Tonight... Expect partly cloudy skies as shortwave aloft weakens
and pushes through some mid/high clouds at times. Min temps to
fall into the upper 50s inland and lower 60s coast. Enough low
level cooling and moisture to support patchy fog around sunrise
with some locally dense but these patches should be very shallow
in nature and the SREF organized dense fog chances are 20% or less
for sunrise Tue morning.

Tuesday... Sfc ridge axis presses further southward and steering
flow becomes more w/swly and this will cause a further warming in
the atmosphere with widespread MAX temps into the middle 80s over
inland areas and the atlc sea breeze front will get pinned closer
to the coast and will allow for MAX temps to reach into the upper
70s at the beaches. Rain chances will remain low with only a
slight chance of showers/possibly a storm across inland SE ga
during peak heating of the afternoon hours but weak forcing aloft
should keep activity to a minimum.

Short term (Tuesday night-Wednesday night)... There will be deep
layer ridging over the area while a cold front washes out near the
altamaha. Conditions look mostly warm and dry except for a few
isolated storms possible near the altamaha in close proximity of the
front. Areas of late night and early morning also a possibility
given deep layer ridging over the area and elevated low level
moisture.

Long term (Thursday-Monday)
Rain chances increase area wide towards the end of the week as a
deep low across the southwest u.S. Moves northeast across the ohio
valley short wave energy from this system will drive a cold front
towards the area on Friday... With the front washing out south of the
area over the weekend. Appears most of the dynamics will lift north
of the area in addition to the deeper moisture splitting both north
and south... But there will be a chance of showers and isolated
storms with the approach of the front on Friday. Best rain chances
still appear to be in the western portion from the suwannee valley
to inland southeast ga. Conditions appear to be dry and warm next
weekend with high pressure building into the area behind the front.

The next disturbance brings a chance of showers to the area early
next week. There are still major discrepancies between the GFS and
ecmwf on the timing and southern extent of the short wave energy.

For now... Have low end rain chances.

Aviation
Vfr forecast on track this afternoon with SE winds around 10
knots.VFR continues tonight with sct high clouds at times. Models
still supporting some chances of MVFR fog at inland TAF sites and
have placed 3sm at gnv/vqq and 5sm jax/crg for some possible
sunrise fog.

Marine
Winds become south tonight at 10-15 knots with seas still 3-4 ft
nearshore and 4-6 ft offshore due to long period swells and will
continue scec headline. S/sw flow will continue Tue & Tue night
before a weak wind shift occurs with weak frontal boundary on wed
and shift back to the e/se Wed night/thu but still below any
headline levels. A more significant southerly increase in winds is
expected ahead of the next front on Thu night/Friday with speeds
pushing into the 15-20 knot range and seas back into the 4-7 ft
range and expect at least scec headlines over the offshore waters
and possibly SCA flags.

Rip currents: moderate risk to continue into Tuesday due to the
longer period swells. Surf/breakers still in the 3-4 ft range.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Amg 60 84 62 86 / 20 10 0 20
ssi 62 75 64 77 / 10 0 0 10
jax 60 85 61 85 / 0 0 0 10
sgj 60 80 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
gnv 57 85 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
ocf 57 84 57 87 / 0 0 0 0

Jax watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Hess/peterson/corless


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 51 mi98 min WNW 8 G 9.9 73°F 1016.1 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 54 mi32 min W 6 G 8 73°F 1016.7 hPa (-2.3)60°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 63 mi107 min E 7 76°F 1019 hPa62°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Villages, FL4 mi62 minE 610.00 mi82°F57°F42%1012.9 hPa
Ocala, Ocala International Airport-Jim Taylor Field, FL17 mi42 minSSE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F53°F37%1016.3 hPa
Leesburg Regional Airport, FL17 mi39 minVar 410.00 miFair81°F54°F39%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from VVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9
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--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5CalmCalmE4E7
G12
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1 day ago----E8--E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----E6CalmCalm--------
2 days ago--Calm------Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--Calm--NE6--------Calm------

Tide / Current Tables for Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida
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Kings Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:37 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:12 PM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 11:48 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.31.82.22.22.11.71.30.90.50.20.20.50.91.41.8221.71.30.90.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for Crystal River, Kings Bay, Florida
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Crystal River
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:38 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:12 PM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Mon -- 11:49 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.31.82.12.22.11.71.30.90.50.30.20.50.91.41.8221.71.30.90.50.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.