Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belleview, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:22PM Monday May 29, 2017 11:13 AM EDT (15:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:31AMMoonset 11:20PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 953 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Today..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 953 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis..Atlantic high pressure will extend across the waters through much of the week. The ridge axis will lift north over the central waters mid week with light east to southeast flow developing. Winds will become onshore near the coast each afternoon and evening due to development of the west coast sea breeze.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belleview, FL
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location: 28.99, -82.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 291507
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
1107 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Hot and dry conditions for memorial day... .

Update
Late morning surface analysis depicts high pressure (1018
millibars) centered over the southeast gulf of mexico, extending
eastward across south florida and into the western atlantic
waters. Meanwhile, a stalled frontal boundary extends from coastal
texas northeastward through the lower mississippi, tennessee, and
ohio valleys. Aloft... Deep layered ridging prevails over our
region and is centered over the bahamas, while a trough was
deepening over the western great lakes and digging southward
through the upper midwest. A large mesoscale convective system
(mcs) generated along the frontal boundary over texas has pushed
into the western gulf waters, with convection on the edge of this
mcs redeveloping over the western florida panhandle and southern
alabama. Debris clouds from this convection are invading our skies
from the west, resulting in filtered sunshine. Earlier low stratus
over north central florida is lifting into a cumulus field.

Temperatures were quickly rising into the mid to upper 80s as of
15z, with dewpoints ranging from the upper 60s to the muggy mid
70s.

The morning sounding at jacksonville revealed a very dry low level
air mass, with a dewpoint depression of nearly 10 degrees c at 950
millibars (2,000 feet). There is moistening to our west, as
tallahassee's sounding had a 5 degree dewpoint depression at 950
mb. High resolution short term guidance suggests that convection
developing along outflow boundaries originating from convection
over al and the fl panhandle will be sparse this afternoon due to
the dry and suppressed environment over our region, compliments of
ridging aloft. A few isolated storms may be possible late this
afternoon between waycross and the i-95 corridor as these outflow
boundaries collide with the atlantic coast sea breeze. The sea
breeze should develop at area beaches around noon today due to a
looser pressure gradient than yesterday, and this sea breeze
should push inland past the i-95 corridor during the late
afternoon hours. Temperatures will still climb to around 90 at
the beaches before this sea breeze pushes inland, with mid upper
90s expected inland. Dry air mixing down to the surface will
result in dewpoints falling to the 60s, which will keep heat
index values in the 100-103 range inland.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail at the regional terminals through at
least 06z. The atlantic sea breeze will develop around noon,
resulting in winds shifting to an easterly direction at sgj by
17z, with onshore winds reaching ssi by 18z, crg by 19z, jax by
20z, and vqq towards 22z. Patchy fog will develop inland tonight,
with MVFR visibilities expected to develop after 08z at gnv and
vqq.

Marine
High pressure extending from the western atlantic into the
southeast gulf of mexico will slowly lift northward during the
next few days, but will remain centered south of our waters. This
will create light offshore flow during the overnight and morning
hours, with the atlantic sea breeze developing around noon over
the near shore waters and pushing inland each afternoon.

Meanwhile, a weak frontal boundary will approach the southeast
georgia waters from the northwest on Tuesday afternoon. Showers
and thunderstorms will gradually increase in coverage each
afternoon and evening, with activity most likely impacting the
near shore waters during the late afternoon and evening hours,
progressing into the offshore waters during the late evening and
overnight hours. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms will be
possible, with damaging wind gusts and frequent lightning strikes
being the primary threats. Outside of thunderstorm activity, a
weak local pressure gradient will remain in place and will result
in mostly light wind speeds into next weekend.

Rip currents: low risk expected through much of this week due to
mostly flat seas. Sea breezes will develop each afternoon with
breezy conditions developing at area beaches, but low wave heights
will not create a large-scale elevated risk.

Climate
Record highs this afternoon
jacksonville 97 (1967)
gainesville 99 (1908)
st. Simons island 93 (1986)
alma 98 (1967)

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 94 69 92 70 20 10 40 20
ssi 91 76 90 75 10 10 50 30
jax 96 71 94 71 10 10 50 40
sgj 93 73 91 72 0 0 40 40
gnv 96 69 95 70 0 0 30 30
ocf 96 69 95 70 0 0 20 20

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Nelson shuler mcginnis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 51 mi80 min NW 4.1 G 7 82°F 1019 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 54 mi74 min WNW 8 G 9.9 81°F 1019.2 hPa (+1.8)73°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 63 mi89 min W 4.1 85°F 1019 hPa71°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Villages, FL4 mi84 minSSE 310.00 mi84°F75°F74%1015.6 hPa
Ocala, Ocala International Airport-Jim Taylor Field, FL17 mi78 minWNW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F73°F72%1018.9 hPa
Leesburg Regional Airport, FL17 mi81 minVar 610.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F73°F77%1018.7 hPa

Wind History from VVG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------W12S8
G15
--SW11
G20
S8
G15
--------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--Calm--
1 day agoCalmCalm--W4--SE9W12
G17
S10S7----CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----
2 days ago------SE5
G10
--------SE5CalmSE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--

Tide / Current Tables for Kings Bay, Crystal River, Florida
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Kings Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:28 AM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:18 AM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:08 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:52 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.1-0.2-0.20.10.61.11.51.61.61.41.210.80.70.81.11.522.32.42.31.91.4

Tide / Current Tables for Crystal River, Kings Bay, Florida
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Crystal River
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:28 AM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:18 AM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:07 PM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:52 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.1-0.2-0.20.10.61.11.51.61.61.41.210.80.70.81.11.522.32.42.31.91.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.