Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Samsula-Spruce Creek, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday June 22, 2017 4:28 PM EDT (20:28 UTC) Moonrise 4:06AMMoonset 5:58PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 337 Pm Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots towards daybreak. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of Thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Monday night..South winds 5 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 337 Pm Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge, north of the area, will gradually shift slowly south across the waters late this week and into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday june 17th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Samsula-Spruce Creek, FL
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location: 29.1, -81.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221821
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
221 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017

Discussion
Lower than normal rain chances through Saturday...

currently... Coverage of convection will remain below normal through
the rest of the afternoon. However isolated to low end scattered
showers and storms will still be possible along the inland moving
east coast sea breeze across the interior. Latest local WRF and hrrr
model runs indicate this activity will increase in coverage with
boundary collisions near to west of lake county toward sunset. Any
stronger storms that form will have the potential to produce
frequent lightning strikes, strong gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall.

Friday... A drier airmass will continue to build into the
area within the deep southeasterly flow through early tomorrow
morning. Model guidance has pw values as low as 1.2 inches to start
the day and then shows a gradual increase in low level moisture,
mainly across areas south of orlando into tomorrow afternoon. This
may allow for isolated showers storms to develop across the southern
interior along and ahead of the east coast sea breeze. However, with
limited moisture and ridge warmer than normal temperatures
persisting aloft, it looks to remain dry over much of the region.

Limited convection and clouds will allow for sufficient daytime
heating, with highs reaching the upper 80s to around 90 degrees
along the coast and low 90s over the interior.

Saturday-Sunday... Ridge axis of high pressure over the west atlantic
builds farther south and across the area into the weekend. This will
allow low level winds to weaken slightly and become more southerly.

Moisture will gradually increase in this flow, but afternoon shower
and thunderstorm coverage is still forecast to be below normal on
Saturday, especially with deep layer ridge extending across the
area. Greatest rain chances, up to 30 percent, are forecast over the
interior. Ridge aloft then begins to break down into late weekend as
a trough begins to extend southward across the eastern u.S. And
shifts a frontal boundary toward north florida. This weakening of
the ridge combined with additional moisture increase will allow for
rising rain chances Sunday, up to 30-50 percent. Highest rain
chances will continue to remain across inland areas where boundary
collisions are more likely.

Monday-Thursday... Rain chances will continue to rise into early next
week as moisture increases with an approaching frontal boundary that
will stall and weaken across north florida. Pops up to 50-70 percent
will exist across much of the area through mid week. Increasing
convection and cloud cover will keep highs near normal in the upper
80s to around 90 degrees, with lows near to slightly above normal in
the low to mid 70s through the period.

Aviation Tempo ifr MVFR conditions will still be possible with
isolated to scattered showers and storms from late afternoon into
early evening across the interior. Greatest chance for this activity
will be near klee toward sunset, where boundary collisions are
favored. Have included a tempo group for these conditions at this
site, with vcts elsewhere across the interior.

Drier airmass that will continue to build into the area into
tomorrow should limit any isolated convection to interior areas
south of mco ism, withVFR conditions expected to remain in place
through the day.

Marine
Tonight-Friday... Southeast winds up to 10-15 knots will continue
over the waters, with seas ranging from 2-4 feet.

Saturday-Monday... Winds seas subside a bit as the atlantic ridge
axis drops back southward across the region, and an approaching
frontal boundary stalls and weakens across north florida. Winds will
generally remain out of the south to southeast around 5 to 10 knots,
with seas 2-3 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected later
in the weekend into early next week as moisture increases across the
area.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 74 89 75 91 10 10 10 20
mco 73 93 75 93 10 10 10 30
mlb 77 89 77 89 10 10 10 20
vrb 75 89 75 90 10 10 10 20
lee 75 93 76 92 40 10 10 30
sfb 74 92 75 92 10 10 10 30
orl 74 93 76 92 10 10 10 30
fpr 75 90 74 90 10 10 10 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Public marine... Weitlich
aviation... Combs
radar impact wx... Glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 39 mi104 min SE 11 86°F 1019 hPa78°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 53 mi29 min SE 12 G 14 79°F 81°F1018.5 hPa (-1.2)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 55 mi41 min ESE 8 G 11 84°F 82°F1019.9 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL7 mi36 minE 9 G 1610.00 miA Few Clouds89°F75°F63%1017.4 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL10 mi42 minSE 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1017.9 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL14 mi39 minESE 10 G 187.00 miClear88°F75°F66%1017.6 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL23 mi36 minSSE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds93°F73°F52%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE844S5S6S3NW4NE7N4E3CalmSE33CalmS4S8S7S5E7E10E7
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1 day agoE10
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5SE5555633E3E3E34CalmS5S7S6S9S646E9
2 days agoNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3NE4E4NE5E4E4E3SE4E7SE9
G19
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G18

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Daytona Beach Shores
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:48 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:57 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     5.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0-0.20.31.32.43.444.23.82.91.70.5-0.4-0.8-0.30.82.23.64.65.154.33.21.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
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Ponce Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:36 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:37 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:58 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.4-0-00.41.11.82.52.932.61.910.2-0.4-0.7-0.40.41.32.12.83.33.22.82

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.