Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Horseshoe Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:43PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 3:09 PM EDT (19:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:53PMMoonset 12:45AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ775 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Rest of today..Northwest winds 10 knots becoming west and increasing to near 15 knots near the coast in the sea breeze. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms east of apalachicola.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms east of apalachicola.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday and Friday night..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1000 Am Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis..Light winds will keep seas low through Thursday. Winds will increase to around 15 knots ahead of a weak cold front on Friday accompanied by an increase in seas. Winds and seas decrease once again by the end of the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Horseshoe Beach, FL
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location: 29.2, -83.95     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 201720
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
120 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Aviation [through 18z Thursday]
Vfr conditions will prevail for the most part this period.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop in the vicinity of tlh and
vld this afternoon, but coverage is not expected to be high enough
to including a prevailing threat. A brief threat for thunderstorms
will occur on the inland moving sea breeze front this afternoon
near ecp.

Prev discussion [952 am edt]
Near term [through today]
An upper level ridge remains parked over the area with a surface
trough extending from the north carolina coast southwestward to
the florida big bend. The upper ridge will generally suppress
convective coverage below seasonal levels today. The exception
will be over the big bend and adjacent south central georgia where
the trough will combine with the sea breeze and outflow boundaries
to produce near climo pops of 40-55%. Look for mid 90s for most
areas this afternoon.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
The upper level ridge that has been keeping dry weather in place
over the region will begin to break down tonight as an upper
level trough and cold front swings through the central united
states. The forcing will remain well north of the region, but with
a weakening ridge of high pressure, this should help increase the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday
afternoon in the southwest flow.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
For the weekend, warmer and drier conditions are anticipated as
the ridge of high pressure builds back over the region. Looks
like the lowest chance for rain in the period will be Saturday as
drier air moves in from the west. By next week rain chances return
to normal as better moisture returns to the area from the
southeast.

Marine
Light winds will keep seas low through Thursday. Winds increase to
around 15 knots ahead of a weak cold front on Friday. 1 to 3 feet
seas on Wednesday Thursday will increase to 2 to 4 feet as
southwesterly winds increase increase Friday. Winds and seas
decrease by the end of the weekend.

Fire weather
No hazardous fire weather conditions are expected over the next few
days.

Hydrology
Near to below normal rain chances the next several days will keep
hydrology concerns at a minimum through at least the weekend.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 75 94 74 91 75 10 40 10 20 20
panama city 79 87 77 87 78 10 10 20 30 20
dothan 76 92 74 91 75 10 30 10 20 10
albany 76 95 75 92 75 10 40 10 30 10
valdosta 75 94 74 90 74 30 40 20 20 10
cross city 77 90 76 88 76 30 40 20 20 10
apalachicola 79 89 77 88 78 10 20 10 20 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Wool
short term... Dobbs
long term... Dobbs
aviation... Wool
marine... Dobbs
fire weather... Scholl
hydrology... Dobbs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 47 mi69 min WSW 13 G 15 85°F 1013.6 hPa (-1.1)77°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 49 mi69 min WSW 7 G 11 85°F 1014.3 hPa (-0.8)76°F
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 50 mi69 min WNW 15 G 15 83°F 1014.5 hPa (-0.9)76°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL54 mi74 minSW 510.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain78°F77°F98%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4N10SW4W7S6SW5CalmE5SW3S5SW5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmS6SW4S5SW6SW8S7N12S5
1 day agoSE3SW11W10W7NW5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S3CalmNW4W9SW13
G18
2 days agoCalmNE6CalmSW3W8CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3--CalmS4N5N3E3

Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:19 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:40 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:57 PM EDT     1.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:37 PM EDT     2.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.90.60.711.62.12.62.932.82.52.11.81.51.41.51.82.22.52.82.82.62.3

Tide / Current Tables for Suwannee River entrance, Florida
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Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:45 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:18 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:27 PM EDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:01 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.70.70.81.31.82.32.72.92.82.62.21.81.51.31.31.61.92.22.52.62.52.32

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.