Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Hill, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 7:37PM Friday March 22, 2019 8:58 PM EDT (00:58 UTC) Moonrise 8:35PMMoonset 7:44AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
Synopsis..High pressure ridge will move east from the gulf of mexico tonight towards the florida peninsula followed by reinforcing high pressure building from the north tonight. The high pressure center will push east and off the carolina coast Sunday, followed by a cold frontal passage on Tuesday.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas 4 to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday march 22th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Hill, FL
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location: 29.22, -81.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221925
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
325 pm edt Fri mar 22 2019

Discussion
Tonight... An elongated area of high pressure, with centers northwest
of the great lakes and over north central gulf of mexico will be
moving east tonight, stretching towards the fl peninsula. At the
mid and upper levels, a ridge will also be moving eastward from
the central plains. Clear skies will continue tonight for east
central fl, with winds starting from the northwest at 5 to 10 mph
and will shift from the north late tonight while dropping to
around 5 mph. Temperatures will drop to the mid to upper 40s for
most of east central fl except for the orlando metro area and
coast, where they will only drop to near 50.

Sat... The high pressure, centered over kentucky and indiana on
sat morning, will stretch south towards south fl and the bahamas
by the end of the day. Weather conditions will be similar to
Friday, with clear skies and winds from the north to east.

Temperatures will start in the cool side and rise to the upper 70s
across the interior and treasure coast while topping at the mid
70s for the space coast northward. No precipitation expected.

Sunday Monday... Surface ridge moves off the southeast coast and
into the western atlantic with low level flow continuing to veer.

Ridge elongates with western extent to nose of ridge bisecting
central florida by Monday. Atmosphere moistens especially over
southern half of area with onshore flow but since it starts with
such a dry environment, period will remain precipitation free with
only an increase in mainly diurnal clouds on Monday. Expect
temperatures near seasonal norms, highs in upper 70s to low 80s on
Monday with cooler than normal lows returning to normal values
mainly in upper 50s to around 60.

Tuesday-Thursday... Broad upper trough over the eastern half of the
conus will support a weak short wave rotating through base of
trough through the mid miss valley and then offshore the
carolinas. Mid level wave supports some degree of surface
development offshore the carolina coast or south of there and
well offshore fl. Regardless some amount of moisture will back
into ecfl especially the coastal counties Tuesday Wednesday and
perhaps less so on Thursday. Lack of consistency between models as
well as run to run, so will make only very minimal changes to
previous forecast and to better align with surrounding wfos.

Temperatures through period a bit cooler than normal Wed Thu due
to cloud cover and showers.

Aviation
Vfr conditions continuing tonight into Saturday with clear skies
and winds shifting from the northwest tonight to northeast sat
morning and east by the end of the day.

Marine
Tonight-sat... Gentle to moderate breezes tonight from the northwest
will become northeast by Sat morning and drop to light and gentle in
the afternoon. Northeast swells that have been affecting our local
waters will continue to subside, improving our seas conditions for
the weekend. Seas 3 to 5 feet tonight and Sat morning will subside
to 3 to 4 feet by Sat afternoon.

Sunday Monday... Nose of western atlantic ridge will result in
southeast flow over southern waters to southwest over the north.

As surface wave gets organized east of area west flow can be
expected Tuesday becoming north and then northeast and increasing
as ridge builds in behind wave Wednesday. P-grad tightens
significantly by mid week and small craft adv will likely be
needed.

Fire weather
Sat (previous modified)... Similar weather conditions to today
Friday are forecast for sat, with a very dry airmass over the fl
peninsula. MAX temps reaching mid upper 70s, combined with
dewpoints in the 40s will cause rh values to plummet inland, with
min rh reaching 25-30 percent across far interior (mainly lake
county) and 30-35 percent west of a line from lake george to
sanford, orlando and st. Cloud. Winds however will be light ne,
5-10 mph.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 49 73 56 75 0 0 0 0
mco 51 79 55 79 0 0 0 0
mlb 50 75 61 76 0 0 0 0
vrb 49 77 59 77 0 0 0 0
lee 49 79 55 79 0 0 0 0
sfb 51 78 55 78 0 0 0 0
orl 53 79 57 79 0 0 0 0
fpr 47 77 59 77 0 0 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 4 pm edt this
afternoon for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line
20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-
brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Negron blottman combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 32 mi74 min WSW 1 67°F 1017 hPa37°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 46 mi59 min W 1.9 G 4.1 70°F 63°F1016.7 hPa (+1.2)35°F
RCYF1 49 mi41 min 67°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 60 mi41 min 68°F 67°F1018.1 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL3 mi66 minSW 510.00 miFair67°F42°F41%1016.9 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi2.1 hrsW 710.00 miFair73°F35°F25%1015.9 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi72 minSSE 410.00 miFair64°F51°F64%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--W10W9W9W6NW4NW4W4W4W4SW4SW3W4W8
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1 day agoNE7N6NE5NE3CalmCalmNW3W3NW4W3NW3NW4W7NW6W8W9W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:35 AM EDT     -0.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:45 AM EDT     4.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:56 PM EDT     -0.91 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:12 PM EDT     5.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.71.2-0-0.8-0.9-0.212.43.74.64.84.33.11.70.4-0.6-0.9-0.50.51.93.44.554.8

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.