Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Hill, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 5:30PM Friday November 16, 2018 11:49 AM EST (16:49 UTC) Moonrise 1:48PMMoonset 12:24AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1030 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
This afternoon..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1030 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis..Moderate to fresh northerly breezes will continue to produce poor to hazardous boating conditions today. Then as an area of high pressure tracks east along the gulf coast into the weekend, winds will veer onshore and weaken.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, november 15th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Hill, FL
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location: 29.22, -81.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 161507
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1007 am est Fri nov 16 2018

Discussion
Cooler and drier airmass across the area will keep temperatures
below normal and rain chances out of the forecast today. After a
colder start this morning, with temps in the 40s and 50s, highs
will only rise into the 60s over much of the area, except low 70s
along the treasure coast. These values are around 10-13 degrees
below normal for this time of year, and some of the coolest high
temperatures we have seen since march early april! Patches of
lingering stratus are already starting to break up over the
interior past sunrise, with sunny skies expected across much of
the region into the afternoon. However, the marine stratocu deck
that has developed in the cold air advection may continue to shift
onshore along the coast due to N NE low level winds, producing
increased cloud cover at times, especially beachside.

Aviation Any lingering stratus over the interior will break up
by late morning, withVFR conditions expected in the cool dry
airmass across the area. However, tempo ifr MVFR CIGS will be
possible at least through early afternoon along the coast due to
marine stratocu deck that will continue to shift slightly onshore.

Models indicate this cloud cover decreasing with time, withVFR
conditions prevailing later this afternoon into tonight.

Marine Northerly winds around 15-20 knots will continue through
much of the day, decreasing to 10-15 knots into tonight. Nwps
wave guidance still seems a little too high based off of buoy obs,
but there could still be some seas up to 7 feet over the gulf
stream, so will maintain SCA for now and will reevaluate for the
afternoon package on whether this can be dropped. Nearshore, small
craft should continue to exercise caution for seas up to 6 feet.

Fire weather
Dry airmass across the area will produce min rh values in the mid
30s to low 40s across the interior today. N NW winds will range
from around 10 mph across inland areas, and up to 10-15 mph along
the coast.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 63 48 73 59 0 0 0 10
mco 67 48 77 58 0 0 0 0
mlb 68 52 77 61 0 0 0 0
vrb 70 53 78 60 0 10 0 0
lee 64 44 75 56 0 0 0 0
sfb 65 48 76 58 0 0 0 0
orl 66 50 76 59 0 0 0 0
fpr 70 54 78 58 0 10 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter
inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian
inlet 20-60 nm.

Weitlich volkmer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 32 mi64 min NW 5.1 48°F 1023 hPa40°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 46 mi49 min N 8.9 G 11 47°F 69°F1022 hPa (+0.4)
RCYF1 49 mi31 min 69°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 60 mi31 min NNW 8 G 15 60°F 78°F1021.2 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL3 mi56 minN 710.00 miMostly Cloudy50°F44°F80%1021.5 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi59 minNNW 77.00 miPartly Cloudy48°F41°F76%1021.7 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi62 minNW 710.00 miOvercast52°F44°F77%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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W9NW8W9NW8NW6NW4NW3NW9NW7NW5NW7NW7NW9NW7W7NW10NW7NW7NW7N7N7
1 day agoN10N13NE12NE12NE8NE6NE9NE5NE6CalmCalmCalmS8S6S8S7S7S6W14
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2 days agoS7S11SW8S4S63E3SE3S4CalmCalmN10
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Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:24 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:04 AM EST     3.67 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:03 AM EST     1.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:47 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:20 PM EST     4.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:45 PM EST     1.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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33.53.73.53.12.621.51.41.51.92.63.23.84.143.632.31.61.21.11.31.9

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.