Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ormond Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 6:52PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 7:19 AM EDT (11:19 UTC) Moonrise 4:18AMMoonset 4:56PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 339 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Today..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 339 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis..A southward moving cool front will stall over the lower central peninsula later today. Behind the boundary, a surge of strong and gusty northeast winds and building seas will bring a return of hazardous boating conditions north of sebastian inlet today, and then all of the local waters from tonight through much of the remainder of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots will build hazardous seas to 9 to 10 feet today continuing above advisory levels through mid-late week. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday october 15th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ormond Beach, FL
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location: 29.29, -81.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 170852
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
445 am edt Tue oct 17 2017

Near term
Today through tonight... Strong cold front will continue pushing
southward today while north-northeast flow will bring cloudy
conditions to much of northeast fl. Scattered showers with isolated
embedded thunderstorms (early today) are expected over the southeast
zones. Much cooler with highs in the 70s... Roughly 15-20 degrees
cooler than Monday. Most precip will be moving south of the area
this afternoon. Still can't rule out isolated to scattered showers
for the northeast fl coastal areas due to low level convergence and
moisture flux off atlantic. For tonight... Skies become mostly clear
north zones and cooler drier airmass will filter south across
inland areas of SE ga and the suwannee river valley. On the
northeast fl coast... A threat of isolated to scattered showers will
remain through night... With best chances south of st augustine at
around 50-60 percent. Temps will actually be a little below normal
with lows around 50 degrees in alma and waycross. Otherwise... Lows
in the mid to upper 50s inland and near 70 along the coast in the
onshore flow.

Short term Wednesday through Friday ...

high pressure will continue to the north this period, with enhanced
onshore flow. A series of troughs are expected to develop in this
onshore flow pattern and move west into the forecast area this
period. As these troughs develop and move west gradient winds will
increase and showers will move ashore.

Temperatures will trend from near to slightly below normal to above
normal this period.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday ...

the center of the surface high will drift from the north to the
northeast of the region this period. With this pattern the flow will
shift from the northeast to east then southeast. The southeast flow
will lead to a warmer and more moist airmass with precipitation
chances increasing through the period. The long range models diverge
on timing of a cold front in the Monday into Tuesday time period.

The main difference in timing will affect the temperature trend late
in the period. At this point forecast will depict a cooler day for
Tuesday than Monday, due to the potential front and expected
precipitation.

Temperatures are expected to trend above normal for much of this
period, then near normal Tuesday.

Aviation
Ifr CIGS may continue at vqq through sunrise then lift to
MVFR. For remainder tafs, MVFR CIGS will persist for the better half
of today with CIGS slowly lifting by this afternoon and evening.

Brisk north northeast winds expected for coastal tafs with lower
winds inland around gnv and vqq. Some improvement expected by this
evening withVFR CIGS expected as some drier air filters in north-
northeast flow.

Marine Strong north-northeast winds expected through
Wednesday with SCA in place with gusts to gale force at times.

Winds seas will remain elevated through the remainder of the week
as moderate to strong high pressure remains north of the area.

Rip currents: high risk of rip currents due to strong
northeasterly winds and rough and building surf.

Coastal impacts Surf is expected to build to 5 to 7
feet and have raised high surf advisory with this forecast package.

Regarding water levels along the coast... Though we are only touching
action stage at a few sites at this time, the surge of winds and
continued onshore flow will enable some minor coastal flooding
potential by this evening. On the st johns river, currently seeing
minor flooding being reached at racy point and main street bridge
with the high tide. Given the moderate to strong northeast winds
these water levels will continue to be elevated and potentially
rise through Wednesday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 72 50 76 57 0 0 0 0
ssi 71 64 76 68 10 10 10 20
jax 73 63 77 66 20 20 30 10
sgj 75 69 79 70 40 50 40 30
gnv 75 62 80 64 20 20 10 10
ocf 76 65 82 65 30 20 20 10

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for coastal
duval-coastal nassau-flagler-st. Johns.

Coastal flood advisory until midnight edt Wednesday night for
clay-coastal duval-flagler-inland duval-putnam-st. Johns.

Ga... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for coastal
camden-coastal glynn.

Am... Small craft advisory until 9 pm edt Thursday for waters from
altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60 nm-
waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl from 20 to
60 nm-waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl from 20
to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Wednesday for coastal
waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler
beach fl out 20 nm.

Shashy struble


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 27 mi95 min NNE 15 76°F 1019 hPa72°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 41 mi80 min NNE 26 G 29 76°F 81°F1017.1 hPa (+1.1)
RCYF1 44 mi50 min 81°F
41117 49 mi58 min 81°F10 ft

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL3 mi30 minNNE 10 G 165.00 miFog/Mist73°F71°F94%1016.9 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL8 mi27 minNE 15 G 196.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist74°F73°F100%1016.9 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL17 mi33 minNNE 16 G 262.00 miHeavy Rain73°F71°F94%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from OMN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW3NW5CalmNE5NE7NE7NE7E7E7E7E3----------------------NE10
G16
1 day agoE6E7E10NE10
G16
E6E6E6E10E10E10E10E10----------------------Calm
2 days agoE6E7E10
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E13E11E7----------------------E5

Tide / Current Tables for Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida
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Ormond Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:39 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:58 AM EDT     0.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:06 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     0.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.60.40.30.1000.10.30.50.70.80.70.60.50.30.20.100.10.20.50.60.8

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Daytona Beach Shores
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 AM EDT     4.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:53 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:06 PM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.71.72.73.74.34.54.13.22.21.10.300.41.32.33.44.24.54.33.62.51.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.