Saturday, November18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 5:29PM Saturday November 18, 2017 12:25 PM EST (17:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:49AMMoonset 5:58PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 1020 Am Est Sat Nov 18 2017
Rest of today..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters becoming choppy late. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Inland waters choppy.
Monday..East northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters mostly smooth. A chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of rain.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1020 Am Est Sat Nov 18 2017
Synopsis.. High pressure centered off the carolina coast will move further eastward into the atlantic today. A cold front will move across our coastal waters on Sunday morning, accompanied by scattered showers. Southwesterly winds will strengthen ahead of the front this evening, followed by a surge of northwesterly winds behind the front on Sunday. High pressure will build eastward from the tennessee valley to the carolina coast by Monday evening, with winds becoming onshore by early on Monday morning. A warm front will approach our waters from the south on Tuesday and Tuesday night. The next cold front will then move across our waters on Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL
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location: 29.4, -81.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 181624
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
1124 am est Sat nov 18 2017

Much colder temperatures expected Sunday night inland...

Update
Late morning surface analysis depicts high pressure (1020
millibars) centered over the coastal carolinas. Strengthening low
pressure (992 millibars) was located near st. Louis and was moving
east-northeastward, dragging a cold front accelerating
southeastward through the southern plains states. Aloft... A
shortwave trough was progressing eastward through the mid-
mississippi valley, with shortwave ridging building into our
region from the western gulf of mexico. Fair skies prevail over
our area, with south-southwesterly low level flow developing and
rising heights aloft boosting temperatures into the lower 70s as
of 16z. A dry air mass prevails, with dewpoints generally in the
50s and expected to fall a few degrees this afternoon as strong
mixing commences.

Mostly sunny skies and the existing dry air mass will boost highs
well into the 70s this afternoon, with a few inland locations
reaching 80 degrees. Our local pressure gradient will continue to
gradually tighten through tonight, with south-southwesterly
surface winds increasing to 10-15 mph this afternoon, pinning the
atlantic seabreeze to the east of interstate 95 this afternoon.

Latest high resolution, short term guidance indicates that showers
associated with the quick moving cold front will not approach the
altamaha ocmulgee rivers until after midnight tonight.

Southwesterly surface winds will remain in the 10-15 mph range
over much of inland southeast georgia overnight, keeping lows
around 60. Winds will likely not increase until the predawn hours
over northeast and north central florida, with decoupling during
the early evening allowing lows to fall into the upper 50s inland,
while a breeze continues at the coast, where lower 60s are
forecast. A broken line of showers will likely progress across
much of inland southeast georgia and the northern suwannee valley
during the predawn hours on Sunday, with winds shifting to
northwesterly around sunrise for locations near the altamaha and
ocmulgee rivers.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail through at least 09z. A weak sea
breeze will develop towards 18z at sgj and ssi, with surface
winds shifting to southeasterly around 10 knots. Southwesterly
winds around 10 knots will prevail elsewhere through 00z. Low
level wind shear may develop at ssi towards 06z through around
10z, with southwesterly surface winds of 5-10 knots and west-
southwest winds increasing to around 40 knots. A shorter period of
low level wind shear is possible at the duval county terminals
between 10z-12z Sunday before surface winds strengthen above 10
knots. A brief period of MVFR ceilings and light showers is
expected at ssi after 10z and elsewhere after 12z.

Marine
High pressure will continue to shift further eastward off the
carolina coast this afternoon, with a weak sea breeze developing
in coastal locations. Our local pressure gradient will tighten
quickly this evening as a cold front races southeastward towards
our region. Southwesterly winds will reach caution levels early
this evening over all waters, with small craft advisory (sca) wind
speeds expected offshore after midnight. The cold front will move
quickly across our local waters during the morning hours on
Sunday, accompanied by a few showers. Winds will shift to
northwesterly behind the front, with caution conditions continuing
near shore and SCA level winds expected through late afternoon
offshore. High pressure will remain centered to the north of our
waters Sunday night through Tuesday, with winds gradually shifting
to north-northeasterly on Sunday evening, east-northeasterly on
Monday, easterly on Monday night and then east-southeasterly on
Tuesday. Caution level speeds and seas are expected offshore from
Sunday night through Tuesday, with onshore winds diminishing
below caution levels near shore by Monday morning. A warm front
will approach the northeast florida waters from the south on
Tuesday night, with winds subsiding but seas remaining at caution
levels offshore through midweek.

Rip currents: a lingering long period east-northeast swell will
keep a low-end moderate risk in place today at the northeast
florida beaches, with a low risk for southeast georgia.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 77 60 65 36 0 30 30 0
ssi 76 62 67 46 0 20 30 0
jax 80 59 72 44 0 20 40 0
sgj 78 61 73 49 0 10 30 0
gnv 79 58 73 39 0 10 40 0
ocf 80 59 75 41 0 10 30 0

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 3 am to 3 pm est Sunday for waters
from altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60
nm-waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl from 20
to 60 nm-waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl from
20 to 60 nm.

Nelson hess corless


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 19 mi100 min NE 1.9 72°F 1019 hPa60°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 33 mi25 min ENE 6 G 6 68°F 68°F1016.8 hPa (-1.3)
41117 41 mi33 min 71°F3 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL7 mi35 minN 010.00 miClear75°F57°F54%1016.6 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL15 mi32 minSSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds77°F57°F52%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
G15
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Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:34 AM EST     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:52 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:05 PM EST     1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:30 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.90.80.60.40.1-0-0.100.20.50.80.9110.80.60.40.1-0-00.10.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida
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Ormond Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:26 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:49 AM EST     0.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:04 PM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.60.50.30.10-0.1-00.10.30.60.70.80.70.60.50.30.20-00.10.20.40.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.