Monday, June18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Flagler Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 8:28PM Monday June 18, 2018 5:13 PM EDT (21:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:37AMMoonset 11:55PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 222 Pm Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..South southwest winds around 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 222 Pm Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Synopsis.. Atlantic high pressure ridge will settle over the waters through Wednesday then shift south of the waters later in the week as low pressure trough pushes into the carolinas.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flagler Beach, FL
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location: 29.48, -81.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 181919
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
319 pm edt Mon jun 18 2018

Hot and humid with scattered to numerous convection this week...

Near term tonight-Tuesday
Rest of this afternoon evening... Scattered to numerous storms will
continue to press inland with the atlc coast sea breeze as atlc
high pressure ridge builds in from the east. A few strong storms
with gusty winds frequent lightning locally heavy rainfall
expected mainly over inland areas as outflows merge later in the
day btwn the us301 and i-75 corridors. Storm motion will continue
to be slow and generally from north to south less than 10 mph.

Tonight... Lingering activity over the suwannee river valley still
expected to end by midnight with slightly drier airmass and
ridging aloft pushing in with the atlc ridge from the east. This
will allow for mostly clear skies to develop with low temps
falling into the lower middle 70s.

Tuesday... Atlc high pressure ridge settles across NE fl at the
surface with weak low pressure trof from the carolinas down
through south ga. The drier airmass with pwats at 1.5" or less
will linger along the coast and into the coastal waters while a
more moist airmass with pwats closer to 2 inches will linger over
inland areas with very light southerly steering flow, but will
not be strong enough to prevent atlc coast sea breeze from moving
well inland past the us 301 corridor to trigger scattered to
numerous showers storms over inland areas. Pops will range from
less than 10% at the coast in the drier airmass to 40-70% over
inland areas of NE fl SE ga. MAX temps will be able to push into
the 90-95 range inland prior to convection with upper 80s at the
coast. Heat indices into the 100-105 range.

Short term Tuesday night-Thursday
Tuesday night... A few scattered storms over far inland areas early
otherwise becoming mostly clear overnight with lows in the lower
to middle 70s.

Wed thu... High pressure ridge at the surface and aloft will
settle further south across the eastern gomex and fl peninsula
and will slowly shift the steering flow to a hotter swly direction
on Wed and W NW on thu. This will build hotter temps into the
region with MAX temps reaching the lower middle 90s inland and
near 90 at the coast as the atlc coast sea breeze will not be able
to push as far inland each day and this will set the stage for
peak heat indices around 105 degrees each afternoon prior to the
onset of scattered to numerous showers and storms... Still mainly
over inland areas but not as intense due to warmer mid level temps
of -5c -6c at 500 mb.

Long term Friday-Monday
Ridge at the surface and aloft will continue over or just south of
the region with a continued hot, but weak westerly steering flow.

Moist airmass with pwats near 2 inches will remain in place and
continue daily scattered numerous showers and storms but continued
warm temps aloft will keep intensity down with primary threat any
locally heavy rainfall with the slower moving storms. The continued
higher dewpoints in the mid upper 70s and MAX temps into the
lower to middle 90s will push heat indices to around 105 degrees
each day, still likely just below heat advisory criteria.

Aviation
Convection will move inland this afternoon. The best chance for
convection through early evening will be at kgnv, where restrictions
along with gusty winds are anticipated. Convection will dissipate by
midnight. Convection will initiate over western counties late
Tuesday morning, then spread east through the afternoon.

Marine
Atlantic high pressure ridge will extend across the local waters
into Wednesday before shifting south of the waters as low pressure
trough develops over the carolinas. SE to S flow at 10-15 knots
with local sea breezes expected through Wednesday then flow
becomes more offshore out of the SW through the end of the week.

No headlines are expected through the period but shower and
thunderstorm activity will increase towards the end of the week
as more storms are able to push offshore.

Rip currents: marginal moderate risk will continue through Tuesday
with local SE sea breeze along the coast and surf breakers close
to 2 feet.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 72 93 73 94 0 30 20 30
ssi 76 87 76 91 0 0 0 30
jax 72 93 74 94 0 20 10 40
sgj 73 89 73 92 0 0 0 20
gnv 72 93 73 93 20 50 20 30
ocf 72 93 72 93 20 30 10 30

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Hess 23 corless


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 13 mi88 min ESE 6 85°F 1021 hPa77°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 27 mi73 min SE 12 G 14 81°F 78°F1019.2 hPa (-1.9)
RCYF1 31 mi43 min 93°F
41117 36 mi51 min 84°F2 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi23 minESE 1010.00 mi84°F75°F74%1018.6 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL21 mi20 minESE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F75°F75%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
G15
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NW10NW10NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
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Mon -- 12:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:12 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:18 PM EDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.50.711.11.21.10.90.60.30.100.10.30.50.70.9110.90.70.50.3

Tide / Current Tables for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Bings Landing
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Mon -- 12:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:37 AM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:14 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:58 PM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:17 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.511.31.51.51.310.70.3-0-0.2-0.20.10.50.811.110.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.