Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Taylor Lake Village, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:13PM Saturday May 25, 2019 9:54 PM CDT (02:54 UTC) Moonrise 12:18AMMoonset 11:17AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 933 Pm Cdt Sat May 25 2019
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Isolated sprinkles early in the evening.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Tuesday..South winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 933 Pm Cdt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis for high island to matagorda ship channel out 60 nm.. Generally moderate onshore winds and elevated seas will persist through the weekend and on into the first half of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylor Lake Village, TX
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location: 29.56, -95.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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Fxus64 khgx 252325
afdhgx
area forecast discussion
national weather service houston galveston tx
625 pm cdt Sat may 25 2019

Aviation [00z TAF issuance]
Southerly winds should decouple some tonight under a 20-25 knot
low level jet from the se. Ceilings should stay mainlyVFR except
there may be some brief periods of MVFR for kcll kuts and kcxo for
the morning. Tomorrow should be another repeat as ceilings
increase and scatter. Winds should increase above 10kts again
during the day.

Overpeck

Prev discussion issued 340 pm cdt Sat may 25 2019
Discussion
Overall very warm conditions will persist through the holiday
weekend will little more than a light shower some spots with
afternoon heating during the day... And possibly streaming in off
the gulf during the night. SE tx on western flank of ridging at
surface and aloft. Ridging aloft starts to break down Monday as
even more so mid week as upper trough over west start to shift
eastward. At surface onshore flow continues to pump in moisture
from the gulf. A front drops down across north texas on
Wednesday... Focussing thunderstorms over that area. How far south
front and convection get middle and late next week still somewhat
of a question mark... But will certainly have increasing rain
chances Tuesday through Thursday with front closer by and
weakening cap with less of that upper ridge.

Short term [tonight through Monday night]
Another warm humid night on tap with mainly dry conditions.

Modest boundary flow should again inhibit fog formation tonight
but will again see stratus development. Cant rule out a light few
showers early evening left over from daytime heating then
streaming off the gulf but coverage low... Warranting no more than
a 10 percent pop for measurable precipitation. Generally more of
the same for the rest of the holiday weekend... Warm and
humid... Few light showers or sprinkles with afternoon heating and
streaming in off gulf at night. Gusty winds and enhanced
surf... Rip current risk at the shore.

Long term [Tuesday through Saturday]
Tuesday through Thursday... Upper ridge breaks down... Flow becomes
flatter from the sw. Short wave energy... Better dynamics stay
mostly NW of the forecast area but with weakening upper ridge and
general lift downstream of upper trough... Along with less
convective inhibition... Would expect increasing thunderstorm
chances Tuesday through Thursday especially NW counties. Surface
front pushing through N tx Wednesday will help focus convection
there. As mentioned not clear how far south this front will get
into our forecast area but outflows from that convection could
also help focus storms.

Friday and Saturday... Farily zonal flow... Some riding building in
from the se. Some thunderstorm chances, more diurnally driven but
also potential for capping ESP southern zones. 18

Marine
Winds and seas have come down just enough to lower the
caution flags, but they are expected to rise a bit again
tonight so will keep them up for now. We might get a
chance to take them out again some time around Sunday night
and or Monday, but they are expected to rise again Monday
night and Tuesday. We'll likely be playing this game into
the middle of the upcoming week.

Despite the slightly lower southeast winds, the coastal flood
advisory will continue for now as the onshore fetch persists.

Minor coastal flooding with wave run-up remain a possibility
(especially during high tides) for gulf facing locations.

Additionally, the surf will remain elevated to rough at times...

with strong rip currents a concern given the increase in beach
goers for the ongoing holiday weekend. 42

Preliminary point temps pops
College station (cll) 72 90 72 90 74 10 0 0 10 10
houston (iah) 73 90 74 90 76 10 0 10 10 10
galveston (gls) 77 83 78 83 79 10 0 10 10 10

Hgx watches warnings advisories
Tx... None.

Gm... Small craft should exercise caution through Sunday morning for
the following zones: coastal waters from freeport to
matagorda ship channel tx out 20 nm... Coastal waters from
high island to freeport tx out 20 nm... Waters from freeport
to matagorda ship channel tx from 20 to 60 nm... Waters from
high island to freeport tx from 20 to 60 nm.

Discussion...

near term... 18
short term... 18
long term... 18
aviation... Overpeck
marine... 42
fire weather... 42


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 10 mi42 min SE 9.9 G 14 80°F 82°F1017.2 hPa
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 10 mi42 min SSE 14 G 17 80°F 84°F1016.6 hPa
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 15 mi42 min SE 6 G 8.9 80°F 83°F1016.4 hPa
GRRT2 20 mi42 min SSE 8.9 G 13 80°F 84°F1016.6 hPa
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 23 mi42 min SSE 16 G 18 84°F 83°F1016.4 hPa
GTOT2 23 mi42 min SE 5.1 G 9.9 80°F 81°F1017.2 hPa
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 30 mi42 min SSE 11 G 15 80°F 83°F1017.6 hPa
LUIT2 34 mi36 min SE 11 G 15 80°F 85°F1017.1 hPa
HIST2 36 mi42 min SSE 5.1 G 6 79°F 82°F1017.1 hPa
KXIH 39 mi39 min SE 17 79°F 73°F
42035 - GALVESTON 22NM East of Galveston, TX 42 mi34 min SE 14 G 18 80°F 81°F1018.1 hPa77°F
FCGT2 - 8772447 - USCG Freeport, TX 44 mi42 min SE 12 G 17 82°F1017.5 hPa
FPST2 45 mi36 min ESE 18 G 19 82°F1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houston / Ellington, TX7 mi64 minSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F71°F79%1016.6 hPa
Houston, Pearland Regional Airport, TX10 mi61 minSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F73°F77%1017.5 hPa
Houston, Houston Hobby Airport, TX13 mi61 minSSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F72°F74%1017.4 hPa
John Dunn Helistop, TX20 mi59 minVar 310.00 miFair81°F73°F79%1016.9 hPa
Houston Southwest Airport, TX22 mi59 minSE 410.00 miFair77°F73°F88%1017.3 hPa
Galveston, Scholes Field, TX23 mi62 minSE 1210.00 miOvercast79°F73°F85%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from EFD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE7SE6SE8SE5SE6SE4CalmE3E3SE5SE9SE11SE12SE8SE11--SE11
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1 day agoSE7SE8SE6SE9SE5SE4SE5E6SE6SE6SE6SE11SE13S13--SE11--SE13SE13
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2 days agoSE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:18 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:22 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:00 AM CDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:17 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:46 PM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:11 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.60.50.50.40.30.20.10-0-0-00.10.20.30.50.60.70.70.70.70.70.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for Bolivar Roads, Texas Current
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Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:16 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:48 AM CDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:22 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:17 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:41 AM CDT     1.65 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 12:16 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:03 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:10 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:09 PM CDT     -0.98 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.2-1.3-1.4-1.4-1.3-1.1-0.7-0.20.411.41.61.61.51.20.80.40-0.4-0.7-0.9-1-1-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Houston/Galveston, TX (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Houston/Galveston, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.