Monday, May21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beverly Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:15PM Monday May 21, 2018 11:09 AM EDT (15:09 UTC) Moonrise 11:44AMMoonset 12:29AM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 929 Am Edt Mon May 21 2018
Rest of today..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 929 Am Edt Mon May 21 2018
Synopsis.. Bermuda ridging will slowly sink southward while gradually weakening this week, keeping a general south southeast wind flow in place during the next several days. An inverted surface trough extending from the florida big bend into the eastern gulf of mexico will move northwestward and will dissipate by midweek. Waves of showers and a few Thunderstorms will continue to move northward over area waters through midweek. Low pressure will then develop near mexico's yucatan peninsula by midweek, with this low moving slowly northward towards the central or eastern gulf of mexico by Friday. The national hurricane center has given this system a 2 in 10 or 20 percent chance of development over the next 5 days.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly Beach, FL
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location: 29.58, -81.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 211346
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
946 am edt Mon may 21 2018

Update
A surface low pressure area is moving inland along the florida
panhandle with the bermuda ridge extending inland into georgia.

Between the two circulations there is a low level southeasterly
fetch of moisture with pwats of 1.75-2.25 inches that extends from
near CAPE canaveral northwest to the big bend and that is the
main axis for precipitation this morning. Later in the day, if we
can get enough daytime heating, both and atlantic and gulf sea
breeze fronts try to organize and both run into this moisture
enhancing precipitation along both coasts early this afternoon. By
evening the convergence zone is in a pretty normal location,
along the i-75 corridor, but with enhanced tropical moisture
allowing for some brief but intense tropical downpours.

Aviation
The main focus for precipitation early in the day will remain
near kgnv and ksgj but as we heat up and the moisture plume
continues to stream over the areas the jacksonville metro area
will light up after 18 utc. Will indicate MVFR conditions but keep
thunder out of the forecast at this time. Brief tropical
downpours could briefly limit visibility below 1 statue mile (sm) at
some fields but will indicate higher tempo conditions in the
tafs. Just be aware that any visibility restrictions below 3 sm
will be very brief.

Marine
Small craft will need to exercise caution on all waters today, as
east-southeasterly winds strengthen to 15-20 knots and seas build
to 4-6 feet. Our local pressure gradient will begin to gradually
loosen overnight as bermuda ridging slowly sinks southward while
gradually weakening and an inverted surface trough extending from
the florida big bend into the eastern gulf of mexico moves slowly
northwestward. Southeasterly winds should remain just below
caution levels overnight, but seas in the offshore waters will
remain at caution levels of 4-6 feet through Tuesday night, while
near shore seas subside somewhat to 3-5 feet. Waves of showers and
a few thunderstorms will continue to move northward over area
waters through midweek. Low pressure will then develop near
mexico's yucatan peninsula by midweek, with this low moving slowly
northward towards the central or eastern gulf of mexico by
Friday. The national hurricane center is giving this system a 20
percent chance of development over the eastern or central gulf of
mexico during the next five days. A south-southeasterly wind
regime is expected to continue from midweek into the weekend, with
winds and seas below caution levels from Wednesday through at
least Friday.

Rip currents: a high-end moderate risk is expected today at area
beaches due to strengthening east-southeasterly winds and an 8-9
second period southeasterly swell. We will likely consult with
northeast florida lifeguards this morning to determine whether a
high risk is warranted for the rest of the day. A moderate risk
will continue at area beaches for most of this week as onshore
winds prevail.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 82 69 85 67 50 40 60 20
ssi 80 71 80 71 30 50 60 10
jax 80 71 83 68 60 50 60 10
sgj 79 72 81 69 70 50 50 10
gnv 82 70 85 68 60 60 70 30
ocf 82 69 85 68 60 40 70 30

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Sandrik


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 7 mi85 min ESE 4.1 75°F 1022 hPa74°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 20 mi70 min SE 5.1 G 5.1 75°F 75°F1020.3 hPa (+1.1)
RCYF1 26 mi52 min 78°F
41117 29 mi48 min 75°F4 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL19 mi20 minESE 63.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist77°F73°F89%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Bings Landing
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:28 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:14 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:32 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:50 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
00.50.91.21.41.41.310.70.40.1-0.2-0.20.10.40.711.110.80.50.30-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:44 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:31 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:50 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.20.40.70.911.110.90.70.40.20.10.10.20.40.70.8110.90.70.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.