Saturday, July22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beverly Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:24PM Saturday July 22, 2017 4:51 PM EDT (20:51 UTC) Moonrise 4:45AMMoonset 6:48PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 316 Pm Edt Sat Jul 22 2017
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots, becoming southeast 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters becoming a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots, becoming southeast 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters becoming a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters becoming a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters becoming a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters becoming a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 316 Pm Edt Sat Jul 22 2017
Synopsis.. The axis of atlantic ridging will remain positioned over the florida peninsula through midweek. A trough of low pressure will push southeastward into the georgia waters by late Tuesday, and will then stall and weaken during the mid to late portions of next week. This weather pattern will result in an offshore wind pattern, with the atlantic sea breeze developing during the early to mid afternoon hours in the near shore waters each day.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beverly Beach, FL
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location: 29.58, -81.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 222000
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
400 pm edt Sat jul 22 2017

Localized flooding along the i-95 corridor late this afternoon
in northeast florida...

Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms possible on Sunday
afternoon...

Currently
Afternoon surface analysis depicts a weak surface trough
persisting along the northern gulf coast and florida panhandle.

Meanwhile, the axis of atlantic ridging (1023 millibars) extends
across south florida. Aloft... Ridging is centered over the ozarks
and the southwestern atlantic, with one upper level low spinning
westward along the upper texas coast and another upper low just
east of the bahamas moving northward. The surface trough along
the gulf coast aided in the development of scattered to numerous
showers and embedded thunderstorms along the big bend and nature
coasts during the predawn and early morning hours, and
thunderstorms developed along an outflow boundary from this
morning convection and progressed northeastward towards the i-95
corridor in northeast florida early this afternoon. Lingering dry
air in the mid levels have enhanced the downburst potential, with
a few gusts of 40-50 mph being reported in heavier activity along
the i-95 corridor thus far. A dry and slightly more stable air
mass prevails over much of southeast georgia, which is inhibiting
convective development. Highs in southeast georgia have climbed
into the low to mid 90s, while temperatures have cooled into the
70s over nearly all of northeast and north central florida due to
the early start to convection.

Near term this afternoon through Sunday
A few strong wind gusts will be possible through around 5 pm in
northeast florida and the okefenokee swamp, but localized urban
flooding seems to be a bigger threat in the near term as
convection has met the atlantic coast sea breeze along the i-95
corridor in northeast florida. This collision is resulting in slow
storm motion with excessive rainfall rates along coastal st.

Johns and much of duval and nassau counties. Expect activity to
diminish after 5 pm in these areas, with convection struggling to
reach very far past the okefenokee swamp in southeast georgia
through early evening due to a prevailing dry and subsident air
mass. Some activity may propagate northward along the i-95
corridor in southeast georgia, but only isolated to widely
scattered coverage is expected through the early evening hours.

Debris clouds will linger through this evening before thinning
overnight across northeast and north central florida, with
leftover anvil rainfall decreasing by sunset for most locations.

Lows tonight will generally fall to the low mid 70s for most
locales, except upper 70s along the southeast georgia coast.

Convection associated with the surface trough will begin to
redevelop along the big bend and nature coasts overnight, with
scattered convection progressing northeastward into the western
suwannee valley during the predawn and early morning hours on
Sunday, mainly from lake city gainesville ocala and points
westward.

The deep-layered atlantic ridge will continue to build westward
into the northeast gulf of mexico on Sunday, keeping a deep
southwesterly flow pattern in place area-wide. Deep layered
moisture will pivot northward into southeast georgia, setting the
stage for another active day of convection, mainly during the mid
to late afternoon hours as activity progresses northeastward from
the suwannee valley. Convection will once again collide with a
pinned atlantic coast sea breeze along the i-95 corridor, creating
the potential for wet microbursts, frequent lightning and
localized flooding along the interstate 95 corridor. Outflow
boundaries will also touch off scattered to numerous thunderstorms
over southeast georgia during the mid afternoon hours as most
activity along the i-95 corridor progresses into the coastal
waters by late afternoon or early evening. An early start to
convection will keep highs in the upper 80s near 90 in the
suwannee valley, with low to mid 90s expected elsewhere, including
the coast due to a delayed start to the atlantic sea breeze.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
Deep ridge will be located across S fl while a weak mid level
short wave off the SE ga coast lifts ne. A very moist wsw flow
will remain over SE ga NE fl. This pattern will produce scattered
to numerous storms near the gulf coast during the morning
hours... Reaching the east coast and increasing by mid-late
afternoon. Temperatures and rain chances will be near average.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
Ridge across S fl will gradually weaken with troughing over north
ga shifting S into SE ga NE fl by the weekend. Deep moisture will
remain over the area through the period with a westerly steering
flow. Relatively warm temperatures aloft and a slow storm motion
will result in areas of locally heavy rainfall being the main
threat each afternoon evening. Temperatures and pops will be at or
a little above average.

Aviation
Periods of ifr visibilities will be possible through 21z at the
duval county terminals and sgj as thunderstorms impact these
terminals.VFR conditions with lingering showers are expected
through around 22z at gnv. Thunderstorms may approach the ssi
terminal after 22z, but confidence remains too low to include
anything other than vcts at this time.VFR conditions will prevail
at all terminals by 00z, with showers and thunderstorms redeveloping
over the northeast gulf waters and pushing into the suwannee
valley during the predawn hours on Sunday. Sub-vfr conditions will
be possible at gnv towards 12z Sunday, with showers and
thunderstorms expected to impact the rest of the terminals after
15z.

Marine
The axis of atlantic surface ridging will remain positioned over
the florida peninsula during the next several days, keeping an
offshore wind regime in place through at least midweek. The
atlantic sea breeze will develop over the near shore waters early
this afternoon, and will be slow to push across the i-95 corridor
during the mid-afternoon. Thunderstorm activity will push into
the coastal waters during the late afternoon and early evening
hours today and again on Sunday afternoon and evening, with
activity possibly lingering in the offshore waters overnight. A
surface trough will begin to push towards the georgia coastal
waters early next week, and our local pressure gradient will
tighten slightly, with periods of scec conditions (southwest winds
of 15-20 knots) expected beginning on Sunday evening and likely
repeating each evening through midweek, mainly in the offshore
waters.

Rip currents: a long period easterly ocean swell will persist
through Sunday, keeping a low-end moderate risk in place at area
beaches.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 75 93 74 92 30 50 20 60
ssi 78 91 77 90 20 50 20 50
jax 75 91 75 92 20 60 20 50
sgj 75 91 74 90 20 60 20 40
gnv 74 89 72 90 40 60 20 50
ocf 74 89 73 90 40 50 30 50

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Nelson zibura peterson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 7 mi67 min SSW 2.9 1019 hPa
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 20 mi52 min NNW 5.1 G 6 74°F 82°F1018.2 hPa (-0.0)74°F
RCYF1 26 mi52 min 88°F
41117 29 mi60 min 83°F2 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL19 mi62 minN 03.00 miThunderstorm Rain73°F73°F100%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Bings Landing
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:07 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:32 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:02 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:26 PM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.310.60.200.10.50.91.21.41.41.20.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.10.30.81.31.71.9

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:39 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:11 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:03 PM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:19 PM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.21.10.90.60.30.1-000.20.50.70.9110.80.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.20.10.40.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.