Monday, September24, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
East Palatka, FL

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9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 7:19PM Monday September 24, 2018 1:53 PM EDT (17:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:28PMMoonset 5:42AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 1006 Am Edt Mon Sep 24 2018
Rest of today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds 15 knots, decreasing to around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters mostly smooth.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters smooth. A chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1006 Am Edt Mon Sep 24 2018
Synopsis.. Weak low pressure centered about 500 miles east of jacksonville late this morning will move northwestward and will approach the north carolina outer banks by late Tuesday and early Wednesday. Atlantic ridging will build to the south of our waters towards midweek as a frontal boundary remains stalled well to the northwest of our region, resulting in a brief period of prevailing offshore winds. High pressure will then build over the carolinas this weekend, with onshore winds resuming by the upcoming weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Palatka CDP, FL
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location: 29.71, -81.62     debug

Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 241518
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
1118 am edt Mon sep 24 2018

Late morning surface analysis depicts weak low pressure (1012
millibars) centered about 500 miles to the east of jacksonville.

Meanwhile, a backdoor frontal boundary was stalled along the
savannah river valley, with strong high pressure (1039 millibars)
was centered over southern quebec and maine. Aloft... Deep-layered
ridging centered near bermuda is extending its axis westward
across the southeastern states, deflecting weak shortwave energy
northeastward through the tennessee and ohio valleys. Goes-east
derived total precipitable water imagery depicts a pocket of
enhanced pwat values (1.7-1.9 inches) progressing westward across
our region this morning. Isolated showers that moved onshore along
the st. Johns and flagler county coasts this morning are
increasing in coverage and intensity as they progress across the
st. Johns river basin, while isolated showers were developing
elsewhere along the interstate 95 corridor. A healthy cumulus
field was developing per morning visible satellite imagery across
much of our region within this moist air mass, with temperatures
as of 15z rising into the mid 80s, with dewpoint temperatures
generally in the mid 70s.

Scattered convection is expected to continue moving westward
across the u.S. Highway 301 corridor early this afternoon, with
activity congregating along the i-75 corridor by late afternoon.

Short-term, high resolution guidance indicates that additional
low-topped coastal showers will be possible late this afternoon
through around sunset over northeast florida in advance of the
next pocket of drier air (pwats of 1.1-1.3 inches) that will
move onshore overnight. Highs will again reach around or just
above 90 degrees at inland locations this afternoon before
convection develops, with breezy easterly winds keeping coastal
highs in the muggy mid to upper 80s. Coastal shower activity
should be limited overnight as the drier pocket of air gradually
spreads over our region from east to west, with some potential for
patchy fog formation at inland locations during the predawn and
early morning hours on Tuesday. Lows will range from the lower 70s
inland to the upper 70s at area beaches.

Periods of MVFR ceilings between 2000-2500 feet are expected through
around 18z at the regional terminals. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms could impact the inland terminals through around
sunset, where confidence was high enough for a tempo group at vqq
and gnv to account for brief periods of sub-vfr conditions from
around 18z-24z. Easterly surface winds will remain sustained at
10-15 knots with occasionally higher gusts at the coastal
terminals through sunset.

A weak low pressure center was positioned about 500 miles to the
east of mayport late this morning. This feature will move
northwestward over the gulf stream waters adjacent to the carolina
coast and then will turn northward while weakening near the outer
banks on Wednesday. An east-northeasterly long period ocean swell
will keep combined seas elevated in the 3-5 foot range throughout
our waters today, with near shore seas decreasing slightly
overnight. The axis of atlantic ridging will then build to the
south of our waters by midweek, resulting in a southerly wind
surge up to around 15 knots on Wednesday evening. Our local
pressure gradient will loosen later this week as a frontal
boundary remains stalled well to the northwest of our region, with
a persistent swell keeping seas in the 3-5 foot range offshore.

Otherwise, light offshore winds will prevail for a brief period
later this week, followed by onshore winds resuming during the
upcoming weekend as high pressure builds over the carolinas.

Rip currents: jacksonville beach life guards report very choppy
conditions continuing this morning with numerous rip current
sightings despite fairly low surf heights. A long period ocean
swell of 11-12 seconds will keep a high risk in place at the
northeast florida beaches today, with a moderate risk continuing
at the southeast georgia beaches.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 90 72 91 72 30 10 10 10
ssi 86 77 87 76 20 10 10 10
jax 88 73 90 73 50 10 10 10
sgj 87 77 88 75 50 10 10 10
gnv 90 72 92 73 50 10 30 10
ocf 90 73 92 73 50 20 40 20

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
duval-coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Nelson 23 corless

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RCYF1 7 mi35 min 86°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 21 mi68 min E 8 86°F 1020 hPa76°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 21 mi53 min E 13 G 15 83°F 83°F1019.3 hPa (+0.3)
LTJF1 47 mi35 min 86°F 74°F
DMSF1 47 mi35 min 86°F
BLIF1 47 mi35 min 87°F 1019.9 hPa77°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 49 mi35 min 85°F 85°F1019.4 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL24 mi57 minE 1410.00 miA Few Clouds87°F75°F70%1019 hPa

Wind History from SGJ (wind in knots)
Last 24hrE7E7E9E9E8E9E11E10E8E9E8E9E9E11--E10E9E10E10E13E12E9E9E14
1 day agoE12E11E13E12E11E11E8E9E10E7--SE9--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE7E7SE9E9E8
2 days agoE11E11E10E10E11E11E10E9E9E9SE6SE5NW3CalmNW4NW4N5CalmNW3N5E9E9E9NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Palatka, St. Johns River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for St. Johns River at Racy Point, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.