Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:44PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:10 AM EDT (07:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:31AMMoonset 11:35PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 301 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Light and variable winds becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night and Sunday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 301 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis..Winds and seas will be at generally low summertime levels through the next several days. Chances of showers and Thunderstorms are expected each day.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 280650
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
250 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Near term [through today]
Deep layer ridging will strengthen across the region today, pushing
a weak frontal boundary northwest out of the region under the
southeasterly low-level flow regime around the ridge periphery. The
transition to southeasterly steering flow will favor a wetter
seabreeze regime that presses a bit farther inland through the
afternoon early evening. The potential for wet microbursts remains
low due to rather saturated sounding profiles. Highs should climb
into the upper 80s, and possibly near 90s across portions of south-
central georgia. Heat indices will make it feel like highs are in
the middle 90s.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
Deep layer moisture will increase tonight through Thursday and
continue across the region through Friday. Pwat values are forecast
to be over 2.0" throughout the period and as high as 2.2" Thursday
afternoon. This combined with daytime heating and sea breeze
interaction will lead to numerous showers and thunderstorms each
afternoon. Pops Thursday will mostly be in the likely category (60-
70%) and 50-60% on Friday. Temps Thursday will be held below
seasonal levels (lower 80s west to mid and upper 80s elsewhere) and
near normal Friday (around 90). Lows in the lower to mid 70s both
nights.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
As an upper level trough sweeps eastward from the central plains,
the deep moisture over the region will lift off to the northeast
over the weekend. While the airmass will be somewhat drier, it will
still be moist enough for our typical afternoon summertime
thunderstorms with pops around 40-50% with near seasonal
temperatures.

Aviation [through 06z Thursday]
MVFR visibilities are forecast to impact vld and possibly aby and
tlh this morning, though the ragged mid-level cloud deck is keeping
any vis restrictions quite patchy thus far. By 12z all sites should
beVFR and remain that way outside of storms through the taf. The
best chance for storms and associated ifr MVFR restrictions will be
at ecp, tlh, and vld later this afternoon.

Marine
Winds and seas will be at generally low summertime levels through
the next several days. Chances of showers and thunderstorms are
expected each day.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected over the next several days,
with above average rain chances forecast. Dispersion indices are
expected to be a bit low in and around areas where rain is more
widespread as mixing heights will be capped.

Hydrology
The choctawhatchee river at bruce will crest on Wednesday just
below flood stage. All other rives are well below flood stage.

Over the next couple of days, scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected, especially in the afternoon and
evening. Localized rainfall amounts could briefly cause some minor
flooding in urbanized areas, however, no significant flooding is
anticipated through the next few days.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 87 74 87 73 89 70 40 70 30 60
panama city 84 76 83 76 86 50 50 70 30 50
dothan 87 73 82 72 86 50 30 70 40 60
albany 88 73 85 73 87 30 30 70 40 60
valdosta 86 73 88 72 89 50 30 70 30 60
cross city 89 73 89 73 90 70 40 60 20 50
apalachicola 85 77 84 76 86 50 40 60 20 40

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Harrigan
short term... Barry
long term... Barry
aviation... Harrigan
marine... Barry
fire weather... Harrigan
hydrology... Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 12 mi86 min NNE 2.9 74°F 74°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi41 min NNE 5.1 G 6 75°F 82°F1016.2 hPa
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi77 min ESE 5.1 G 8.9 77°F 1016.3 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi71 min E 9.9 G 12 80°F 1016.8 hPa (+0.6)73°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi18 minNE 410.00 miFair74°F73°F100%1016 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7NW6SW8NW9NW6N3CalmW10N5--SE7CalmNE3N4NE5NE6NE5NE4
1 day agoCalmN3NE4NE5NE3N4NE4S43S6S7W6SW7W8S6W5NE3NE4NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW4W4W4W4Calm4SW6SW7SW9S12SW11S12S11SW11N8
G16
NW5W5N3NE3CalmN3N5N3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:56 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:05 AM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:03 PM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:11 PM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0-0.100.30.711.41.61.61.61.51.41.31.41.61.82.12.32.42.32.11.71.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Apalachee Bay, St. James Island, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:03 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:49 AM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:11 PM EDT     1.53 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:46 PM EDT     2.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.100.411.72.22.52.62.52.21.91.61.51.61.82.12.52.72.82.62.21.71.10.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.