Saturday, December16, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 5:40PM Saturday December 16, 2017 1:49 PM EST (18:49 UTC) Moonrise 5:52AMMoonset 4:51PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1158 Am Est Sat Dec 16 2017
Rest of today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Monday..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1158 Am Est Sat Dec 16 2017
Synopsis..Moderate winds and seas will be the norm this weekend with high pressure dominating. Conditions become a little more unsettled next week with the approach of a cold front. Showers and isolated Thunderstorms are possible Sunday night through much of the upcoming work week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 161736
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
1236 pm est Sat dec 16 2017

Aviation [through 18z Sunday]
Vfr conditions with a cig developing around 5k ft overnight or
Sunday morning at the western terminals (dhn, ecp). Winds will
mostly be light and variable.

Prev discussion [602 am est]
Near term [through today]
Zonal flow aloft will give way to deep layer shortwave ridging
today, as the upper low currently centered over the gulf of
california gets kicked eastward today by a kicker trough currently
digging southward off of the central southern california coast. The
area of high pressure at the surface located to the west will slide
eastward through the day in response to the aforementioned system
being pushed eastward, which will be critical in priming the
atmosphere for shower and isolated thunderstorm chances late weekend
into next week. As for today's forecast, dry conditions are expected
with continued cloudy conditions, as mid and upper level subtropical
moisture will continue to stream over the area ahead of the
approaching upper low. As a result, afternoon high temperatures will
be similar to yesterday, with low to mid 60s across the florida
panhandle extreme southern georgia, and upper 50s elsewhere.

Short term [tonight through Monday]
Surface high pressure will be centered across the carolinas to
start this period with a weakening shortwave trough moving
northeast across west texas. This latter feature quickly moves
northeastward as a mid level ridge moves westward across the
bahamas. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop across
east texas and the ARKLATEX region Sunday morning then slowly work
eastward Sunday afternoon. At the same time, strong WAA will
commence with dewpoints surging some 20 degrees between Saturday
night through Sunday night and a resultant warming trend through
the weekend. By Sunday night, isentropic upglide will lead to
shower and thunderstorm chances increasing, especially across the
western half (apalachicola to albany westward) and northern half
(southeast alabama and southwest georgia).

Long term [Monday night through Saturday]
Periods of unsettled weather will continue into the extended
forecast. WAA with associated showers and isolated thunderstorms
will continue on the western periphery of low mid ridging through
Tuesday. On Wednesday, vorticity consolidates across the texas big
bend and races eastward while deamplifying and supporting a
surface frontal system that moves across the area Wednesday into
Wednesday night. Thursday appears dry but will carry slight chance
pops until models get in better agreement. Another front appears
to be on tap for Friday night and Saturday. Overrunning rain
becomes widespread across texas louisiana which will spread
across the southeast us Friday night and Saturday.

Marine
Moderate winds and seas will be the norm this weekend with high
pressure dominating. Conditions become a little more unsettled
next week with the approach of a cold front. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms are possible Sunday night through much of the
upcoming work week.

Fire weather
Dry conditions will prevail today, with min rhs in the low 30s. It
appears as if transport winds will be strong enough to keep
dispersions from being critically low this afternoon. Expect a
moistening trend to begin tonight, with periods of wetting rains
beginning across the area Sunday through much of next week.

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected as a result.

Hydrology
The next chance for rainfall will begin Sunday night and last
through much of the next work week. Periods of rainfall and
isolated thunderstorms are possible with average rainfall amounts
of 1-3 inches. The heaviest of these amounts will be along and
north of a panama city to albany line with lower amounts south of
this area. Given the recent dry conditions, widespread flooding is
not expected.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 45 71 59 75 61 0 10 30 20 20
panama city 51 71 63 74 64 0 20 50 20 30
dothan 45 70 60 73 61 0 20 60 40 30
albany 43 70 57 72 60 0 10 50 40 30
valdosta 43 71 57 75 61 0 10 20 30 20
cross city 46 75 57 77 58 0 10 10 10 10
apalachicola 53 70 62 74 63 0 20 40 20 20

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Pullin
short term... Scholl
long term... Scholl
aviation... Barry
marine... Scholl
fire weather... Pullin
hydrology... Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 12 mi64 min E 2.9 59°F 36°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi49 min SE 6 G 7 53°F 56°F1024.8 hPa (-1.4)
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi115 min ENE 4.1 G 7 57°F 1025.4 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi49 min ENE 13 G 14 53°F 1024.9 hPa (-0.9)43°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi56 minSSE 710.00 miFair58°F39°F51%1024.5 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW7NW6N7N7N6N6N3N4N3NE7N9N6N9NE8NE7NE9NE6NE8NE8NE8NE8E6SE7
1 day agoS8W9W5SW4W3S3CalmCalmCalmS3S5S3CalmCalmCalmNW4CalmNE3N3N3N8N7N6NW7
2 days agoS10W7W11W8CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4NE4NE3N4N3N5N8N9NW8SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:08 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:52 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:27 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:50 AM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:51 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:37 PM EST     1.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.22.11.91.510.50.1-0.2-0.3-0.20.10.40.81.11.31.41.31.21.11.11.21.51.82

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Apalachee Bay, St. James Island, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:57 PM EST     2.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:50 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:57 PM EST     1.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.42.31.91.30.70.1-0.4-0.6-0.5-0.10.41.11.61.921.91.71.41.21.11.21.51.92.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.