Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrabelle, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 6:07PM Thursday January 24, 2019 6:42 AM EST (11:42 UTC) Moonrise 10:18PMMoonset 10:18AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:201901241530;;837676 Fzus52 Ktae 240659 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 159 Am Est Thu Jan 24 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz750-752-755-770-772-775-241530- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 159 Am Est Thu Jan 24 2019
.gale warning in effect until 4 am est early this morning...
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Today..Northwest winds 20 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots late this morning. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Friday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
Saturday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
Saturday night through Sunday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Slight chance of rain.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 159 Am Est Thu Jan 24 2019
Synopsis.. After the gale warning expires at 4 am est, a small craft advisory will be in effect until late morning. Winds will become northwesterly early this morning as a cold front moves through.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrabelle, FL
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location: 29.85, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 241118
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
618 am est Thu jan 24 2019

Aviation
[through 12z Friday]
+shra is east of the TAF sites and anything the next few hours
will just be light showers. Ifr to MVFR CIGS are in place but will
see improvements by mid to late morning with the clouds scattering
out. While gusts 18-20knots are possible this morning, winds will
be lower than yesterday.

Prev discussion [221 am est]
Near term [through today]
As of 2 am est the line of thunderstorms is almost out of the
region. Rain is starting to taper off in our westernmost counties
but many fl big bend and SW sc georgia counties will have rain until
the early morning hours.

In the upper levels a trough will be over the central and eastern
u.S. Today. At the surface a cold front will move through the region
early this morning. Cool dry air will move in behind the cold front.

Rain will move out by mid to late morning. Clouds will clear out
this afternoon. Highs will be in the 50s.

Short term [tonight through Saturday]
In the upper levels a trough will be over the central and eastern
u.S. At the surface high pressure will be over the region. Pops will
be near zero. Skies will be mostly sunny clear. Highs will be in the
50s. Lows will be near freezing in most locations tonight. Lows will
be in the upper 20s and lower 30s on tomorrow night.

Long term [Saturday night through Thursday]
In the upper levels a trough will be over the central and eastern
u.S. A shortwave will move through on Sunday. At the surface high
pressure will be over the region until the next system approaches
Monday night into Tuesday. The best chance for rain will be on
Tuesday. Highs will be in the 50s or 60s. Lows will be in the 30s.

Marine
After the gale warning expires at 4 am est, a small craft advisory
will be in effect until late morning. Winds will become
northwesterly early this morning as a cold front moves through.

Fire weather
Widespread rain that moved through overnight ahead of a cold front
will diminish today. While conditions will begin to dry out, rh
values will remain above critical thresholds and thus red flag
conditions are not forecast.

Hydrology
Rain will continue to exit the area this morning and then we'll see
a few dry days ahead. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches have
fallen with isolated areas around 2.5 inches. This has resulted in
rises on area rivers with multiple rivers expected to rise into
action stage over the next few days.

Specifically, the shoal river at mossy head rose into action stage
and should crest just below minor flood. In addition, the chipola river
at altha is expected to reach minor flood over the next few days.

Meanwhile, the apalachicola river at blountstown will remain in minor
flood.

In regards to coastal flooding, with the strong winds near panama
city last night, tide gages indicated around 2-3 feet mhhw and given
the impact statements for those locations, likely saw minor coastal
flooding. While some locations around apalachee bay have elevated
water levels, the winds haven't quite been as strong and were in low
tide, however with high tide approaching in the next few hours, will
continue with the coastal flood advisory through mid morning.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 58 33 55 31 56 10 0 0 0 0
panama city 54 38 54 36 55 0 0 0 0 0
dothan 50 33 52 29 52 10 0 0 0 0
albany 54 33 52 29 52 10 0 0 0 0
valdosta 59 34 54 31 53 20 0 0 0 0
cross city 64 35 57 35 58 30 0 0 0 0
apalachicola 58 37 56 36 56 10 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... Coastal flood advisory until 10 am est this morning for coastal
dixie-coastal franklin-coastal jefferson-coastal taylor-
coastal wakulla.

High rip current risk through this evening for coastal bay-
coastal franklin-coastal gulf-south walton.

High surf advisory until 1 pm est noon cst this afternoon for
coastal bay-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 10 am est this morning for apalachee
bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee
river fl out to 20 nm-coastal waters from ochlockonee river
to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm-coastal waters from
suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm-coastal waters
from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm-coastal
waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl
out 20 nm-waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl
from 20 to 60 nm-waters from apalachicola to mexico beach
fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters from mexico beach to okaloosa
walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Near term... Mcd
short term... Mcd
long term... Mcd
aviation... Fieux
marine... Mcd
fire weather... Fieux
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 19 mi49 min WNW 5.1 G 7 58°F 58°F1011.1 hPa
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 25 mi109 min W 14 G 22 63°F 58°F1008.6 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 32 mi43 min WNW 18 G 21 61°F 1011.8 hPa (+2.0)55°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL21 mi50 minWNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds57°F52°F83%1011 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE7SE8SE13SE12
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SW13NW11NW12NW8
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1 day agoNE7NE6NE6NE7E12
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2 days agoNE8NE9N9NE10NE10E8NE7N7N7S6SE3SE4E3NE3NE5NE6NE6NE6E9
G18
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G19
E10E10
G18
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G20
--

Tide / Current Tables for Carrabelle, Carrabelle River, Florida
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Carrabelle
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:01 AM EST     2.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:32 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:18 AM EST     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:01 PM EST     1.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:09 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:04 PM EST     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.41.822.121.71.20.70.2-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.711.31.41.31.10.90.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida (2)
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:28 AM EST     2.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:07 AM EST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:17 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:37 PM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:08 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:17 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:20 PM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.92.42.72.72.31.710.3-0.2-0.5-0.30.10.71.422.32.42.11.610.60.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.