Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:31PM Sunday September 24, 2017 4:46 AM EDT (08:46 UTC) Moonrise 10:26AMMoonset 9:38PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 255 Am Edt Sun Sep 24 2017
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Variable winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Tuesday night and Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 255 Am Edt Sun Sep 24 2017
Synopsis.. Easterly winds from 10 to 15 knots will prevail today and tonight, with seas from 2 to 3 feet today dropping to 2 feet or less during the next few days. Winds will remain light to moderate throughout the week, generally around 10 to 15 knots or less.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 240702
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
302 am edt Sun sep 24 2017

Near term [through today]
Upper low will shift from the florida panhandle to the lower
mississippi river valley today while surface high pressure will
remain anchored to our north. The low and mid levels will remain
saturated with pwats of 1.9 inches across the florida panhandle
decreasing to 1.6 inches across SE alabama. The better large scale
forcing moves to the west but enough may reside across the florida
panhandle and SE alabama to warrant a chance for storms this
afternoon. Further east, an isolated storm or two cannot be ruled
out across SW georgia. Otherwise, not much low mid level forcing to
warrant mention of precipitation. Highs today will be in the
mid upper 80s.

Short term [tonight through Tuesday]
A semi-cutoff upper level low trough will stall over alabama and
the florida panhandle tonight through Monday morning, and then
gradually drift eastward over our area through Tuesday. Hurricane
maria will remain well offshore of the atlantic coast as it moves
northward east of this feature, and will bring no impacts to our
area. On Monday afternoon and early evening, forcing from the
upper low trough combined with decent deep layer moisture across
our western areas (pwat values over 1.5") and SBCAPE up to
1000-1500 j kg during peak heating hours will result in scattered
showers and thunderstorms across the fl panhandle and parts of se
alabama. Elsewhere, mid- level dry air will continue to advect
into our area under light northeasterly northerly flow, which will
likely lead to dry conditions throughout this period. Expect high
temperatures near 90 inland each day, with mid-upper 80s along
the gulf coast.

Long term [Tuesday night through Sunday]
The upper low mentioned in the short term discussion will
gradually drift south of our area over the fl peninsula on
Wednesday and Thursday, and depending on which model verifies it
should be located over the fl peninsula or eastern gulf of mexico.

Either way, dry air will continue to filter into our area under
northwesterly flow and as a result dry conditions will prevail.

From Friday through Sunday, this upper low should gradually be
absorbed into a larger scale trough as it moves into the eastern
conus. As this occurs, a cold front will move southeastward into
our area, although latest models suggest this feature could stall
out near or just southeast of our area during the weekend.

Therefore, slight chances of showers storms were maintained from
Friday through the weekend across most of our area, as models are
suggesting that enough moisture and instability could remain
present throughout this time for at least isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Left our northern areas dry on Saturday as driest
air should move into SE alabama and parts of SW georgia.

Hot conditions will prevail from Wednesday through Friday with
inland highs generally in the lower 90s, with a slight cooldown in
the wake of the front during the weekend with forecast highs in
the mid 80s. Lows will remain in the upper 60s and lower 70s ahead
of the front, possibly dropping to lower-mid 60s during the
weekend as a slightly cooler airmass moves into our area.

Aviation [through 06z Monday]
MainlyVFR through the period with light northeast winds. The
exception is vld where light fog is possible around dawn. There is
also an outside chance for showers at tlh ecp in the afternoon hours
but the confidence appears too low at this time to place in tafs.

Marine
Easterly winds from 10 to 15 knots will prevail today and tonight,
with seas from 2 to 3 feet today dropping to 2 feet or less during
the next few days. Winds will remain light to moderate throughout
the week, generally around 10 to 15 knots or less.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

Hydrology
A few showers and thunderstorms are possible today and Monday
from north florida into SE alabama, but any heavy rain will be
isolated and very brief. Generally dry conditions are expected
during the middle of the week. Therefore, no flooding is
anticipated through the next several days.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 87 70 90 69 91 20 20 10 10 10
panama city 85 72 86 72 88 40 30 30 20 10
dothan 87 68 89 67 90 20 10 10 10 10
albany 88 68 90 66 90 10 10 10 10 10
valdosta 86 67 90 66 90 10 10 10 10 10
cross city 88 69 91 68 90 20 10 10 10 10
apalachicola 85 73 86 71 87 40 30 20 20 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Scholl
short term... Lahr
long term... Lahr
aviation... Scholl
marine... Lahr
fire weather... Scholl
hydrology... Lahr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi113 min NE 4.1 G 9.9 76°F 1012.9 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 26 mi62 min NNE 4.1 75°F 73°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi47 min NNE 7 G 8 76°F 81°F1012.9 hPa (-0.3)
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi47 min E 17 G 18 79°F 1012.8 hPa (-0.4)73°F
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi47 min NNE 5.1 G 6 73°F 1012.6 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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G14
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL35 mi54 minNNE 610.00 miFair74°F73°F100%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE5NE5NE7NE6E9E7E8E11E12SE13
G18
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G18
NE5NE5NE6NE6E8NE5NE6
1 day agoNE6NE5NE4NE5NE5NE6E7E7SE10SE9SE11SE9SE9SE5SE3CalmCalmNE3CalmNE4NE4NE4NE5NE5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E5NE4SE3SE4S8SW6CalmNE14
G22
N7N5E5E5CalmNE4NE5NE3NE4NE4NE6

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:30 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:34 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:28 PM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:19 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.522.42.72.72.52.11.61.10.70.40.40.71.21.72.22.52.52.31.91.51.21.1

Tide / Current Tables for Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida
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Panacea
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:54 AM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:43 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:52 PM EDT     3.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:28 PM EDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.72.43.13.53.73.532.31.60.90.50.40.71.32.12.83.33.43.22.72.11.51.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.