Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mexico Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 7:00PM Monday March 27, 2017 7:20 PM CDT (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 6:26AMMoonset 6:43PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 355 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Tonight..South winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet after midnight. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 355 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Synopsis..Winds and seas will be light through much of the week, but will increase for Thursday night and Friday to cautionary levels as a cold front moves through.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
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location: 30.03, -85.47     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 271952
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
352 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Near term [through tonight]
An upper level shortwave trough axis will move northeastward across
our area later this afternoon through the evening. At the surface, a
weakening area of low pressure will move northeastward through the
mid-mississippi valley region, and a broad area of high pressure
will remain in place to our east. Between these features, light
southerly flow will continue over our area. Through the rest of this
afternoon and early evening, the aforementioned upper shortwave
could provide enough forcing for a few showers and thunderstorms,
though dry air at mid-levels and modest instability (cape generally
near or less than 1000 j/kg) will limit potential for showers and
storms. Therefore, maintained slight chances of showers and
thunderstorms inland through the early evening hours, and after 00z
dry conditions are expected. Areas of fog will be possible overnight
through the early morning hours as the boundary layer remains moist
and winds become light to calm across our area. Overnight lows will
range from the upper 50s across the fl big bend and south central ga
to mid 60s along coastal regions of the fl panhandle.

Short term [Tuesday through Wednesday night]
A weak cold front north of the CWA will allow for a few showers and
thunderstorms on Tuesday mainly across the western portions of the
cwa. Instability is limited tomorrow with CAPE only around 200-400
j/kg, but still enough for an isolated thunderstorm. The front will
remain north of the area and move eastward Tuesday night as the main
low shifts into the atlantic. As this occurs, upper level ridging
builds in and persists into Wednesday, helping to minimize
convection in the short term. Above average highs in the low to mid
80s will increase into the mid to upper 80s Wednesday as the upper
ridge builds in. The high at tlh on Wednesday will be around 3
degrees below the record high. Lows will range from the upper 50s
to lower 60s.

Long term [Thursday through Monday]
While conditions have been dry lately, widespread precipitation is
expected Thursday night into Friday as a low moving across the
mid-west into the tennessee valley pushes a cold front through the
cwa. GFS depicts MUCAPE of 800-1200 j/kg with 50kts of deep layer
shear and 20-25kts of low level shear will need to closely monitor
the severe weather potential with this system as it draws closer.

The area will dry out for the weekend.

Aviation [through 18z Tuesday]
Vfr conditions will likely continue through the remainder of the
afternoon and evening. Isolated showers and storms cannot be ruled
out through sunset, but chances are not high enough to include in
tafs. Areas of fog are expected to develop again overnight through
the early morning, with tlh, dhn, and ecp most likely to see lifr
conditions. Shortly after sunrise, areas of fog are expected to
dissipate andVFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of
the period.

Marine
Winds and seas will be light through much of the week, but will
increase for Thursday night and Friday to cautionary levels as a
cold front moves through.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several
days with relative humidity values remaining above critical
levels.

Hydrology
The next chance for widespread rainfall will be Thursday night and
Friday. Rainfall amounts of two inches or less are forecast with
the higher amounts across the western portion of the area. At this
time, significant flooding impacts are not expected based on these
amounts.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Tallahassee 59 83 58 86 57 / 10 10 0 0 0
panama city 65 74 63 77 62 / 10 10 0 0 0
dothan 62 81 61 86 59 / 10 20 0 0 0
albany 62 83 62 87 60 / 10 10 0 10 10
valdosta 59 83 59 87 59 / 10 10 0 10 10
cross city 57 82 56 85 56 / 10 10 0 0 0
apalachicola 62 76 61 77 61 / 10 10 0 0 0

Tae watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Lahr
short term... Fieux
long term... Fieux
aviation... Lahr
marine... Fieux
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi51 min S 8.9 G 13 71°F 72°F1016.5 hPa
PCBF1 25 mi51 min S 8 G 8.9 69°F 73°F1016.4 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi51 min SSW 5.1 G 6
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 35 mi96 min SSE 6 74°F 66°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi25 minS 710.00 miFair70°F65°F86%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SE6SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmS3E3CalmSE4E3E3E3E3S11S13S11S11S11S11S9S8S7
1 day agoSE11SE11SE7SE7S6SW12SE4SE5CalmE6SE8SE6SE8SE14S16S14SE14S10S11S12S11S11S10S8
2 days agoCalmCalmE5CalmE3E6E12E8E9E8E4E4E6SE9SE18
G24
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Tide / Current Tables for Allanton, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Allanton
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:25 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:29 AM CDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM CDT     0.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:11 PM CDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:43 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:57 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:59 PM CDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
110.80.70.50.40.40.40.40.40.50.60.60.60.50.50.40.40.40.40.50.60.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:25 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:26 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:37 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:48 AM CDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:32 PM CDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:43 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:46 PM CDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:59 PM CDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.90.90.80.70.60.50.50.40.40.40.50.50.50.50.50.50.40.40.40.40.50.50.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.