Sunday, May28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Asbury Lake, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:23PM Sunday May 28, 2017 4:43 AM EDT (08:43 UTC) Moonrise 8:24AMMoonset 10:28PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ452 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 355 Am Edt Sun May 28 2017
Today..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Monday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 355 Am Edt Sun May 28 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will remain in control the rest of the weekend and into the first part of next week...light winds and calm seas are expected. A frontal system will approach the area mid-week and bring chances for Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asbury Lake, FL
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location: 30.08, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 280817
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
417 am edt Sun may 28 2017

Near term through tonight
A deep layer ridge will be across central fl and then move
offshore tonight. This will bring hot and dry conditions to the
area with a light southwest flow. Temps reaching the mid 90s most
areas away from the coast. Even coastal areas will reach near 90
before the afternoon seabreeze moves in. The flow off the gulf of
mexico brings in elevated dew points to the area which combined
with the hot afternoon temps produces heat indices close to 100
degrees across inland NE fl and near 103 degrees across inland se
ga especially near the okefenokee swamp. The flow off the gulf
also brings in areas of late night and early morning low clouds
and fog across inland NE fl.

Short term
Memorial day... Another hot and humid day with temps pushing
through the mid 90s with heat indices likely over 100 in a few
areas. Slightly lower temps along the coast due to east coast sea
breeze, which will not push very far inland due to prevailing
west-southwest flow. Will begin to see the mid level ridge push
southeast allowing for some shortwave energy to push across our
north zones and support a low risk of showers and storms in the
afternoon through the late evening. Could be an isolated strong
storm given model sounding showing potential 2500-3500 j kg and
bulk shear of 25-35 kt. Any showers and storms should fade after
midnight. Some potential for patchy fog over the inland northeast
fl zones again.

Tuesday... Slightly better chances of showers and storms expected
as ridging becomes less of impactful on conditions aloft. In
fact... Both the NAM and GFS show mid level energy rounding the
western periphery of the ridge and pwats remain adequate of isold
to scattered afternoon and evening convection. Weak frontal
boundary may sag southward toward south ga. It is noteworthy that
gfs and NAM show convective feedback over southeast ga Tuesday
evening... Suggesting strong convection is a possibility. Spc
outlook mentions a marginal risk of severe storms for part of
southeast ga. MAX temps still able to push into the lower to mid
90s during the aftn.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

weak diffuse frontal boundary expected to be near south ga Wed and
thu then possibly lift back north thu-fri. Both the GFS and ecmwf
show enough moisture combined with sea breezes to support mainly
aftn evening scattered to possibly numerous showers and storms
each day. Temps will tend to lower each day given increased clouds
and precip. With sfc ridge building back northward Friday and
Saturday convection will tend to push further inland from the east
coast. Cannot rule out isolated severe, mainly pulse storms each
day... Especially Wed when area will be affected by weak frontal
zone over south ga.

Aviation
Patchy low clouds and fog will continue to spread in from the
gulf early this morning. Have continued with ifr at gnv between
11z-14z and mvr at vqq between 09z-14z. Conditions may also be
MVFR at the remainder of the NE fl terminals during the same time
frame but confidence low on how far east the extent of the low
clouds will spread and will continue withVFR there. Any low
clouds and fog that manage to form will lift by mid morning with
all terminalsVFR aft 14z.

Marine
Surface ridge south of the area will produce a light SW flow the
next few days. Afternoon seabreezes will shift the winds to the se
near shore. Slightly stronger south to southwest nocturnal winds
may occur over the waters but conditions expected to remain just
below headline criteria. A frontal boundary will weaken and wash
out across the waters towards mid week which may increase the
shower thunderstorm activity. Winds will be variable with
afternoon and evening seabreezes near the coast.

Rip currents: while there will be afternoon seabreezes at
the coast... It appears swells will be low (less than 1 foot) so
have opted to go with a low risk through Monday.

Fire weather
Other than a few areas of high dispersion today and memorial day,
no red flag concerns. We do expect increased chances of
thunderstorms in the afternoon evening hours starting Monday in
southeast ga, then elsewhere from Tuesday onward.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 93 71 94 71 10 0 20 20
ssi 90 74 91 75 10 0 10 20
jax 94 70 95 72 0 0 10 20
sgj 91 73 93 74 0 0 0 10
gnv 93 70 94 70 0 0 0 10
ocf 92 70 93 69 0 0 0 10

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Peterson shashy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BKBF1 9 mi43 min SW 2.9 G 5.1 71°F 80°F
JXUF1 20 mi43 min 79°F
RCYF1 22 mi43 min 80°F
NFDF1 23 mi43 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 72°F 1014.9 hPa (-1.3)
DMSF1 24 mi43 min 79°F
BLIF1 25 mi43 min SW 7 G 7 73°F 1015 hPa (-1.3)69°F
LTJF1 27 mi43 min 72°F 66°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 28 mi43 min SW 4.1 G 6 73°F 79°F1014.4 hPa (-1.4)
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 30 mi43 min W 7 G 8.9 70°F 77°F1015.3 hPa (-1.3)
41117 36 mi51 min 76°F2 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 40 mi58 min WSW 2.9 69°F 1016 hPa65°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 44 mi43 min WSW 2.9 G 6 73°F 79°F1014.8 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jacksonville, Cecil Field Airport, FL11 mi48 minN 010.00 miOvercast64°F64°F100%1014.6 hPa
Jacksonville Naval Air Station, FL12 mi50 minVar 310.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F64°F79%1014.3 hPa
Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport, FL21 mi50 minN 010.00 miFair67°F64°F91%1014.4 hPa
Keystone Airpark, FL22 mi48 minN 010.00 miOvercast68°F68°F100%1014.9 hPa
St. Augustine, St. Augustine Airport, FL24 mi47 minW 610.00 miFair68°F63°F84%1014.8 hPa

Wind History from VQQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalm444SW7W6W8W5W9W9W9W6W6----CalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalm4Calm4444NW6NW12W10W7
G12
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2 days agoCalmCalmSW5W6NW9W15W14W14W15W15
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W7SW4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Black Creek, S.C.L. RR. bridge, Florida
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Black Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     5.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:41 AM EDT     4.74 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM EDT     5.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:41 PM EDT     4.70 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.15.55.85.95.95.75.45.254.94.84.74.95.25.55.65.65.55.35.14.94.84.74.7

Tide / Current Tables for Orange Park, St. Johns River, Florida
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Orange Park
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:27 AM EDT     0.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:22 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:34 PM EDT     0.39 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:23 PM EDT     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.50.60.50.40.2-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.20.10.30.40.40.30.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.