Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:45PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 12:08 PM CST (18:08 UTC) Moonrise 8:50PMMoonset 9:14AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 957 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
.low water advisory in effect until 6 pm cst this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Rest of today..Northwest winds around 20 knots. Lake waters rough. Rain showers late in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 5 knots becoming east up to 5 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth.
Thursday night..South winds up to 5 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Lake waters smooth.
Friday..Northeast winds around 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 957 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis.. Strong and gusty offshore flow continues to develop in the wake of a strong cold front this morning. Winds will diminish by Thursday as high pressure builds over the western gulf region, then veer to a southerly direction by the weekend as the high moves east of the area. An offshore flow will return once more by the end of the weekend as low pressure drifts through the western gulf of mexico.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 231745
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
1145 am cst Wed jan 23 2019

Aviation
Cold front pushing into southeast louisiana at this time. Rains
continue to fall behind the front with the cloud shield extending
back into southeast texas. The front has slowed and therefore
will hold lwr vsby in taf's... Ceilings will also vary from lifr
to MVFR thru ss.. Winds are not expected to taper off until after
sunset.VFR wx becmg established drg the eve hrs.

Prev discussion issued 1031 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
update...

cold front is now east of the area, with chilly temperatures
continuing to settle over the region. Temps range from 36 at
jasper in the northwest to 58 at patterson in deep south central
la. A few lightning strikes were noted in the convection along the
frontal boundary as it crossed south central la, but otherwise
mostly light to moderate rain is seen on radar acrs the area.

Meanwhile, the jasper AWOS has reported light snow during the
past hour, but this has not been substantiated by any human
reports. Despite this, would not be surprised to see at least a
few flurries acrs the lakes region of SE tx as temperatures fall
into the lower middle 30s. Incorporated a slight chc for light
snow into the grids fcst for late this morning acrs northern
portions of jasper tyler counties, with precip expected to remain
liquid acrs the remainder of the area. Precip will come to an end
from west to east during the aftn, with the possibility of a
little Sun over the western zones later this aftn as skies start
to clear.

In addition to the aforementioned changes to the weather grids,
some adjustments were made to the hourly temp dewpoint grids as
well as MAX temps.

Also, issued a low water advisory for the coastal lakes and bays
for today as tide levels are approaching the -1.0 foot mllw
threshold. Water levels should begin to improve after time of low
tide late this morning.

Updated text products have been sent.

24
prev discussion... Issued 521 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
aviation...

a cold front will continue to work its way eastward across the
region over the next 2-3 hours. It is expected to pass klft kara
between 12z and 13z accompanied by showers and NW winds sustained
25 knots with gusts up to 40 knots possible. Behind the front,
nw winds will remain elevated through at 15-20 knots with gusts
of 25-30 knots. Shra will linger across the area through early
afternoon resulting in ovc ceilings ranging from 1500-5000. Some
of the steadier showers could result in brief periods of
visibility restrictions. Conditions are expected to improve toVFR
as skies clear late this afternoon and winds will decrease to
around 10 knots.

Prev discussion... Issued 315 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
discussion...

wx map shows strong cold front moving through SE tx near the
sabine river. Temperatures ahead of the front, mid 60s, immediately
behind the front, upper 40s to near 50. With the front observed
strong NW winds 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph across some observations
in SE tx. This initial period of strong winds will likely last
only a couple of hours, subsiding to a more manageable 15-20 mph
with gusts of 25 mph for the remainder of the morning and early
afternoon across the i-10 corridor. Higher winds expected across
the inland lakes bays and coastal waters, see marine discussion.

Scattered showers on radar ahead of the front, with a more solid
line of showers and occasional clap of thunder along and behind
the front. This will be the general coverage of higher coverage as
the front progresses from west to east today. Daytime highs are
occurring ahead of the front, as behind it, temperatures will not
get out of the 40s to lower 50s.

The precipitation will end from west to east late this afternoon early
evening, along with clearing skies and diminishing winds. Expect
temperatures in the upper 20s near 30 across inland SE tx c la
north of i-10, near the freezing mark along the i-10 corridor for
lows Thursday morning.

No precipitation is expected with the next cold front on Friday,
serving to re-enforce the cooler than normal conditions expected
through the weekend. Slightly warmer conditions expected on
Monday. Another stronger cold front expected to bring an increased
chance of precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday morning,
followed by colder temperatures.

Dml
marine...

a cold front will move through the coastal waters this morning.

Elevated southerly winds and seas will occur ahead of the front,
along with an increase in showers. Behind the front, strong and
gusty offshore flow will develop rapidly in its wake. For this,
added small craft advisory to the inland lakes bays, and continuing
it for the 0-60nm coastal waters. Winds will diminish by Thursday
as high pressure builds over the western gulf region, then veer
to a southerly direction by the weekend as the high moves east of
the area. An offshore flow will return once more by the end of the
weekend as low pressure drifts through the western gulf of
mexico.

Dml

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 48 30 55 31 100 0 0 0
lch 52 33 55 35 90 0 0 0
lft 62 31 54 33 80 20 0 0
bpt 46 33 56 36 100 0 0 0

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 6 am cst Thursday for gmz455-472-475.

Small craft advisory until midnight cst tonight for gmz430-432-
435-450-452-470.

Low water advisory until 6 pm cst this evening for gmz430-432-
435.

Aviation... 19


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi38 min NW 12 G 19 39°F 54°F1017.8 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi38 min 57°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi38 min WNW 13 G 19 39°F 57°F1019.8 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi38 min 40°F 55°F1016.4 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi38 min WNW 18 G 21 38°F 55°F1017.2 hPa
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi38 min NNW 16 G 20 40°F 55°F1015.6 hPa
KCVW 31 mi28 min NW 12 G 18 41°F 41°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi68 min NNW 14 G 17 38°F 1018.2 hPa (+1.1)
KVBS 43 mi73 min N 20 G 26 43°F 41°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Last
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SE8
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi73 minN 10 G 173.00 miRain38°F37°F99%1018.3 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi73 minNNW 94.00 miRain41°F39°F95%1017.9 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi75 minNW 12 G 209.00 miRain40°F36°F86%1018 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13
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1 day agoE9E10E12
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SE6SE7SE7SE6SE5SE5CalmS7S12
G16
2 days agoN8
G14
NW6N5NE5N3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4E3NE3CalmNE5E6E8E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.