Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:40PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 3:00 AM CST (09:00 UTC) Moonrise 7:31AMMoonset 6:22PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 933 Pm Cst Tue Jan 16 2018
.low water advisory in effect until noon cst Wednesday...
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 am cst Wednesday...
Rest of tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Sunday..South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Lake waters a light chop increasing to choppy after midnight. Chance of rain showers.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 933 Pm Cst Tue Jan 16 2018
Synopsis.. Strong northerly winds and very rough seas will continue tonight into Wednesday morning. Winds will begin to decrease by Wednesday night, veering to the east on Thursday and southeast by Friday as high pressure moves east of the region. A light to moderate onshore flow will then persist into the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 170539
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
1139 pm cst Tue jan 16 2018

Discussion
For the 1 17 18 0600 utc TAF package.

Aviation
All pcpn has pushed south east of the terminals, with lingering
mostly mid level cloud cover at the i-10 terminals and a clear sky
at kaex. Generally speaking,VFR is expected to prevail. While
not explicitly shown in the forecasts, these mid level clouds,
along with a swath of MVFR CIGS over south central la that appear
they will pass just west of the acadiana terminals, will continue
to sink to the south and clear the i-10 terminals over the course
of the next few hours. North winds are expected to remain
elevated, and may generate an occasional gust through the forecast
period.

13

Prev discussion issued 951 pm cst Tue jan 16 2018
update...

cancelled the winter weather advisory for the remainder of
southeast texas as well as calcasieu and western cameron as the
precipitation has come to an end in these areas the advisory
remains in effect for much of acadiana until midnight (pops were
also raised during this period in response to a fairly congealed
area of precipitation) when it is expected that the vast majority
of the precipitation will have progressed into southeast
louisiana or offshore. Despite the cancellation of the advisory,
we want to continue to emphasize the black ice threat that will
persist through at least midday Wednesday.

Also cancelled the wind advisory for the coastal parishes and
counties as criteria is no longer being reached. That said, breezy
conditions will persist through the overnight hours which will
result in wind chill values in the single digits to lower teens.

Several locations are already seeing values in the lower teens so
i initialized the wind chill advisory across the entire area now
as opposed to the initial start time of midnight.

Jones
prev discussion... Issued 629 pm cst Tue jan 16 2018
discussion...

for the 1 17 18 0000 utc TAF package.

Aviation...

drier air starting to work southward into the area with cigs
having already improved toVFR at kaex and kbpt. This trend is
expected to continue over the next few hours with conditions at
klch and the acadiana terminals improving from MVFR toVFR as
well. Areas of light freezing frozen pcpn will also persist at
the southern terminals for another few hours per radar trends, but
should come to an end with the dry air intrusion and waning lift.

Gusty sfc winds at the acadiana terminals are expected to settle
down by mid evening, with winds areawide remaining elevated around
10kt through the period.

13
prev discussion... Issued 454 pm cst Tue jan 16 2018
synopsis...

overrunning moisture continues to bring areas of wintry precip to
the area this aftn. Many observation sites have reported snow this
aftn, with snow now the main precip type north of i-10, while a
mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain is occurring south of i-10.

Minor accumulations have been reported this aftn, with the
greatest amounts acrs central louisiana where amounts of one half
to nearly one inch have fallen.

Very cold and windy conditions also continue as the 1045 mb high
continues to build southward into the region. Temperatures this
aftn have been generally steady, ranging from the middle 20s north
to around 30 south. Meanwhile, wind chills are in the teens to
lower 20s.

24
discussion...

near term (tonight through Friday)... Wintry precip will begin to
taper off this evening from north to south as drier air filters in
behind a large upper trough. Additional accumulations through the
remainder of the winter event will be minor, generally less than
a half inch of snow or sleet, and less than a tenth of an inch of
ice. Overall impacts from winter weather will be mainly to bridges
and elevated sfcs, where a few slick spots have already been
developing. The winter weather advisory remains in effect through
9 pm for the northern part of the area, and through midnight for
the southern part.

The other concern for tonight will be the brutally cold
temperatures and dangerous wind chills. Temperatures will continue
to drop through the evening, and a long duration hard freeze is
expected acrs the area from tonight into Wednesday morning.

Overnight lows are expected to reach the middle teens acrs central
and western la, upper teens acrs the lakes region of southeast tx
and near 20 along the i-10 corridor with lower 20s closer to the
coast. In addition, winds will remain moderate to strong
overnight, and this will result in wind chills dropping into the
single digits acrs the northern zones, wind chills around 10
degrees along the i-10 corridor.

Strong cold air advection will limit temperature rises
Wednesday with hard freeze conditions expected to persist through
late morning. Aftn highs will only reach the middle 30s despite
abundant sunshine. A hard freeze is expected again Wednesday
night into Thursday morning as the center of the sfc high settles
over the lower ms valley. The chilly temperatures will stick
around again on Thursday with aftn highs only climbing into the
lower to middle 40s.

The sfc high will finally begin to move east through the latter
part of the week. As winds become more southeasterly, this will
lead to a rather welcome warming trend going into the weekend
with highs on Friday and Saturday in the 50s and 60s,
respectively.

24
long term (Saturday through Tuesday)... High pressure over the
southeast will allow moisture to return to deep south texas late
Friday into Saturday morning. As the sfc high moves further to the
east and off the us coast... Winds will swing around to the
southeast early Saturday morning. This will allow the dew points
to climb and the moisture from the gulf to spill into the
northwest gulf region. Therefore looking at the warmup continuing
with afternoon high temperatures near 70 on Saturday and Sunday.

Rains return Sunday afternoon ahead of a cold front moving out of
texas. This next front is not of canadian origin therefore the
air behind this front will not be as extreme as we have had over
the last several weeks. The front will move through Sunday evening
with morning lows on Monday in the mid to upper 40s. Rains ending
during the overnight hours. Most of next week will be dry as
temperatures will moderate.

19
marine...

arctic high pres building southward over the region will result
in strong northerly winds and very rough seas tonight into
Wednesday. Occasional gusts to gale force will be possible through
Wednesday morning. The strong winds will also cause low water
levels on coastal waterways and navigation channels, with tides
running between 1 to 2 feet below predicted levels during times of
low tide.

Winds will begin to diminish by Wednesday night as the sfc high
settles over the region. Winds will veer to the east on Thursday
and southeast by Friday as the high moves east of the area. A
light to moderate onshore flow is expected to prevail through the
weekend.

24

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 16 34 17 43 10 0 0 0
lch 20 36 21 44 30 0 0 0
lft 19 34 20 43 40 0 0 0
bpt 20 37 23 44 20 0 0 0

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... Hard freeze warning until 11 am cst Wednesday for laz027>033-
041>045-052>055-073-074.

Winter weather advisory until midnight cst tonight for laz033-
042>045-052>055-074.

Wind chill advisory until 11 am cst Wednesday for laz027>033-
041>045-052>055-073-074.

Tx... Hard freeze warning until 11 am cst Wednesday for txz180-201-215-
216-259>262.

Wind chill advisory until 11 am cst Wednesday for txz180-201-215-
216-259>262.

Gm... Small craft advisory until noon cst Wednesday for gmz470-472-475.

Small craft exercise caution from Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday evening for gmz470-472-475.

Low water advisory until noon cst Wednesday for gmz430-432-435.

Small craft advisory until 9 am cst Wednesday for gmz430-432-435-
450-452-455.

Small craft exercise caution from 9 am cst Wednesday through
Wednesday afternoon for gmz450-452-455.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi42 min N 14 G 19 24°F 47°F1038.5 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi42 min 51°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi42 min N 20 G 25 27°F 49°F1039.8 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi42 min 23°F 48°F1037.9 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi42 min NNE 18 G 22 25°F 46°F1037.4 hPa
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi42 min NE 15 G 20 25°F 45°F1036.2 hPa
KCVW 31 mi25 min N 17 G 25 25°F 16°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi60 min N 13 G 16 24°F 1038.6 hPa (-0.6)18°F
KVBS 43 mi20 min NNW 24 G 31 28°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N11
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi65 minN 710.00 miFair24°F19°F82%1039.3 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi2.4 hrsN 810.00 miFair26°F17°F70%1038.9 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi67 minN 1310.00 miFair23°F15°F72%1038.4 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N6N11
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N10N9N5N8N6--N8--N4N5N6
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3E3SE6S6S4S7S8S8S5S5E3SE6SE3S4S3CalmCalmSE4N6
G16
2 days agoE8E3NE4CalmNE3NE6E10E6CalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE3S3S3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Orange (Old Navy Base)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:16 AM CST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:38 AM CST     0.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:11 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:30 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:48 PM CST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:38 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:22 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:43 PM CST     0.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.70.60.50.30.10-0.1-0.1-0.100.20.40.50.60.70.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Rainbow Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:04 AM CST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:56 AM CST     0.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:11 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:30 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:25 PM CST     -0.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:39 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:23 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:56 PM CST     0.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.20-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.20.30.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.