Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 8:08PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 7:22 PM CDT (00:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:39PMMoonset 1:47AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 425 Pm Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds up to 5 knots becoming east after midnight. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..North winds up to 5 knots becoming southeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..North winds up to 5 knots becoming southeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds around 5 knots becoming west up to 5 knots after midnight. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..North winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..North winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 425 Pm Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis.. Weak surface high pressure extending west across the northern gulf coast states will maintain a generally light southeast to east flow and low seas over the next couple of days. Winds are expected to turn more northeasterly Saturday into Sunday as an area of low pressure lifts north across the central gulf of mexico and moves toward the north central gulf coast. The combination of daytime heating and the proximity of the low will result in scattered shower and Thunderstorm development each day through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 232256
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
556 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018

Discussion
00z TAF issuance.

Aviation
Radar showing most of the afternoon thunderstorms has dissipated,
with only a few showers west of lft and in the gulf. Not expecting
much redevelopment, or enough to continue the vcts in terminals.

Not expecting restrictions this evening and overnight, with mainly
remnant mid level cloudiness from the previous convection
gradually dissipating. Good chances of showers and thunderstorms
again Thursday afternoon, with the best chances between 20-24z.

Dml

Prev discussion issued 427 pm cdt Wed may 23 2018
discussion...

as expected, the increased atmospheric moisture over the region
extending from the highly publicized low pressure area over the
yucatan has allowed for increased convective activity compared to
the last few days. The storms continue to stream in a generally
south to north direction, but with very little in the way of a
pressure gradient in either the lower or mid levels, forward
motion has been very slow allowing for some areas to pick up a
quick 2+ inches. While most of the convection should abate with
the setting Sun this evening, there is enough moisture in place
that some isolated activity could linger through the overnight
hours. Tomorrow and Friday will likely be a near repeat of today
with a deep layer of moisture continuing to stream over the region
leading to slow moving convection.

There remains a high level of uncertainty with regards to the
evolution of the aforementioned low over the yucatan. The ecmwf
remains the western most outlier calling for a weak tropical
system to move into southeast louisiana. The GFS remains on the
eastern side indicating a landfall across the florida peninsula
with other guidance scattered in between. The one consistent
aspect over the past few days is that virtually all guidance keeps
the center of whatever circulation might develop east of the area.

While the shape of the system, its intensity and proximity will
have a significant impact on the precipitation chances this
weekend into early next week, opted to go a bit more optimistic
for the time being with the official forecast indicating scattered
pops across acadiana tapering to isolated across southwest
louisiana and southeast texas. However, forecast uncertainty
beyond Friday remains very high.

Jones
marine...

weak surface high pressure extending west across the northern
gulf coast states will maintain a generally light southeast to
east flow and low seas over the next couple of days. Winds are
expected to turn more northeasterly Saturday into Sunday as an
area of low pressure lifts north across the central gulf of mexico
and moves toward the north central gulf coast. The combination of
daytime heating and the proximity of the low will result in
scattered shower and thunderstorm development each day through the
weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 71 88 70 89 30 50 30 50
lch 73 87 72 89 20 40 30 60
lft 74 87 73 89 20 50 20 60
bpt 73 88 72 89 20 50 20 50

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi53 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 83°F1016.3 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi53 min 89°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi53 min ESE 2.9 G 6 81°F 87°F1017.5 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi53 min 80°F 83°F1015.5 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi53 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 83°F1015.3 hPa
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi53 min SE 4.1 G 6 83°F 84°F1014.9 hPa
KCVW 31 mi23 min SE 4.1 82°F 70°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi83 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 1016.5 hPa (-1.4)
KVBS 43 mi33 min ENE 7 -40°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair78°F74°F89%1016.6 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi28 minS 310.00 miFair83°F68°F60%1016.3 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi30 minESE 310.00 miLight Rain83°F68°F61%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3E6NE8SE6SW14
G17
CalmCalmNE6CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3NE4SE3E6CalmW3SW4S7SW9
G14
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2 days agoS7S3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmE4E6S4S5S6SE7SE6NW3W3NW3N4

Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Orange (Old Navy Base)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:46 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:56 AM CDT     0.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:00 AM CDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:39 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:11 PM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:06 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:28 PM CDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.50.50.50.50.50.40.30.30.20.20.20.30.40.50.60.70.70.70.60.50.40.40.3

Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Rainbow Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:10 AM CDT     1.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:47 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:26 AM CDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:39 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:35 PM CDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:06 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:42 PM CDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
111110.90.80.70.60.50.50.60.70.911.11.21.21.110.90.80.80.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.