Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:21PM Friday August 18, 2017 1:20 PM CDT (18:20 UTC) Moonrise 2:48AMMoonset 4:54PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 948 Am Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
Rest of today..Northwest winds 10 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tonight...west winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 knots in the afternoon near the coast. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south around 5 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday through Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 948 Am Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
Synopsis..Light winds and low seas will continue through the weekend as the coastal waters remain near a high pressure ridge.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 181723
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
123 pm edt Fri aug 18 2017

Aviation [through 18z Saturday]
Sct tsra are expected to develop this afternoon across the florida
panhandle, most likely impacting ecp prior to 20z and potentially
reaching as far east at tlh before 23z. With greater likelihood at
ecp included a tempo for ifr conditions there. Further inland, do
not anticipate tsra development at aby dhn vld. After sunset,
tsra should end withVFR conditions prevailing through the
remainder of the period, except at vld where a brief MVFR vsby is
possible prior to sunrise.

Prev discussion [952 am edt]
Near term [through today]
Updated morning precip grids to reflect current offshore showers.

Chances will increase inland this afternoon as showers and
thunderstorms move inland with the seabreeze. Temperatures are on
track to be in the mid 90's with uncomfortably high dewpoints.

Otherwise, the current forecast is on track.

Short term [tonight through Sunday]
In the upper levels our forecast area will be under a very narrow
ridge, squeezed by a mid latitude trough to our north and a slow-
moving tutt low drifting westward over the eastern gulf of mexico.

At the surface the pressure pattern will be weak, with a trough
along the piedmont and the subtropical ridge just to the south.

The 1000-700 mean wind will be from the NW at 5 to 10 kt on
Saturday, which will delay the inland movement of the NW fl sea
breeze front until mid afternoon, and prevent the front from
reaching the dothan and albany areas by the time of peak cape.

Additionally, a region of relatively warm, dry mid-tropospheric
air (currently over the midwest) will reach the fl panhandle and
sw ga Saturday, limiting updrafts and deep moist convection. Thus
the highest pops (50%) will be around tallahassee, valdosta, and
cross city. Elsewhere pops will be 20 to 30%. On Sunday the
1000-700 mb mean wind will become light se, favoring an earlier
start to the daily sea breeze. Pops will generally be in the 30 to
50% range, and highest in the fl panhandle. It will remain hot
and muggy with highs in the mid 90s and lows in the 70s. Maximum
heat index values will be in the 100 to 105 range.

Long term [Sunday night through Friday]
An unusually strong 500 mb ridge will be the dominant synoptic
feature across much of the southeast through mid week, followed by
the development of a trough over much of the eastern conus. In the
absence of synoptic scale forcing in our region, as usual, deep
moist convection will be most likely along the sea land breeze
fronts and outflow boundaries. Pops will be in the 30-50% range,
highest (inland) during the afternoon and evening hours. High
temperatures will be in the lower to mid 90s, lows in the 70s.

Marine
Light winds and low seas will continue through the weekend as the
coastal waters remain near a high pressure ridge.

Fire weather
Hazardous fire weather conditions not expected through much of the
next week as rh's remain above critical levels. Chances for
scattered showers and storms yielding wetting rains this afternoon,
mainly across the florida panhandle.

Hydrology
Area rivers were below "action stage" and will remain so through
this weekend. Organized heavy rain is unlikely.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 76 95 74 95 76 30 40 10 40 30
panama city 79 92 79 92 79 20 30 10 30 30
dothan 74 95 73 96 75 20 20 10 30 20
albany 75 96 74 96 76 20 20 10 30 20
valdosta 75 94 74 94 75 20 50 10 40 20
cross city 75 93 75 93 75 20 50 10 40 40
apalachicola 78 91 78 91 78 20 40 10 20 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until midnight edt 11 pm cdt tonight for
coastal gulf.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Humphreys
short term... Fournier
long term... Fournier
aviation... Godsey
marine... Fournier
fire weather... Pullin
hydrology... Fournier


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi51 min W 8.9 G 9.9 89°F 88°F1016.7 hPa
PCBF1 19 mi51 min WSW 8 G 8.9 87°F 1016.9 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi51 min SW 6 G 8 89°F 88°F1016.2 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 42 mi96 min NNW 2.9 91°F 78°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi25 minW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds92°F76°F61%1016.2 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi28 minVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds93°F73°F52%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12W12W12W14W10W9W9W6W7W5W4W6W5NW8NW7CalmN8N8NW8N8NW5NW6E4W10
1 day agoSW11W9W10SW6W8W7W6W8W8W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmN4SW10CalmW6W8W9
2 days agoSW8SW10W13
G18
W10W9W8W4W5CalmW4W3CalmCalmSW4W3W5NW5CalmCalmW6NW6W7W7W9

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:48 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:57 AM CDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:53 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:28 PM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.811.21.51.71.92.12.22.22.221.81.61.310.70.40.20.1000.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:48 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:48 AM CDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:54 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:04 PM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.91.11.31.51.71.81.91.91.81.71.51.310.80.50.30.10000.10.20.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.