Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
March 28, 2024 12:54 PM CDT (17:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:34 AM Sunset 7:00 PM Moonrise 10:20 PM Moonset 8:15 AM |
GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- 914 Am Cdt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 1 pm cdt this afternoon - .
Rest of today - Northwest winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tonight - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Monday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1014 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis -
increasing north winds are expected behind this morning's cold front, with fresh to strong breezes expected west of apalachicola. A small craft advisory remains in effect for both near and offshore zones into the afternoon. Boating conditions will start to improve this evening with conditions further improving through the weekend.
increasing north winds are expected behind this morning's cold front, with fresh to strong breezes expected west of apalachicola. A small craft advisory remains in effect for both near and offshore zones into the afternoon. Boating conditions will start to improve this evening with conditions further improving through the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 281705 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 105 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
High pressure from the west builds into the region today, which will finally push the lingering frontal boundary out of our GA and eastern FL Big Bend counties later this morning. Showers will likely continue over the next few hours with conditions clearing out by mid to late morning. Northerly winds, which may gust up to 20 or 25 mph in areas this afternoon, will usher in cooler air.
Highs for today should peak at or within a few degrees of 70 for SE AL and SW GA, while FL counties rise in the low to mid 70s.
Tonight, the cool air trend continues with lows falling into the low to mid 40s for SE AL and SW GA and in the generally in the mid to upper 40s for FL counties.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
For the start of the short term, cool conditions with morning lows in the mid 40s as we begin Friday. This will be due to the likely radiational cooling early Friday morning as we are expecting clear skies and light to calm winds. Surface high pressure is expected to drift east-southeast through the day and the passage of a weak upper level ridge. The ridge is expected to flatten as we head into Saturday evening, and the surface high pressure will be centered east of the peninsula. Benign conditions are expected to prevail, with another night of cool temperatures in the mid to upper 40s.
Afternoon temperatures during the short term will be gradually increasing for the weekend. Friday's highs will range from the low to upper 70s, with the warmer temperatures south of I-10.
Saturday's highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Moisture advection from the Gulf returns Saturday night, allowing for low temperatures to be a little warmer in the low 50s, and upper 50s along the coastal regions.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
The upper level ridging builds up again heading into the beginning of the work week. Calm and dry conditions are expected to continue for Monday. An upper level low is forecast to develop over the central plains late Monday with an associated cold front at the surface, which will bring our next chances for rain heading into Tuesday and Wednesday. PoPs peak at around 40-50 percent Tuesday night into Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms possible. Nothing in our region has been highlighted by the national centers concerning severe or heavy rain, but the Climate Prediction Center has been noting that we can expect above average rainfall in the coming week. Afternoon temperatures for the long term will be increasing into the mid 80s and morning lows will be warming into the low 60s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Showers and thunderstorms will continue across our eastern waters through this morning. The front associated with this is expected to exit the region during the morning hours today. Increasing north winds are expected behind this system, with fresh to strong breezes expected west of Apalachicola. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for both near and offshore zones as a result through 00z tonight. Boating conditions will start to improve later in the day with conditions improving through the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
After a period of wet weather, high pressure returns to the region and brings a stretch of dry weather. The main fire weather concerns will be area wide high dispersions today and Saturday, with pockets of low dispersions across SE AL and SW GA on Friday.
In addition to dispersions, minRH values of 20 to 40 percent west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers are forecast for today and tomorrow minRH values should range from about 25 to 35 percent, highest along the FL coast and in the eastern counties of the FL Big Bend.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 613 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Recent rainfall has caused rises on several rivers across the area. Minor flooding will be possible along the Ochlockonee River at Concord by this weekend. For the Ochlockonee River at Thomasville, the flood warning has been cancelled, but still remains in Action Stage. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown is currently forecast to crest near flood stage, but current observations are tracking slightly below the forecast so confidence is lower on actually reaching flood stage barring any changes in releases upstream. Otherwise, several other rivers have risen into action stage or are forecast to rise into action stage over the next few days including Bruce Creek, the Withlacoochee River, Searcy Creek, and the Ochlockonee River further downstream from Concord. The good news is that after the rain from Wednesday through Wednesday night, no additional rainfall accumulation is expected for the upcoming week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 46 75 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 49 73 51 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 43 73 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 43 72 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 45 72 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 47 75 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 50 68 51 70 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ750- 752.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ770-772.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 105 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
High pressure from the west builds into the region today, which will finally push the lingering frontal boundary out of our GA and eastern FL Big Bend counties later this morning. Showers will likely continue over the next few hours with conditions clearing out by mid to late morning. Northerly winds, which may gust up to 20 or 25 mph in areas this afternoon, will usher in cooler air.
Highs for today should peak at or within a few degrees of 70 for SE AL and SW GA, while FL counties rise in the low to mid 70s.
Tonight, the cool air trend continues with lows falling into the low to mid 40s for SE AL and SW GA and in the generally in the mid to upper 40s for FL counties.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
For the start of the short term, cool conditions with morning lows in the mid 40s as we begin Friday. This will be due to the likely radiational cooling early Friday morning as we are expecting clear skies and light to calm winds. Surface high pressure is expected to drift east-southeast through the day and the passage of a weak upper level ridge. The ridge is expected to flatten as we head into Saturday evening, and the surface high pressure will be centered east of the peninsula. Benign conditions are expected to prevail, with another night of cool temperatures in the mid to upper 40s.
Afternoon temperatures during the short term will be gradually increasing for the weekend. Friday's highs will range from the low to upper 70s, with the warmer temperatures south of I-10.
Saturday's highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Moisture advection from the Gulf returns Saturday night, allowing for low temperatures to be a little warmer in the low 50s, and upper 50s along the coastal regions.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
The upper level ridging builds up again heading into the beginning of the work week. Calm and dry conditions are expected to continue for Monday. An upper level low is forecast to develop over the central plains late Monday with an associated cold front at the surface, which will bring our next chances for rain heading into Tuesday and Wednesday. PoPs peak at around 40-50 percent Tuesday night into Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms possible. Nothing in our region has been highlighted by the national centers concerning severe or heavy rain, but the Climate Prediction Center has been noting that we can expect above average rainfall in the coming week. Afternoon temperatures for the long term will be increasing into the mid 80s and morning lows will be warming into the low 60s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions are expected through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Showers and thunderstorms will continue across our eastern waters through this morning. The front associated with this is expected to exit the region during the morning hours today. Increasing north winds are expected behind this system, with fresh to strong breezes expected west of Apalachicola. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for both near and offshore zones as a result through 00z tonight. Boating conditions will start to improve later in the day with conditions improving through the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
After a period of wet weather, high pressure returns to the region and brings a stretch of dry weather. The main fire weather concerns will be area wide high dispersions today and Saturday, with pockets of low dispersions across SE AL and SW GA on Friday.
In addition to dispersions, minRH values of 20 to 40 percent west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers are forecast for today and tomorrow minRH values should range from about 25 to 35 percent, highest along the FL coast and in the eastern counties of the FL Big Bend.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 613 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Recent rainfall has caused rises on several rivers across the area. Minor flooding will be possible along the Ochlockonee River at Concord by this weekend. For the Ochlockonee River at Thomasville, the flood warning has been cancelled, but still remains in Action Stage. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown is currently forecast to crest near flood stage, but current observations are tracking slightly below the forecast so confidence is lower on actually reaching flood stage barring any changes in releases upstream. Otherwise, several other rivers have risen into action stage or are forecast to rise into action stage over the next few days including Bruce Creek, the Withlacoochee River, Searcy Creek, and the Ochlockonee River further downstream from Concord. The good news is that after the rain from Wednesday through Wednesday night, no additional rainfall accumulation is expected for the upcoming week.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 46 75 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 49 73 51 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 43 73 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 43 72 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 45 72 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 47 75 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 50 68 51 70 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ750- 752.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ770-772.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 5 mi | 54 min | NW 12G | 67°F | ||||
PCBF1 | 7 mi | 54 min | NW 9.9G | 68°F | 66°F | 30.04 | ||
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 52 mi | 54 min | NNW 6G | 71°F | 67°F | 30.01 | ||
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 54 mi | 54 min | NW 8 | 69°F | 30.06 | 50°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL | 12 sm | 59 min | NW 12 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 45°F | 40% | 30.03 | |
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 13 sm | 61 min | NNW 11G21 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 43°F | 38% | 30.04 |
Tide / Current for Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:16 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:10 AM CDT 1.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM CDT -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:20 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:16 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:10 AM CDT 1.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM CDT -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:20 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.4 |
3 am |
0.4 |
4 am |
0.4 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.7 |
7 am |
0.9 |
8 am |
1 |
9 am |
1.2 |
10 am |
1.2 |
11 am |
1.2 |
12 pm |
1.1 |
1 pm |
1 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.1 |
6 pm |
-0 |
7 pm |
-0.1 |
8 pm |
-0.1 |
9 pm |
-0.1 |
10 pm |
-0.1 |
11 pm |
-0.1 |
Northwest Florida,
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