Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eden Isle, LA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:05PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 10:47 AM CDT (15:47 UTC) Moonrise 12:16PMMoonset 12:31AM Illumination 37% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ534 Lake Borgne- 1036 Am Cdt Tue Jun 19 2018
Rest of today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds near 10 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
GMZ500 Synopsis Pascagoula To Sw Pass Mississippi- Synopsis Sw Pass Mississippi River To Atchafalaya River- 1036 Am Cdt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis..A broad area of low pressure will move into texas this morning. High pressure will then build over the eastern gulf of mexico and remain in place through the end of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eden Isle CDP, LA
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location: 30.22, -89.82     debug


Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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Fxus64 klix 190853
afdlix
area forecast discussion
national weather service new orleans la
353 am cdt Tue jun 19 2018

Short term
A tropical wave meandering across southeast texas extends well
across louisiana into mississippi. The upper air sounding from 00z
yesterday showed just how much moisture has spread into the area. Pw
was over 2 inches which is above the 90th percentile for this time
of year. Model soundings show that number creeping up throughout the
day. With so much moisture in place, should be easy for numerous
showers and thunderstorms again today. Therefore, mirrored the mav
for pops today as opposed to the conservative blended guidance. The
main potential impact today will be locally heavy rainfall due to
such efficient rain processes expected.

On Wednesday, an upper ridge will spread south and west across then
gulf of mexico from florida westward. Although subsidence will
moving in from the gulf, still will have enough moisture in place
for rain chances to be in the 40 to 50% range. The only exception is
far easter portions of the CWA where column moisture in lower and
subsidence is stronger.

An upper low will be tracking into the central plains Wednesday and
Thursday. This will cause the ridge over the gulf to retreat
slightly. A gradient in convective coverage will likely exist with
highest pops in northern forecast zones and lowest along the
coastline.

Long term
The aforementioned upper low will lift northeast ending this week,
thus allowing the ridge over the gulf to spread north over the
region this weekend. Subsequently, rain chances will drop quite a
bit and temps should be on the rise. Kept previous pops of 20% and
slightly increased high temps into the lower 90s.

Aviation
Another round of scattered sh TS are expected with more activity to
the west than those terminals to the east. A few sites mainly west
will have ceilings around bkn015 temporarily as most should remain
well inVFR. Some ceilings in the bkn060 can be expected for this
afternoon for a short time as well. Not a lot of difference between
this morning and tonight expected.D low pressure system over texas.

Marine
A fairly tight pressure gradient remains in place over the open gulf
waters west of the mississippi river this morning. Onshore flow of
15 to 20 knots and seas of 4 to 6 feet will persist over these
western waters through this morning. The pressure gradient will
gradually begin to ease tonight and Wednesday as the low over texas
weakens and a broad ridge of high pressure strengthens over the
eastern gulf of mexico. Winds and seas should drop to around 10
knots or less, and seas should fall to 3 feet or less for the latter
part of the week and the upcoming weekend.

Decision support
Dss code: blue.

Deployed: none.

Activation: none.

Activities: none.

Preliminary point temps pops
Mcb 87 73 89 73 60 20 50 20
btr 85 75 89 74 70 20 50 20
asd 88 76 90 75 50 20 20 20
msy 88 77 90 77 50 20 30 10
gpt 89 77 89 77 40 10 20 10
pql 91 75 90 75 30 10 20 10

Lix watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Gm... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA 20 mi53 min E 1.9 G 7 85°F 84°F1017.5 hPa
CARL1 26 mi47 min 83°F
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA 26 mi47 min ESE 12 G 14 84°F 85°F1017.6 hPa (+0.0)
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS 27 mi47 min E 6 G 6 81°F 83°F1017.8 hPa (+0.0)
FREL1 33 mi53 min ESE 8 G 9.9 83°F 1016.6 hPa
BYGL1 - 8762482 - Bayou Gauche, LA 44 mi53 min ESE 7 G 8.9 83°F 83°F1017.4 hPa

Wind History for New Canal Station, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Slidell, Slidell Airport, LA9 mi54 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F77°F82%1017.5 hPa
New Orleans, New Orleans Lakefront Airport, LA17 mi54 minESE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds85°F77°F77%1016.9 hPa
Bay St. Louis, Stennis International Airport, MS22 mi57 minE 57.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F77°F84%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from ASD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE4SE433N3SW3N4N6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmNE3NE3E3CalmE7
1 day agoS10S9SE11
G20
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G19
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SE9SE11SE8SE4CalmN3CalmCalmNE3CalmNE3E3SE4E3SE4NE3SE8SE5
2 days agoSW43NE8NE6E6S10
G19
S10SE7SE9CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmSE3SE11SE13
G22

Tide / Current Tables for Bayou BonFouca, Route 433, Louisiana
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Bayou BonFouca
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:53 AM CDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:15 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:03 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:28 PM CDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.50.50.40.40.30.20.10.10-0-0000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Chef Menteur, Chef Menteur Pass, Louisiana
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Chef Menteur
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:30 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 AM CDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:16 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:41 PM CDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.40.30.10.1-0-000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.80.90.90.90.90.80.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.