Monday, June17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Shores, AL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 7:57PM Monday June 17, 2019 6:16 AM CDT (11:16 UTC) Moonrise 8:23PMMoonset 6:03AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 333 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2019
Today..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 333 Am Cdt Mon Jun 17 2019
Synopsis..High pressure east of the area will maintain light onshore flow and little change in seas early in the week. Moderate to strong southwest flow and building seas are then expected mid to late week. Shower and Thunderstorm chances continue each day through the period, with greater coverage expected mid to late week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Shores, AL
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location: 30.24, -87.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 170937
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
437 am cdt Mon jun 17 2019

Near term now through Monday night A slow eastward moving
upper level shortwave will exit the central and southern plains
this morning, passing just east of the mississippi river after
midnight. The surface ridge of high pressure extending from the
western atlantic across the southeast states and northeastern gulf
of mexico will pull slightly eastward as a weak surface low exits
eastern oklahoma, becoming centered over the confluence of the
ohio and mississippi rivers by late tonight. A light southerly
wind will maintain a steady flow of low level moisture from the
gulf, while mid and upper level moisture increases tonight ahead
of the upper trough.

Scattered to numerous coverage of showers and thunderstorms are
forecast for today. With a mix of Sun and clouds today, most
unstable CAPE values will increase to between 1300 and 1800 j kg,
but the sfc-1km SRH values are nearly non-existent, remaining below
50 m2 s2, and the wet bulb zero values will be just above 13,000
feet. Therefore, the near storm environment today will favor
localized damaging winds this afternoon and early evening with any
strong storms that develop. Frequent lightning and localized heavy
downpours are also possible. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms will occur throughout the night due to the approaching
upper level trough. High temperatures today will be near normal,
ranging from 88 to 93 degrees inland areas. With southerly winds off
the gulf, highs along the beaches will range from 85 to 88 degrees.

Low temperatures tonight will be near to slightly above normal,
ranging from 69 to 73 degrees inland areas, with mid 70s at the
beaches. 22

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night Southern stream
mid level trough axis aligned from the mid south to the central
gulf coast Tue am slides east over the southeast us by evening.

Mid level flow shows some flattening into Wednesday. Environmental
moisture remains mostly unchanged in the short term with pwats
ranging from 1.8 to 2 inches. A light southwest flow persists at
the surface with a ridge of high pressure nosing westward over
the gulf. As mid level short-wave trough pockets of enhanced
ascent advances slowly east and operates on sufficient deep
moisture Tuesday, scattered to perhaps numerous showers and storms
are expected to develop during time of best instability. Although
flow aloft flattens by Wednesday, will maintain modest pops as
the eastward passage of subtle pieces of mid level energy will be
enough to spark convective redevelopment. Some of the stronger
storms will likely contain brief strong wind gusts in excess of 40
mph, brief locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning
activity. Although the risk of widespread severe weather is
minimal, can't rule out a few strong storms to intensify briefly
to severe levels. Main threat in any of these will be localized
damaging wind gusts.

Daytime highs mostly in the upper 80s to lower 90s stands near to
slightly above climatology. Warm and muggy overnight lows a few
degrees above climatology. 10

Long term Thursday through Sunday The medium range weather
models depict the next short-wave mid level trof height falls
spreading eastward over the great lakes and mid ms river valley
Thursday am. Associated h85 sfc low and attendant front lifts
east northeast over same areas. As this occurs a low level sub-
tropical west to southwest jet increases in a zone from east
tx, deep south to up across the oh river valley Thursday am.

0-6km bulk shear gradually improves Thursday, increasing to 25 to
35 knots. Considering the improvement in low level wind shear,
sufficient daytime instability and pwats ranging 1.8 to 2.0
inches, a greater storm coverage is favored Thursday. The shear
profile remains unidirectional and should the pattern evolve as
currently projected, the development of multi cellular
thunderstorm structures are possible and could potentially produce
damaging straight line wind gusts. Wet bulb zero heights ranging
at or above 13000' is not optimal for hail, but if storm cores can
build to well above the -20c layer Thursday, then nickel to
perhaps quarter size hail could make it to the ground. The latest
longer range convective outlook by the storm prediction center
states a 15% or slight risk severe weather area may eventually be
introduced over portions of the southeast for Thursday.

Chances of afternoon convection over the area is expected to
trend lower Friday and into the weekend as an upper level ridge
builds over the north central gulf region.

Similar to the short-term, daytime highs are expected to be near
to slightly warmer than climatology to close out the week. Highs
continue to see a rising trend into the weekend. Overnight lows
remain well above normal. 10

Marine High pressure east of the area will maintain light
onshore flow and little change in seas early in the week. Moderate
to strong southwest flow and building seas are then expected mid to
late week. Shower and thunderstorm chances continue each day through
the period, with greater coverage expected mid to late week. 22

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 89 73 89 73 91 75 89 75 30 20 70 20 50 20 60 30
pensacola 90 76 87 77 89 78 87 77 20 20 50 30 50 20 60 30
destin 89 77 86 78 86 80 85 79 20 20 50 30 50 30 60 30
evergreen 93 71 90 73 92 75 90 73 40 20 70 20 50 20 60 50
waynesboro 88 70 88 71 91 73 87 72 50 30 70 30 50 20 70 40
camden 92 70 89 72 92 74 88 72 30 30 70 30 50 20 70 60
crestview 93 71 90 72 91 74 89 73 40 20 60 30 50 20 60 40

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 8 mi46 min 83°F 1014.9 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 10 mi76 min SSE 8 82°F 1013.5 hPa (-0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 14 mi36 min 1 ft
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 14 mi91 min 74°F 1014 hPa73°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 20 mi76 min S 8.9 G 9.9 82°F 1014 hPa (-0.8)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 32 mi46 min Calm 77°F 1014.9 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 40 mi91 min S 9.9 83°F 1014 hPa76°F

Wind History for Fort Morgan, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL4 mi21 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F71°F98%1014.9 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL18 mi21 minN 010.00 miFair70°F69°F100%1014.9 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL21 mi20 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F73°F97%1015 hPa

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S6SE9
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2 days agoNW4NE5NE4NE4E6E4E6S9
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Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:31 AM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:03 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:32 AM CDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:08 PM CDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.10.30.50.70.91.11.31.51.71.9221.91.81.51.20.90.60.40.2-0-0.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:31 AM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:02 AM CDT     2.28 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:04 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:51 AM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:34 PM CDT     -2.47 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:24 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:56 PM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.91.31.722.22.32.221.61.10.6-0.1-0.8-1.4-1.9-2.2-2.4-2.5-2.3-2-1.6-1.1-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.