Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriole Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 7:55PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 9:09 PM CDT (02:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:05PMMoonset 12:20AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 404 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 19 2018
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 404 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis..A mainly light to moderate onshore flow will persist into early next week as high pressure extends from the western atlantic to the eastern gulf of mexico, with a weak and light offshore flow near shore late at night. Isolated to scattered showers and storms through the period, with locally higher winds and seas.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriole Beach, FL
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location: 30.29, -87.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 192326 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
626 pm cdt Tue jun 19 2018

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Isolated early evening thunderstorms have developed
along a northward moving seabreeze across inland southeast
mississippi and southwest alabama, aided by several convective
outflow boundaries and surface temps in the upper 80s. Sent a
quick update to the zone forecast to account for these
thunderstorms through 9 pm. 22

Prev discussion issued 618 pm cdt Tue jun 19 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... A few isolated storms ongoing over far southwest
alabama and southeast mississippi dissipate after sunset this
evening.VFR conditions and light south to southwest winds then
expected through the period. Redevelopment of isolated showers and
storms will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening. 49
prev discussion... Issued 405 pm cdt Tue jun 19 2018
near term now through Wednesday ... Upper ridging remains solidly
in place across the region. As a result, no convective activity
has developed across our forecast area so far this afternoon, but
kmob radar and visible satellite both indicate seabreeze
circulation is finally developing late this afternoon. The more
enhanced cloud development is over coastal al and into interior
southeast ms, and an isolated shower or storm could still develop
in those locations late this afternoon and linger into the early
evening hours. Otherwise, no pops tonight with partly cloudy
skies, light winds and overnight temperatures in the low to mid
70s. Upper ridging weakens slightly on Wednesday, with lower
levels generally unchanged. Low level moisture remains abundant,
and with the slight weakening aloft could see a little more
convective activity Wednesday afternoon, but not likely more than
isolated coverage. Another hot one on Wednesday, with daytime
highs near or perhaps just above normal, in the low to mid 90s and
heat indices again in the 100-102 degree range. 12 ds
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... An upper trof
over the eastern plains now looks to dig a bit further southward
while advancing into the eastern states through Friday. This
portends a better chance for rain during part of the period by
bringing a stronger series of shortwaves across the region and
also pushing an upper ridge from over the extreme southeast states
and northeastern gulf southward into the central gulf. A surface
low associated with the upper trof moves from northwest missouri
to near the ohio mississippi river confluence on Friday. In
response, a surface ridge over the central gulf coast states and
northeast gulf is pushed southward to extend east-west across the
central gulf. This sets up a southwesterly low mid level flow
with deep layer moisture increasing, aided by the departure of
subsidence effects associated with the upper ridge. In addition to
this pattern is a surface trof over the extreme southeast states
which weakens through Thursday and looks to dissipate Thursday
night. This feature, combined with the improving deep layer
moisture and a stronger series of shortwaves moving across the
area looks to support scattered convective development on good
chance pops on Thursday but an upgrade to likely pops could be
necessary over interior areas. A series of shortwaves continue to
move across the area on Friday and a modest sea breeze will
probably develop, but with the loss of the weak surface trof
expect isolated to potentially scattered convective development.

The stronger storms each day will be capable of gusty winds and
frequent lightning. Heat index values up to 102 or so are expected
each day. 29
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... The eastern states upper
trof shears out on Saturday although a vigorous series of
shortwaves will move across the eastern states through Sunday. An
upper ridge meanwhile begins to build over the central states then
spreads into the region through Tuesday. While a surface ridge
over the central gulf shifts into the northern gulf, a surface low
passing well to the north brings a surface trof into the extreme
southeast states. With this pattern, have gone with mainly slight
chance pops on Saturday which gradually trend to chance pops for
the entire area later in the period. Heat index values of 100 to
105 are expected each day. 29
marine... A mainly light to moderate onshore flow will persist
into early next week as surface high pressure extends from the
western atlantic to the eastern gulf of mexico. There may be a
slight offshore flow over bays and near the coast late and night
and early morning hours. Seas initially around 2 feet offshore
tonight then increase slightly by the weekend as the onshore flow
increasing somewhat. Winds and waves will only be locally higher
near isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi52 min WNW 4.1 G 7 86°F 88°F1014.9 hPa
PPTA1 23 mi70 min 85°F 1015.2 hPa (+0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi40 min SW 9.7 G 9.7 85°F 1014.8 hPa78°F
WBYA1 38 mi52 min 87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi85 min 85°F 1015 hPa76°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 48 mi70 min SW 9.9 85°F 1014.6 hPa (-1.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 48 mi52 min SW 8.9 G 9.9 84°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL11 mi74 minWSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1014.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi77 minWSW 910.00 miFair86°F71°F61%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE7NE7NE7E4SE5S9S10--S9S94SW3W3
1 day agoSE7E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5E6E5E8NE75E7SE9SE8S9S7S5S5SW6SW5CalmCalm
2 days agoS6S7S6SW3SW7S8S6CalmCalmCalmCalm3SE3S6S8SE8SE10S10S10SE7S8SE6S5SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:20 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:23 AM CDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:04 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:57 PM CDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-0-0.1-0.1-00.10.30.40.60.70.911.11.21.21.31.31.31.21.110.80.60.5

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:20 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:02 AM CDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM CDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-0.1-000.10.30.40.60.70.80.911.11.11.11.21.11.110.90.70.60.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.