Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriole Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 5:45PM Saturday February 24, 2018 9:34 PM CST (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 1:22PMMoonset 2:27AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 417 Pm Cst Sat Feb 24 2018
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog after midnight. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers likely in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 417 Pm Cst Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis..Surface high pressure stretching west over the northern gulf coast will continue through the early to mid part of next week, but a cold front will move into the southeast states and stall along the coast or maybe just offshore, bringing unsettled through the period. Onshore flow becoming briefly offshore near the coast early next week. Surface high pressure passing north of the marine area and then off the east atlantic coast through Thursday, bringing a more predominate east to southeast flow Wednesday and Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriole Beach, FL
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location: 30.29, -87.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 250005 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
605 pm cst Sat feb 24 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
00z issuance... Mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities through about
25.06z followed by mostly ifr to lifr CIGS and visibilities
through about 25.15z then mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities
through 26.00z. Winds will be south at 10 to 15 knots through
25.03z diminishing to 5 to 10 knots through 25.15z becoming
southwest 10 to 15 knots through 26.00z. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 359 pm cst Sat feb 24 2018
near term now through Sunday ... A cold front extending from
eastern texas up onto arkansas late this afternoon is expected to
move east toward the forecast area tonight and drop slowly southeast
across the forecast area on Sunday, roughly extending along the i-65
corridor in alabama by the end of the day on Sunday. Look for
isolated showers to continue over western portions of the forecast
area this evening, with rain chances going up after midnight,
especially over the northwestern portions of the forecast area. As
the front settles across the region on Sunday, expect rain chances
to go up into the likely to categorical category (especially over
northern and western portions of the forecast area) by midday.

Expect precipitation to primarily be in the form of showers,
but isolated to scattered thunderstorms will also be possible
along and south of the frontal boundary. There is a marginal risk
of a few strong to briefly severe thunderstorms across the region on
Sunday, but that risk looks to be minimal. A rather weak low level
jet of 25 to 35 knots develops across the area Sunday afternoon,
with maximum MLCAPE primarily in the 300-600 j kg range and mid
level lapse rates mainly in the 5c km range. These parameters for
severe weather aren't all that impressive, but with dewpoints in
the mid and upper 60s along and south of the front, a few
stronger storms could be possible. If any stronger to briefly
severe storms were to develop, the primary risk would be a
localized gusty damaging wind threat. Cooler temperatures begin to
move in from the northwest on Sunday, with highs over northwestern
zones only in the 60s and 70s. East and south of i-65 though,
highs will still be quite warm, in the mid to upper 70s. 12 ds
short term Sunday night through Tuesday night ... A cold front
will move across the area Sunday night into Monday bringing
numerous showers and thunderstorms to the area. An isolated
strong or severe storm with gusty winds is possible, however no
widespread severe storms are expected. Dry conditions are expected
on Tuesday as the front stalls across the northern gulf. Rain
chances increase again late in the day on Tuesday into Tuesday
night as high pressure shifts east and the front returns northward
as a warm front. Temps remain above normal through the period.

13
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms can be expected on Wednesday as the warm
front lifts north of the area and another shortwave approaches
from the west. This shortwave will cause surface low pressure to
form across the southern plains and deepen as it moves into the
midwest on Thursday. A trailing cold front will move across the
area on Thursday with scattered showers and thunderstorms
expected. A drier and cooler airmass follows in the wake of this
front for the end of the week and the weekend with temps returning
to more typical levels. 13
marine... A surface high stretching west over the northern gulf
coast will continue through the early to mid part of next week, but
a cold front will move into the southeast states and stall along the
coast or maybe just offshore, bringing unsettled through the period.

Onshore flow becoming briefly offshore near the coast early next
week, but otherwise remains light to moderate onshore. Scattered to
occasionaly numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across the coastal waters through midweek. Surface high pressure
passing north of the marine area and off the east atlantic coast
through Thursday will bring a more predominately east to southeast
flow back to the marine area Wednesday and Thursday. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through Sunday afternoon for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through Sunday afternoon for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi47 min S 7 G 9.9 73°F 74°F1019.1 hPa
PPTA1 23 mi65 min 72°F 1019 hPa
WBYA1 38 mi47 min 76°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi110 min 73°F 1018 hPa69°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 48 mi65 min ESE 8 69°F 1018.3 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 48 mi47 min S 12 G 13 73°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL11 mi4.6 hrsSSE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds74°F68°F82%1017.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi42 minSSE 910.00 miOvercast72°F69°F91%1019.1 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE10SE9SE7----------------------SE12SE10SE13SE11SE14SE12SE9SE10S11
1 day agoSE7SE4SE8SE7----------------E5E7--SE9SE10E10SE11E9SE9E12SE10SE6
2 days agoSE10SE9SE9SE9----------------E8E9SE10SE12E10E11E9SE9SE10E11E10E7

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:27 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:44 AM CST     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:21 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:43 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:17 PM CST     1.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.50.60.811.11.21.31.31.21.10.90.6

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:27 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:23 AM CST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:20 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:22 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:09 PM CST     1.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:44 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.2-00.10.30.50.60.80.91.11.11.21.21.10.90.70.50.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.