Sunday, June25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriole Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 7:56PM Sunday June 25, 2017 3:53 AM CDT (08:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:30AMMoonset 9:31PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1008 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 24 2017
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Smooth becoming a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1008 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis..A weak frontal boundary will shift south over the adjacent coastal waters late tonight and early Sunday. A light offshore flow is expected in the wake of the front through Sunday morning, becoming light by afternoon. A light to moderate offshore flow is expected each night through early Tuesday as a broad surface ridge of high pressure builds southeast over the mid mississippi river valley through early next week. A better onshore flow is expected late Tuesday into Wednesday as the ridge of high pressure shifts east to the atlantic seaboard and western atlantic through midweek.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriole Beach, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.29, -87.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kmob 250503 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1203 am cdt Sun jun 25 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance...VFR to MVFR conditions through 26.06z. Lower cigs
and visibilities mainly in scattered to possibly numerous showers
and thunderstorms occurring during the day on Sun possibly into
early Sun evening. Winds will be light and variable for the rest
of tonight shifting mostly north at 4 to 8 kts through early sun
afternoon then light and variable through Sun evening. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 1007 pm cdt Sat jun 24 2017
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Have updated to lower pops for slight chance for the
remainder of the night, except for chance pops mainly over the
western florida panhandle and part of extreme south central
alabama where scattered convection continues to gradually decrease
in coverage. Made other minor adjustments. 29
prev discussion... Issued 703 pm cdt Sat jun 24 2017
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR to MVFR conditiovfr to MVFR conditions through 26.00z. Lower cigs
and visibilities mainly in scattered to possibly numerous showers
and thunderstorms occurring this evening and during the day on
sun. The better coverage is expected during the day on sun. Winds
will be light and variable for the rest of this evening and
overnight shifting mostly north at 4 to 8 kts during the day on
sun. 32 ee ns through 26.00z. Lower CIGS and visibilities mainly
in scattered to possibly numerous showers and thunderstorms
occurring this evening and during the day on sun. The better
coverage is expected during the day on sun. Winds will be light
and variable for the rest of this evening and overnight shifting
mostly north at 4 to 8 kts during the day on sun. 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 356 pm cdt Sat jun 24 2017
near term now through Sunday ... The flash flood watch has been
cancelled. Based on latest satellite and radar trends, upper air
data and short-term forecast guidance we feel the flash flood
threat has greatly diminished, and will continue to do so into
mid-evening. The boundary layer is still unstable southeast of
i-65, however large scale subsidence in the wake of this morning's
mid-level shortwave passage did a number on subsequent developing
updrafts throughout the day. In fact, goes-r vis is showing nw
flow horizontal rolls in what looks like a relatively stable
boundary layer from just north of the coastal counties to the cold
front itself (over our interior). Have observed a few updrafts
trying to form well inland and the process of dry air entrainment
is having its way with them. Also a more rapid storm motion is
also acting to cut down on precipitation amounts locally. This is
very evident when viewing trends in basin average rainfall to
flash flood guidance ratios.

Despite all of this, we do however expect to have lingering
scattered deep convection which may produce brief heavy rainfall,
along and ahead of the cold front as it moves further into our
area during the remainder of the afternoon and evening (especially
southward to the coast). So, expect coverage of any flooding to be
very limited. Tonight's lows look to range from 69 to 73 over the
interior. Mid to upper 70s coast. 23 jmm
for Sunday, the frontal boundary will be close to the coast and
would serve to provide the impetus for a likely chance of
convective initiation mostly over the coastal counties, where a
narrow zone of pwats ~2.20 inches pool into the frontal
circulation. Lower coverages north of the coast. Highs on Sunday
in the mid 80s. 10
short term Sunday night through Tuesday night ... The frontal
boundary is progged to settle off the coast by the Sunday night
with surface high pressure building over the mid-south for the
start of the new week. Outside of a small chance of showers and
storms mostly over the southern zones, a much more quiet weather
pattern is expected in the short term. Overnight lows in the mid
60s interior, lower to mid 70s immediate coast. Daily highs in the
mid to upper 80s.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ... Deep layer gulf moisture
returns, lifting northward atop the forecast area as an upper
level ridge of high pressure strengthens over the western atlantic
and eastern gulf of mexico. 24.12z weather model guidance remains
consistent in showing pwat values improving to around 1.75"
Wednesday over the coast, potentially modifying to as high as
around 2.00" or so Friday and Saturday. This supports an
increasing daily chance of showers and thunderstorms mid to late
in the week, some with locally heavy rainfall possible. Highs each
day should continue to range in the mid to upper 80s. Morning
lows gradually modify back into the lower to mid 70s area wide by
late in the week as low level moisture increases over the region.

10
marine... A weak frontal boundary sinks south over the coastal
waters Sunday. High pressure over the mid mississippi river
valley on Monday moves east to the mid atlantic states by
Thursday. The movement of the high results in a light to moderate
northeast to easterly flow early next week, becoming southeast by
Wednesday. After Sunday, the next higher chance of showers and
storms comes by the middle to latter part of next week. Seas
mostly 2 to 3 feet. 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk until 3 am cdt Sunday for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk until 3 am cdt Sunday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi54 min 79°F 83°F1018.1 hPa (-0.7)
PPTA1 23 mi54 min Calm 80°F 1018.6 hPa (-0.3)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi64 min NW 5.8 G 7.8 82°F 83°F2 ft1017.5 hPa (-0.7)79°F
WBYA1 38 mi54 min 81°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 38 mi54 min N 2.9
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 48 mi84 min WNW 6 80°F 1018.3 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 48 mi54 min NW 8 G 8 80°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Last
24hr
1 day
ago
2 days
ago

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL11 mi58 minN 3 miMostly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1018 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi61 minNW 410.00 miOvercast80°F73°F79%1018 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrSW10SW6SW6SW8SW10SW13
G23
SW14SW10SW13SW12
G20
CalmS7SW14SW13SW9SW9SW7W5W4CalmNW3CalmCalmN3
1 day agoS11S11S11S10S13S13S15S13S14S14S13S13S14S12SW10S11SW9SW8S8S12S8S10S9SW10
2 days agoS19
G27
SE18
G25
S20
G27
S18
G24
S17
G23
SE16S22
G28
S23
G29
S20
G26
S18
G27
S19S16S17S18S18
G23
S16
G23
S16
G22
S14
G21
S14S13
G20
S16S15
G21
S13S12

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:45 PM CDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:30 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.40.70.91.21.51.71.9221.91.81.51.20.90.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.4

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Warrington
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:37 AM CDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:31 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:46 PM CDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.2-00.20.40.70.91.11.41.61.71.81.81.71.61.310.70.40.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.