Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Miramar Beach, FL
April 19, 2024 3:45 PM CDT (20:45 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:12 AM Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 3:41 PM Moonset 4:07 AM |
GMZ655 Expires:202404200315;;017309 Fzus54 Kmob 191412 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 912 am cdt Fri apr 19 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-200315- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 912 am cdt Fri apr 19 2024
Rest of today - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Saturday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night - North winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday - North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Monday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 912 am cdt Fri apr 19 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-200315- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 912 am cdt Fri apr 19 2024
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 912 Am Cdt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow prevails through Saturday night. A cold front moves across the marine area by Sunday with offshore flow becoming prevalent into early next week. Winds start to turn easterly and then southeasterly by Tuesday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 191937 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 337 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A broad mid-level shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to enter the lower Mississippi valley late Saturday morning, and early Saturday afternoon. This mid level forcing combined with a weakening cold front that is expected to slowly eject southward into central Alabama and Georgia Saturday afternoon will lead to a scattered showers and thunderstorms developing across SE Alabama and SW Georgia in the late afternoon and early evening. Mid 60s dewpoints combined with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s, and a slight lower of heights across the region will lead to around 2000 J/Kg of SBCAPE across the region. While instability will be moderately high for the region, the amount of upper level shear will be the limiting factor. This will especially be the case as 0-6km bulk shear is forecast to be around 20-25 knots.
This will keep storm mode as clusters that may lead to outflow dominant storms through the evening. With the amount of instability across the region, the potential for hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across the aforementioned regions.
Given this threat for severe weather SPC has issued a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for portions of SE Alabama and SW Georgia.
Initially in the morning hours, areas of fog and low stratus will once again develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama, which may limit daytime temperatures from reaching the low 90s as they were initially forecasted the last couple of days.
Due to this, high temperatures were reduced to the upper 80s for much of the region.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Storms will be diminishing into early Sunday morning with spotty showers likely continuing into the early hours of Sunday and then into much of the afternoon Sunday. There's likely to be a lull in activity overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning as the region will be between passing upper level systems. The next system moves through during Sunday afternoon as the main front begins to pass through.
The main forecast challenge for Sunday will be with temperatures, and possibly a low-end severe threat. Convection from Saturday afternoon storms will likely leave a outflow boundary that lingers. North of this boundary temperatures will be slow to recover in the afternoon, and it's likely some areas will not warm up much on the north side of this boundary thanks to cloudy/rainy conditions and cooler air advecting in from the north. Further south, away from the boundary, showers/storms will be slower to arrive so we'll likely see conditions warm up into the mid 70s to low 80s, with the warmest conditions across the southeast Big Bend. These warmer conditions, with the stronger wind shear in place could allow a isolated strong storm to develop in Florida, but warmer mid-level temperatures are likely to reduce the overall severe threat compared to what's possible on Saturday.
While conditions are not likely to be this cool on Sunday, some guidance does indicate temperatures not warming up much above the low 60s across our northwest counties in southeast Alabama due to the heavy cloud cover and increase rain chances. For now, forecast temperatures across southeast Alabama are in the upper 60s, but would not be surprised if they're too high.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
The front moves through by Monday with quiet and cool conditions prevailing through the beginning of the week. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s as the upper level trough passes through.
Northwesterly flow aloft will lead to no appreciable rain chances through much of next week. With sunny skies and no significant cold air advection in the northwesterly flow, expect a quick warm up with temperatures back in the mid to upper 80s by Thursday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
VFR conditions look to continue through the remainder of the day, and into the early evening and overnight hours across the region.
Another low cloud deck, and reduced visibilities look to develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama during the late overnight and early morning hours Saturday. This will lead to MVFR to LIFR restrictions at ECP, TLH, and DHN. ABY and VLD look to remain at VFR conditions through the TAF period; however, some reduced CIGs could develop at ABY in the early morning period before quickly lifting. The restrictions at ECP, TLH, and DHN look to linger through the late morning hours before lifting just prior to the end of the TAF period on Saturday.
MARINE
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Mostly benign boating conditions expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Fog and low stratus will initially develop towards the early morning hours across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama Saturday morning. This fog and low stratus looks to hang around through the late morning hours prior to lifting around noon. Westerly transport winds will eventually transition to southwesterly through the afternoon hours on Saturday, while remaining around 5-10 mph.
Mixing heights will be highest across SW Georgia where early morning fog and stratus is not expected, which will lead to slightly higher dispersions across this region. Minimum RH values will drop into the mid 40s to low 50s for most interior locations, and upper 70s across coastal areas. Overall, there are no fire weather concerns on Saturday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Rain chances begin to increase for Saturday through Sunday night.
The systems will be moving somewhat quickly with rainfall accumulations not expected to exceed 1.0 inches, although isolated higher amounts may be possible.
In addition to the St Marks, Withlacoochee, and Aucilla, remaining in flood, the Suwanee has now risen into flood at Rock Creek, Luraville, and Branford. Expect possible rises to continue down the Suwannee with additional points possibly reaching flood in the days ahead.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 87 67 80 / 0 30 10 60 Panama City 66 76 67 75 / 10 10 10 60 Dothan 64 85 64 67 / 0 60 20 70 Albany 65 85 64 71 / 0 60 30 70 Valdosta 65 88 67 81 / 0 40 20 60 Cross City 62 84 65 82 / 10 0 0 30 Apalachicola 66 74 68 76 / 10 0 0 50
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 337 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A broad mid-level shortwave vorticity maxima is expected to enter the lower Mississippi valley late Saturday morning, and early Saturday afternoon. This mid level forcing combined with a weakening cold front that is expected to slowly eject southward into central Alabama and Georgia Saturday afternoon will lead to a scattered showers and thunderstorms developing across SE Alabama and SW Georgia in the late afternoon and early evening. Mid 60s dewpoints combined with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s, and a slight lower of heights across the region will lead to around 2000 J/Kg of SBCAPE across the region. While instability will be moderately high for the region, the amount of upper level shear will be the limiting factor. This will especially be the case as 0-6km bulk shear is forecast to be around 20-25 knots.
This will keep storm mode as clusters that may lead to outflow dominant storms through the evening. With the amount of instability across the region, the potential for hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across the aforementioned regions.
Given this threat for severe weather SPC has issued a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for portions of SE Alabama and SW Georgia.
Initially in the morning hours, areas of fog and low stratus will once again develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama, which may limit daytime temperatures from reaching the low 90s as they were initially forecasted the last couple of days.
Due to this, high temperatures were reduced to the upper 80s for much of the region.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday night through Sunday night)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Storms will be diminishing into early Sunday morning with spotty showers likely continuing into the early hours of Sunday and then into much of the afternoon Sunday. There's likely to be a lull in activity overnight Saturday into early Sunday morning as the region will be between passing upper level systems. The next system moves through during Sunday afternoon as the main front begins to pass through.
The main forecast challenge for Sunday will be with temperatures, and possibly a low-end severe threat. Convection from Saturday afternoon storms will likely leave a outflow boundary that lingers. North of this boundary temperatures will be slow to recover in the afternoon, and it's likely some areas will not warm up much on the north side of this boundary thanks to cloudy/rainy conditions and cooler air advecting in from the north. Further south, away from the boundary, showers/storms will be slower to arrive so we'll likely see conditions warm up into the mid 70s to low 80s, with the warmest conditions across the southeast Big Bend. These warmer conditions, with the stronger wind shear in place could allow a isolated strong storm to develop in Florida, but warmer mid-level temperatures are likely to reduce the overall severe threat compared to what's possible on Saturday.
While conditions are not likely to be this cool on Sunday, some guidance does indicate temperatures not warming up much above the low 60s across our northwest counties in southeast Alabama due to the heavy cloud cover and increase rain chances. For now, forecast temperatures across southeast Alabama are in the upper 60s, but would not be surprised if they're too high.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
The front moves through by Monday with quiet and cool conditions prevailing through the beginning of the week. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s as the upper level trough passes through.
Northwesterly flow aloft will lead to no appreciable rain chances through much of next week. With sunny skies and no significant cold air advection in the northwesterly flow, expect a quick warm up with temperatures back in the mid to upper 80s by Thursday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
VFR conditions look to continue through the remainder of the day, and into the early evening and overnight hours across the region.
Another low cloud deck, and reduced visibilities look to develop across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama during the late overnight and early morning hours Saturday. This will lead to MVFR to LIFR restrictions at ECP, TLH, and DHN. ABY and VLD look to remain at VFR conditions through the TAF period; however, some reduced CIGs could develop at ABY in the early morning period before quickly lifting. The restrictions at ECP, TLH, and DHN look to linger through the late morning hours before lifting just prior to the end of the TAF period on Saturday.
MARINE
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Mostly benign boating conditions expected through early Sunday. A frontal system will bring scattered showers and storms to our marine waters, mostly on Sunday afternoon. As this front moves through a period of elevated winds and seas is likely Sunday afternoon through Tuesday with some period of cautionary conditions possible as winds switch to become out of the north and northeast. Quieter conditions develop for Wednesday through Friday of the upcoming week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Fog and low stratus will initially develop towards the early morning hours across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and SE Alabama Saturday morning. This fog and low stratus looks to hang around through the late morning hours prior to lifting around noon. Westerly transport winds will eventually transition to southwesterly through the afternoon hours on Saturday, while remaining around 5-10 mph.
Mixing heights will be highest across SW Georgia where early morning fog and stratus is not expected, which will lead to slightly higher dispersions across this region. Minimum RH values will drop into the mid 40s to low 50s for most interior locations, and upper 70s across coastal areas. Overall, there are no fire weather concerns on Saturday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Rain chances begin to increase for Saturday through Sunday night.
The systems will be moving somewhat quickly with rainfall accumulations not expected to exceed 1.0 inches, although isolated higher amounts may be possible.
In addition to the St Marks, Withlacoochee, and Aucilla, remaining in flood, the Suwanee has now risen into flood at Rock Creek, Luraville, and Branford. Expect possible rises to continue down the Suwannee with additional points possibly reaching flood in the days ahead.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 64 87 67 80 / 0 30 10 60 Panama City 66 76 67 75 / 10 10 10 60 Dothan 64 85 64 67 / 0 60 20 70 Albany 65 85 64 71 / 0 60 30 70 Valdosta 65 88 67 81 / 0 40 20 60 Cross City 62 84 65 82 / 10 0 0 30 Apalachicola 66 74 68 76 / 10 0 0 50
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCBF1 | 16 mi | 45 min | SW 13G | 74°F | 76°F | 30.04 | ||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 28 mi | 45 min | SW 12G | 80°F | ||||
| PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 56 mi | 45 min | SSW 11G | 78°F | 30.05 | |||
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 74 mi | 45 min | SW 11G | 76°F | 73°F | 30.04 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KDTS DESTIN EXECUTIVE,FL | 18 sm | 52 min | SW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 70°F | 74% | 30.04 | |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 20 sm | 52 min | SSW 11 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 82°F | 66°F | 58% | 30.02 | |
| KVPS EGLIN AFB/DESTINFT WALTON BEACH,FL | 23 sm | 50 min | SSW 11 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 82°F | 68°F | 62% | 30.02 |
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:10 AM CDT 0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:28 AM CDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:11 PM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:39 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:13 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM CDT 0.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:10 AM CDT 0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:28 AM CDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:11 PM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:39 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:13 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM CDT 0.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:38 AM CDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:39 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:13 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:07 PM CDT 0.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:11 AM CDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:38 AM CDT 0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:39 PM CDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:13 PM CDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:07 PM CDT 0.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Northwest Florida,
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