Monday, June25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:44AMSunset 7:53PM Monday June 25, 2018 2:34 AM CDT (07:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:45PMMoonset 3:56AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 955 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 24 2018
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Monday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Winds light becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 955 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 24 2018
Synopsis..High pressure persists over the gulf through the week. A light to occasionally moderate southerly flow prevails through midweek before shifting to more westerly Thursday and Friday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected throughout the week, with locally higher winds and seas possible in and around the stronger storms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 250710
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
310 am edt Mon jun 25 2018

Near term [through today]
East to west oriented deep layer ridging will remain over the region
today. Time-height cross sections show some subsidence drying in the
mid upper levels so widespread deep convection isn't expected. The
mean 1000-700mb flow will be very light, possibly from the northeast
by mid to late afternoon. Thus, look for scattered convection to
develop along the sea breeze and migrate toward the coastal areas
much like we saw on Sunday. Trimmed pops back to 30% for all but the
far eastern big bend (40%) with this regime. The deep layer ridging
and below climo pops means above seasonal temperatures. Highs will
be in the mid to upper 90s with heat indices around 105 degrees.

Short term [tonight through Wednesday]
The mostly dry weather regime we've experienced over most of the
past week will give way to a wetter pattern as an east west ridge
axis across the region will keep moist southerly flow in place
across the region. Deeper moisture across the region will yield more
widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms each day through
the end of the period, with the highest coverage likely during
the latter portion of the week. Despite the increase in
thunderstorm coverage, temperatures will remain several degrees
above average, with highs in the mid to upper 90s and lows in the
mid to upper 70s.

Long term [Wednesday night through Monday]
A wet and active pattern will continue through the long term period
with the overall synoptic pattern remaining fairly stagnant. Showers
and thunderstorms will be scattered each afternoon, with pops
currently ranging from 40 to 60% each day. Warm temperatures will
persist through the period with highs in the mid 90s and lows in the
mid 70s.

Aviation [through 06z Tuesday]
Vfr conditions will prevail prevail. Scattered afternoon showers and
thunderstorm are expected today which will temporarily cause
MVFR ifr conditions should a storm impact a TAF site. Winds will be
light outside of convection.

Marine
Mainly southerly winds at or below 10 knots will prevail through
midweek before winds become more westerly late in the week. Seas
will range between 1 to 2 feet. Shower and thunderstorm chances will
increase through the week.

Fire weather
Aside from possible low dispersion values this afternoon across
portions of the florida panhandle and big bend, there are no other
fire weather concerns. Chances for wetting rains will become more
widespread from mid week onward.

Hydrology
All area rivers are below action stage at this time. While we will
move into a wetter pattern this week, widespread flooding issues are
not expected due to the expected scattered nature of
thunderstorms.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 96 75 96 74 94 30 20 30 20 50
panama city 92 77 90 78 89 30 20 30 10 30
dothan 96 75 96 74 93 30 30 40 20 50
albany 98 76 98 75 94 30 30 40 30 50
valdosta 96 74 97 74 94 40 30 30 30 50
cross city 94 74 93 74 92 30 40 30 20 30
apalachicola 92 78 92 78 91 30 10 20 10 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 5 am edt 4 am cdt early this
morning for coastal bay-coastal gulf-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Barry
short term... Pullin
long term... Pullin
aviation... Barry
marine... Pullin
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Pullin


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi47 min WSW 6 G 7 83°F 80°F1017.4 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi47 min WSW 6 G 7 83°F 88°F1017.5 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi53 min WSW 4.1 G 6 83°F 86°F1017.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi47 min W 1.9 G 2.9 81°F 85°F1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi42 minWSW 310.00 miFair82°F78°F88%1016.8 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi42 minNW 310.00 miFair78°F75°F90%1017.9 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi98 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds81°F75°F82%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4SW3SW5Calm3Calm3W5SW65SW7W7W75W7
G14
56SW443W433SW3
1 day agoSW8
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SW75W5W56W8SW7SW7
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SW7655SW4SW4Calm3SW46
2 days agoW4W5W6W5W6W8W54W7SW9
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W566SW5SW56SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:55 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:43 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:51 AM CDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:43 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:44 PM CDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.70.91.11.31.41.51.51.51.51.41.20.90.60.30.10-0-0.1-0.1-00.10.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:55 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:43 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM CDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:43 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:31 PM CDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.50.70.91.11.21.41.61.71.71.71.61.41.10.80.50.20-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.