Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 6:40PM Sunday September 24, 2017 1:48 AM CDT (06:48 UTC) Moonrise 10:34AMMoonset 9:45PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1014 Pm Cdt Sat Sep 23 2017
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet then 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thursday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1014 Pm Cdt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis..High pressure ridging into the marine area from the northeast will continue through most of the period, with light to occasionally moderate easterly flow continuing over the marine area. Winds and seas highest on Sunday, before subsiding early to middle next week. Light offshore flow is expected to develop in the wake of a frontal passage around midweek, with northerly winds and seas then building into the latter part of the week and weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 240515
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
115 am edt Sun sep 24 2017

Aviation [through 06z Monday]
MainlyVFR through the period with light northeast winds. The
exception is vld where light fog is possible around dawn. There is
also an outside chance for showers at tlh ecp in the afternoon
hours but the confidence appears too low at this time to place in
tafs.

Prev discussion [1014 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
00 utc surface analysis shows an area of high pressure across
western pa and hurricane maria east of the florida peninsula. The
pressure gradient between these two features has moderate easterly
flow in place across our region. A few showers and thunderstorms
developed this afternoon, and with steep mid level lapse rates a
few produced quarter size hail in SE alabama. Now that daytime
heating has been lost, convection over land has diminished.

However, offshore convection in the easterly flow should continue
overnight and even increase toward daybreak. This is well handled
in the current grids, and no adjustments are necessary. Low
temperatures in the lower 70s are anticipated.

Short term [Sunday through Monday night]
An upper level low along the gulf coast Sunday will eventually
weaken and slide eastward on Monday. This will keep the CWA under
southerly flow at the mid and upper levels. At the surface, high
pressure remains centered north of the CWA with easterly winds at
the lower levels. This pattern will keep moisture in place across
the cwa, with pw values of 1.6-1.9 Sunday and Monday, and will
allow for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the
short term across much of the cwa. The better chances though are
across the western half, closer to the upper low. Highs will be in
the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 60s.

Long term [Tuesday through Saturday]
The upper low from the short term will sink southward over the
florida peninsula mid week with the flow across the region
becoming more northerly and drier air moving in for Tuesday
through Thursday. This will keep the forecast dry for the
beginning of the long term. With a cold front expected to push
into the southeast for the second half of the long term, pops
return to the 20-30% range. Highs around 90 will drop to the mid
80s on Saturday.

Marine
Easterly winds around 15 knots will decrease to 5 to 10 knots on
Monday. A cold front will push into the southeast next weekend,
allowing for winds and seas to be elevated again. The best chance
for showers and thunderstorms will be Sunday and Monday with the
higher chances across the western waters.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

Hydrology
Rainfall amounts over the next few days will be limited to around
an inch or less. This will not cause any flooding issues across
the area.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 87 69 88 69 91 20 20 20 10 10
panama city 84 73 85 72 88 40 20 30 10 10
dothan 87 67 89 68 90 20 10 20 10 10
albany 89 68 89 67 91 10 10 10 0 10
valdosta 86 67 87 66 89 10 10 10 0 10
cross city 89 69 89 69 90 20 10 10 0 10
apalachicola 85 72 86 72 88 40 20 20 10 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Godsey
short term... Fieux
long term... Fieux
aviation... Scholl
marine... Fieux
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi49 min ENE 5.1 G 8 79°F 1013.6 hPa (-0.3)
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi49 min E 5.1 G 8 76°F 84°F1013.7 hPa (-0.5)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi49 min 78°F 84°F1013.3 hPa (-0.8)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi49 min ENE 8.9 G 13 77°F 82°F1013.1 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi56 minE 610.00 miFair80°F66°F64%1013.4 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi56 minN 310.00 miFair72°F69°F91%1014.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi54 minENE 410.00 miFair77°F66°F70%1013.7 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE4E4NE3E5E6E76E5E9E9E6E9E10NE95E6NE4CalmNE45NE4NE7E6
1 day agoE4CalmCalmE3E4E3E3NE4NE6E7NE55S6S7S6SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N6
2 days agoCalmN3CalmCalmNW4N3N4NE4E4E556CalmCalm4SE7SE5E4CalmE5CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 06:32 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:11 AM CDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:32 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:43 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:06 PM CDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.41.41.210.90.80.70.70.80.80.80.80.80.91111.11.21.41.51.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:10 AM CDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:32 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:32 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:33 AM CDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:43 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.71.71.61.41.31.10.90.70.60.60.60.60.60.70.80.90.911.11.21.41.51.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.