Friday, July21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 7:48PM Thursday July 20, 2017 11:39 PM CDT (04:39 UTC) Moonrise 3:07AMMoonset 5:08PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1022 Pm Cdt Thu Jul 20 2017
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1022 Pm Cdt Thu Jul 20 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will continue over the northern gulf through early Friday then gradually build through early next week. A mainly light onshore flow will continue Friday then become better established over the weekend. A light offshore flow near shore possible late at night. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms are expected, with the best coverage occurring the during the late night and early morning hours.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 210033
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
833 pm edt Thu jul 20 2017

Update
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to decrease in coverage
at this hour across the tri-state region. Any additional
development is expected to remain isolated and weak in nature this
evening. Light patchy fog will be possible overnight, especially
in areas that received rainfall this afternoon this evening.

Overnight lows in the mid 70s are expected.

Prev discussion [743 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
18 utc radar satellite imagery show scattered showers and
thunderstorms developing across the region. With overall flow
being northerly around 10-15 kts, best storm growth so far has
been along the sea breeze fronts. As these boundaries move inland,
expect additional storm growth through 22z. Storms should
dissipate after sunset with a quiet night expected across the
region with lows in the mid to upper 70s. Isolated storms are
expected to develop over the coastal waters prior to sunrise, but
remain far enough offshore.

Short term [Friday through Saturday night]
An upper low will move west across the northern gulf coast atop
mid and low-level ridging through Friday night. While the low may
provide a bit of synoptic ascent early on Friday, convection on
both Friday and Saturday should be dominated by the seabreeze
fronts. While there will be some dry air present in the mid-
levels, it won't be as dry as this afternoon where a widespread
scattering of storms has been able to develop. Thus have stuck
very close to climatology with pops. In fact, the presence of a
reduced amount of dry air may slightly increase the wet microburst
potential both Friday and Saturday. Due to the ridge breaking down
a bit with the passage of the upper low and an expected earlier
start to convection, highs may be a couple degrees lower than
today. Expect highs to still remain in the lower to middle 90s,
with heat indices in the low 100s.

Long term [Sunday through Thursday]
A shortwave will move through the great lakes and northeast
through mid-week, amplifying a trough into the mid-atlantic by
Tuesday. While the associated cold front will remain well to our
north, surface troughing associated with the shortwave and lee
effects is expected to run down the eastern seaboard into central
georgia. Wnw steering flow may push convection that develops
along the trough into the tri-state region both Monday and
Tuesday. Pops will be above normal to start the week, with more
typical seabreeze storms by mid-week to finish the period. Highs
will be near normal, in the lower 90s, each day.

Aviation [through 00z Saturday]
Isolated showers could develop near aby and possibly dhn this
evening through sunset as the sea breeze continues to move
inland, but otherwise showers and thunderstorms should continue to
diminish in coverage across our area before dissipating later
this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
late tomorrow afternoon into the early evening, but chances appear
fairly low at this time. Tlh and vld appear to have the highest
chances of seeing a shower thunderstorm at this time.

Marine
Relatively light winds and low seas will prevail for the next
several days, with the best chance of rain between midnight and
noon each day.

Fire weather
Low dispersions will be possible across portions of the tri-state
region once again Friday. Otherwise, there are no fire weather
concerns.

Hydrology
Typical scattered summertime storms are not expected to cause any
flooding issues over the next several days.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 75 93 74 91 74 20 50 20 50 20
panama city 78 88 78 87 79 10 40 20 40 30
dothan 75 92 74 91 74 10 40 20 30 20
albany 75 94 74 92 74 10 30 20 20 20
valdosta 73 94 73 93 73 20 40 20 40 20
cross city 73 92 74 90 75 20 60 20 50 20
apalachicola 76 88 77 87 78 10 30 20 30 20

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Pullin
near term... Godsey
short term... Harrigan
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Lahr
marine... Harrigan
fire weather... Pullin
hydrology... Harrigan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi52 min SW 8 G 8.9 84°F 1017.3 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi52 min SW 8 G 8.9 84°F 90°F1017.3 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi52 min 82°F 87°F1017.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi52 min W 1 G 1 82°F 84°F1017.1 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair82°F75°F82%1016.7 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair79°F77°F94%1017.7 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi45 minN 010.00 miFair80°F75°F87%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW5NW3NW5NW7N33N3N4S65SW6N135CalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NE4NE444E3S5S66SW7SW753SW6W5W4SW3Calm
2 days agoS7S5SW53Calm--NE3NE3E3E4SE6654S43SE43Calm3Calm3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:02 AM CDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:09 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:22 PM CDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:43 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.91.11.31.51.71.91.91.91.81.71.410.60.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.30.5

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:55 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:23 AM CDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:10 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:43 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:49 PM CDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.50.711.21.41.61.82221.91.71.410.60.3-0-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.