Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Miramar Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:40PM Friday May 24, 2019 12:45 PM CDT (17:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 10:44AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1028 Am Cdt Fri May 24 2019
Rest of today..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Winds light becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1028 Am Cdt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis..High pressure will remain centered over the marine area through early next week. Aside from a light to occasionally moderate onshore flow developing with the seabreeze during the late morning and afternoon, winds will remain generally light and variable through early next week. A persistent swell from the south will keep offshore wave heights slightly elevated through Saturday. A light to moderate onshore flow begins to develop on Tuesday as the high pressure center begins to shift east.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Miramar Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.16     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 241417
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
1017 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Update
No changes to the forecast necessary.

Prev discussion [552 am edt]
Near term [through today]
A strong ridge is centered over the region today. At the surface
high pressure is centered over the southeast. A dry air mass will be
in place today with pops near zero. Skies will be mostly sunny
except for maybe some patchy fog this morning. Today will be
hotter than yesterday with highs in the mid to upper 90s away from
the immediate coast.

Short term [tonight through Monday]
The center of the deep layer ridge should be right over the fl
panhandle tonight with surface high pressure encompassing much of
the southeastern state. This ridge stays firmly in place through the
weekend with heights slowly rising. Dry weather will continue.

In terms of temps and dew point forecasts, dew points in many spots
have mixing out into the 50s the last two days which has not been
forecast by the models. It's also tough to figure out which way
to nudge the model temp forecast because we're only running about
a deg too warm. But the blends always underestimate the temps in
these strong high pressure days. Then again, just starting to
notice additional moisture coming in for mon-wed so the blended
temps that are lower than previously advertised may work out.

Saturday, Sunday and Monday will see highs around 97-100 (away
from the immediate coast). Originally, Sunday and Monday were the
hottest days but I think the clouds may keep the temps a little
more suppressed. This puts heat index values around 100-103. This
is a tad lower than previous forecasts because I manually lowered
the afternoon dew points based on trends.

Long term [Monday night through Friday]
As mentioned above, looks like some mid level clouds will be more
prevalent than previous forecasts which will continue to Tuesday and
Wednesday afternoons. The upper level ridge starts to flatten out
Wednesday night with a front and upper trough approaching on
Thursday. These really dry regimes sort of provide a feedback loop
to the atmosphere because then most fronts dry out before they get
here which is what most of the guidance is showing. We should see an
increase in clouds Thu and Fri at least. However, blended guidance
is showing some low pops Thu into Fri as the front stalls across the
area. Point of the story is that temps don't cool down. Tue will
still see highs in the upper 90s, Wed Thu in the mid to upper 90s
and then Friday in the lower to mid 90s. Tue, Wed and Thu will have
heat index values around 100 again (once again, all lower temps
will be at the immediate coast).

The last official 100 degree days (measured at each airport) for
the following areas are as follows:
dothan, al: july 1, 2012
valdosta, ga: august 23, 2014
panama city, fl: august 26, 2014
tallahassee, fl: august 23, 2016
albany, ga: june 25, 2018
record high temperatures and record high minimum temperatures at
tallahassee, fl:
may 24: 100 in 1941
high min: 71 in 1899
may 25: 100 in 1953
high min: 73 in 1938
may 26: 100 in 2012
high min: 73 in 1951
may 27: 102 in 1953
high min: 71 in 1972
may 28: 100 in 2000
high min: 70 in 1934
record high temperatures at albany, ga:
may 24: 99 in 1941
may 25: 99 in 2012
may 26: 101 in 1962
may 27: 100 in 1962
may 28: 101 1962

Aviation
[through 06z Saturday]
mostly sunny clear skies are expected this TAF cycle. Some patchy
fog is possible this morning mainly near vld. Winds will be light
today with the exception of ecp getting the usual summertime
afternoon seabreeze winds.

Marine
With surface high pressure right overhead, light winds of less
than 10 knots may fluctuate in direction but will overall settle
back to southerly each afternoon. Seas will be 1 to 3 feet
throughout the weekend. The next chance of rain won't be until the
end of the next workweek.

Fire weather
A very dry air mass is in place with relative humidity values
around 30 percent today and slightly lower tomorrow. Fuels are
also dry in most locations. Red flag criteria will not be met
since winds will be light today and relative humidity values are
not quite low enough. A southerly seabreeze around 10 mph is
expected near the coast today.

Hydrology
No rain is forecast through the next week so no flooding or
hydrology concerns are expected.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 97 69 99 73 98 0 0 10 0 10
panama city 89 72 92 75 90 0 0 10 0 0
dothan 95 70 98 72 98 0 0 10 0 10
albany 96 72 99 75 98 0 0 0 0 10
valdosta 96 68 100 72 98 0 0 0 0 10
cross city 94 67 97 70 95 0 0 0 0 0
apalachicola 87 71 90 74 89 0 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Nguyen
near term... Mcd
short term... Ln
long term... Ln
aviation... Mcd
marine... Ln
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Ln


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 16 mi33 min S 8.9 G 9.9 80°F 83°F1022 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 28 mi33 min SSW 8 G 9.9 82°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 56 mi27 min S 4.1 G 6 84°F 84°F1021.9 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 74 mi27 min SSE 7 G 8.9 80°F 82°F1022 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL18 mi52 minSSE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F72°F70%1021.6 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL20 mi52 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F63°F41%1022.3 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi49 minSSE 810.00 miFair87°F70°F59%1021.7 hPa

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Last 24hrS96S6S7S7S6S83CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E6NE7E6SE8SE8
1 day agoS6SE7SE564CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E3E4SE10SE10SE12SE8SE8
2 days agoSE8SE7SE8SE9S5443SE5S3S3CalmS33S3S4S3CalmSE5SE8SE7SE8SE8S6

Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:01 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:00 AM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:43 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:19 PM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:35 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1-00.10.30.40.60.91.11.31.41.61.61.61.51.41.31.10.90.70.4

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:01 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:44 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:56 AM CDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:35 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:56 PM CDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-000.10.30.50.60.70.91.11.21.31.41.41.41.31.210.80.60.40.20.100

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.