Sunrise 6:16 AM   Sunset 7:20 PM Moonrise 2:53 PM   Moonset 3:45 AM

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GMZ650 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 18 2024
This afternoon - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Sunday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Monday - North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Monday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 319 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow prevails through Saturday night. A cold front will move through the marine area by Sunday night with offshore flow becoming prevalent into early next week.

FXUS64 KMOB 181804 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 104 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

New AVIATION, NEAR TERM

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

MVFR ceilings are still being observed at several sites around the region as of 18Z. We do expect a gradual rise to VFR over most of the area through the afternoon, though a few locations near the immediate coast may remain MVFR. Another round of IFR to LIFR ceilings will impact the forecast area again late tonight into early Friday morning with patchy fog potentially reducing the visibility to IFR thresholds or lower at times between 06-14Z.
/21

NEAR TERM
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Low ceilings and patchy fog are the main forecast concern in the near term. Some of the high resolution guidance is keying in on the fog potential across inland areas through the pre-dawn hours this morning and area-wide tonight into Friday morning. We will continue to monitor fog trends this morning, but at this point the fog is not widespread on satellite imagery.

The local area remains on the western periphery of a surface high draped over parts of the eastern Gulf and western Atlantic this morning. Winds predominantly remain southerly in this pattern today, allowing for moisture to continue to trickle into the region. A subtle shortwave slides north of the area later today and will likely kick off some showers and storms. Some of the CAMS show some of this activity sliding across our northernmost counties this afternoon (north of the Hwy 84 corridor), but confidence is too low to include any appreciable POPs for that area (currently less than 15% POPs late this afternoon). Can't rule out something isolated, but the bulk of the activity should remain north of our CWA today and Friday.

Beach Note: Risk of rip currents remains MODERATE through Friday and drops to LOW this weekend. 07/mb

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 420 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A zonal upper flow pattern will continue through the weekend.
Meanwhile, at the sfc, a weak front will stall across portions of the southeast. A southerly low level flow will continue to pump deep layer moisture into the region. The increased moisture along with disturbances in the zonal flow and the stalled boundary will lead to unsettled conditions through the weekend with rain chances increasing on Saturday. The highest rain chances are on Sunday as a stronger shortwave is forecast to move across. This will move the front out of the area with a northwesterly flow developing on Monday into Tuesday with drier air moving into the region. Temps remain warm through the weekend before cooling down temporarily early next week. /13

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 66 85 65 84 63 74 51 75 / 10 0 0 20 20 70 10 0 Pensacola 67 82 66 81 66 76 56 75 / 10 0 0 10 10 60 20 0 Destin 67 80 67 80 67 76 57 75 / 0 0 0 10 0 60 30 0 Evergreen 62 89 62 86 60 73 48 75 / 10 0 0 30 20 70 10 0 Waynesboro 65 88 63 83 56 65 47 73 / 10 0 0 40 40 80 0 0 Camden 63 86 63 82 56 65 47 71 / 10 10 0 40 40 70 10 0 Crestview 62 88 61 86 61 79 51 77 / 10 0 0 20 10 60 20 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Bon Secour
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Thu -- 03:45 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:29 AM CDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:52 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:46 PM CDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama, Tide feet

Mobile Bay Entrance
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Thu -- 01:34 AM CDT     -1.51 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:46 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:49 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:54 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:55 PM CDT     1.09 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:06 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots

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