Monday, April24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:22PM Monday April 24, 2017 8:25 AM CDT (13:25 UTC) Moonrise 5:04AMMoonset 5:33PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 555 Am Cdt Mon Apr 24 2017
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 5 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 3 to 8 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Friday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 6 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 555 Am Cdt Mon Apr 24 2017
Synopsis..A moderate offshore flow will continue through this morning with high pressure from arkansas to the western gulf. A light to moderate onshore flow develops on Tuesday then builds later in the week with high pressure along the eastern seaboard combined with a cold front approaching from the west.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 241124 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
624 am cdt Mon apr 24 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... Once the low clouds clear this morning,VFR
conditions will prevail through the remainder of the period. /13

Prev discussion /issued 400 am cdt Mon apr 24 2017/
near term /now through Monday night/... An upper low over the tennessee
valley will move southeast today. This motion will likely keep the
low clouds in place across the northeast zones through the late
morning with clearing to the south and west. Shortwave upper level
ridging will build in behind the upper low through tonight. This
will maintain conditions continue today with highs in the mid and
upper 70s inland to mid 50s along the coast. Clear skies and light
winds tonight will allow temps to fall into the low 50s inland to
upper 50s and low 60s along the coast. /13
short term /Tuesday through Wednesday night/... Tuesday through
Wednesday, as the upper system currently over the southeast
meanders off to the east, another round of shortwave energy dives
southeast over the western CONUS to over the southern plains by
Wednesday evening. The slow moving off of the first upper system
and relative quick movement of the second, western system will
build an upper ridge over the southeast, bringing increased
subsidence to the area. The result for the forecast area is temps
above seasonal. A surface ridge that has pushed to just west of
the forecast area by Tuesday morning moves over and east of the
forecast area Tuesday into Tuesday night. This brings back light
southerly flow for Wednesday. Moisture influx does not appear to
be very strong Wednesday and mainly confined to near coastal and
southwestern portions of the forecast area. With all this being
said, temps Tuesday are expected to top out in the low to mid 80s,
mid 80s Wednesday with some areas seeing upper 80s. Lows Tuesday
night are expected to range from mid 50s well inland to around 60
over our coastal counties.

Wednesday night, the next round of shortwave energy swings through
an upper trough it dug over the western plains and begins to head
northeast on the west side of the building upper ridge (now off
the east coast). The current 00z guidance swings the system
father south than yesterday's 00z guidance. This results in
increased upper support along with an earlier passage of the
system's cold front (smack dab over the area at 12z Thursday,
about 6 hours quicker than yesterday). Instability is still good
for strong to severe storms (~1500j/kg). With increased wind shear
(0-3km shear of 200-300m^s/2^s) and upper support from a jet max
passing just north of the forecast area, there is a good chance of
severe storms later Wednesday night through Thursday morning (with
this solution). The problems lies in timing/path of the upper
system. At this point, feel it wise to keep an eye on this system
until better timing/path consistency occurs. What has been
consistent is increasing coverage of shra/tsra through the night
Wednesday night. Current forecast is based on earlier/stronger low
level flow, limiting overnight lows to mid 60s northeast to low
70s along the coast and southwestern portions of the forecast
area.

/16
long term /Thursday through Sunday/... Thursday into Friday,
current guidance swings the system though the area by the end of
the day Thursday. Guidance is still advertising more shortwave
energy diving into the plains upper trough, pushing a surface
ridge quickly east over the lower mississippi river valley and
southeast, this restores onshore flow to the forecast area by
Friday morning. With limited airmass chance behind the front,
temps in the mid 80s are expected Thursday after skies clear with
overnight lows in the 60s Thursday night. Current guidance moves
the rain east of the area by Thursday night, and see little to
deviate from this at this point.

Friday through Sunday, the third wave of shortwave energy
organizes into a closed low, meanders around over the desert
southwest then begins to swing east. With increasing southerly
flow, rain chances increase through the weekend, with Sunday
though Sunday night being the wettest. With the upper ridge off
the east coast retreating westward and building over the eastern
seaboard, temps well above seasonal expected. Temps in the mid to
upper 80s expected Friday through Sunday, with overnight lows in
the 60s to around 70.

/16
marine... A moderate offshore flow will continue through this
morning with high pressure from arkansas to the western gulf. A
light to moderate onshore flow develops on Tuesday then builds later
in the week with high pressure along the eastern seaboard combined
with a cold front approaching from the west. /13

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi43 min NW 7 G 9.9 57°F 75°F1010.8 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi55 min NW 9.9 57°F 1011.2 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi95 min N 18 G 21 58°F 73°F2 ft1009.7 hPa (+0.8)49°F
WBYA1 47 mi37 min 73°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi55 min NNW 15 58°F 1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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NE4
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi87 minNW 1010.00 miOvercast55°F42°F63%1010 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi32 minWNW 810.00 miOvercast59°F48°F67%1010.7 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi29 minNW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy57°F48°F72%1010.8 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi27 minNW 910.00 miOvercast56°F46°F72%1010.8 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi29 minN 510.00 miOvercast58°F50°F75%1009.2 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8NE5NW9NW13NW9
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NW8NW11NW8NW10NW5NW3W4CalmW3CalmNW10NW6
1 day agoS5S9SE7S9SE9S9S12S8S9SW10SW7SW5SW5S6SW4SW5SW3CalmW4S5S9SW9SW8
G15
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G16
2 days ago--SE7SE7S8S8SE9SE8SE9S12S7S7S3S7S7S8S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:38 AM CDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:03 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:00 AM CDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:57 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:32 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:44 PM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.80.80.70.60.60.50.60.60.60.70.70.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:12 AM CDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:04 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:26 AM CDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:59 AM CDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:32 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:23 PM CDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.80.80.70.70.70.60.70.70.70.80.80.90.90.80.70.60.60.50.40.40.40.40.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.