Thursday, April26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 7:23PM Thursday April 26, 2018 1:01 AM CDT (06:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:16PMMoonset 4:17AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1030 Pm Cdt Wed Apr 25 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 13 to 18 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Thursday..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Sunday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Monday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1030 Pm Cdt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis..High pressure will continue over the north central gulf through Thursday then become reinforced in the wake of a cold front late Thursday and Thursday night. Expect mostly a light to moderate west to northwest wind flow through Saturday becoming east late Saturday into Sunday as high pressure shifts east.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 260446 aac
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1146 pm cdt Wed apr 25 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance...VFR conditions will prevail this evening followed
by increasing clouds late tonight. A weakening line of showers
and thunderstorms moves across the area between 12z-18z Thursday
morning, followed by clearing skies. 13

Prev discussion issued 1020 pm cdt Wed apr 25 2018
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... A minor update was issued to slow the progression of the
rain into the area after midnight tonight. Otherwise, no
additional updates are needed at this time. 13
prev discussion... Issued 402 pm cdt Wed apr 25 2018
near term now through Thursday ... Expect increasing clouds along
with better rain chances beginning late tonight continuing through
about midday Thu mainly in response to a deepening short wave trof
moving southeast across the central plains states tonight, then
eastward across the northern gulf states during the day on thu.

This system looks to be rather progressive through Thu afternoon
leading to mostly showers with embedded thunderstorms moving into
western sections of the forecast area about 3 to 4 hours after
midnight tonight then exiting to the east by early to mid
afternoon. With limited instability and vertical shear in the
boundary layer, though with decent forcing aloft and decent lapse
rates in the mid to upper levels, we will see a few embedded
thunderstorms with this pattern beginning early Thu with the best
coverage occurring over western and northern sections of the
forecast area generally after sunrise then exiting to the east by
early to mid afternoon. Latest guidance shows the better
instability and forcing over western and northern sections of the
forecast area reinforcing this thinking. Model soundings do show
some significant moisture in the boundary layer mostly over the
northern half of the forecast area generally between 12z and 18z
suggesting we could see some brief heavy rainfall where some
locations could see .5 to .75 inches locally by early afternoon.

For now the threat for severe weather remains low to nil including
the threat for flooding or flash flooding. As for temps tonights
lows will be close to seasonal norms ranging from the mid to upper
50s for most inland areas and the lower 60s near the immediate
coast. Highs Thu will 3 to 5 degrees below seasonal norms ranging
from the lower to middle 70s for the northern half of the
forecast area and the middle 70s to the south. 32 ee
short term Thursday night through Saturday night ... The upper
level closed low pressure system over eastern tennessee and
northern georgia will continue to lift northeast Thursday night
and get absorbed along the eastern periphery of a large upper
trough over the eastern conus. The surface low pressure area
across the southeast states will continue to lift northeast as
well, while the associated cold front near i-10 pushes offshore
Thursday evening. It will be dry and cooler Thursday night and
Friday morning.

A fast moving shortwave on the heels of the first low will exit
the southern plains Friday morning, and swing east over the
northern gulf coast Friday afternoon and evening. Precipitable
water values will have lowered to between 0.75 and 1.00 inch
behind the first low prior to the arrival of the shortwave, so
have lowered precipitation chances to include only isolated light
rain showers Friday afternoon, with a thunderstorm or two possible,
across the inland portions of southeast mississippi and southwest
alabama. A dry period will resume Friday night through Saturday
night. 22
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... The upper level trough
over the eastern CONUS will slowly move east over the western
atlantic by the end of the weekend, followed by a medium amplified
upper level ridge building in from the west. The ridge will extend
from the northern gulf to southeast canada on Monday, and move
over the western atlantic by midweek. Strong surface high pressure
will build over the region through the weekend, and over the
western atlantic by late Monday night, keeping the area rain-free
Sunday through Monday night. A southeasterly low level return
flow will set up across the region Tuesday as the center of the
surface high continues to move east over the western atlantic.

Over- running on the backside of the departing high pressure and
moisture returning to the region is expected to bring mainly
isolated to scattered showers back into the western portions of
the forecast area Tuesday, with again a thunderstorm or two
possible mainly during the afternoon hours due to decreasing
stability. For now, dry conditions are expected Tuesday night
through Wednesday night. 22
marine... High pressure will continue over the north central gulf
through Thu then become reinforced in the wake of a cold front
late Thu and Thu night. Expect mostly a light to moderate west to
northwest wind flow through Sat becoming east late Sat into Sun as
high pressure shifts east. The highest winds will likely occur
along and in the wake of the front late Thu afternoon and thu
evening, gradually diminishing through Fri morning. A moderate
westerly flow redevelops by Fri afternoon into Fri evening then
shifts northwest to north and diminishes through Sat morning.

Small craft may have to exercise caution ahead and in the wake of
front mostly over the open gulf waters Thu afternoon and thu
evening. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi49 min Calm G 0 68°F 72°F1013.5 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi91 min 68°F 1013.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi31 min W 1.9 G 3.9 70°F 1013.5 hPa65°F
WBYA1 47 mi43 min 73°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi61 min SSW 6 70°F 1013.5 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 47 mi76 min 61°F 1013 hPa60°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi61 min W 1.9 69°F 1013.5 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi64 minN 010.00 miFair63°F55°F77%1013 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair64°F55°F73%1013.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi65 minN 08.00 miFair60°F57°F93%1013.5 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi66 minNE 510.00 miFair61°F54°F79%1013.4 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi65 minS 310.00 miFair57°F54°F90%1012 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW4NW6NW6NW7N4NW7N7N8NW7N11N10N10
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SW9SW6--CalmCalmCalmN4
1 day agoNW5NW4W4NW4NW5NW4NW3NW4NW5NW8NW8W12SW14SW11
G18
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W9N10NW8--NW6NW4
2 days agoSW5SW5SW6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmS7S10SW13
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SW9SW8CalmW4NW5NW8

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:51 AM CDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:16 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:08 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:21 AM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:13 PM CDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:16 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:21 PM CDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.60.50.50.50.60.60.70.70.70.70.80.9111110.90.90.90.90.90.9

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:16 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:08 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:36 AM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:16 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:30 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:36 PM CDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.80.70.60.50.40.40.40.40.50.60.60.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.80.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.