Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 5:17PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 5:02 AM CST (11:02 UTC) Moonrise 9:21PMMoonset 9:46AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201901232245;;795944 Fzus54 Kmob 231056 Cca Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast...corrected National Weather Service Mobile Al 456 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-232245- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 456 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 am cst this morning...
.gale warning in effect from 9 am cst this morning through this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Thursday morning...
Today..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots becoming south 25 to 30 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West winds 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest 18 to 23 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet subsiding to 6 to 9 feet. Dominant wave period 9 seconds. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Northwest winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds.
Thursday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds.
Friday..North winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 456 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..A strong southerly wind flow will continue over marine area today before shifting northwest this evening in the wake of a strong cold front moves through the area by early tonight. Northerly winds will slowly diminish late Thursday morning through early Friday as a broad surface ridge of high pressure continues to build from the west. Frequent gusts to gale force, occurring mostly offshore, will be likely ahead and in the wake of the cold front beginning late this morning, continuing through late this evening. Showers and Thunderstorms will also be likely ahead and along the front with a few strong to severe Thunderstorms possible, especially this afternoon through early this evening.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 231102
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
502 am cst Wed jan 23 2019

Near term now through Wednesday night Expect an active weather
pattern across the north central gulf region today and early
tonight as a sharp mid to upper trof located over the central
plains and much of tx this morning quickly shifts eastward across
the north central gulf states and SE CONUS through tonight. Ahead
of this upper system the right rear quad of a 100 to 150 knot h2
jet combined with a 50 to 60 kt h85 jet located just a little
further east will enhance the threat for a few strong to possibly
severe thunderstorms later today especially over lower and eastern
sections of the forecast area generally where better surface
based instability is depicted by most of the current guidance.

This better mid to upper forcing initially moves over western and
northern sections of the forecast area early today where model
soundings depict a more elevated scenario eventually mixing down
to the sfc as the main upper system moves further east over the
region. As a result will continue with the current severe graphic
which shows the better chance for severe weather generally over
the coastal counties of al and part of nwfl east of ft walton
beach with the possibility of extending this threat further to the
east along the nwfl coast and inland generally along the east of
the i-65 corridor later this morning. Model soundings depict
strongly curved hodographs in these areas with helicity values
ranging from 400 to 600 m2 s2 from 0 to 3km which suggests a few
tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight line winds
and maybe some isolated cases of large hail due to lower than
normal wetbulb values.

Although the threat for flooding due to heavy rainfall remains
low due to the forward progression throughout the day, model
soundings depict a very moist column for most locations by this
afternoon suggesting some minor or nuisance type flooding can't be
ruled out. Stay tuned to local media outlets or

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi45 min SSE 15 G 20 66°F 54°F1018.3 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi63 min 66°F 1017.6 hPa (-2.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi33 min SE 21 G 27 67°F 1017.9 hPa63°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi93 min SSE 22 65°F 1016.9 hPa
WBYA1 47 mi45 min 57°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 47 mi78 min 67°F 1017 hPa61°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi63 min E 26 62°F 1015.2 hPa (-2.0)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi3.1 hrsESE 15 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F57°F78%1020.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi70 minSE 16 G 2710.00 miOvercast66°F60°F81%1018.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi67 minSE 19 G 287.00 miOvercast and Breezy67°F63°F87%1017.9 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi67 minSSE 18 G 2310.00 miOvercast and Breezy64°F59°F84%1017.6 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi67 minSE 15 G 2010.00 miOvercast63°F57°F83%1020.2 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE2E2E3
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SE9SE10
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1 day agoN7N8N6N6N7NE8--NE8E4--E2--E3--E4--E5E5E5E1E2E2E6E3
2 days agoN19
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--N12
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N11N9N6NW5N6N8N7N6NW3N4N4N4N5

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:31 AM CST     1.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:42 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:45 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:13 PM CST     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:21 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.41.210.70.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.100.20.40.70.91

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.