Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 5:42PM Thursday February 22, 2018 4:42 PM CST (22:42 UTC) Moonrise 11:43AMMoonset 12:21AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Cst Thu Feb 22 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Friday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 319 Pm Cst Thu Feb 22 2018
Synopsis..Fog, possibly dense at times, reforms tonight over area bays and sounds. A light to moderate onshore flow continues through Saturday night in response to a strong surface ridge of high pressure located off the mid atlantic coast. A cold front settles southeast and reaches the northern gulf coast Sunday and begins to stall over the northern gulf waters early next week. With the front in the area, chances of showers will be on the increase through the weekend with perhaps the passage of a few storms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 222205
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
405 pm cst Thu feb 22 2018

Near term now through Friday Weather maps today continue to
show a long wave trof over the western us with an anomalously
strong mid level ridge axis holding firm off the southeast us
coast. 22.12z analysis indicates that the western periphery of
the h50 ridge has strengthened over the past 24 hrs, with height
rises on the order of 10 to 30 meters over the central gulf coast
during this time period. The strength of the ridge aloft, dominating
the southeast us, lies some 2 to 3 standard deviations above the
mean for this time of year. At the surface, a quasi-stationary
frontal boundary, aligned generally parallel to the high level
southwest flow, was draped from the virginias southwest to off the
east texas coast. The front well to the west has been the focus of
highest probabilities of measurable rains of late. Very little
change in the upper air pattern holds into tonight. Surface ridge of
high pressure from the western atlantic, westward into the southeast
us maintains a light southeast flow and a moist boundary layer,
supporting the re-development of fog and low clouds overnight. This
is supported by the latest short range ensembles hrrr rap and nam12
guidance. Fog could become locally dense late in the night in some
areas. Unseasonably warm overnight lows persist.

Friday, upper ridge to the east narrows somewhat from off the
southeast us coast into the gulf. Some potential exists for mid
level energy, caught up in the southwest flow aloft operating on
daytime instability and sufficient deep layer moisture, may be
enough to bring a chance of showers and perhaps a few storms by
Friday afternoon over the western half of the local area. Before
then, daytime highs could approach record territory once again for
some areas. 10

Short term Friday night through Sunday night Southwesterly
mid level flow will strengthen across the central gulf coast
region Friday night into Saturday as a potent mid level shortwave
trough lifts from the rocky mountains to the central plains. An
associated area of surface low pressure will also deepen and lift
from the central plains Saturday morning and toward the vicinity
of missouri and iowa by late Saturday afternoon. Warm and moist
southerly surface flow will persist across our region into
Saturday in advance of this feature and also to the west of the
strong deep layer ridge of high pressure over the western atlantic
and southeastern u.S. Expect a continuation of much above normal
temperatures Friday night into Saturday, with potential for
additional near record or record temperatures during this time
frame. An embedded shortwave impulse in the southwest mid level
flow will translate across mississippi and southwest alabama
Friday night, and an associated increase in layer moisture and
ascent will support the development of isolated to scattered rain
showers, primarily across the western portion of the forecast
area. Additional impulses in the southwest flow aloft are set to
propagate across western and northern portions of the region
Saturday, bringing an additional chance of showers and a few
thunderstorms to the region. MLCAPE values still look to increase
to 300-800 j kg across southeast mississippi and interior portions
of southwest alabama Saturday afternoon early Saturday evening,
while low level 850 mb flow strengthens to around 35-40 knots over
this same region. Any convective cells that develop in this
environment would have the potential to become strong to
marginally severe. SPC day 3 outlook has a marginal risk of
severe storms outlined over this portion of the region, which
looks reasonable.

We may see a brief lull in activity mid to late Saturday evening
before a more organized line of convection approaches interior
southeast mississippi and interior southwest alabama after
midnight ahead of the approaching cold front. An isolated strong
to severe storm will be possible within the line over our
interior northwest zones, but there will be an overall decreasing
trend in instability and shear after midnight. Rain chances will
remain high going into Sunday and Sunday night as plentiful
moisture and lift spread across our region along the slow moving
frontal zone. We have likely to categorical pops over much of the
region during this time frame. Isolated thunderstorms also remain
possible given weak instability. Slightly cooler temperatures are
expected Sunday and Sunday night, though still remaining quite a
bit above normal. 21

Long term Monday through Thursday The cold front finally
pushes southeast of the region Monday. A lingering good chance of
showers continues Monday morning before quickly decreasing from
northwest to southeast Monday afternoon into Monday evening as a
much drier airmass spreads into the area in the wake of the front.

Drier weather is expected Monday night along with noticeably
cooler temperatures, before rain chances increase Tuesday and
Tuesday night ahead of the next approaching shortwave trough. Best
rain chances Wednesday look to be favored over interior areas.

Another shortwave trough and associated cold front could then
bring the next round of showers and possibly a few storms
Thursday. Above normal temperatures are expected Tuesday through
Thursday. 21

Marine Main hazard in the near term would be reduced overnight
visibility in fog, re-forming near bays and sounds. Over the
weekend, an increased chance of showers, along with a few embedded
storms expected as a frontal boundary sinks closer to the coast.

Winds, waves and seas will be locally higher in and near any
isolated storms along with an increased lightning hazard. 10

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 64 80 66 81 67 75 60 71 10 40 40 40 40 60 70 50
pensacola 65 79 66 79 68 76 64 71 10 20 20 20 40 50 60 70
destin 66 76 65 77 68 75 65 70 0 10 10 10 30 50 50 70
evergreen 59 83 63 83 66 76 59 72 0 20 20 30 40 80 70 60
waynesboro 61 81 64 82 63 70 53 70 10 40 40 40 60 80 80 40
camden 60 81 63 83 65 73 56 70 0 20 20 30 50 80 80 50
crestview 59 82 62 83 66 79 62 73 0 10 10 20 30 60 60 70

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi43 min E 1.9 G 4.1 74°F 74°F1027 hPa (-1.3)
PPTA1 33 mi43 min 72°F 1026.4 hPa (-1.4)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 47 mi58 min 80°F 1026 hPa68°F
WBYA1 47 mi43 min 75°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi73 min SE 14 73°F 1026.1 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi47 minSSE 810.00 miFair73°F68°F85%1026.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi50 minSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F68°F82%1026.8 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi47 minE 106.00 miOvercast with Haze73°F68°F84%1026.6 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi48 minS 810.00 miA Few Clouds75°F66°F75%1027 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi47 minSSE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F66°F67%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9SE10SE12
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SE7SE7E6E7SE6CalmSE3SE3SE5SE8E4E5E6SE11SE11SE13SE10SE12SE9SE9SE8
1 day agoSE8SE7E6E7E6SE5SE9SE8SE7SE10SE11SE10E8SE9SE8SE8SE12SE11SE14
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2 days agoSE8SE6E6E7E4SE6SE6SE6E6E5E6E7E8E8E8E11
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Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:21 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:42 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:29 PM CST     0.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:41 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.1-0.1-000.10.20.30.40.60.70.80.9110.90.80.60.40.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:29 AM CST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:21 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:42 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:45 PM CST     1.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:41 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.10.30.40.50.60.80.9111.110.90.80.70.50.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.