Saturday, January19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Goulding, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:15PM Saturday January 19, 2019 9:40 PM CST (03:40 UTC) Moonrise 4:48PMMoonset 6:06AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201901201530;;627177 Fzus54 Kmob 200321 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 921 Pm Cst Sat Jan 19 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-201530- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 921 Pm Cst Sat Jan 19 2019
.gale warning in effect through Sunday morning...
.small craft advisory in effect Sunday afternoon...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds.
Sunday..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots becoming north 18 to 23 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds.
Sunday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Monday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Monday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Showers.
Wednesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Showers likely.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 921 Pm Cst Sat Jan 19 2019
Synopsis..A cold front currently moving through the area brings strong west to northwest flow in its wake through Sunday. Gale conditions remain likely over southern mobile bay and out over the open gulf waters tonight. High pressure expands east Sunday night into early next week bringing reduced winds and a lowering in seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goulding, FL
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location: 30.4, -87.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 192318
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
518 pm cst Sat jan 19 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
00z issuance... A cold front currently pushing through the area
from the west will bring gusty northwest winds and overcast cloud
cover with low-end MVFR cigs. Skies gradually clear late Sunday
morning andVFR conditions and gusty north winds prevail Sunday
afternoon. 49

Prev discussion issued 359 pm cst Sat jan 19 2019
near term now through Sunday ... A thinly shaped convective line
moves over the far eastern zones from late afternoon into this
evening and moves out of the area late in the evening with the
passage of a strong cold front. High surf advisory continues thru
midnight. Break out the coats, gloves and cold weather head wear.

Winds shift and temperatures drop in the wake of the front as
l000- 850mb thickness values plummet. No wintry weather
precipitation expected overnight as drier air overspreads the
area. Latest observations upstream indicate well defined west to
northwest flow with gusts between 20 and 25 knots. Even though
brisk, will hold off on issuance of a wind advisory over the
interior as these values appear to average below criteria.

However, as colder air flows off the coast, the thermal gradient
between the land sea interface favors maintaining the wind
advisory for the coastal zones thru daybreak Sunday am. Low level
thickness values remaining low on Sunday equates to a cold day
with highs looking to struggle to get out of the 40s. Will feel
even colder, especially in the morning, with wind chill values
starting off in the lower to mid 20s. 10
short term Sunday night through Tuesday night ... A cold, dry
airmass will continue to filter into the area Sunday night into
Monday as the upper trough moves further east of the region and a
strong surface high pressure ridge builds in from the west. The
surface ridge will shift east of the forecast area throughout the
day Monday, allowing a light northerly wind early in the day to
shift to the east in the afternoon. After a cold start Monday
morning, temperatures will moderate by mid afternoon with plenty
of sunshine due to broad upper ridging over the southern states
in the wake of the trough. Monday morning temperatures will be
around 10 degrees below normal, in the mid to upper 20 inland
areas and around 30 degrees along the coast, warming into the mid
50s by mid afternoon, but still about 4 to 7 degrees below normal.

A southeast wind flow and low level moisture will return late
Monday night and Tuesday on the backside of the strong surface
ridge setting up along the eastern seaboard, with high
temperatures Tuesday nudging back above normal. Meanwhile, the
broad upper ridge over the southern states will shift eastward as
the next upper trough exits the rockies and desert southwest and
dives southeast over the great plains and northwest mexico by late
in the short term. Rain chances will increase Tuesday and Tuesday
night ahead of the trough, with numerous rain showers expected
west of the line from camden alabama to orange beach alabama by
late Tuesday night, with scattered coverage to the east. 22
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... Precipitation coverage
will continue to increase mid week as the upper trough shifts
further eastward toward the region, while a strong surface cold
front approaches from the northwest and enters the forecast area.

There is a 80 percent chance of rain showers forecast Wednesday
into Wednesday evening, with the precipitation tapering off from
west to east after midnight into Thursday morning. Another dry
period will then resume through the remainder of the long term as
surface high pressure builds back into the region from the west.

22
marine... Main hazards for recreational and commercial boating
interests are in the near term. A strong cold front makes passage
tonight bringing wind shift and strong west to northwest flow in
its wake. Gale conditions remain likely over southern mobile bay
and out over the open gulf waters tonight. Small craft advisories
posted elsewhere thru the day Sunday. High pressure expands east
Sunday night into early week bringing reduced winds and a lowering
in seas. 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Wind advisory until 6 pm cst this evening for alz053>060-261-262.

High rip current risk through Sunday afternoon for alz265-266.

High surf advisory until midnight cst tonight for alz265-266.

Wind advisory until 6 am cst Sunday for alz263>266.

Fl... Wind advisory until 6 pm cst this evening for flz201-203-205.

High rip current risk through Sunday afternoon for flz202-204-
206.

High surf advisory until midnight cst tonight for flz202-204-206.

Wind advisory until 6 am cst Sunday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory from noon to 6 pm cst Sunday for gmz631-632-
650-655-670-675.

Gale warning until noon cst Sunday for gmz631-632-650-655-670-
675.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm cst Sunday for gmz630-633>636.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 0 mi46 min NW 13 G 18 57°F 60°F1007.5 hPa
PPTA1 20 mi70 min 58°F 1007.1 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 29 mi40 min WNW 27 G 33 59°F 1008.6 hPa (+2.8)51°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 33 mi100 min WNW 20 58°F 1007.8 hPa (+2.4)
WBYA1 33 mi46 min 62°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 33 mi115 min 59°F 1007 hPa54°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 43 mi70 min WNW 27 54°F 1008.5 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 43 mi40 min WNW 16 51°F 1010.8 hPa (+5.1)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 45 mi46 min NW 31 G 35 53°F 1009.2 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 47 mi40 min NW 29 G 33 51°F 1010.1 hPa (+4.4)46°F
MBPA1 47 mi46 min 51°F 44°F
PTOA1 47 mi46 min 50°F 45°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 49 mi46 min 50°F 53°F1010.4 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL5 mi47 minWNW 1110.00 miOvercast58°F52°F81%1007.5 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL7 mi44 minNW 9 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F48°F77%1007.9 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi1.7 hrsVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds56°F54°F93%1004.8 hPa

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S5S5S8S11S10S10S12S14S13S12S14S15
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1 day agoSE4S3CalmSE4S4Calm--W6W7SW6W5W10SW5W6S7S10S7S8S7S5S5SW5S4S5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmN4N4N6N4N5N6CalmNE3E4SE4SE6S7S9S7SE7S3SW4N3CalmE3E3

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:05 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:45 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:39 AM CST     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:48 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:13 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:16 PM CST     1.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.60.3-0-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.40.60.811.21.31.41.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:05 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:44 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:30 AM CST     -0.89 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:47 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:13 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:57 PM CST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.80.50.2-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.8-0.9-0.9-0.8-0.7-0.5-0.3-00.20.50.711.21.41.51.51.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.