Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holley, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 4:52PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 10:22 AM CST (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:00PMMoonset 11:54PM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 930 Am Cst Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..North winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 930 Am Cst Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..Periods of light to moderate rain will continue over the marine area through this afternoon then slowly shift east as high pressure builds to the west. A moderate to strong northerly wind flow will continue over the marine area through tonight then diminish slowly during the day on Thursday as the broad surface ridge to the west shifts east. A light northerly wind flow is expected late in the week and over the weekend as high pressure continues to settle over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, FL
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location: 30.45, -86.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 141211 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
611 am cst Wed nov 14 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... Ifr to lifr conditions through about 15.00z
followed by MVFR toVFR conditions through 15.12z. Lower CIGS and
visibilities mostly in low stratus, light rain and fog across the
region through this afternoon, clearing from west to east this
evening and overnight. Winds will be north 8 to 12 kts with
slightly gusts through 15.12z. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 452 am cst Wed nov 14 2018
near term now through Wednesday night ... Main concern through
tonight will be a light freeze late tonight through early thu
morning generally along and west of a line stretching from mobile
to greenville in al which includes all inland areas of southeast
ms. These temps will be cold enough to damage or kill sensitive
vegetation resulting in a freeze warning for late tonight through
early Thu morning.

Aloft a deep upper low centered over NE tx this morning will lift
northeast to the mid ms river valley by early Thu morning. East of
the upper system a persistent 100 to 120kt upper jet axis still
located west of the forecast area this morning will slowly shift
eastward eventually moving east of the forecast area by early thu
morning. With this pattern expect enough forcing or lift to continue
on the east side or entrance region of the upper jet helping to
maintain widespread light to occasionaly moderate rain over much of
the forecast area this morning, then gradually shifting eastward
this afternoon and evening. As a result expect clearing skies
generally from west to east with a light north flow near the surface
for most inland areas beginning after midnight tonight.

Highs today will range from the lower to middle 40s for most inland
areas and the middle 40s to lower 50s along the coast. Lows tonight
will range from the upper 20s to lower 30s generally along and west
of the i-65 corridor, the lower to middle 30s to the east and closer
to the coast, and the upper 30s to near 40 along the immediate
coast. 32 ee
short term Thursday through Friday night ... Rainfall associated
with the departing weather system will be east of the forecast
area by the beginning of the short temp period, then expect a dry
and cool forecast through the remainder of the period as surface
high pressure drifts east across the forecast area.Very little in
the way of clouds, and relatively light winds through the period
as well. This will possibly lead to widespread areas of frost
across much of the area Thursday night when temperatures are once
again expected to drop into the lower 30s for most of the
interior. As we fine tune Thursday night min temperatures,
additional freeze watches warnings may be required, depending on
where the freezing temperatures occur. Otherwise primarily a
temperature forecast through the period, with highs on Thursday
ranging from the mid to upper 40s inland areas to the lower 50s
toward the coast. On Friday, highs will be in the mid to upper 50s
area wide. Nighttime low temperatures also slowly moderate from
the low to mid 30s Thursday night to the mid 30s to lower 40s
Friday night. 12 ds
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Surface high pressure
drifts east and weakens Saturday through late Sunday, with a
weakening trough approaching from the west early next week. This
trough will bring a slight increase in cloudiness, but not much
in the way of rainfall by Monday into Tuesday. Moderating
temperature trend expected, with daytime highs generally in the
60s Saturday through Tuesday. Overnight low temperatures generally
in the low to mid 40s interior locations to upper 40s and lower
50s coastal locations. 12 ds
marine... Periods of light to moderate rain will continue over the
marine area through this afternoon then slowly shift east as high
pressure builds to the west. A moderate to strong northerly wind
flow will continue over the marine area through tonight then
diminish slowly during the day on Thursday as the broad surface
ridge to the west shifts east. A light northerly wind flow is
expected late in the week and over the weekend as high pressure
continues to settle over the region. As a result a small craft
advisory will continue over the open gulf waters of al and nwfl
from 0 to 60 nm out through 9 am Thu morning. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Freeze warning from midnight tonight to 9 am cst Thursday for
alz051>057-059-261>264.

Fl... Freeze warning from midnight tonight to 9 am cst Thursday for
flz201-203.

Ms... Freeze warning from midnight tonight to 9 am cst Thursday for
msz067-075-076-078-079.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 9 am cst Thursday for gmz650-655-670-
675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 43 mi33 min 14 G 16 50°F 2 ft1025.1 hPa48°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi27 minN 1010.00 miLight Rain48°F46°F93%1023.5 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi30 minNNW 108.00 miOvercast47°F44°F90%1024.7 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL18 mi27 minNW 85.00 miFog/Mist46°F45°F96%1023.5 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL20 mi27 minNW 85.00 miFog/Mist45°F45°F100%1023.6 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL21 mi28 minN 910.00 miLight Rain49°F47°F94%1024 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi87 minNW 84.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist47°F45°F93%1024.9 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi30 minNNW 810.00 miOvercast51°F48°F92%1023.4 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN14
G19
NW10
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N16N13N10N14----N12N11
G16
N13N12N11N12N10NE9N7N9N10N9N9N8N13N10
1 day agoSE14SE14
G19
S16S13S10SW12W8W8W5CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN10N10--N13N16N15
2 days ago--SE5S6S3S5S4CalmCalmN4NE4NE4NE6E10E10E10E8E11E9
G17
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E12E8E11E6SE15
G19

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:54 AM CST     1.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:12 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:00 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:39 PM CST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:51 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:54 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.61.61.61.51.41.210.80.60.40.30.20.10.10.10.20.40.50.60.80.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:12 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:38 AM CST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:59 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:51 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:53 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.41.31.210.90.70.50.40.30.30.30.30.40.40.50.70.80.911.11.21.31.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.