Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 7:43PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 7:30 PM CDT (00:30 UTC) Moonrise 4:19AMMoonset 5:25PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 350 Pm Cdt Tue May 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 4 to 5 feet. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West winds 20 to 25 knots becoming northwest 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..South winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 350 Pm Cdt Tue May 23 2017
Synopsis..A surface trough just north of the coastal waters will result in strong gusty winds through early evening with winds diminishing some late tonight. Winds increase out of the west and northwest on Wednesday as a cold front moves through. Winds diminish on Thursday and return to a southerly flow by the end of the week as high pressure moves east across the florida peninsula.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 232006
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
306 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017

Near term now through Wednesday A greater coverage of
storms has failed to develop along the residual boundary across
the coastal counties. This is likely due to lack of upper level
forcing and the loss of low level convergence as winds north of
the boundary have also switched back to south and southwest.

Therefore, the risk of flash flooding has diminished and we have
cancelled the remainder of the flash flood watch. However,
isolated to scattered storms are still expected over southern
portions of the area through early this evening with mlcapes of
1500-2000 j kg. Isolated lighter showers possible further inland.

The heavier storms could result in a few localized minor flooding
issues. This convection should diminish by mid to late evening
with the next round of precipitation moving in overnight in
association with the main upper level trough and cold front. Rain
chances becoming likely in the northwest zones after midnight with
better rain chances spreading east through the early morning
hours. Instability will be limited over land, so only a few
thunderstorms are expected with the potential for additional heavy
rain low.

The best rain chances will be found across the far eastern zones
Wednesday morning after sunrise where there will be an opportunity
for the atmosphere to destabilize and be supportive of scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms. Rain chances diminish from west
to east as the day progresses with the advection of drier air into
the region.

Lows tonight will be fairly mild in the mid to upper 60s with highs
tomorrow in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Did not deviate from
guidance. 34 jfb

Short term Wednesday night through Friday night A cooler and
drier airmass moves into the region Wednesday night into Thursday
as an upper trough moves toward the east coast. This will place
the central gulf coast in a northwest flow aloft with building
high pressure at the sfc. The result will be clear skies with
below normal temps Wed night and Thursday. The sfc high quickly
moves east Thursday night into Friday with a return flow setting
up, resulting in warmer temps and increasing moisture late in the
period. 13

Long term Saturday through Tuesday Moisture will continue to
increase across the region through the weekend as another weak
front begins to make slow progress southward toward the gulf
coast. Much of the area remains dry on Saturday with scattered
showers and thunderstorms returning by Sunday and continuing
through Tuesday as the weak boundary stalls across the region.

The coverage of showers and storms will be most numerous during
peak heating hours, before decreasing at night. Highs will
generally be in the mid and upper 80s away from the coast with
overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. 13

Marine Southwest winds have been very strong today over the
coastal waters, measured between 20 to 30 kt. Winds are expected to
gradually diminish tonight, especially over the bays. Will continue
the small craft advisory for the bays until 7pm. Expect winds to
diminish below advisory levels after this, but we will have to
carefully monitor observations. Over the gulf waters, winds will
likely diminish below 20 kt at times late tonight, but given winds
will pick back up on Wednesday, will continue to advisory through
the night. Speaking of Wednesday, west to northwest winds will
increase through the day as the cold front passes through. Boaters
will need to exercise caution on the bays as winds increase to 15-20
kt with 20-25 kt expected over the gulf waters.

An onshore flow becomes reestablished by Friday as high pressure
moves east across the fl peninsula and another storm system develops
over the plains. Southerly winds will become moderate at times.

34 jfb

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 66 80 56 82 50 40 0 0
pensacola 69 81 60 80 50 50 10 0
destin 72 82 64 79 50 60 10 0
evergreen 64 79 54 80 50 50 10 0
waynesboro 62 76 52 80 60 30 10 0
camden 63 77 54 79 50 40 20 0
crestview 69 81 57 81 50 60 10 0

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 7 pm cdt this evening for gmz630>635.

Small craft advisory until 1 am cdt Thursday for gmz650-655-670-
675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi49 min 80°F 80°F1005.7 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi61 min WSW 6 78°F 1005.4 hPa
WBYA1 35 mi49 min 80°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi101 min SW 18 G 21 78°F 79°F8 ft1005.5 hPa (-1.2)71°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 37 mi91 min SW 20 78°F 1005.1 hPa (-1.4)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 42 mi61 min SSW 16 79°F 1004.4 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 45 mi91 min SW 26 78°F 1005.4 hPa (-1.7)
PTOA1 47 mi49 min 80°F 71°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi49 min SW 9.9 G 13 79°F 79°F1005.1 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi49 min 81°F 78°F1004.2 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi38 minSW 21 G 2810.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy79°F68°F69%1005.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi35 minSW 16 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F69°F74%1005.4 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi95 minSSW 7 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F73°F74%1003.7 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi95 minSW 17 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F73°F79%1003.7 hPa

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4SW5CalmCalmS5SW4SW3SE4SE6S7S10S15
G21
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G25
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G28
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SW16W16
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1 day agoNW4NW6NW6NW5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N4N5CalmN3NE4SE8S10SE9S4S9S7S8SW8W6
2 days agoS16S14S21
G28
N93E4E5E6E7E5CalmS3CalmS6S7S7W8SW10SE20
G25
W6W3SW3W7NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM CDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:10 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.70.70.80.80.911.21.31.41.51.51.41.210.80.60.40.20.100.10.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:19 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:46 AM CDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:07 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.60.60.70.70.80.911.11.21.21.21.10.90.70.50.30.20.1000.10.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.