Tuesday, April25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:24PM Tuesday April 25, 2017 1:33 PM CDT (18:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:46AMMoonset 6:40PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1043 Am Cdt Tue Apr 25 2017
Rest of today..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Friday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1043 Am Cdt Tue Apr 25 2017
Synopsis..A light to moderate onshore flow will develop today and gradually strengthen through the weekend as high pressure settles along the eastern seaboard combined with a slow moving cold front approaching from the west. The increase in southerly fetch will support building seas through the end of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 251744 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1244 pm cdt Tue apr 25 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance...VFR conditions through 26.18z. Winds will be south
to southwest around 10 knots through early this evening becoming
southeast to south less than 5 knots overnight and early Wed then
increasing to 10 to 15 knots from mid morning through 25.18z.

32/ee

Prev discussion /issued 636 am cdt Tue apr 25 2017/
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance...VFR conditions will prevail through much of the
period. Patchy MVFR fog can be expected late tonight. /13
prev discussion... /issued 432 am cdt Tue apr 25 2017/
near term /now through Tuesday night/... A deep layer dry and
subsident airmass will remain in place across our forecast area
today and tonight underneath weak shortwave ridging aloft. A surface
ridge of high pressure centered over the central gulf of mexico will
also extend northward over our region. Mostly clear skies/dry
weather and southerly flow can be expected through tonight, along
with warm afternoon temperatures and milder overnight lows. Highs
today are forecast to range from the lower to mid 80s over the
interior, with readings in the mid 70s to around 80 near the
immediate coast and beaches. Lows tonight should range from the mid
50s to around 60 inland to the lower to mid 60s near the
coast/beaches. /21
short term /Wednesday through Thursday night/... A trough will dig
across the plains and move eastward. This will send a cold front
toward the area Wednesday night. A line of showers and
thunderstorms is expected to be ongoing along the front by
Wednesday afternoon and evening. This line will move toward the
area and across the region Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Plenty of instability combined with weak shear will favor the
possibility of a few strong to severe storms with straight line
winds the main threat. The main upper dynamics will be pulling
well to the north and this will likely lead to the weakening of
line as it approaches the area. Therefore, the severe risk is only
marginal at this time. This front will stall across northern
potions of the area Thursday afternoon with continued chances of
showers and thunderstorms. The stalled front will move northward
as a warm front Thursday night in advance of a developing system
across the western states. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s
each day with lows in the mid and upper 60s inland to low 70s
along the coast. /13
long term /Friday through Monday/... Warm and dry conditions
follow on Friday as a trough digs across the western states. The
trough and associated cold front move east on Saturday with
isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. Rain chances increase
Sunday into Sunday night as the cold front is expected to move
across the gulf coast. This system will also have to monitored for
the potential of severe thudnerstorms and heavy rain.

Temperatures remain above normal levels through the period. /13
marine... A surface ridge of high pressure will gradually move from
the central gulf of mexico to the western atlantic ocean through
Thursday as a cold front approaches the mississippi valley and gulf
coast region. A light to moderate southerly to southwesterly flow
will develop over the marine area today, with southerly flow
gradually increasing late tonight through Thursday. The cold front
will weaken/become diffuse Thursday, so moderate southerly flow will
continue over the marine area through the end of the week into the
weekend. Seas gradually build to 4-6 feet offshore through the end
of the week and into Saturday. Southerly flow becomes strong
Saturday night into Sunday ahead of a more substantial cold front
approaching from the west. This front looks to cross the marine area
Sunday night or early Monday, with stronger offshore flow following
its passage. Seas trend even higher late this weekend in response to
the increasing southerly flow ahead of the approaching front. /21

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi52 min S 1.9 G 6 74°F 72°F1010.4 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi64 min S 6 74°F 1010.2 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi46 min 73°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi44 min S 3.9 G 5.8 71°F 75°F2 ft1010.3 hPa (-0.4)62°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi64 min S 8 71°F 1010.2 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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N6
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G11
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi38 minVar 510.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F55°F42%1008.4 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi98 minWNW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F54°F48%1008.9 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi41 minSSE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F57°F50%1010 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi96 minS 1110.00 miFair74°F50°F45%1010 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi38 minSSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F57°F52%1010.1 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9--N12
G18
N11NW5NW4CalmW3W3CalmCalmCalmNW3--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm46NW45
1 day agoNW9NW9NW9NW5NW11NW10NW12
G21
NW13
G17
NW7NW5NW5NW5NW6NW6NW5NW86NW6N5NW7N11NW10NW8NW7
G16
2 days agoS9
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S12S9
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S5S5S4S3CalmCalmCalmN5S8S5CalmW3CalmNW5NW4NW9NW10NW11NW10
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:09 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:22 PM CDT     1.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:51 PM CDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.60.70.70.70.70.80.80.90.911.11.11.110.90.80.60.50.30.20.20.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:27 AM CDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:55 AM CDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:46 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:31 AM CDT     1.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:23 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:34 PM CDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.911.11.21.21.21.21.10.90.70.50.30.20.10.10.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.