Monday, December11, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 4:49PM Monday December 11, 2017 4:41 PM CST (22:41 UTC) Moonrise 1:30AMMoonset 2:00PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Cst Mon Dec 11 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from midnight cst tonight through Tuesday afternoon...
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots. Seas around 2 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet subsiding to around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Thursday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 319 Pm Cst Mon Dec 11 2017
Synopsis..Cold front makes passage late tonight bringing wind shift, an increase in offshore flow and a build in seas in its wake through Tuesday. Winds and seas subside into the middle of the week as high pressure builds across the area. NExt in series of cold frontal passages brings an increase in offshore flow a build in seas Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 112149
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
349 pm cst Mon dec 11 2017

Near term now through Tuesday Upper air analysis shows a
highly amplified pattern with an upper ridge over the western us
and downstream, long wave trof over the eastern half of the us.

West of the parent trof axis, a vigorous upper level impulse over
the upper mid-west and northern high plains drops rapidly
southeast over the mississippi river valley tonight. This feature
causes a cold front to sweep southward over the central gulf coast
by daybreak Tuesday. Deep layer moisture is very limited ahead of
the front, so expect front to make passage dry. Maybe a mix of
sun and clouds during the day Tuesday with the passage of the low
level h85 front. Outside of this, with the passage of the upper
trof axis to the east of the local area Tuesday, a reinforcing,
dry deep layer northwest flow sets up. May be a bit breezy as well
Tuesday, especially over the southern zones, where northwest
winds may gust to around 25 mph at times as the result of a strong
surface high building eastward out of texas. 10

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night The deep
upper level trough will gradually shift eastward across the
eastern seaboard and adjacent western atlantic ocean Tuesday night
into Wednesday. Dry northwest flow aloft will continue across our
forecast area during this time frame, transitioning more zonal
Wednesday night into Thursday. A deep dry airmass will hold in
place over our area late Tuesday into Wednesday, resulting in
continue mostly clear and dry conditions. A cool surface ridge of
high pressure will continue to build eastward across the gulf of
mexico through Wednesday, keeping temperatures below normal across
our region into midweek. Another light freeze looks probable
across much of our interior again late Tuesday night and early
Wednesday morning, but temperatures should moderate back into the
mid to upper 50s by Wednesday afternoon.

Another shortwave trough will translate southeastward from the
northern plains to the mid-mississippi valley Thursday into
Thursday night. An associated cold front will sweep from northwest
to southeast across our area Thursday night. We trended temperatures
closer to the warmer MOS numbers vs. Blended guidance during the
day Thursday given low level west to southwest flow and low level
thermal ridging along the pre-frontal surface trough. Deep layer
moisture and ascent should be focused mainly near the southeastern
zones coastal areas and offshore ahead of the approaching front,
so will keep low pops confined to these areas Thursday night into
early Friday. 21

Long term Friday through Monday A deep dry northwest flow
aloft returns in the wake of the upper trough passage Friday, with
dry zonal flow by Saturday. The next upper trough and associated
front may bring another chance of rain Sunday into Sunday night,
but confidence on timing of and moisture availability ahead of
these features remains low. For now will keep pops in low end
chance range across the region (~30%). Temperatures will average
below normal Friday and Friday night as another surface ridge of
high pressure builds across our region. Temperatures should
moderate this weekend as the surface ridge pushes east and warmer
low level southerly flow returns. 21

Marine With the passage of the cold front late tonight, a
strengthening offshore flow brings a build in seas. Due to the
northerly fetch, the highest seas look to be confined to the 20 to
60 nautical mile zones thru Tuesday. Small craft advisories over
the open gulf waters remain unchanged on this package. Next in a
series of cold fronts makes passage early Friday morning bringing
a strengthening offshore flow and a build in seas yet again.

Similar to Tuesday, the offshore fetch causes the higher seas to
be more focused well offshore Friday and Friday night. 10

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 43 58 32 58 41 66 42 56 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10
pensacola 47 59 37 58 46 66 48 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 20
destin 50 60 40 57 49 67 52 61 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 20
evergreen 38 57 31 59 37 66 41 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20
waynesboro 39 55 28 57 34 62 36 53 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
camden 38 54 30 57 36 64 38 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
crestview 40 59 30 58 37 67 45 58 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 6 pm cst Tuesday
for gmz650-655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi42 min 58°F 54°F1020.7 hPa (-1.7)
PPTA1 35 mi42 min 60°F 1020.3 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi42 min 57°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi57 min 58°F 1021 hPa45°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi72 min SW 6 56°F 1021.3 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi42 min S 12 57°F 1019.6 hPa (-2.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi46 minSSW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F37°F38%1019.1 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi46 minSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F36°F38%1019.1 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi49 minWSW 910.00 miFair63°F37°F40%1020.8 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi46 minW 710.00 miA Few Clouds61°F44°F54%1020.5 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi46 minSW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy60°F43°F53%1020.8 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW33CalmCalm3CalmCalmNW3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalm3--SW7466SW4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmW3W3W3W3NW4NW5NW5NW4NW3NW3NW5NW3NW3NE5Calm3N8NW7NW53NW4
2 days agoN13N12N11N10NW11N13
G19
NW11NW10N10NW10NW8NW7NW6NW6NW8NW7NW8NW9W8NW9
G16
NW9
G16
6NW8NW6

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:29 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:43 AM CST     0.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:00 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:21 PM CST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:47 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:01 PM CST     0.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.80.80.80.70.70.60.60.50.40.40.30.30.30.30.40.50.60.60.70.80.80.8

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:35 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:00 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:15 PM CST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:52 PM CST     0.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.70.70.60.60.60.60.50.50.40.30.30.30.30.30.40.50.70.80.80.80.80.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.