Thursday, April19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:20PM Thursday April 19, 2018 4:31 AM CDT (09:31 UTC) Moonrise 9:12AMMoonset 11:18PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 345 Am Cdt Thu Apr 19 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Friday morning...
Today..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..North winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Friday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Saturday..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers.
Monday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 345 Am Cdt Thu Apr 19 2018
Synopsis..A moderate to strong northerly wind flow is expected late this evening and overnight in the wake of a cold front that moves across the marine area early today. A moderate to strong easterly flow is expected late Friday night through Saturday in response to an area of low pressure and a developing cold front approaching from the west. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected ahead and along the front with this best coverage occurring Sunday and Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 190459 aac
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1159 pm cdt Wed apr 18 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... A cold front approaching from the northwest moves
through the area late tonight into early Thursday morning with
southwest winds 5 to 10 knots switching to the northwest. The
northerly flow increases to around 10 knots by mid Thursday
morning then decreases to 5 to 10 knots Thursday evening.VFR
conditions prevail through the period except for the potential for
MVFR ceilings and isolated patches of light rain to be present
ahead of the front. 29

Prev discussion issued 1012 pm cdt Wed apr 18 2018
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... The current forecast is generally on track with no
changes planned at the moment. 29
prev discussion... Issued 621 pm cdt Wed apr 18 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Southwest winds at 10 to 15 knots subside to near 5
knots this evening. A cold front approaching from the west moves
through late tonight into early Thursday morning and brings a
slight chance for rain with winds switching to a northerly
direction.VFR conditions at the beginning of the period will be
followed by MVFR ceilings developing late tonight ahead of the
front, then return toVFR conditions in the wake of the front. 29
prev discussion... Issued 358 pm cdt Wed apr 18 2018
near term now through Thursday ... An upper low pressure area
over the midwest states will swing east across the eastern conus
through the near term. An area of low pressure at the surface
across the ohio river valley will lift quickly northeastward,
reaching the northwest atlantic by late Thursday afternoon. A
surface cold front associated with the low pressure area will
approach the region from the northwest this evening as a surface
ridge extending from the western atlantic across northern gulf
weakens. The cold front will pass through the forecast area after
midnight into early Thursday morning, bringing with it a band of
clouds, and isolated to low-end scattered light rain showers or
sprinkles. 22
short term Thursday night through Saturday night ... A drier and
cooler airmass moves into the area Thursday night as high
pressure builds across the northern plains and shifts east into
the great lakes by Friday night. As the ridge of high pressure
shifts east, moisture levels will begin increasing across the gulf
coast as a southeast flow develops on Saturday. Rain chances
increase by Saturday night as a developing southern stream upper
low moves toward the area. 13
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... As this system moves
across the southeast on Sunday, numerous showers and thunderstorms
can be expected Sunday into Sunday night. The GFS remains the
faster model with the upper and sfc lows east of the area by
Monday. Meanwhile, the ECMWF stalls the system over the southeast
through Tuesday. For now, will maintain the highest coverage of
showers and storms Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. Still too
early to diagnose any potential of strong to severe storms and
heavy rainfall potential given model uncertainties. Temperatures
will generally be near normal through the period. 13
marine... A light to moderate southwest wind flow can be expected
over the marine area early tonight as high pressure continues to
stretch from the western atlantic to the north central gulf. A
moderate to occasionaly strong offshore flow is expected late
Thursday and Thursday night in the wake of a cold front that moves
across region early Thursday. A moderate to strong east to southeast
flow is expected Saturday through early next week ahead of another
cold front approaching from the west. 22

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi49 min W 1.9 G 4.1 69°F 71°F1017.3 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi61 min 69°F 1016.9 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi43 min 70°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi106 min 69°F 1017 hPa66°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi31 min WSW 12 G 14 70°F 1017.6 hPa (-0.3)67°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi181 min Calm 70°F 1017.6 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi61 min WSW 8.9 67°F 1017.3 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi35 minN 010.00 miFair64°F64°F100%1015.6 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi35 minWSW 610.00 miFair64°F64°F100%1015.4 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi38 minSW 610.00 miFair67°F63°F87%1017.3 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi36 minSW 410.00 miFair69°F65°F88%1017.1 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi35 minWSW 410.00 miFair68°F63°F84%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3S3S4SW5SW7SW8SW7S9
G18
S13
G18
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G20
S14
G22
S8S13
G17
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G16
S8Calm3S3CalmSW33CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3334S7S7SW6
G15
S12S12
G17
S8S8S4S4CalmCalm3SW3CalmSW4Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalm3W6NW11
G17
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NW7NW4NW4W3NW3NW4CalmNW3CalmW3

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:15 AM CDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:16 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:56 PM CDT     1.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:18 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:17 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.30.40.60.91.11.31.41.61.71.71.71.61.41.10.80.50.30

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:07 AM CDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:16 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:12 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:51 PM CDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:17 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.20.30.50.70.91.11.31.51.71.81.81.81.71.51.20.90.60.30.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.