Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:13PM Thursday October 19, 2017 10:29 PM CDT (03:29 UTC) Moonrise 6:37AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1008 Pm Cdt Thu Oct 19 2017
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday night..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday..East winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 13 to 18 knots becoming southeast. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1008 Pm Cdt Thu Oct 19 2017
Synopsis..A strong surface ridge of high pressure will continue to stretch from the mid atlantic region into the north central gulf of mexico through Saturday night, with a moderate northeast to east wind flow persisting through Saturday night. Flow will then become more southeasterly Sunday before shifting to more westerly Monday as a cold front moves east across the marine area.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kmob 192344
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
644 pm cdt Thu oct 19 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
20 00z issuance...VFR conditions and generally light northeast
winds expected through the 24 hour period.

Prev discussion issued 334 pm cdt Thu oct 19 2017
near term now through Friday ... Other than a gradual slight
increase in boundary layer moisture, a very dry airmass remains in
place over the region today and model soundings indicate
essentially no change through Friday. So overall, a persistence
forecast is the way to go for the near term period. The light to
occasionally moderate northeast to east surface wind flow will
persist tonight and Friday, as surface high pressure continues to
ridge into the forecast area from the north and east. This surface
pattern has helped dewpoints rebound into the lower 60s in many
locations over the southern portion of the forecast area, although
they remain in the middle 50s over much of the northern interior
counties. With the slightly increased low level moisture, just as
was the case this morning, expect some patchy light fog and low
cloud development for a brief time late tonight, mainly over the
interior. Otherwise clear to mostly clear skies are expected
through the period. Aloft, upper ridge axis will migrate east
across our forecast area tonight, and then be to the east of the
forecast area by early Friday afternoon. As this occurs, a deeper
return flow off the gulf will gradually develop by late Friday,
but this will primarily influence the short and long term forecast
periods, and not have any appreciable effect on near term period.

Zero rain chance in the near term, so primarily just a
temperature forecast. Lows tonight generally ranging from the
lower 50s inland to the upper 50s and lower 60s near the coast. A
few normally cooler locations over far northern interior portions
of the forecast area could briefly dip into the upper 40s toward
daybreak Friday. High temps on Friday climbing into the lower 80s
across the entire region. 12 ds
short term Friday night through Sunday night ... To begin the
short term, deep layer ridge is progged to be positioned over the
southeast, while lower geo-potential heights move into the plains.

The ridge makes steady eastward progress off the southeast us
coast by Sunday while plains high level trof begins to sharpen as
it approaches the lower ms river valley by Sunday night. With the
sharpening and steady eastward progression of the long-wave trof,
attendant surface cold front moves eastward into the deep south
Sunday night. Deep layer moisture begins to slowly modify over
the course of the weekend, becoming highest on Sunday with pwat's
lifting to at or above 1.8 inches as best dynamics begin to
approach from the west. With that also comes a marked increase in
chances of showers and storms on Sunday, becoming likely over the
western zones Sunday afternoon and likely area-wide Sunday night.

The potential of strong storms exists mainly Sunday and Sunday
night with the eastward passage of the larger scale ascent and
some increase in low level winds. As far as severe weather
potential, despite modest daytime instability, an assessment of
h85 low level south to southwest wind fields generally less than
30 kts per latest global spectral models and ensembles would
suggest that the threat of severe weather is low at this time.

This may change with the onset of new data on subsequent shifts.

Daytime highs Saturday and Sunday in the lower half of the 80s.

Overnight lows from 56 to 61 interior Friday night become more
mild Saturday and Sunday nights ranging from the mid upper 60s
interior. 68 to 73 coast. 10
long term Monday through Thursday ... A series of cold fronts
move across the central gulf coast next week. As southern stream
mid level system ejects eastward over the deep south on Monday, the
first front makes passage late Monday morning. Chances of showers
remain high along with a few embedded storms. Rain chances lower
Monday night. A more pronounced deep layer trof digs southward
into the deep south late Tuesday bringing a reinforcing, dry,
secondary cold frontal passage through the area. It is this
boundary that brings much lower deep layer thicknesses and cold
air advective processes in its wake Wednesday morning where lows
look to dip into the mid 40s over the interior and mid 50s coast.

Latest gridded high temperatures for Wednesday look to come in
some 5 to 10 degrees below climatology in the mid 60s interior to
near 70 coast. Wednesday night lows could lower into the 40s all
the way down to i-10, while beach areas closer to 50. Highs on
Thursday 67 to 71 area-wide. 10
marine... A strong surface ridge of high pressure will continue to
stretch from the mid atlantic region to the southeastern states
and into the north central gulf of mexico through Saturday night,
with a moderate to occasionally strong northeast to east wind flow
persisting through Saturday night. Flow will then become more
southeasterly on Sunday, then shift from southwest to northwest
Monday through Tuesday as a cold front moves east across the
marine area. Exercise caution winds and seas (15 to 20 knots and
up to 6 feet) expected through most of the period, but will have
to monitor trends for possible small craft advisory conditions.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast by
Saturday and Sunday, becoming more numerous Sunday night into
Monday with the passage of the aforementioned front, before ending
with the passage of the front late Monday into Tuesday. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi41 min 1022.2 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi59 min 72°F 1021.7 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi41 min 75°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi104 min 65°F 1021 hPa62°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi39 min NE 14 G 18 77°F 79°F3 ft1021.2 hPa (+1.0)64°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi89 min Calm 71°F 1022 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi29 min NE 4.1 70°F 1022.4 hPa (+1.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Last
24hr
1 day
ago
2 days
ago

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi33 minNE 610.00 miA Few Clouds70°F55°F61%1021 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi33 minNNE 410.00 miA Few Clouds66°F60°F81%1021.1 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi36 minNNE 510.00 miA Few Clouds71°F60°F68%1022.2 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi33 minNE 610.00 miFair68°F60°F77%1021.8 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi33 minN 510.00 miFair67°F57°F73%1022 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last 24hrNE5NE6NE6NE7NE7NE5NE7NE5NE5NE4E6E7NE7E5NE8NE9NE7NE8NE9NE5N5N5NE6NE6
1 day agoNE9E7E6NE6NE6NE6NE5NE6N7NE7E8E9E7SE7NE4NE73NE10NE8NE6NE6NE8NE6N5
2 days agoN8N8N9N8N7N6N9N7NE9NE11NE12E14NE12NE11NE10NE11E12NE9NE10NE7N4NE8NE7NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bay Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:30 AM CDT     1.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:12 PM CDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:30 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.41.31.31.210.90.80.70.70.70.70.80.90.9111.11.11.21.21.31.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:37 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:36 AM CDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:12 PM CDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:31 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:52 PM CDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.51.41.21.10.90.80.70.60.60.70.70.80.9111.11.11.21.31.41.51.61.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.