Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:56PM Saturday June 24, 2017 5:18 AM CDT (10:18 UTC) Moonrise 6:25AMMoonset 8:34PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 408 Am Cdt Sat Jun 24 2017
Today..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast 13 to 18 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming east. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 408 Am Cdt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will continue over the eastern and north central gulf through Sunday then become reinforced by early next week as drier more stable air moves south over the region, in the wake of a weakening frontal boundary moving south towards the coast over the weekend. Showers and Thunderstorms are expected ahead and along the front with the best coverage occurring over the marine area Sunday into the Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 240944
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
444 am cdt Sat jun 24 2017

Near term now through Saturday night Upper level disturbances
will continue to move from west to east over the region in the
base of a large upper trough over the the central and eastern
conus. Meanwhile, a surface ridge from the western atlantic into
the eastern gulf of mexico will shift further east as a weak
surface trough just northwest of the forecast area slips southeast
and settles across the area. High precipitable water values
ranging from 2.0 to 2.25 inches will remain throughout the near
term.

Area radars detecting a cluster of showers with embedded isolated
thunderstorms moving across southeast mississippi and into
southwest alabama. This precipitation is expected to shift slowly
eastward throughout the day today, and expand in coverage
especially this afternoon. Some of the showers and storms will
again capable of producing periods of heavy rainfall, with
additional rainfall amounts up to 3 inches possible, especially
where the more persistent rain bands set up. The additional
rainfall will fall on saturated ground conditions, so any
additional rain may result in flash flooding. As a result, a flash
flood watch remains in effect across much of the area. In addition
to the risk of flash flooding, many area rivers are now in or
will soon go into minor to moderate flood.

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will persist overnight
across the entire forecast area. A high rip current risk also
remains in effect along the beaches of alabama and the western
florida panhandle.

High temperatures today will range from 84 to 89 degrees. Low
temperatures tonight will range from 69 to 74 degrees inland
areas, with mid 70s along the coast. 22

Short term Sunday through Monday night A moist zonal flow
pattern will persist across our forecast area into the day Sunday
as the surface front remains positioned near the coast. The axis
of deep layer moisture will continue to slowly sink southward
across the forecast area along the frontal zone through the day
Sunday, with precipitable water values continuing to average from
around 1.8 inches along and south of the highway 84 to as high as
around 2.2 inches near the immediate coast. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop over the area
Sunday, with the best coverage expected closer to the coast within
the higher pwat airmass. We will once again need to monitor for
locally heavy rainfall and a continued potential for localized
flooding within the stronger heavier embedded showers and storms
Sunday, particularly near the coast. Short range model guidance is
in general agreement with bringing a considerably drier airmass
southward into central and northern portions of the forecast area
Sunday night, with precipitable water values looking to fall to
0.75" to 1.25" along and north of the highway 84 corridor by early
Monday morning. A zone of deeper moisture still holds close to
the immediate coast. Therefore, we will continue a chance of
showers and storms near the coast, with pops falling to less than
20% farther inland late. Highs on Sunday are forecast to warm into
the mid to upper 80s. Lows Sunday night will be cooler inland
with the arrival of the drier airmass, with readings in the mid to
upper 60s. Lows near the immediate coast and beaches should range
in the lower 70s.

A zonal flow pattern aloft will persist Monday and Monday night as
our forecast area remains on the base of a broad upper level
trough that will encompass much of the eastern conus. A drier
airmass will be in place across most of the forecast area, with
precipitable water values progged to 1" to 1.25" inland, and 1.25"
to 1.4" near the coast according to the NAM and gfs. The ECMWF is
a little more optimistic with available moisture over southwest al
and into southeast ms, where it is depicting a little more
convective coverage. We will split the difference and forecast
isolated showers and storms over central and southern areas, while
maintaining a low chance of pops over southwestern portions of
the cwa. Convection should decrease with loss of daytime heating
inland, though isolated to scattered showers and storms may
develop near the immediate coast and offshore by Monday night.

Highs Monday should continue to range in the mid to upper 80s,
with lows Monday night cooling into the mid to upper 60s inland
and around 70 to the lower 70s near the immediate coast and
beaches. 21

Long term Tuesday through Friday The relatively dry airmass
will hold in place across the forecast area Tuesday, and generally
expect only isolated convective coverage at best over the region
with weak shortwave ridging aloft extending overhead. Deep layer
moisture should surge back northward over the forecast area
Wednesday through Friday as an upper level ridge of high pressure
strengthens over the western atlantic and eastern gulf of mexico.

Precipitable water values improving to 1.75" to 2" Wednesday, and
potentially as high as 2" to 2.25" Thursday and Friday will
support an increasing daily chance of showers and thunderstorms
mid to late in the week, some with locally heavy rainfall
possible. Highs each day should continue to range in the mid to
upper 80s, with morning lows gradually modifying back into the 70s
by late in the week as low level moisture increases over the
region. 21

Marine Weak high pressure will continue over the eastern and
north central gulf through Sunday then become reinforced by early
next week as drier more stable air moves south over the region,
in the wake of a weakening frontal boundary moving south towards
the coast over the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms are expected
ahead and along the front with the best coverage occurring over
the marine area Sunday into the Monday. 22

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 88 72 85 68 70 50 60 40
pensacola 88 75 86 71 60 30 60 40
destin 87 77 86 74 50 20 60 30
evergreen 89 72 86 66 80 50 50 20
waynesboro 87 69 84 65 80 60 40 20
camden 88 70 85 66 80 40 30 20
crestview 89 73 88 68 70 40 60 30

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Flash flood watch through late tonight for alz051>057-059-
261>266.

High rip current risk through late tonight for alz265-266.

Fl... Flash flood watch through late tonight for flz201>204.

High rip current risk through late tonight for flz202-204-206.

Ms... Flash flood watch through late tonight for msz067-075-076-078-
079.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi49 min 80°F 83°F1015.4 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi49 min SW 2.9 80°F 1015.2 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi49 min 80°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi89 min SSW 14 G 14 80°F 81°F3 ft1014.6 hPa (-1.4)78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi49 min SSW 13 82°F 1014.6 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi49 min SSW 9.9 80°F 1014.6 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi23 minSSW 37.00 miFair80°F77°F90%1013.9 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi23 minSW 410.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1013.8 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi26 minSSW 610.00 miFair80°F75°F85%1015.4 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi23 minSSW 710.00 miLight Drizzle80°F73°F83%1015 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi23 minSW 6 miPartly Cloudy80°F75°F87%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S7S11S10
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S13S9S7S4S5S7CalmSW4S6S5S3SW4SW3
1 day agoSE11S14
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2 days ago5E10SE7SE8SE14SE13
G23
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Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:49 PM CDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.5-0.4-0.2-00.20.40.711.31.61.822.22.22.11.91.71.310.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.4

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:26 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:50 AM CDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:34 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:27 PM CDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.40.711.31.61.822.22.22.121.71.410.60.3-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.