Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:13PM Sunday October 22, 2017 5:33 PM CDT (22:33 UTC) Moonrise 9:26AMMoonset 8:26PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 351 Pm Cdt Sun Oct 22 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 8 to 13 knots. A moderate chop becoming a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. Winds and waves locally higher in and near showers and storms.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. A light chop becoming a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Friday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 351 Pm Cdt Sun Oct 22 2017
Synopsis..An unsettled pattern continues tonight ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. Winds, waves and seas will be locally higher in and near showers and storms tonight. Visibility likely to be reduced to less than a mile as well, with the passage of heavy rain. Frontal passage is forecast Monday morning, bringing a wind shift and an end to showers and storms in its wake. A light, to at times moderate northwest flow continues into the middle of the week before turning more onshore by late week with high pressure lifting up into the southeast.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 222051
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
351 pm cdt Sun oct 22 2017

Near term now through Monday Sharp long-wave upper level
trough axis exiting the plains this evening is progged to make
steady eastward progress to the lower ms river delta late tonight
then pivots over the heart of the forecast area by daybreak
Monday. Ahead of the eastward moving trough axis this evening,
the local area remains on the favored side for enhanced deep
layer ascent within an anomalously high moist environment
(pwat's) ~ 2.00 inches. Radar is quite active with widespread
showers storms streaming northward off the gulf. Efficient warm
rain processes today have resulted in heavy rainfall rates and
excessive storm totals mainly over the coastal zones where area
mesonet sites and NWS surface observing equipment have reported
upwards of 2 to 4 inches with a few sites reporting 5+ inches.

Thus, with the front still to the west and additional rains
developing upstream to expand into the area tonight, could have
some isolated flash flooding problems and will increase the local
flood threat level to elevated over the coastal zones this
evening. There remains some potential for a few tornadoes this
evening generally east of the convective band as well. Stay
weather aware tonight.

As best dynamics shift east, categorical chances (80 to 100%) of
showers and storms this evening over much of the area shifts east
to the eastern half of the area by midnight and into the pre-dawn
hours Monday. Rain chances progged to slowly taper off over the
western zones through the course of the night. Attendant frontal
passage occurs Monday morning, bringing an end to the rain.

Overnight lows dropping off into the mid to upper 50s over the
northwest zones by daybreak while mid to upper 60s elsewhere.

Daytime highs Monday in lower to mid 70s interior to mid to upper
70s coast. 10

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night A reinforcing
frontal boundary sweeps southward over the deep south Monday
night, bringing lowering deep layer thickness values, deep layer
dry air and lowering temperatures which last into the middle of
the week. To begin the short term, much cooler conditions to start
the morning commute to work or school Tuesday morning with
temperatures in the lower to mid 50s interior, 56 to 62 coast.

Daytime highs on Tuesday in the lower to mid 70s which is a few
degrees below climatic normals. The coolest period is Tuesday
night and Wednesday where lows will likely dip down into the 40s
for much of the area. The exception being right along the beaches
where numbers in the lower to mid 50s forecast. Wednesday's highs
in the mid to upper 60s for most locations. 10

Long term Thursday through Sunday A moderation in highs and
lows anticipated to close out the week as surface high pressure
lifts up across the southeast. Highs Thursday and Friday trend
back into the 70s. Lows Friday and Saturday mornings in the lower
to mid 50s interior to lower to mid 60s coast.

Next cold front appears to dive into the deep south by Friday and
pushes thru Saturday, bringing a return to a small chance of
showers and storms through Saturday night. Of note: there is a
high degree of disagreement in the weather models with the timing
of next weekend's frontal passage which will dictate temperature
forecasts going into Saturday or Sunday. For now, the blended
guidance suggests highs will lower back into the lower to mid 60s
by Sunday with morning lows lowering into the mid to upper 40s
interior. 10

Marine An unsettled pattern continues tonight ahead of a cold
front approaching from the west. Winds, waves and seas will be
locally higher in and near showers and storms tonight. Visibility
likely to be reduced to less than a mile as well, with the passage
of heavy rain. Frontal passage is forecast Monday morning, bringing
a wind shift and an end to showers and storms in its wake. A light,
to at times moderate northwest flow continues into the middle of
the week before turning more onshore by late week with high pressure
lifting up into the southeast. 10

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 58 75 52 72 80 0 0 0
pensacola 66 76 55 73 100 10 0 0
destin 70 80 55 75 100 50 0 0
evergreen 64 74 49 72 90 10 0 0
waynesboro 55 72 50 70 80 0 0 0
camden 61 73 49 70 100 10 0 0
crestview 70 77 52 74 100 40 0 0

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk until 1 am cdt Monday for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk until 1 am cdt Monday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 3 pm cdt this afternoon for gmz650-
655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi64 min N 5.1 69°F 1014.9 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi109 min 74°F 1015 hPa74°F
PTOA1 11 mi46 min 69°F 68°F
WBYA1 11 mi46 min 77°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi46 min N 7 G 12 68°F 75°F1015.3 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 12 mi64 min N 8.9 72°F 1014.9 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi46 min 68°F 76°F1015.5 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi64 min NE 15 74°F 1013.5 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi46 min SSE 18 G 20 79°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi34 min S 9.9 G 16 78°F 1014.7 hPa (-0.5)
PPTA1 26 mi64 min 79°F 1014.6 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi64 min N 11 73°F 1014.9 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi109 min NNE 8.9 69°F 1016 hPa68°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi46 min 79°F 75°F1015 hPa
ULAM6 - 8741041 - Dock E. Port of Pascagoula, MS 37 mi46 min 75°F
RARM6 - 8741094 - Range A rear, Pascagoula, MS 38 mi46 min NNE 4.1 G 6 69°F 1015.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi44 min W 19 G 23 79°F6 ft1013.7 hPa (-1.6)
DKCM6 - 8741501 - Dock C, Pascagoula, MS 40 mi46 min N 5.1 G 8 70°F 1015.8 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi46 min 75°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi46 min N 16 G 20 70°F 1016 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SE12
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E4
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G12
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E7
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G11
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi39 minNNE 101.75 miHeavy Rain70°F69°F100%1014.9 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi41 minVar 31.75 miThunderstorm in Vicinity Heavy Rain Fog/Mist70°F70°F100%1016.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi38 minNNW 63.00 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist68°F66°F96%1016.4 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi59 minESE 15 G 2510.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity76°F76°F99%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E4E3E4E3NE3E3NE4E5E5E4E5NE5E7E6E5SE10
G18
SE10
G18
SE10
G15
E8N3N3NW6NW4
1 day agoCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE4E4E4NE3NE4NE3NE5NE5E5E7E5E8SE9E11E12
G16
SE11
G15
E8
G17
SE8SE9
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N3NE4NE4NE4NE4NE5NE4E7E7E12
G16
E9
G16
E8NE8E8E5E4SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:22 AM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:13 AM CDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:12 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:27 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.61.51.41.31.10.90.70.50.40.40.40.40.50.60.70.911.11.21.31.41.51.6

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:25 AM CDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:26 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:10 AM CDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:13 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:27 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.71.71.71.51.41.10.90.70.60.50.40.40.50.60.70.80.91.11.21.31.41.51.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.