Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Fontaine, AL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:00PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 10:44 PM CDT (03:44 UTC) Moonrise 1:04AMMoonset 1:10PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 358 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 25 2019
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 358 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 25 2019
Synopsis..A surface ridge of high pressure will build across the north central gulf coast region through Wednesday, then westward across the western gulf of mexico through the end of the week. A generally light to occasionally moderate westerly flow this afternoon becomes northerly Wednesday into Thursday. Onshore flow redevelops Friday into the weekend as high pressure builds back into the eastern gulf. Isolated to scattered showers and storms remain possible through the period, with the best chances this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Fontaine CDP, AL
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location: 30.57, -88.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 252058
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
358 pm cdt Tue jun 25 2019

Near term now through Wednesday Development of isolated
convection is finally underway along the seabreeze this afternoon,
as a few cells are initiating across northeastern mobile northern
baldwin counties in southwest al, and also just east of niceville,
fl as of 315 pm cdt. SPC mesoscale analysis continues to show a zone
of higher instability with MLCAPE values between 2000-3000 j kg
across southeast ms, portions of interior southwest al and eastward
across the western fl panhandle. Isolated to scattered showers and
storms should continue to develop over this part of the area late
this afternoon and lift across southwest and south central al and
interior portions of the northwest fl panhandle late this afternoon
before probably gradually diminishing into the early to mid evening
hours. We are also monitoring another area of stronger convection
near the la ms border this afternoon, which is associated with a
shortwave trough lifting over this region. There is potential that
convection associated with this feature could continue to develop
eastward toward southeast ms through this evening. We will therefore
continue chance pops over these portions of our forecast area into
this evening, with lower chances farther south near the immediate
coast. The strong instability and moist airmass will support
downburst potential with the stronger storms that develop, so we
will be monitoring for localized damaging wind gusts, in addition to
frequent lightning and brief heavy rainfall with the stronger storms
that develop.

Ridging aloft builds across the north central gulf of mexico on
Wednesday while an upper level trough low moves eastward across
northern al. A slightly drier airmass (dewpoints mixing into the
60s inland and around 70 closer to the coast) also looks to return
over our region Wednesday as a surface ridge of high pressure
builds from the appalachian mountains to the north central gulf
coast. There is still some uncertainty on overall convective
coverage that may develop across our area Wednesday, but
considering there will be enough moisture available in both the
low levels and the deep layers, that we will be located on the
base of the passing trough, we will keep a low chance of showers
and storms in the forecast for Wednesday afternoon. Highs should
once again reach the lower to mid 90s inland, and around 90
degrees closer to the beaches. The slightly drier airmass should
allow for lower heat index values in the 95-100 degrees range
(perhaps slightly higher in a few spots). 21

Short term Wednesday night through Friday night 25.12z
global spectral models continue to show a break in the mid level sub-
tropical ridge positioned from the mid-atlantic to the gulf to close
out the week. Within the weakness, an inverted h85 weakly defined
surface pressure trof over the fl peninsula Wednesday night migrates
very slowly westward, becoming positioned over the central gulf
coast Friday am. This feature looks to only make it as far west as
southeast la Friday night to end this period of the forecast. A
slight to perhaps low end chance of showers storms Thursday looks to
become mostly in the chance category by Friday considering the
better influence focus for ascent from the low level trof feature by
then.

Warmest day in the short term is Thursday with lower to mid
90s for highs. With better chances of showers and storms Friday,
highs are favored to be a few degrees lower overall at 88 to 90
close to the coast and lower half of the 90s interior. Little change
in night-time lows, remaining near to a couple degrees on
average, above climatology. 10

Long term Saturday through Tuesday Inverted mid level trof
axis, progged to be aligned from the lower ms river valley to the
western gulf Saturday morning continues a slow westward shift into
tx by Sunday. Meanwhile, mid level heights to begin rising over
southeast Monday and Tuesday where an upper ridge is shown to
evolve. Will maintain a modest chance of daytime showers storms over
the weekend coincident with time of best heating and resultant
instability. Will maintain chance pops Monday and Tuesday, but all
is dependent on how strong the ridge axis aloft over the
southeast is. If the ridge aloft is more amplified (stronger),
then large scale subsidence would effectively result in a lower
chance of showers storms early next week.

Highs change little over the weekend with lower to mid 90s north of
the beaches. At the beaches, mostly in the upper 80s is advertised.

Daytime highs trend higher, ranging 93 to 97 over the interior
early next week with beaches lifting into the lower 90s. Lows
typically in the lower to mid 70s over the weekend and continuing
a slight warming trend into the first of next week. 10

Marine A surface ridge of high pressure will build across the
north central gulf coast region through Wednesday, then westward
across the western gulf of mexico through the end of the week. A
generally light to occasionally moderate westerly flow this
afternoon becomes northerly Wednesday into Thursday. Onshore flow
redevelops Friday into the weekend as high pressure builds back into
the eastern gulf. Isolated to scattered showers and storms remain
possible through the period, with the best chances this weekend.

21

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 73 96 73 95 73 92 71 91 20 20 10 20 20 40 30 50
pensacola 77 93 76 93 76 90 75 88 10 20 10 20 20 30 40 50
destin 78 91 78 90 78 88 77 87 10 20 10 20 20 30 40 50
evergreen 71 95 72 96 72 93 72 93 30 20 10 20 20 30 30 50
waynesboro 70 93 71 93 71 91 70 90 30 20 10 20 10 30 20 50
camden 71 93 71 95 72 93 72 93 30 20 10 20 10 30 30 50
crestview 72 95 72 94 72 92 71 92 20 20 10 20 20 30 30 60

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBPA1 3 mi56 min 81°F 65°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 6 mi56 min NNW 9.9 G 15 81°F 88°F1020.7 hPa
PTOA1 8 mi62 min 80°F 69°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 10 mi62 min 1020.8 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 11 mi74 min NW 13 82°F 1020.7 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 17 mi119 min 82°F 1018 hPa78°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 18 mi74 min W 11 86°F 1019.6 hPa
WBYA1 18 mi56 min 90°F
GBRM6 20 mi164 min 87°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 22 mi104 min W 8.9 1018.6 hPa (+1.7)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 22 mi44 min NNW 21 G 24 83°F 1020 hPa (+2.2)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi119 min WNW 2.9 85°F 1020 hPa81°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 23 mi74 min WNW 9.9 1019.6 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 24 mi56 min NW 11 G 14 85°F 1019.6 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 29 mi68 min 87°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 33 mi62 min N 24 G 29 1019.7 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi74 min 84°F 1020 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi64 min 1 ft
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 48 mi56 min N 1.9 G 2.9 86°F 87°F1019.8 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi51 minNNW 1410.00 miA Few Clouds82°F64°F56%1021 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi48 minN 37.00 miLight Rain75°F69°F82%1020.2 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL14 mi49 minNNW 9 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F71°F74%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmSW43W534SE9SE7SW4SW5--SW4SW3W3NW6NW14
1 day agoS5S5S7S75S555SW8SW8
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6SW5S4455SW5S5S3S3S3Calm
2 days agoCalmS3CalmCalmS44SW3SW3SW4S34S5S10
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Tide / Current Tables for Fowl River, Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama
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Fowl River
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:04 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:29 AM CDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:48 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:42 AM CDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:10 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:35 PM CDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:35 PM CDT     0.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.50.50.50.50.60.60.70.80.91111111110.90.90.80.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:03 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:50 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:48 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:45 AM CDT     0.67 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:10 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:56 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:57 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:12 PM CDT     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.8-0.7-0.4-0.200.30.50.60.70.70.60.60.50.30.20.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.