Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Fontaine, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:53PM Monday December 10, 2018 6:46 AM CST (12:46 UTC) Moonrise 10:19AMMoonset 8:56PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 603 Am Cst Mon Dec 10 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Winds light becoming east 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of rain.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 603 Am Cst Mon Dec 10 2018
Synopsis..Northerly flow will decrease today as high pressure builds over the northern gulf. A light to moderate northerly flow will continue through midweek. Southerly winds and seas will build later in the week as low pressure and an associated cold front approach from the west. Showers and Thunderstorms increase in areal coverage the latter half of the week, with the highest rain chances occurring late Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Fontaine CDP, AL
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location: 30.57, -88.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 101123 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
523 am cst Mon dec 10 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... MVFR CIGS will prevail through much of the morning
with ceilings becomingVFR by afternoon and evening hours. 13

Prev discussion issued 421 am cst Mon dec 10 2018
near term now through Monday night ... The area remains under a
blanket of low level stratus clouds. Forecast soundings show the
saturated layer around 925mb to hang in most of the day until some
drier air begins working in late this afternoon. This will keep
the area mostly cloudy with a few breaks possible across southeast
mississippi and southwest alabama by late afternoon. Areas east
of i- 65 will likely stay cloudy until late this evening. The
cloud cover along with continued cold air advection will keep
temps on the cold side today with highs only in the mid and upper
40s inland to low 50s along the coast. Lows tonight will fall into
the upper 20s and low 30s inland to upper 30s along the coast.

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short term Tuesday through Wednesday night ... Surface high
pressure ridging into the northern gulf states and a ridge aloft
will provide the region with blue skies on Tuesday. Daytime highs
will climb into the mid to upper 50s. Although some mid and high
level cloud cover advect through the flattening ridge aloft
Tuesday night, a shallow dome of cold air will remain wedged in
place. Hence, still anticipate many inland locations to experience
overnight lows at near to below freezing Tuesday night. High
zonal flow aloft Wednesday will allow mid and high level cloud
cover to stream across the region creating partly to mostly
cloudy skies. Surface high pressue shifts to the eastern seaboard
creating a southerly return flow over the area. Afternoon
temperatures Wednesday trend toward more seasonable norms ranging
from the low 60s to mid 60s. Lows Wednesday night will be
considerably warmer than normal, mid 40s interior locations to mid
50s along the coast.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ... An approaching cold front
is projected to extend southward across the eastern portions of
texas supported by a strong upper level shortwave trough digging
into west texas. As the frontal system approaches Thursday, the
southeasterly wind flow at the surface increases as the gradient
tightens creating breezy conditions, especially near the coast. A
high risk rip of currents can be expected to develop along gulf
beaches by Thursday and continue through Friday. Aloft, the flow
backs to the southwest Thursday and the airmass over the region
moistens with precipitable waters approaching an inch and a half
by afternoon. Scattered showers develop over the area Thursday
afternoon and become widespread overnight as the cold front pushes
through. The dynamics projected with this system suggest isolated
to scattered thunderstorm activity Thursday night, some of which
could become strong or marginally severe. Rainfall totals are
currently projected to range between an inch to two inches. Some
wrap around moisture associated with the departing low Friday will
keep the chance of some lingering light precipitation over the
area through Friday evening.

Very warm temperatures for this time of year are expected Thursday
with afternoon highs approaching 70 near the coast with mid to
upper 60s expected inland.

Following the frontal passage Thursday night, the high pressure
regime that becomes established over the region will extend
through the weekend. Dry conditions with temperatures trending
near to a little cooler than climatological norms are anticipated
over the weekend. 08
marine... Northerly flow will decrease today as high pressure builds
over the northern gulf. A light to moderate northerly flow will
continue through midweek. Southerly winds and seas will build later
in the week as low pressure and an associated cold front approach
from the west. Showers and thunderstorms increase in areal coverage
the latter half of the week, with the highest rain chances occurring
late Thursday into Friday.

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk until 6 am cst early this morning for
alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk until 6 am cst early this morning for
flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 6 am cst early this morning for
gmz630>632-650-655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBPA1 3 mi28 min 40°F 35°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 6 mi100 min NNW 8.9 G 14 39°F 60°F1022.2 hPa
PTOA1 8 mi28 min 41°F 39°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 10 mi34 min 40°F 54°F1022.8 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 11 mi76 min NW 8.9 39°F 1022.7 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 17 mi61 min 40°F 1022 hPa36°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 18 mi46 min NW 12 40°F 1022 hPa (+0.3)
WBYA1 18 mi28 min 55°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 22 mi46 min NW 15 G 17 40°F 1022.8 hPa (+1.2)36°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 22 mi76 min NNW 15 41°F 1021 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 23 mi46 min NNW 16 41°F 1023.4 hPa (+1.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 24 mi28 min NNW 18 G 20 40°F 1022.7 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 29 mi34 min 55°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 33 mi28 min NNW 18 G 22 41°F 1024.1 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi36 min 14 G 19 1022.6 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 48 mi34 min NW 7 G 12 41°F 59°F1022.1 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi53 minWNW 11 G 1710.00 miOvercast41°F36°F82%1022.9 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi50 minNW 57.00 miOvercast39°F35°F86%1022.7 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL14 mi71 minNNW 410.00 miOvercast37°F33°F87%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr6W6NW6NW13
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1 day agoNE9NE8N8N10NE6NE9NE8
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W5NW13N6NW6NW4NW4W5NW9
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2 days agoNE6NE8NE5NE6E4E3CalmNE5NE5NE4E6E9E9E8E8E8NE8E6NE6NE8N8NE11NE13NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Fowl River, Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama
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Fowl River
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:35 AM CST     1.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:18 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:05 PM CST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:52 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:56 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.71.61.41.210.70.40.20-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.70.911.11.31.4

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:20 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:07 AM CST     -2.18 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:17 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:21 PM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:52 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:52 PM CST     1.96 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:56 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.4-0.9-1.4-1.8-2.1-2.2-2.1-1.9-1.6-1.2-0.7-0.20.30.81.21.51.81.921.91.71.41

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.