Wednesday, October17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:15PM Wednesday October 17, 2018 4:31 AM CDT (09:31 UTC) Moonrise 2:24PMMoonset 12:18AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1041 Pm Cdt Tue Oct 16 2018
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..Northeast winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1041 Pm Cdt Tue Oct 16 2018
Synopsis..A moderate offshore flow will develop late tonight into Wednesday morning as a cold front moves offshore. Northeast winds will increase by Wednesday evening and continue through Thursday morning. Hazardous conditions for small craft will be likely in the wake of a strong cold front late Saturday night through early Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton city, FL
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location: 30.61, -87.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 170919
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
419 am cdt Wed oct 17 2018

Near term now through Wednesday night Weather maps this
morning show an upper level trof axis positioned over the great
lakes while a cutoff upper low holds in place over the southwest us.

A mid level ridge was fixed over the southwest atlantic, stretching
west into the gulf. Between the ridge to our south and the trof to
the north, satellite imagery this morning continues to show an
extensive, steady stream of moisture clouds advancing northeast to
east from texas, up across the mid-atlantic and deep south. At the
surface, a quasi-stationary surface front has made it to the coast.

Along and north of the boundary, GOES 16 10.3-3.9 micron night-time
fog channel along with surface observations shows a large area of
post frontal low stratus, mixed in with fog over the local area.

Dense fog has not been as widespread as 24hrs ago, but still some
isolated areas seeing less than a mile at times.

Given current trends, will mention patchy morning in the zones,
which will likely mix out not long after sunrise and as the coastal
front begins to sink more southward. As far as precipitation, radar
shows pockets of light rain streaming northeast over central
mississippi and also some light returns advancing northward over
southeast louisiana. Considering this, will mention a small pop to
be aligned along and west of a line from camden alabama to wiggins
mississippi this morning. Going into the afternoon, forecast
guidance does not lend confidence of measurable rain occurring,
so will trend pops to 10% or less. Under cloud deck, coolest highs
today are forecast in the far northwest zones (in the lower to
mid 70s) trending higher into the lower to mid 80s over the
southeast zones and coast. Overnight lows mid 50s interior to mid
to upper 60s along the coast.

South to southeasterly swell packets of around 2 feet and periods
near 6 seconds noted over the last several hours at buoy 42012. Will
maintain a moderate risk of rip currents along our shores in the
near term. 10

Short term Thursday through Friday night A well defined
shortwave trof advances eastward across the plains and partially
phases with a larger upper trof advancing out of canada to form a
longwave trof over the eastern states by the end of the period.

In response to this transition, a strong upper ridge oriented
mainly along the northern gulf coast persists through Thursday
night then weakens and retreats into the central southern gulf
through Friday night. A large surface high over the eastern states
and southern plains weakens through Thursday night ahead of a
strong cold front (associated with a deepening surface low well to
the north) which advances across the plains. The cold front
continues to advance eastward during the remainder of the period
and moves into the forecast area Friday night. Dry conditions are
expected over the forecast area through Thursday night, then pops
increase to chance Friday into Friday night as a series of
shortwaves move across the region followed by the frontal
boundary moving into the area. Highs on Thursday and Friday will
be a few to several degrees above normal and generally around 80
on Thursday and in the lower 80s on Friday. Overnight lows will be
mild. 29

Long term Saturday through Tuesday The large upper trof over
the eastern states moves off into the western atlantic through
Sunday as a dome of cool high pressure builds from the plains into
the eastern states. For Saturday, the cold front moves through
the remainder of the area and ushers cooler air into the region.

Isentropic lift due to layer lifting as well as associated with a
series of shortwaves moving across the region will support chance
to good chance pops. Dry conditions follow for Sunday. While highs
will be around 80 east of i-65 on Saturday, the cooler air
flowing into the region will hold highs to as low as the lower 70s
over interior southeast mississippi and interior southwest
alabama. Lows Saturday night range from around 50 well inland to
the mid 50s near the coast, and Sunday night will be even cooler
with lower 40s well inland ranging to lower 50s at the coast.

Highs on Sunday and Monday will be mostly in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. Another upper trof advances out of canada and amplifies
over the interior eastern states on Tuesday, and an associated
surface low brings another cold front southward across the eastern
states. The surface high over the eastern states weakens and
shifts off into the western atlantic in response, and the cold
front is expected to advance to just north of the forecast area by
Tuesday afternoon. Another series of southern stream shortwaves
move across the area ahead of the approaching front, and will
support a return of slight chance pops near the coast on Monday
and slight chance to chance pops for Monday night into Tuesday.

Near seasonable temperatures are expected Monday night and
Tuesday. 29

Marine A cold front sinks southward into the gulf today. A
strengthening offshore flow sets up tonight as a result of a
tightening pressure difference between a strong high overspreading
the eastern us and the gulf front to the south. Moderate to strong
flow becomes more easterly over the open gulf by Friday. Small craft
advisories have been issued, primarily for potential of frequent
wind gusts to criteria beginning late this evening. A strong cold
front Saturday, brings strengthening offshore flow in its wake
Saturday night which looks to persist into late Sunday night. 10

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 82 61 81 63 83 67 81 54 10 10 10 10 30 30 40 20
pensacola 83 66 81 67 83 70 81 58 10 0 10 10 40 30 40 20
destin 83 68 83 69 82 72 82 61 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 20
evergreen 81 59 80 61 83 65 78 52 10 0 10 10 20 30 40 20
waynesboro 73 55 77 59 81 64 72 50 20 0 10 10 20 30 40 10
camden 76 56 79 59 81 65 74 51 20 0 0 0 20 30 50 10
crestview 85 61 83 63 83 66 82 55 10 0 0 10 20 20 40 20

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to noon cdt Friday
for gmz650-655-670-675.

Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 11 am cdt
Thursday for gmz630>632.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 17 mi32 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 77°F 81°F1019.2 hPa (+0.3)
PPTA1 36 mi32 min 75°F 1019 hPa (-0.0)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 44 mi47 min 74°F 1019 hPa73°F
WBYA1 44 mi32 min 82°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi62 min NNE 9.9 74°F 1019 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 47 mi22 min 3.9 G 9.7 81°F 1018.8 hPa76°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL7 mi2.6 hrsN 410.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1017.8 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL8 mi36 minN 04.00 miFog/Mist73°F73°F100%1017.8 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi39 minNNE 47.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F73°F94%1019.1 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL22 mi36 minN 47.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F64°F71%1018.8 hPa

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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE3E4E4E5E7SE11SE8SE6S7SE8SE7SE7SE4SE4CalmCalmCalm--N5N5--NE4
1 day agoS5S4SE5SE6S7SE12SE9SE8
G15
SE10SE10SE10SE8SE8SE7SE3S3CalmCalmE3E4E3NE4NE4Calm
2 days agoS5S3NE3E4NE3E5E6S11SE11S11S9S6SE8E5E3E3E4E3E5E4SE12SE7S8S7

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:19 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:38 AM CDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:59 PM CDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:14 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.41.51.71.71.81.81.81.71.51.41.210.80.60.50.50.40.50.50.60.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:19 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:34 AM CDT     1.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:24 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:15 PM CDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:15 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.41.51.71.71.81.81.81.71.51.41.210.80.70.50.50.40.40.50.60.70.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.