Monday, April23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 7:23PM Monday April 23, 2018 10:01 PM CDT (03:01 UTC) Moonrise 1:10PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 315 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 23 2018
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Thursday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Friday night..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Saturday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 315 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 23 2018
Synopsis..A moderate west to northwest flow prevails the next several days. Another cold front will move east across the marine area Tuesday night, with a light to moderate northwest to northerly flow then expected for the remainder of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton city, FL
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location: 30.61, -87.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 240216 aab
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
916 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Looking at the evening update, forecast generally on
track, as shortwave energy swinging around an upper low north of
the forecast area pushes cooler air southeast across the area.

High risk of rips has expired, so any resends are generally meant
to clean out the expiring wwa.

16

Prev discussion issued 621 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Shortwave energy swinging around an upper low
located over the mid mississippi river valley will push mainly
vfr upper MVFR cig stratus towards area TAF sites from the
northwest. Am not anticipating the push from the shortwaves being
strong enough to cause low end MVFR ifr level CIGS overnight.

Tuesday, with daytime heating, am anticipating any leftover low
level clouds to mix out, providing mostly sunny skies for
operations.

16
prev discussion... Issued 349 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018
near term now through Tuesday ... Very quiet. Occluded low moves
further to the NE away from our region through the period and
does not fill much. However, we remain in a deeply-reflected
cyclonic wrap-around through period's end. This will leave
gradient a n-s gradient in low cloud cover across our region over
the next day. Tonight cooler with a low in the 50s (around 60
deg(f) barrier islands). Tomorrow's high will be near 70 deg(f)
over the interior to the low to mid 70s along the coast. Areas of
late night light fog (i.E., visibilities 3-5 miles) will form and
have as low dissipation through 9 am tomorrow morning. 23 jmm
short term Tuesday night through Thursday night ... The next approaches
Wednesday night and into Thursday. This system's origin is from the
tail-end of a progressive longwave trough currently moving SE through
the northern rockies. It amplifies and deepens quickly while moving
into the NRN plains Tuesday, the SRN plains Wednesday and into our
area on Thursday. It is quick - in and out and its' forecast by
the guidance to pack quite a dynamic punch given its S wave
curvature and rotating to almost (but not quite) go negative tilt
as it moves through our area on Thursday. We will have to watch
this system because it passes through at midday and there is quite
a cold pool with it. Will have to closely watch the forecast
lapse rates. I could see hail not being out of the question with
this one, but we will fine-tune that over time. It exits the
region late Thursday and equally and symmetrically strong
subsidence prevails in the waves passage. 23 jmm
long term Friday through Monday ... Shortwave over the central
gulf coast rapidly pushes off to the east forced along by a 75 kt
upper level jet. The corresponding surface cold front advects in
a much drier air mass with with 1000-500mb rh values falling to
less than 20%. Winds will quickly shift out of the north
overnight. Immediately behind the first shortwave a second trough
centered over the mississippi river valley moves southeast late
Friday into Saturday. There's some model disagreement in the
intensity of the trough. The GFS has more PVA in the mid-levels
compared to the euro as such is showing slight rain chances for
Saturday morning over the northern portion of our forecast area.

Towards the end of the weekend an amplified mid-level ridge builds
into the southeast. The subsidence from the ridge will suppress much
in the way of precipitation over alabama and will allow max
temperatures to creep into the 80s across the region. Monday as the
surface high centered over tennessee shifts off to the east winds
will begin to shift out of the south as we translate into next week.

Dj 17
marine... A moderate west to northwest flow prevails the next
several days. Another cold front will move east across the marine
area Tuesday night, with a light to moderate northwest to northerly
flow then expected for the remainder of the week. Seas gradually
subside. 23 jmm

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 17 mi44 min W 5.1 G 8.9 67°F 72°F1014.1 hPa
PPTA1 36 mi62 min 66°F 1014.2 hPa (+1.4)
WBYA1 44 mi44 min 73°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 44 mi77 min 66°F 1014 hPa56°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 47 mi32 min W 14 G 18 69°F 1014 hPa60°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi62 min WNW 15 67°F 1013.9 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 48 mi62 min NW 8.9 64°F 1014.2 hPa (+2.0)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL7 mi66 minWNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy63°F57°F81%1012.3 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL8 mi66 minWNW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F55°F75%1012.3 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi69 minWSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F55°F68%1013.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL22 mi2.1 hrsW 510.00 miFair67°F56°F69%1012.3 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL23 mi66 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F55°F73%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9SW7W6W5W4CalmW3CalmNW8N6NW4W8W8W10SW13
G18
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SW11W12W19
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1 day agoE7E6E7E9
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E9E11E9SE10SE11SE12SE11SE13SE15SE14SE15
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2 days agoE43NE4N5NE5E6NE4NE4NE6E7E7E9SE12SE13SE11SE12SE12SE9SE10SE9SE10SE5SE4E5

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:42 AM CDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:12 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:09 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:13 PM CDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.50.2-0-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.70.91.11.31.41.51.61.61.61.61.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:58 AM CDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:12 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:10 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:09 PM CDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.20-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.100.20.50.70.91.11.31.41.51.61.61.61.61.41.31.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.