Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 7:57 PM EDT (23:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:06PMMoonset 8:43AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 315 Pm Edt Wed May 22 2019 /215 Pm Cdt Wed May 22 2019/
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the late evening. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots late in the evening, then becoming east 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 315 Pm Edt Wed May 22 2019
Synopsis.. Weak onshore flow will persist through the forecast period with generally light winds and seas. No rain is forecast through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 221910
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
310 pm edt Wed may 22 2019

Dangerous heat expected through the holiday weekend...

Near term [through tonight]
Isolated to scattered showers (and possibly a rumble of thunder) are
possible this afternoon mostly east of tallahassee and albany where
better moisture combines with some limited seabreeze convergence.

Expecting shower activity to decay around sunset with loss off
daytime heating. Winds turn easterly overnight as remnants of the
atlantic seabreeze move through the region.

Besides some patchy fog in our east zones (near i-75), conditions
will remain quiet overnight with low temperatures in the upper-
60s near-70.

Short term [Thursday through Friday night]
Heat will build through the period with a degree or two of warming
each afternoon. The warming will be associated with steadily
rising heights as the upper ridge builds. Any diurnal convection
will be isolated at best.

Long term [Saturday through Wednesday]
Heat will continue to be the big story into next week as
anomalously strong upper ridge remains overhead. High temps away
from the coast will be at or above than 100 degrees Saturday
through Monday. Afternoon heat index values will peak between 102
and 106 degrees. This is below our heat advisory criteria, but
given how early in the season the heat is occurring, and that it's
a holiday weekend with many outdoor activities, a heat advisory
will likely be needed. This is especially true in areas affected
by michael where the size of the heat-vulnerable population is
larger than normal. There may be a slight cooldown late in the
period as the upper ridge flattens a bit but temperatures will
remain well above normal. Little to nothing in the way of rainfall
is expected.

Aviation
[through 18z Thursday]
vfr conditions expected through the period across most TAF sites.

The only potential aviation hazards through the period revolve
around scattered thunderstorms east of tlh and aby from 18z to
00z, and patchy fog near vld from 10z to 13z Thursday morning.

Potential for MVFR ifr conditions within any thunderstorms this
afternoon and there will be a potential for ifr conditions in any
fog that develops Thursday morning.

Marine
Weak onshore flow will persist through the forecast period with
generally light winds and seas. No rain is forecast through the
period.

Fire weather
Rising temperatures and next to no chances of rain over the course
of at least the next week will be something to monitor closely with
regards to fuels curing and rising fire potential.

Hydrology
Little to no rainfall is expected over the next seven days.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 69 96 68 97 70 0 10 0 0 0
panama city 74 88 72 90 73 0 10 0 0 0
dothan 70 94 69 96 70 0 10 0 0 0
albany 71 94 71 97 73 0 10 0 0 0
valdosta 68 94 67 97 70 0 10 0 0 0
cross city 66 94 65 96 69 0 10 0 0 0
apalachicola 74 85 71 89 72 0 10 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Dobbs
short term... Johnstone
long term... Johnstone
aviation... Dobbs
marine... Johnstone
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Johnstone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi58 min NW 2.9 G 2.9 82°F 1017.8 hPa (-0.4)71°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi124 min S 5.1 G 7 87°F 81°F1017 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi58 min ESE 5.1 G 9.9 83°F 84°F1021.3 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi65 minESE 410.00 miFair92°F64°F40%1018.4 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi62 minESE 710.00 miFair92°F64°F40%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S54CalmS4NE73SE9E6E6SE4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmS3S6--S5S533Calm3
2 days agoCalmCalmS4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm6W8W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Mandalay, Aucilla River, Apalachee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:29 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:30 AM EDT     1.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:09 PM EDT     3.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:56 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.311.82.42.82.82.52.11.81.61.61.82.32.83.33.43.432.41.81.10.50.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.