Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:35PM Saturday November 17, 2018 7:30 PM EST (00:30 UTC) Moonrise 2:32PMMoonset 1:25AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 210 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 210 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis.. Generally light north-northeast winds will prevail for the next few days under high pressure before increasing slightly by the middle of the week. Seas will generally be less than 2 feet. The next chance of rain won't be until at least Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 172317
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
617 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Aviation
[through 00z Monday]
vfr conditions throughout the period for most sites. Kvld could
see some lower CIGS push in from the east overnight, otherwise
expect periodic sct bkn high clouds and light winds.

Prev discussion [241 pm est]
Near term [through tonight]
High pressure will dominate. Mostly clear skies will continue
through today with low clouds developing late tonight to our east
that may encroach on the area. Lows will be in the low to mid 40s.

Short term [Sunday through Monday night]
Surface high pressure and mid level ridging will continue through
the weekend with light northerly winds. The mid level ridge starts
to break down on Monday with an upper trough starting to approach.

Clouds will be on the increase through Monday night but the short
term period will remain dry.

Temps will also be warming with lows tonight in the lower to mid
40s, continuing to rise Sun night and back to the lower to mid 50s
on Monday night. Highs will be on a similar trend with temps in the
upper 60s to lower 70s both Sunday and Monday.

Long term [Tuesday through Saturday]
The upper trough starts to move across the region on Tuesday with a
dry, reinforcing cold front moving through by Tuesday night.

Although moisture does increase slightly ahead of the front, it
looks like the lift won't be enough to get any rain out of it. It
will be bringing in a cooler air mass with high pressure building
in behind it from the north. Lows Tue and Wed night will drop
into the lower to upper 40s again with highs on tues in the mid
60s to mid 70s dropping a few degrees on wed.

The upper trough and low will well off into the northeast by
Thursday but a piece of the southern stream jet will develop a weak
surface low along the tx la coast. This will spread clouds across
the region with highs Thu only in the lower to mid 60s with warming
lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Rain chances Thu thu night with this
system stay south, along the coast and over the waters.

The next upper trough will approach Friday with differing
solutions to how the trough and the associated surface feature
will evolve. For now, will keep the isolated to scattered showers
in the forecast for Friday and Saturday.

Marine
Generally light north-northeast winds will prevail for the next few days
under high pressure before increasing slightly by the middle of
the week. Seas will generally be less than 2 feet. The next chance
of rain won't be until at least Thursday.

Fire weather
Aside from low afternoon dispersion the next few days, there are
no other fire weather concerns.

Hydrology
Little to no rain is expected in the next week. The apalachicola
river near blountstown is still in flood stage with a few area
rivers near action stage.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 43 73 48 72 52 0 0 0 0 10
panama city 48 70 51 71 56 0 0 0 0 10
dothan 42 68 45 68 51 0 0 0 0 10
albany 43 70 48 69 52 0 0 0 0 10
valdosta 44 72 51 72 52 0 0 0 0 0
cross city 46 75 54 75 54 0 0 0 0 10
apalachicola 49 71 51 71 55 0 0 0 0 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Nguyen
short term... Ln
long term... Ln
aviation... Humphreys
marine... Ln
fire weather...

hydrology... Ln


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi31 min Calm G 1 56°F 1022.3 hPa (+0.3)52°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi97 min Calm G 1 61°F 62°F1021.2 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi31 min NE 1.9 G 4.1 62°F 67°F1023.2 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi38 minN 010.00 miFair50°F46°F89%1023.3 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi95 minN 010.00 miFair55°F50°F83%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmN5NE8NE4N5CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago545Calm33334Calm3Calm3N10N8
G20
3N7345N7CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNE434N10N14NE9CalmN7N84E33Calm344333NW44W4W10NW7

Tide / Current Tables for Mandalay, Aucilla River, Apalachee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:28 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST     1.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:40 AM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:03 PM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:18 PM EST     2.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.81.51.41.31.41.61.92.22.32.42.221.61.210.911.31.72.22.52.72.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.