Wednesday, March20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:35AMSunset 7:45PM Wednesday March 20, 2019 5:54 AM EDT (09:54 UTC) Moonrise 6:32PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 215 Am Edt Wed Mar 20 2019 /115 Am Cdt Wed Mar 20 2019/
Today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots late. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..West winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 knots in the late evening. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 215 Am Edt Wed Mar 20 2019
Synopsis.. A small craft advisory remains in effect for portions of the northern gulf waters through 10am edt. Latest buoy observations shows winds are still above 20kts so will not make any changes to the advisory. Winds and seas will slowly diminish through the day. Winds shift to the northwest on Thursday and increase again to around 20kts. Otherwise, winds remain 15 knots or less and seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 200615
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
215 am edt Wed mar 20 2019

Near term [through today]
Nearly zonal flow aloft with weak high pressure and a dry airmass in
the lower levels. High temps will be a few degrees warmer than what
we saw on Tuesday mainly due to less cloud cover. Highs will range
from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Short term [tonight through Friday night]
An upper low starts to move through the great lakes tonight with a
cold front draping south through ms. The upper low and surface low
are weak so as the front moves east on Thursday, it will weaken with
all precip staying north of the region. An increase of clouds in se
al and SW ga is the only thing we will see locally. Winds however
will shift to the northwest Thursday night behind the front. Surface
high pressure builds in for Friday with dry weather continuing.

Highs Thursday will be similar to Wednesday, in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. Even with the northwest flow, rising heights will start a
warming trend with highs Friday a degree or two warmer. Lows will
remain in the mid 40s.

Long term [Saturday through Wednesday]
A mid and upper level ridge continue to build over the area
through the weekend with surface high pressure and dry weather
continuing. Highs Sat will be in the lower to mid 70s and with
southerly flow returning on Sunday, highs will warm Sunday and
Monday into the upper 70s. The next upper trough will be moving
east on Monday with a frontal boundary extending from maine all
the way south through texas with weak surface lows developing
along it. Clouds will increase on Monday ahead of it. The GFS has
a more progressive system and a stronger upper level jet streak.

This will push rain into the region by late Monday afternoon while
the ECMWF holds off until after midnight. The GFS also moves
everything through quickly while the ECMWF develops an additional
upper level trough and surface feature, continuing rain through
Wednesday. Will keep a chance pop in for this time frame to
account for uncertainty.

Blended guidance is taking more of a GFS approach with winds turning
northerly behind the initial front. Tuesdays highs with the rain and
clouds will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s and dropping Wednesday
into the 60s. Lows will warm into the 50s for the weekend ahead of
the front and drop back to the 40s behind it.

Aviation
[through 06z Thursday]
vfr conditions will prevail through the period with light north to
northeast winds.

Marine
A small craft advisory remains in effect for portions of the
northern gulf waters through 10am edt. Latest buoy observations
shows winds are still above 20kts so will not make any changes to
the advisory. Winds and seas will slowly diminish through the
day. Winds shift to the northwest on Thursday and increase again
to around 20kts. Otherwise, winds remain 15 knots or less and seas
will remain around 2 to 3 feet.

Fire weather
Minimum relative humidity values will drop near or below 30 percent
this afternoon and again Thursday afternoon. However, aside from
high dispersion values expected on Thursday, red flag conditions
will not be met due to light wind and elevated fuel moisture.

Hydrology
Dry weather is expected through the weekend. The next chance of
rain will be Monday through Wednesday with rainfall amounts
forecast to remain below half an inch. Flooding is not expected.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 73 41 73 43 73 0 0 0 0 0
panama city 69 50 69 49 68 0 0 0 0 0
dothan 69 43 68 43 70 0 0 0 0 0
albany 68 42 70 43 70 0 0 0 0 0
valdosta 70 42 72 43 70 0 0 0 0 0
cross city 73 43 73 45 72 0 0 0 0 0
apalachicola 68 49 69 47 68 0 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt 9 am cdt this morning for
coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl
out to 20 nm-coastal waters from mexico beach to
apalachicola fl out 20 nm-waters from suwannee river to
apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters from apalachicola
to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Near term... Barry
short term... Ln
long term... Ln
aviation... Barry
marine... Ln
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Ln


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi54 min NE 8 G 13 51°F 1020.6 hPa (-1.5)40°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi120 min NE 5.1 G 9.9 53°F 61°F1021.5 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi36 min N 8.9 G 14 58°F 61°F1021.1 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi61 minNE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy47°F36°F66%1022.7 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi58 minNNE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F36°F73%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE6NE7NE9NE12
G18
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G16
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NE8NE7NE7NE6NE4NE5NE5E3E4NE3E5NE6NE4NE5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN6N10N11N12NE11
G16
N10N12N10NE7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN9N8N11N10N8N9
2 days agoN3N6N11NE8E5E5NE3E3N6NE9N8N10NE7NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Mandalay, Aucilla River, Apalachee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:06 AM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:50 AM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:54 PM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:02 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.53.23.43.32.71.910.2-0.4-0.5-0.20.51.52.43.13.33.12.41.60.80.200.20.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.