Sunday, August20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 8:10PM Sunday August 20, 2017 7:51 AM EDT (11:51 UTC) Moonrise 4:43AMMoonset 6:30PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 228 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots early in the evening becoming light and variable winds, then becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots late in the morning, then becoming southeast around 5 knots early in the afternoon becoming west 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming south 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 228 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Synopsis..Generally light winds will continue through the period resulting in low seas. Isolated showers and storms are possible each day, especially in the overnight hours.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 201052
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
652 am edt Sun aug 20 2017

Aviation [through 12z Monday]
Ifr conditions currently being observed at vld at this hour.

Expect vsby and CIGS to improve within a few hours after sunrise.

Otherwise,VFR conditions expected through the period at all taf
sites. Light southeasterly winds will prevail today, with a chance
of iso to sct tsra developing around vld this afternoon.

Prev discussion [246 am edt]
Near term [through today]
The tutt low currently centered over the eastern gulf of mexico will
continue to move westward through the period, with moisture
gradually advecting back into the region on the eastern periphery.

The 00z raobs from tae and jax continue to suggest a tight moisture
gradient between the two site, with drier air prevailing from
tallahassee westward. Though moistening is expected today, shower
and thunderstorm chances will remain more prevalent across the
eastern third of the forecast area. Expect showers and storms to
develop along the east coast sea breeze early this afternoon and
move eastward into the area by late afternoon early evening.

Afternoon high temperatures will likely soar into the mid to upper
90s, barring any surprise cloud cover during the day. Heat indicies
will once again range from 100 to 105f.

Short term [tonight through Tuesday]
Tutt low will continue to move westward towards the upper texas
coast by late Tuesday. East to west mid level ridging will build
across the southeast us into the mid south. Deep east to southeast
flow will advect tropical moisture into the southeast and
overspreading the region this period. Column moisture and pwats
will increase leading to near normal (40-50%) chances for
rainfall for mid august especially in the afternoon and early
evening hours. High temperatures will be more towards the low 90s
with anticipated cloud cover and rainfall Monday Tuesday.

Long term [Tuesday night through Sunday]
Ridging shifts towards the gulf coast in response to a deepening
and digging east us trough. This trough will support a front that
will make a run at the southeast towards the end of the work week
and into next weekend. Increasing rain chances is expected with
favorable moisture levels and mid upper level support. 50-60%
chance for rainfall is expected each afternoon Thursday through
Sunday. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Marine
Generally light winds will continue through the period resulting
in low seas. Isolated showers and storms are possible each day,
especially in the overnight hours.

Fire weather
Outside of marginally low dispersions across the big bend of florida
this afternoon, hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected
through the next week.

Hydrology
Only isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected through
Sunday. Rain chances will increase to near normal levels on Monday
through Wednesday, when some localized flooding in urban areas
would be possible with the strongest storms. However, coverage
will not be sufficient to result in any river flooding.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 95 75 92 75 92 20 20 50 20 30
panama city 93 78 90 77 89 20 20 40 20 30
dothan 96 75 93 74 90 10 10 50 20 30
albany 96 75 93 74 92 10 10 40 20 30
valdosta 95 74 91 73 92 50 30 40 20 30
cross city 95 74 91 74 92 40 30 40 20 10
apalachicola 91 77 90 77 89 10 30 30 30 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk from 11 am edt 10 am cdt this morning
through this evening for coastal gulf.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Pullin
short term... Scholl
long term... Scholl
aviation... Pullin
marine... Scholl
fire weather... Pullin
hydrology... Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi52 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 76°F 1016.1 hPa (+1.3)
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi118 min NNW 5.1 G 8 78°F 1015.2 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi52 min W 2.9 G 4.1 79°F 85°F1017.3 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi59 minN 06.00 miFog/Mist72°F71°F97%1017.1 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi1.9 hrsN 010.00 miA Few Clouds76°F73°F92%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmS6S9CalmS7S444CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalm33N84N744CalmS12S6S8S4S4SW3S5S4CalmS3S3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalm433Calm34434Calm4CalmCalmS4S3S4S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Mandalay, Aucilla River, Apalachee Bay, Florida
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Mandalay
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:42 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:04 PM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:37 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.92.32.42.21.91.410.80.81.11.62.22.72.92.82.51.91.30.70.2-0.1-0.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:09 AM EDT     3.25 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:36 AM EDT     1.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:30 PM EDT     3.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:43 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.333.23.12.72.21.71.41.41.62.22.83.43.83.83.52.821.10.3-0.1-0.20.10.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.