Tuesday, December11, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Creola, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:53PM Tuesday December 11, 2018 12:08 PM CST (18:08 UTC) Moonrise 11:02AMMoonset 9:48PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ631 Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 922 Am Cst Tue Dec 11 2018
Rest of today..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South winds 18 to 23 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 922 Am Cst Tue Dec 11 2018
Synopsis..Moderate offshore flow early this morning will gradually diminish through the day as high pressure builds across the marine area. Winds will become southeasterly to southerly tonight into Wednesday as high pressure shifts east. A moderate to strong onshore flow is expected to develop late Wednesday night into Thursday night ahead of the next approaching low pressure system and cold front. Winds become westerly to northwesterly behind the front late this week into this weekend. Small craft advisory conditions are likely for the end of the week into the first part of the weekend due to strong winds and rough seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creola, AL
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location: 30.82, -87.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 111733
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1133 am cst Tue dec 11 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance...

vfr conditions are expected to dominate the forecast period. Light
north winds will persist through the day then slowly become
variable overnight. Near sunrise winds will begin to develop a
southerly component that will strengthen towards the latter end of
the forecast. Dj 17

Prev discussion issued 530 am cst Tue dec 11 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance... Low MVFR to ifr ceilings will impact much of the
western fl panhandle and south central al, as well as portions of
interior southeast ms and southwest al early this morning. These
low clouds are expected to erode through mid morning, andVFR is
expected to prevail through the rest of the period. Light
northwest to north winds prevail today. 21
prev discussion... Issued 421 am cst Tue dec 11 2018
near term now through Tuesday night ... A mid to upper level trough
axis will translate from the southeastern u.S. Into the western
atlantic today, leaving a dry northwest to zonal flow aloft in place
across our region in the wake of this feature. Surface high pressure
will meanwhile build across the central gulf coast and southeastern
u.S. Today and tonight. Any residual low cloud cover should erode
this morning, with sunny skies expected into the afternoon.

Temperatures will be warmer today, but still several degrees below
normal with highs in the lower to mid 50s. Continued mostly clear,
cold, and dry conditions are expected tonight. A light freeze will
likely impact many interior areas north of i-10, where lows will
range in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Lows near the immediate coast
will be warmer in the mid 30s to around 40 degrees. 21
short term Wednesday through Thursday night ... Dry and warmer on
Wednesday. Meanwhile, a strong shortwave moves into the
southwestern states and evolves into a closed upper low Wednesday
night. This upper low and associated sfc low will approach the
area on Thursday bringing increasing rain chances through the day.

There are some minor timing differences but the main area of lift
and highest rain chances should move across the area Thursday
night. This will again be a typical high shear, low instability
event, with a marginal risk for severe storms issued by spc. Like
the last event, the greatest chance of seeing strong storms will
be near the coast and offshore. However, the primary risk will
primarily be locally heavy rain. 13
long term Friday through Monday ... Rain chances continue into
Friday as the upper low slowly moves across the area. Drier air
moves into the area for the weekend into early next week with
temps near normal for this time of the year. 13
marine... Surface high pressure will build across the north central
gulf coast region today before shifting into the southeastern u.S.

And western atlantic tonight through Wednesday night. A moderate to
occasionally strong offshore flow early this morning will diminish
to a light offshore flow later this morning into this afternoon.

Winds gradually become southeasterly to southerly tonight into
Wednesday as the surface high moves east of the region. A moderate
to strong onshore flow is expected to develop late Wednesday night
into Thursday ahead of the next area of low pressure that will
approach the mississippi valley region. Winds should transition
westerly sometime late Thursday night into Friday morning as a cold
front pushes across the marine area. A moderate to strong west to
northwest flow continues into Saturday behind the front. Seas will
build considerably Thursday through early Saturday, especially well
offshore. Numerous to widespread showers and a few thunderstorms
will spread across the marine area Thursday into Friday morning, a
few of which could be quite strong. 21

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 10 mi45 min 53°F 53°F1029.4 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 11 mi129 min NW 5.1 44°F 1030.5 hPa (+0.0)
PTOA1 12 mi39 min 50°F 36°F
MBPA1 22 mi39 min 49°F 40°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 28 mi84 min 51°F 1029 hPa37°F
WBYA1 28 mi39 min 60°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 34 mi99 min WSW 1 47°F 1029.5 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 37 mi69 min NE 4.1 46°F 1029.5 hPa (-0.7)
GBRM6 38 mi129 min 52°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 40 mi69 min N 7 G 8 46°F 1029.8 hPa (-0.3)37°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 41 mi39 min N 6 G 8 47°F 1029.4 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 41 mi84 min N 6 48°F 1031 hPa36°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 42 mi69 min NW 4.1 46°F 1030.5 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 42 mi39 min 49°F 1028.4 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 46 mi45 min 53°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 47 mi39 min Calm G 4.1 51°F 57°F1028.8 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL15 mi76 minNNW 510.00 miFair53°F35°F51%1030.2 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL20 mi73 minNNW 710.00 miFair50°F34°F54%1029.8 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10NW9NW7NW7CalmNW3N3N4N5N7NW9N9NW9N5N9N6N5NW6NW4NW5NW7NE6N5NE7
1 day agoNW9
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NW13NW11NW9W8
G15
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2 days agoNE8
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G26
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W5NW13N6NW6NW4NW4W5NW9
G17
NW5NW6W86W6NW6NW13
G18
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G22
W10
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:53 AM CST     1.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:01 AM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:56 PM CST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:50 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:48 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.31.41.41.31.31.10.90.70.50.30.20-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.30.50.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:37 AM CST     1.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:01 AM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:51 PM CST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:48 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.61.61.51.41.20.90.70.40.20-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.30.50.70.911.11.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.