Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brunswick, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 8:22PM Sunday May 26, 2019 6:02 PM EDT (22:02 UTC) Moonrise 1:02AMMoonset 12:12PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 247 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Tonight..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters choppy.
Thursday..South southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters choppy.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 247 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure conditions expected to persist over area waters into early next week. Surface high pressure shifts southeastward into mid-week allowing the opportunity for a couple weak troughs to push into the southeast toward the end of the week.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 25, 2019 at 1200 utc... 62 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 70 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 80 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 96 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brunswick city, GA
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location: 31.14, -81.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 261813
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
213 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Near record heat and dry weather memorial day and Tuesday...

Near term this late afternoon through through memorial day ...

this afternoon... Main headline for the rest of this afternoon is
the heat with highs in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees. Hottest
max temps will be in SE ga at about 100 to 103. Though scorching
temps, dewpoints will bottom out this aftn in the lower to mid 60s
most areas which will keep heat indices below local heat advisory
criteria. Sea breeze relief expected for the coastal areas, but
unfortunately the sea breeze will be moving relatively slow given
weak synoptic winds. We expect some records to be broken or tied
this afternoon. A few pop up showers with an isolated thunderstorm
continues to be shown by the hrrr over interior southeast georgia
south of highway 32 and over interior northeast florida mainly north'
of i-10 this late afternoon and early evening.

Tonight... A slow decline in temperatures again into the overnight
hours. High pressure and upper level ridge provide a mostly clear
night with low temperatures dropping into the upper 60s inland
to mid 70s coast.

Memorial day Temperatures will continue to be well above average
with near record or record MAX temperatures. Dry conditions across
the majority of the region. Surface ridge will dip slightly southward
with one main high pressure area east of the florida peninsula with a
second high pressure center over the northeast gom. The upper ridge will
remain intact over the region. Light southwest to west winds anticipated
across the region. Seabreeze merger possible between i-75 and highway
301 south of i-10 for the slim possibility of very limited popup
showers during the afternoon.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night ...

upper ridge remain anchored over the region during this period with
hot weather pattern persisting. A weak trough of surface low pressure
will stretch down the southeast coast Tuesday, into the interior
sections near the fl ga border. The NAM indicates, there could be
just enough convergence and increased moisture associated with the
trough for afternoon and evening convection Tuesday south of ga
highway 84 and along and north of i-10. Subsidence under the upper
ridge, will be a limiting factor however. So, much of area should
remain dry. Dry weather is expected then for Wednesday as surface
high building across from the east. The well- above normal temperatures
will continue through this period, with highs approaching record
levels each afternoon.

Long term Thursday through Saturday ...

high pressure at the surface and aloft will persist over the
region into Thursday. Pretty steady state on the temperatures
Thursday with low 90s beaches, mid to upper 90s most other
locations with altamaha river basin region near 100. The fairly
persistent ridge will then slide to the south over florida late
Thursday through Saturday with zonal flow aloft over georgia. A
cold front will approach northern georgia from the northwest
Friday, as the 500mb flow remains zonal. At this time, looks like
the front will weaken as it passes into the region Friday night
and remains near the coast Saturday. There looks to be enough
convergence, boundary layer moisture and instabilty east of
highway 301 to the coast with diurnal convection possible Saturday
as residual and hardly discernible frontal boundary resides near
the coast. Have opted to only have 20 to 30 pops Saturday. But
early indications are that rainfall amounts won't put much of a
dent in our precipitation deficits. Temperatures will trend very
slightly downwards Friday and Saturday. However, they are still
forecasted to remain above normal, but not as hot as during the
near and short term period.

Aviation
Atlantic sea breeze taking its time moving into the coastal areas
today given southwest to west flow impeding inland progress. Wind
shift to the southeast at about 10 kt will start by 18z-20z, for
coastal tafs. As the sea breeze weakens again tonight, winds will
lessen and shift to south-southwest toward early morning. Another
mid to late day sea breeze on memorial day. Sunny skies at this
time, but some sct clouds around 6000-10000 ft expected into late
evening based on satellite trends and rap guidance. No vsby issues
expected late tonight, outside of some shallow fog and local
smoke from wildfires.

Marine
Ridge of high pressure maintains over the waters throughout the
weekend into early next week. By mid-week, the high pressure
shifts south and east, and a tightening pressure gradient regime along
the coast will introduce the opportunity for increased winds and
higher seas, potentially near caution levels.

Rip currents: low risk of rip currents. Onshore winds increase
during the afternoon as the sea-breeze moves inland.

Fire weather
Hot and mainly dry conditions to persist.

While there are chances for afternoon convection Monday and Tuesday
afternoon, much of the region will remain dry, with temperatures
remaining well above normal. Hot and dry conditions expected again
Wednesday. Slight dip very late in the week with slight chances for afternoon
convection.

Climate
Record highs at climate sites for memorial day weekend & early next week:
mon 5 27 Tue 5 28
-------------------
jacksonville 98 (1989) 99(1967)
gainesville 100(1953) 99(1953)
alma, ga 99 (1967) 100(1967)
st. Simons island 96 (2006) 97(1964)
all-time record MAX temps for the month of may...

jax 100 05-13-1967
gnv 101 05-31-1945
amg 100 05-28-1967 & 05-25-2019
ssi 100 05-26-1953

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 74 100 76 100 10 0 0 10
ssi 77 95 79 95 0 0 0 10
jax 74 100 75 100 0 0 0 10
sgj 72 93 74 93 0 10 0 10
gnv 72 100 72 100 0 20 30 10
ocf 71 98 71 98 0 20 20 10

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Cordero shashy wolf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 23 mi62 min SSE 8.9 88°F 1018 hPa (-1.0)74°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 32 mi32 min SE 8 G 14 90°F 83°F1018.6 hPa
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 32 mi32 min 82°F2 ft
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 39 mi72 min S 12 G 16 80°F 81°F2 ft1017.9 hPa (-1.7)73°F

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA7 mi69 minS 1010.00 miFair87°F75°F67%1017.8 hPa
Brunswick / Glynco, GA9 mi67 minSE 1210.00 miFair93°F72°F51%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE10SE7S8S8S5S7SW6SW6SW7SW6SW7W4SW5W9SW12W11W8SW6NW5SW7SE10SE8S12
1 day agoSE9S8SE6S7S7CalmSW6SW5SW5SW5SW5SW5SW5W3W8W8W9W9W7N7E6E6E12SE11
2 days agoE8E10SE7SE4SE6SE5S6SE4CalmS4CalmNW3CalmW3W4NW5SW5W6CalmNW4E6SE9SE8SE9

Tide / Current Tables for Brunswick, East River, Georgia
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Brunswick
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Sun -- 02:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:19 AM EDT     6.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:28 AM EDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:46 PM EDT     6.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:37 PM EDT     1.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.25.26.16.66.55.74.53.11.91.31.31.92.94.15.36.16.35.74.73.52.51.81.72.2

Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo River entrance, Turtle River, Georgia
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Buffalo River entrance
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Sun -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:57 AM EDT     7.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:35 AM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 01:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:24 PM EDT     6.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:44 PM EDT     1.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.25.36.37.17.46.95.642.41.41.31.92.94.15.36.36.96.75.84.432.11.92.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.