Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brunswick, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:21PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 6:18 PM EDT (22:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:48PMMoonset 1:58AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 249 Pm Edt Wed May 23 2018
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..South southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 249 Pm Edt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis.. The axis of atlantic ridging will extend across our local waters through Thursday and will then shift eastward on Friday as broad low pressure moves into the southern gulf of mexico. This low is expected to move northward towards the central gulf coast this weekend resulting in increasing southeasterly winds and building seas. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms are expected during the weekend and early next week, with small craft advisory conditions developing offshore on Saturday and near shore by Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brunswick city, GA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 31.14, -81.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kjax 231918
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
318 pm edt Wed may 23 2018

Near term (rest of today-Thursday)
Weak forcing so far with only shallow scattered showers and a few
storms over mainly north zones shifting northeast slowly. Outflow
from convection to our northwest may force convection in the next
few hours over northwest zones. So anticipate increasing coverage
and intensity of showers and storms through rest of aftn and the
evening with main focus over southeast ga. Isolated strong storm
possible due to some dry air aloft enhancing downburst potential
later this aftn early evening. A vort lobe over central ga will be
the driver of scattered to possibly numerous showers and more
isolated convection over northeast fl. Cam models don't seem as
impressive carrying convection overnight but plan to carry
convection through about 07z 08z (3-4am). Heavy rainfall is the
main hazard along with lightning and gusty winds. Have maintained
some low pops still after 3-4am across jeff davis...

atkinson... Appling counties close to the vort lobe. Lows dip into
the upper 60s to lower 70s tonight. For Thursday... Models show mid
level low pressure vort lobe sinking southward slowly with
abundant moisture over southeast ga with pwats around 2 inches.

Enhanced rain chances are forecast for this area with categorical
pops around 70-80 percent inland southeast ga with lowering pops
further south and east as sea breezes forcing most convective
inland. Highs should be able to manage mid to upper 80s again.

Short term Fri & sat...

fri & Fri night... Morning rainfall expected across SE ga under a
meandering mid level vorticity lobe while a broad surface
inverted trough axis rotates up the fl peninsula and drifts inland
along the local coast, which will also bring a good chance of
morning convection to coastal areas. As the surface trough drifts
inland with the east coast sea breeze into Fri afternoon and the
mid level low begins lift northward, mainly diurnally driven
precipitation will focus inland Friday afternoon, generally west
of highway 301 and north of the i-10 corridor into Fri evening.

Locally heavy rainfall will continue to be the main convective
hazard due to a very moist airmass with pwats 1.8-2" and a light
southerly steering flow at 10 kts or less. Could also have some
wet downburst winds due to heavy precip loading, but generally
expect sub-severe storms due to fairly warm mid level
temperatures. Convection will fade inland Friday evening with loss
of diurnal instability, then another weak trough axis begins to
edge northward up the central fl coast which could bring a few
coastal to mainly the st. Johns and flagler counties by sunrise
sat.

Sat & Sat night... Rain chances increase from south to north by
Saturday afternoon, with a mostly dry morning expected for the
local area except for mainly a coastal shower under sse low level
flow. Band of deep tropical moisture with pwats over 2" is
expected to sweep over the entire forecast area Sat afternoon
through Sat night as low pressure drifts northward across the
central or the eastern gulf of mexico, with the local forecast
area on the wet, east side of the system. If the low center tracks
farther east across the eastern gulf, like what the latest 12z
gfs advertised, higher rain chances and precipitation totals are
expected locally, while if the center tracks farther west, expect
a drier forecast with the better rain chances focused across the
western counties as the ECMWF continued to suggest. Still too much
model discrepancy to pin-down where greatest rainfall and
potential flood threats will coincide with this system, but at
this time it certainly looks like above normal rainfall chances
with waves of rainfall and embedded tstorms Sat afternoon through
sat night as moisture overspreads and lingers over the local area.

Again, main convective hazard will be potentially flooding
rainfall. There could also be gusty wind potential depending on
the surface lows track, intensity and structure, with the stronger
winds near the coast and in stronger tstorms.

Maximum temperatures will trend below normal Fri & Sat with values in
the low mid 80s due to increasing cloud cover and precip
potential. High temperatures will trend above normal with values
in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Long term Sun through wed...

forecast is highly dependent on the evolution and track of the
gulf low, with the national hurricane center now advertising a
60% chance of it developing into a tropical system during the day
3-5 time frame. Favored the weather prediction center (wpc) and
national hurricane guidance (nhc) collaborative guidance track
which trended more toward the ECMWF tracking the low center toward
the central or east central gulf coast, with the latest gfs
operational run on the relatively far eastern periphery of the
guidance spread. This pattern would support the potential for
widespread stratiform rainfall lifting over the forecast area
early Sunday, with some clearing midday, then a resurgence of
showers and tstorms in the afternoon across a moisture rich
environment along the sea breezes under stronger southerly
steering flow. Flooding rainfall and strong winds in storms would
be possible. Mon-wed, stacked low pressure is progged to meander
across the gulf coast region where flooding rainfall will likely
occur as moisture streams northward on the east side of the slowly
moving low, while locally, expect more of diurnally driven
convection, but with decent coverage of showers and storms given
high moisture content lingering over the area, especially for se
ga and the suwannee river valley of NE fl where deeper moisture
and sea breeze forcing will coincide.

High temperatures will trend near to below climo Sun due to cloud cover
and rainfall with highs in the low mid 80s. Warming trend
expected mon-wed with general ssw mean layer flow over the area
between stacked low pressure meandering west of the region and the
bermuda ridge east of the area, with highs reaching the mid upper
80s. Low temperatures will trend near to above normal values in
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Aviation
Vfr prevail with area CIGS near 050 or above. As anticipated
convection... So far it not at the terminals but increased chances
for ssi and possibly jax later this aftn. May see some convection
drift in from the west or develop overhead for all terminals
except sgj in the late aftn evening. Another round of scattered
to numerous showers and storms on Thursday is expected.

Marine
Atlantic high pressure will remain mostly stationary through the
end of the week across the northeast florida waters. Wind speeds
and seas will remain below caution levels on all waters through
Thursday night. A broad low pressure center will take shape over
the southern gulf of mexico by Friday and Saturday and move
slowly northward through the rest of the weekend. Our local
pressure gradient will gradually tighten as this broad low moves
into the central gulf of mexico, resulting in southeasterly winds
increasing Friday afternoon through Saturday and continue to be
breezy into Sunday. Waves of heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms
will begin to overspread our local waters on Friday afternoon.

Rip currents: enhanced rip current risk to continue today and
gradually increasing the rest of the week with high risk possible
Friday through the weekend as southeast winds stay breezy kicking
up local surf conditions.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 69 84 68 83 50 80 50 60
ssi 72 81 72 80 10 30 20 30
jax 69 86 69 85 20 60 20 40
sgj 71 83 70 82 0 10 20 30
gnv 68 87 69 83 30 70 30 60
ocf 69 88 69 85 30 50 30 60

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Shashy enyedi mcginnis


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 23 mi78 min S 8 82°F 1018 hPa (-1.0)74°F
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 32 mi48 min ESE 6 G 12 82°F 77°F1018.3 hPa
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 32 mi48 min 78°F3 ft
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 39 mi88 min SSE 12 G 14 76°F 76°F3 ft1017.7 hPa (-1.6)76°F

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last
24hr
SE9
G15
SE8
G12
SE7
G10
SE6
G10
S6
G10
S4
S3
SE2
SE1
SE1
SE2
SE3
SE2
S4
G9
S6
G10
SE7
G10
SE7
SE7
G10
SE8
G11
SE9
G12
SE6
G14
SE7
G15
SE8
G13
SE7
G13
1 day
ago
SE4
G8
SE9
SE3
G6
SE6
G10
SE5
G9
SE4
G7
E5
G9
SE4
G7
SE4
SE7
G11
SE5
G8
SE4
SE2
SE3
SE5
SE8
E7
G12
SE7
G12
SE8
G13
SE9
G15
SE10
G14
SE9
G15
SE10
G16
SE7
G10
2 days
ago
N2
N3
G6
NE1
G4
E2
G6
E3
G6
E4
G7
E2
E3
G6
E3
E3
G6
E2
E2
G5
SE2
E3
SE5
G10
SE5
G9
S7
G11
SE5
G8
SE4
G8
E6
G10
E6
G11
E7
G11
SE7
G12
SE5
G12

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA7 mi25 minSSE 1010.00 miFair79°F70°F74%1017.7 hPa
Brunswick / Glynco, GA9 mi23 minSE 810.00 miFair81°F64°F58%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last 24hrS11
G15
SE11
G15
SE10
G14
S8SE6S6S5S8S8S4S3CalmCalmCalmS5S8SW8SW5SW4S8SE9W9SE7SE8
1 day agoSE10SE7SE6SE4SE4SE3SE4SE5SE4E4SE4SE6CalmS3SE3SE6SE6SE7SE12
G16
SE7
G15
SE8SE9SE12S9
2 days agoNE4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmE4E3E3E3E4E3E4E4E5SE8SE5SE9S10
G14
SE12
G17
SE14
G18
S10
G16
SE11
G16
SE11
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Brunswick, East River, Georgia
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Brunswick
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:33 AM EDT     7.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:17 PM EDT     7.49 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:30 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.53.25.16.77.67.66.85.43.71.90.500.51.83.65.46.87.57.36.44.93.21.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo River entrance, Turtle River, Georgia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Buffalo River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:11 AM EDT     8.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:05 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:57 PM EDT     8.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:37 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.42.94.86.57.98.48.16.74.82.60.800.41.63.35.16.87.98.37.76.24.22.10.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.