Wednesday, March20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Country Club Estates, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 7:38PM Wednesday March 20, 2019 5:09 PM EDT (21:09 UTC) Moonrise 6:25PMMoonset 6:26AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 229 Pm Edt Wed Mar 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm edt this afternoon...
Tonight..North northeast winds 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..West southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..West northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Inland waters choppy.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..West northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night and Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters mostly smooth.
Sunday night and Monday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters mostly smooth.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 229 Pm Edt Wed Mar 20 2019
Synopsis.. Strong northeast flow will continue today then weaken tonight and Thursday as weak high pressure builds into the region. An area of low pressure will push offshore north of the waters Thursday night and increase the winds and seas into Friday. High pressure will build northwest of the waters over the weekend with diminishing winds and seas.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of mar 19, 2019 at 1200 utc... 65 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 83 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 90 nautical miles east of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Country Club Estates, GA
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location: 31.23, -81.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 201949
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
349 pm edt Wed mar 20 2019

Near term through Thursday night
Low pressure offshore the carolinas will move north allowing
for a trough to swing through the region on Thursday. This
trough will bring in a secondary surge of drier air in
during the afternoon and may produce a brief period of
cloudiness. Afternoon temps will manage to warm to near
seasonal levels but lows will be slightly below normal
especially inland.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
Deep layer troughing will be across the area on Friday
followed by deep layer ridging on Saturday. This results
in a continuation of dry conditions with afternoon temps
near normal. Winds will be much lighter especially on
Saturday with a weak pressure gradient in the area.

Nighttime lows will warm to near normal by Saturday night.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
The deep layer ridge will begin to move east of the area
Sunday as an upper trough and cold front approaches.

This results in a warming trend with above normal temps
Sunday into early next week. Dry conditions will continue
until the approach of the cold front which will bring a
chance of showers to the area Monday night into Tuesday.

Cooler and drier air moves in behind the front Wednesday.

Aviation Vfr conditions to prevail through the period.

North to northeast winds around 10 knots will become light and
variable overnight. An upper level trough will swing through the
region on Thursday, and a dry cold front will move through the
area in the evening. Westerly winds will prevail ahead of the
trough through the end of the TAF period.

Marine
As low pressure off the carolinas lifts north... Winds and seas
will gradually subside through Thursday. Will let the sca
near shore expire at 5 pm and keep the SCA offshore going
due to elevated seas. A surface trough moving offshore Thursday
night will bring a northwest surge of winds with SCA conditions
expected again offshore. High pressure builds into the region
over the weekend with no headlines expected.

Rip currents high surf: high risk of rip currents and high
surf will continue into the evening. Conditions improve
some Thursday as winds subside and become offshore. Will
probably be able to downgrade to a moderate risk Thursday
with breakers of around 3 to 5 feet expected.

Coastal flood: tidal departures of a foot above astronomical
produced minor flooding near the bridge of lions in st augustine
this morning. Minor to moderate beach erosion was also reported
in flagler beach. By this evening as flow weakens still some
chance for some spotty minor flooding during the evening high tide
cycle and will hold advisory in place through 11 pm. With offshore
winds and a slight reduction in seas on Thursday... No coastal
flooding concerns are expected.

Fire weather Afternoon dispersions will be high Thursday with
most locations having dispersions near 100. Dispersions will be
somewhat lower Friday but still elevated to high. Min rh's will
fall to around 30 percent with sustained winds of 15 mph across
inland southeast georgia Thursday. Min rh's will be 25 to 30 percent
area wide Friday but sustained winds will be less than 15 mph.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 40 71 42 70 0 0 0 0
ssi 48 70 50 69 0 0 0 0
jax 45 74 46 74 0 0 0 0
sgj 49 72 50 72 0 0 0 0
gnv 44 74 45 73 0 0 0 0
ocf 45 74 45 73 0 0 0 0

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
duval-coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

High surf advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
duval-coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
duval-coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

Ga... High rip current risk until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
camden-coastal glynn.

High surf advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
camden-coastal glynn.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 pm edt this evening for coastal
camden-coastal glynn.

Am... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Friday for waters from
altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60 nm-
waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl from 20 to
60 nm-waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl from 20
to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt this afternoon for coastal
waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler
beach fl out 20 nm.

Pp ak kb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 14 mi70 min ENE 6 66°F 1018 hPa (-4.0)45°F
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 31 mi80 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 56°F 61°F5 ft1018.8 hPa (-2.4)45°F
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 36 mi40 min 62°F4 ft
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 39 mi40 min NNE 7 G 11 63°F 62°F1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick / Glynco, GA4 mi75 minNNW 410.00 miFair66°F37°F35%1018.6 hPa
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA6 mi77 minE 910.00 miFair63°F45°F52%1018.5 hPa

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
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NE8N5N4N6N5N7N7N6N7N7N7N5N5N8NE3N6NW3
1 day agoS5SE5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW7N3N7N8NE7NE12NE14
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2 days agoN6N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NW4CalmN4N5N6N9NE5N4CalmNW5

Tide / Current Tables for Frederica River, Georgia
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Frederica River
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:12 AM EDT     -1.51 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:06 AM EDT     8.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:39 PM EDT     -1.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:35 PM EDT     8.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.91.5-0.5-1.5-10.93.56.28.18.88.475.12.70.5-1-1.20.12.457.28.58.67.7

Tide / Current Tables for Jones Creek entrance, Hampton River, Georgia
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Jones Creek entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:29 AM EDT     -1.51 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:21 AM EDT     8.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:56 PM EDT     -1.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Full Moon
Wed -- 09:50 PM EDT     8.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.20.5-1.3-1.4-0.21.84.16.388.88.574.61.9-0.4-1.3-0.613.15.47.28.48.77.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.