Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ali Chuk, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 7:33PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 5:47 AM PDT (12:47 UTC) Moonrise 11:13PMMoonset 8:48AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ali Chuk, AZ
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location: 31.3, -113.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 220952
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
248 am mst Wed may 22 2019

Synopsis Strong and gusty southwest winds will develop later this
morning into the afternoon with patchy blowing dust this afternoon
as a storm approaches the area. A few showers are possible from the
tucson area northward tonight. Dry conditions will return Thursday
and Friday with less wind expected. Then gusty winds return this
weekend followed by cooler temperatures early next week.

Discussion A deepening storm over central california will continue
to drop SE and settle over southern california this evening, then
lift NE across northern arizona tonight through Thursday. As it does
it will tighten the pressure gradient over the SE arizona through
the day resulting in increasing southwest winds. For a good part of
the area winds will peak in the 20-30 mph range with gusts to 40 mph.

However southeast of the tucson area some areas will be a bit
windier and as such a wind advisory is in effect which means the
expectation of sustained winds somewhere in the range of 30-39 mph
across lower elevations and 35-44 mph over the mountains. Basically
for this event we are expecting winds in the advisory area to be
25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph lower elevations and a bit higher over
the mountains. This wind may bring about a bit of blowing dust,
primarily off the willcox playa.

Winds will ease this evening but not disappear altogether as a bit
of a breeze should remain off and on through the night. We will have
some clouds around and possibly a few light showers from the tucson
area northward as the front and lead feature in the upper trough
swings across.

Thursday the bulk of the energy with this storm system quickly moves
off to the NE leaving much weaker gradients over the area for more
typical winds and a cool air mass to continue our trend of much
cooler than normal temperatures, roughly 15 degrees cooler than
average.

Friday into the weekend the mean trough position will remain near the
west coast with SW flow aloft continuing and the air mass gradually
warming to near average levels by Sunday. The flow aloft will be
fairly light Friday for light winds, however this flow will steadily
strengthen through the weekend resulting in strong afternoon winds
Saturday and Sunday. This strengthening will be due to a deep low
dropping into the mean trough and settling over southern california
by Sunday evening (sound familiar?). There are some differences in
timing but the basic idea is to lift that low NE across northern
arizona and beyond Monday into Tuesday. At this time this system
looks dry for our area but it will help to lower temperatures roughly
10 degrees cooler than average. The degree of cooling will depend on
the depth and track of the system which will become clearer in time.

Aviation Valid through 23 12z.

Isolated -shra north of ktus this evening into Thursday morning. Sct-
bkn clouds AOA 20k ft agl this morning. Few-sct clouds at 10-15k ft
agl increasing from tus northward this afternoon. Sfc wind sly swly
mainly less than 12 kts early this morning. Wind speeds increase
late this morning through the afternoon to 15-25 kts with gusts near
40 kts, with the strongest speeds south and east of ktus,
particularly near the int'l border terminals of kdug kols kfhu.

Speeds and gusts decreasing late this evening and dropping below 12
kts around midnight into Thursday morning. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather Gusty 20-ft southwest winds across much of the
region today. The strongest wind speeds of 20-25 mph with gusts to
35 mph are expected south and east of tucson, and particularly near
the international and az nm borders. Critical fire weather
conditions may occur briefly across eastern portions of fire zone
152 as minimum humidity drops to around 15 percent, however fire
danger remains moderate and a red flag warning will not be issued.

It should be noted, that given the expected strong and gusty
southwest winds, the lighter dead fuels will be more susceptible to
burning.

Wind speeds will be noticeably lower Thursday and Friday, however
stronger mainly southwest winds will return this weekend and perhaps
continue into next Monday. Otherwise, aside from a few showers
mainly north of tucson this evening into Thursday morning, rain-free
conditions will continue into early next week. Below normal
temperatures continue through Friday with near-normal highs
returning this weekend.

Twc watches warnings advisories
Wind advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 pm mst this evening
for azz503-507-508-512-513.

Public... Cerniglia
aviation... .Carpenter
fire weather... Carpenter
visit us on facebook... Twitter... Youtube... And at weather.Gov tucson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Yuma, Marine Corps Air Station, AZ114 mi50 minW 1310.00 miBlowing Dust59°F42°F54%1004 hPa

Wind History from NYL (wind in knots)
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2 days agoW3NW8NW7W10NW9W56NW11W8
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Tide / Current Tables for Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico
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Puerto Penasco
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Wed -- 03:35 AM MST     3.28 meters High Tide
Wed -- 05:33 AM MST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:47 AM MST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:41 AM MST     0.01 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 04:32 PM MST     3.99 meters High Tide
Wed -- 07:26 PM MST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:40 PM MST     1.32 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 11:12 PM MST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.32.83.23.22.92.21.40.60.100.41.11.92.83.53.943.632.31.71.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for El Golfo de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico
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El Golfo de Santa Clara
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:30 AM MST     1.16 meters High Tide
Wed -- 05:37 AM MST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:52 AM MST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:44 AM MST     -2.07 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 04:31 PM MST     1.83 meters High Tide
Wed -- 07:32 PM MST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:41 PM MST     -0.68 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 11:18 PM MST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.50.20.81.11.10.70.1-0.7-1.5-2-2.1-1.7-1.1-0.20.71.41.81.81.50.90.3-0.3-0.6-0.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.