Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Red Level, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:17PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 5:38 AM CST (11:38 UTC) Moonrise 12:20PMMoonset 12:26AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 352 Am Cst Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..North winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Tonight..North winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet building to around 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Showers likely.
Saturday night..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 352 Am Cst Wed Jan 24 2018
Synopsis..A moderate to strong northeast flow today through Thursday becomes more easterly by Thursday night and continues through late Saturday as a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front moves across the marine area late Saturday night and early Sunday. A moderate to strong offshore wind flow developing in the wake of the front.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Level, AL
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location: 31.33, -86.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 241135
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
535 am cst Wed jan 24 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
24 12z issuance...VFR conditions and generally light north winds
expected through the period. 12 ds

Prev discussion issued 417 am cst Wed jan 24 2018
near term now through Wednesday night ... Surface high pressure
centered over the southern plains early this morning will drift
east and be centered over the interior southeastern states by late
tonight. This will bring cooler and drier conditions to the local
area with a generally light northwesterly flow becoming more
northeasterly through the period. Skies mostly clear, although
will see some high, thin clouds. Highs today in the mid to upper
50s with relative humidity primarily in the 35 to 40 percent
range this afternoon. Cooler tonight with the ridge axis centered
over the area, with lows ranging from the low to mid 30s over
inland areas to the upper 30s and lower 40s down near and along
the coast. 12 ds
short term Thursday through Friday night ... Large ridge of
surface high pressure aligned over the appalachians Thursday
morning eases eastward to the mid-atlantic coast by Friday. Most
of the short term looks to remain rain-free as the ridge is the
dominant weather player. Daytime highs Thursday and Friday not too
far off seasonal normals. Friday, a long wave trof in the high
levels evolves over the plains and sharpens a bit going into
Friday night. Ahead of the upper trof, a gradual return of deep
gulf moisture is shown from west to east late in the period.

Considering this, along with weak layer ascent from the passage
of mid level impulses in the evolving high level west southwest
flow Friday night is when a small chance of showers will be
introduced. 10
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Upper trof makes steady
eastward progression over the ms river valley this weekend with
attendant surface cold front swinging east over the deep south.

Differences continue in the medium range global models on the
handling of a wave of surface low pressure over the northern gulf.

The 24.00z operational GFS shows run to run consistency on moving
its low, more along a pre-frontal trof axis, eastward over the
central gulf Saturday night, while the ECMWF shows its low, more
to the northwest and embedded in the front itself, skirting
eastward over the alabama and northwest florida coastal waters
also on Saturday night. Depending on which model verifies will
dictate rain totals. If the gfs, bulk of heavier rains deeper into
the gulf closer to its low and ECMWF a more northward focus. The
answer may very well lie somewhere in between with the blended
guidance used, which shows a good distribution of QPF moving east
across land and marine areas over the weekend. It appears with
limited instability in place, the bulk of the weather looks to be
showers over the land zones. To the south, possibility exists of
a few storms embedded in activity moving east over the gulf
waters. Rains look to make a quick eastward progression out of the
area by late in the day Sunday with high pressure building in
from the west in the wake of frontal passage.

Daytime highs slightly above seasonal normals to start the outlook
trend a few degrees below by early next week. Nighttime lows well
above climatology Saturday night trend well below for much of the
area by Monday night. 10
marine... A moderate to strong northeast flow today through
Thursday becomes more easterly by Thursday night and continues
through late Saturday as a cold front approaches from the west.

Small craft advisory conditions likely at times through the entire
forecast period, especially during the overnight and early morning
hours. Winds likely slightly lower during the daytime hours, but
still in the exercise caution range. The cold front, possibly
accompanied by an area of low pressure near the coast or just
offshore, moves across the marine area late Saturday night and early
Sunday, with scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms
expected. Showers and storms ending during the day on Sunday with
a moderate to strong offshore wind flow developing. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 11 am cst Thursday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 69 mi57 min N 6 G 8.9 44°F 51°F1025.7 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 79 mi69 min N 1.9 43°F 1025.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 82 mi57 min 43°F 49°F1026.1 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Andalusia, Andalusia-Opp Municipal Airport, AL17 mi43 minNW 410.00 miFair39°F32°F76%1024.6 hPa
Evergreen, Middleton Field, AL18 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair36°F30°F79%1025.7 hPa

Wind History from 79J (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3--W11NW116W8
G17
NW11
G20
NW9NW11NW7NW3NW6NW5NW3NW5CalmNW5N5NW4NW5NW4NW4
1 day agoSE4E4334SE5434
G16
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44S44SW5SW5SW6W7W8W15W7W11NW6
2 days agoCalmSE5E33E5SE6E9635E5SE3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE3E3E3SE3SE5SE5SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:43 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:57 AM CST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:22 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:20 PM CST     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:17 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:00 PM CST     0.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.70.70.60.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:43 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:10 AM CST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:22 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:20 PM CST     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:17 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:19 PM CST     0.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.10.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.60.70.70.70.60.60.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Fort Rucker, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.