Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Frisco City, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 5:48PM Saturday February 24, 2018 4:24 AM CST (10:24 UTC) Moonrise 1:21PMMoonset 2:31AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 327 Am Cst Sat Feb 24 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst this morning...
Today..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Patchy dense fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 327 Am Cst Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis..A surface strething west over the northern gulf coast will bring light to moderate onshore flow through tonight. A weak front stalls near the coast Saturday night, bringing unsettled weather into Monday before moving south of the coast. Surface high psssing north of the area brings easterly, then southeasterly flow back to the area by Tuesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Frisco City, AL
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location: 31.54, -87.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 240553 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1153 pm cst Fri feb 23 2018

Discussion See updated information for marine areas and aviation
discussion below.

Marine Visibilities continue to lower over parts of mobile bay
and will likely continue and become more widespread through about
9 am Sat morning. As a result a dense fog advisory is now in effect
for mobile bay and the mississippi sound east of pascagoula
through 9 am cst. 32 ee

Aviation
06z issuance... MVFR to ifr conditions through about 24.09z
followed by ifr to lifr CIGS and visibilities through about 24.12z
followed by ifr to MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 24.15z,
then mostlyVFR conditions through 25.00z. ExpectVFR to MVFR cigs
and visibilities to return through 25.06z. Winds will be
southeast at 8 to 12 knots through about 24.06z diminishing to 3
to 7 knots through 24.15z then increasing the 8 to 12 knots
through 25.06z. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 556 pm cst Fri feb 23 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... MVFR toVFR conditions through about 24.06z
followed by ifr to lifr CIGS and visibilities through about
24.12z followed by ifr to MVFR CIGS and visibilities through
24.15z, then mostlyVFR conditions through 25.00z. Winds will be
southeast at 8 to 12 knots through about 24.06z diminishing to 3
to 7 knots through 24.15z then increasing the 8 to 12 knots
through 25.00z. 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 303 pm cst Fri feb 23 2018
near term now through Saturday ... A cold front remains nearly
stationary just west of the mississippi river this afternoon in a
broad southwest upper level flow pattern. Meanwhile, deep layer
ridging across the southeast continues to keep much of the region
dry with above normal temps. The front will begin to move
southeastward on Saturday as a strong shortwave ejects eastward out
of the southwest states and the upper ridge over the southeast
weakens and moves southeast. As a result, the highest rain chances
will remain across southeast mississippi and west of i-65 in alabama
through tomorrow.

Patchy dense fog is again possible tonight especially near the
coast. Lows will range from the low to mid 60s inland to mid and
upper 60s near the coast. Well above normal temps will continue
with highs Saturday again in the upper 70s and low 80s away from
the coast. Coastal areas will reach into the mid and upper 70s. 13
short term Saturday night through Monday night ... The short term
starts off with a narrow mid level ridge axis aligned from off
the southeast us coast, southwestward to deep into the gulf.

Looking northwest, a well established and active zone of southwest
flow aloft is maintained, keeping the bulk of organized deep
convection well west of the local area initially, along and east
of cold front moving out of the southern plains. The high
resolution guidance favors the redevelopment of night-time fog
Saturday night, with some potential of this becoming locally dense
and more confined to areas along and southeast of i-65.

As the front continues its eastward advance, combined with the
deep south being in the favored right rear quadrant of a 140 knot
upper level jet streak lifting up across the mid-south sends a
zone of increased ascent this direction within a sufficiently
moist deep layer environment. Thus, chances of wet weather will
be much higher going into Sunday and continuing into Sunday night.

Into the day Sunday, 0-6 km bulk shear profiles increase to
between 45 and 55 knots within the presence of weak instability,
supporting a risk of marginally severe convective wind gusts.

Showers remain likely and perhaps a few storms along and east of
i-65 Monday. Lower chances west as the frontal boundary will be
more east of those areas then. Rain-free by Monday night as front
pushes south of the area and high pressure builds east over the
tennessee river valley.

Daytime highs Sunday look to remain well above normal and remain
several degrees above normal going into Monday, despite the
frontal passage. Overnight lows trend much cooler by Monday night
over the interior with lows dipping down into the upper 40s.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ... After a very brief period of
dry weather Monday night, rain chances return Tuesday into mid
week as more southern stream energy aloft drives into the lower
mississippi river valley. Next front makes passage Thursday.

Above normal high temperatures are expected Tuesday through
Thursday, before trending lower Friday. 10
marine... A moderate east to southeast wind flow will continue
through the weekend ahead of an approaching cold front. Patchy dense
fog can be expected each night ahead of the front. The front will
stall near the coast on Sunday, before moving offshore Monday into
Monday night. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase
through the weekend as the front approaches. 13

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through Saturday afternoon for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through Saturday afternoon for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Dense fog advisory until 9 am cst Saturday for gmz630>632.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 63 mi60 min 67°F 63°F1020.5 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 64 mi54 min SE 6 69°F 1020.3 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 67 mi54 min SE 1.9 G 1.9 66°F 67°F1020.6 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Evergreen, Middleton Field, AL29 mi31 minSSE 41.50 miFog/Mist67°F64°F93%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from GZH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE4SE4SE5SE6S6S96S5SW6S12S9S11S7S7S4CalmCalmCalmSE3SE3SE4SE4SE4
1 day agoCalmSE5SE5SE5S5S6S85CalmSE5S6S7S3S4S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3
2 days agoSE4SE3SE7SE6S9S14
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S11S14S11S8S7SE6S8SE7S7SE5SE4CalmSE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Bryant Landing, Tensay River, Alabama
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Lower Bryant Landing
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:23 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:28 AM CST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:23 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:46 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:01 PM CST     1.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.90.70.50.30.10.10-0-00.10.20.40.60.91.11.31.51.71.81.91.91.81.6

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:23 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:35 AM CST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:23 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:46 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:57 PM CST     1.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.70.50.30.20-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.50.70.91.11.21.41.41.41.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.