Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 6:22PM Thursday February 22, 2018 4:55 PM CST (22:55 UTC) Moonrise 11:22AMMoonset 12:08AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 222208
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
408 pm cst Thu feb 22 2018

Discussion
Tonight through Thursday
north texas will remain in a pattern favorable for heavy rainfall
over the next few days although the threat for additional
freezing rain and ice is diminishing. Abnormally high moisture
content and persistent ascent through the southern plains will
lead to at least two additional rounds of convection across north
texas. The first is expected to develop later tonight and spread
across the region through Friday and the second is expected to
arrive on Saturday.

For the remainder of this evening, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will continue mainly across the northeast half of
the cwa. This area is in a region of strong low level warm
advection atop the colder surface air and is being aided by ascent
from a mid level disturbance which will pass to the northeast
later this evening. We should see a brief lull in the
precipitation as this disturbance moves northeast. In the
meantime, we'll have highest pops from the metroplex and areas
northeast of there through around 8 pm or so.

Later tonight, as a large upper trough spreads into the southwest
u.S., stronger forcing for ascent will spread over the southern
plains. As this occurs, a branch of the subtropical jet will move
into northern mexico and into central texas during the overnight
hours. This increasingly divergent flow aloft, strong low level
warm advection, and a general maximum of convergence along and
just north of a retreating frontal boundary should lead to a
rapid development of showers and a few thunderstorms in the 3-6 am
timeframe. We'll show a rapid increase in pops after 9z and
continuing into Friday morning as convection lifts northward
through the morning.

We may see a similar lull in activity from midday into the
afternoon hours, however, the large trough to the west will
finally begin to eject eastward tomorrow afternoon. This will
keep persistent ascent across the southern plains tomorrow evening
into the overnight hours. Given the very high moisture content and
persistent lift, we'll keep generally high pops in through
tomorrow night.

On Saturday, the upper trough will eject into the plains with a
140 kt upper jet spreading through north texas. The strongest
forcing for ascent will arrive during the morning hours and
scattered showers and thunderstorms are again expected to develop
and march across the region. The storms should exit the area from
west to east during the afternoon hours. Temperatures may warm
considerably as the convection ends and skies clear Saturday
afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s.

We should have a couple of dry days, but another strong trough is
expected to dig into the southwest u.S. Late Tuesday. Rapid
moisture return should lead to additional showers and
thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday.

Dunn

Aviation issued 1220 pm cst Thu feb 22 2018
ifr conditions will prevail with northerly surface flow.

Southwest flow aloft will remain in place with embedded ripples
bringing periodic bouts of rain and thunderstorms. The back side
of the latest impulse is now passing north of the metroplex, and
only some lingering shower activity is expected the remainder of
the afternoon. From central texas northeastward into east texas, a
stream of showers will continue this evening above an old frontal
inversion. But for our TAF sites, a rain-free interlude will begin
before nightfall and continue until the next disturbance arrives
during the early morning hours Friday. Much like this morning,
thunderstorms will impact waco a couple of hours before arriving
in the metroplex during the morning push. A brief lull may occur
from mid-morning into the early afternoon, but another round of
showers is likely Friday afternoon. With ifr conditions
continuing during the break, this distinction doesn't need to be
represented in the tafs at this time. Subsequent TAF issuances
can address the timing if necessary.

Even with a break in the rainfall, supersaturation within the
inversion will assure ifr ceilings remain, and minimal warming
within the soupy surface layer may keep the visibility in the ifr
category as well. Guidance hints that some improvement in
ceilings visibility may occur during the evening overnight hours,
but even with light westerly surface flow, this looks unlikely.

Veering winds to the northeast in february is indicative of
deteriorating conditions, and Friday afternoon may be lifr as a
result. Regardless, like today, there will be no significant
improvement after the morning rainfall.

25

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 39 52 52 71 40 80 100 70 90 5
waco 40 57 55 74 38 100 100 50 80 5
paris 44 54 54 69 40 90 100 70 90 10
denton 37 51 48 69 36 60 100 70 90 0
mckinney 40 52 51 69 37 80 100 70 90 5
dallas 39 54 53 72 41 90 100 70 90 5
terrell 41 56 56 73 40 100 100 60 90 10
corsicana 41 58 58 75 44 100 100 50 90 10
temple 42 58 57 74 41 80 90 40 70 10
mineral wells 34 50 45 70 34 50 100 60 70 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories
Flood watch from midnight cst tonight through Saturday morning
for txz093>095-103>107-118>123-133-134.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi63 minNW 77.00 miLight Rain37°F35°F93%1023.8 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX6 mi64 minNW 103.00 miFog/Mist36°F33°F89%1022 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi63 minNW 104.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist36°F36°F100%1023.7 hPa
Fort Worth, Forth Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi70 minNW 74.00 miFog/Mist37°F35°F93%1023.7 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi66 minWNW 610.50 miRain37°F37°F100%1024 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi63 minNW 83.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist35°F34°F96%1024.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi63 minNW 106.00 miFog/Mist38°F36°F93%1023.3 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi63 minNW 125.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist38°F37°F97%1023.3 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi63 minNW 107.00 miLight Rain38°F37°F97%1023.8 hPa

Wind History from FTW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN12NW13
G20
NW15
G24
NW13NW13NW10NW8NW11NW9NW12N9N8N8NW9NW9SW83NW5NW7NW6NW7W9NW9NW7
1 day agoNW15
G27
N12
G21
N18
G23
N14N17
G21
N12N12NW12
G21
N14
G25
N13
G21
N17
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G25
NW10NW10N15
G21
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G28
NW10N13
G21
N12N16
G22
NW13
G27
N12
G19
NE14
G22
NE15
2 days agoS13
G25
S19
G28
S20
G30
S21
G35
S14
G29
S15
G25
S13
G21
S15
G25
S18
G32
S24
G31
S18
G26
S12
G22
SW6SE13SE13SE12SE16SE16
G23
SW7S15
G22
S13SE16SW10NW17
G26

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.