Monday, January21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 5:52PM Monday January 21, 2019 11:45 AM CST (17:45 UTC) Moonrise 6:40PMMoonset 7:55AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 211739
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
1139 am cst Mon jan 21 2019

Aviation
18z tafs
vfr conditions prevail across north and central texas at this time
with southerly winds 15 to 20 kt. Some high clouds will continue
to stream across the region through the afternoon, butVFR will
prevail. Surface observations show that dewpoints have climbed
about 10 degrees in 3 hours across southeast texas where sct bkn
cumulus clouds are noted on satellite. This moisture will continue
to be pulled northward through this evening as a 50 kt low level
jet develops. Widespread MVFR CIGS are expected to overspread the
region a few hours after sunset and will likely prevail through
much of the day Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. The
front will move through the metroplex during the late afternoon
hours and we'll show a wind shift in the extended portion of the
dfw TAF around 23z. While there may be some intermittent drizzle
and ifr CIGS a little farther east during the day Tuesday, we
think this should stay east of the major airports. Scattered
showers are likely to develop along the front as it moves through
the metroplex with the bulk of any precipitation remaining to the
east of the major airports. Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with
higher gusts will prevail behind the front.

Dunn

Update issued 1042 am cst Mon jan 21 2019
water vapor imagery shows a stream of high level moisture
spreading from northwest mexico into the southern plains this
morning. This higher cloud cover should thin some through the day,
but we'll update to mention more clouds than currently forecast.

Otherwise, no significant changes needed to the current forecast.

Southerly winds are mixing down and we're seeing some gusts in
excess of 25 kt. This will continue through the afternoon.

Dunn

Short term issued 312 am cst Mon jan 21 2019
today and tonight
mid level height falls in advance of a lead shortwave disturbance
lifting across the high plains early this morning is already inducing
strong low level warm advection and southeast winds across north
and central texas. Scattered-broken mid-high level clouds are
expected today with a shortwave disturbance moving overhead, but
pockets of sunshine will likely be had through afternoon with
highs between 55-65 degrees. Area vad wind profiler 88d winds at
925mb this morning are already southerly at 20-25 knots and will
likely increase to between 35-45 knots across the northwest half of
the CWA by midday. Between the mixing of the strong 925mb flow and
tightening gradient, look for south winds between 15-25 mph with a
few gusts in excess of 30 mph by late morning and continuing into
afternoon. These values will be just below wind advisory criteria
and have opted not to issue any wind highlights for the northwest
half of the cwa. One thing for certain is it will not be as windy as
what was experienced this past Saturday. It's definitely something
to be monitored later this morning if speeds end up being higher
than currently forecast.

A continued tight surface pressure gradient and low level warm
advection tonight will result in continued very breezy conditions
and gusty south winds 15-20 mph. In addition, a semi-mixed
boundary layer with flow of 40-50 knots will draw moisture from
the gulf of mexico northward rapidly by early evening into north
and central texas. The combination of stratus and gusty south
winds will result in a much more mild and breezy night with lows
staying up between 45-55 degrees across the region.

Lastly, the lead shortwave moving across the southern plains and
ark-la-tex area overnight will aide in isentropic ascent within
the 925mb-700mb layer enough for some spotty sprinkles by late
evening into the pre-dawn hours, with some scattered areas of
light rain generally across areas along and east of i-35 by
daybreak Tuesday. I chose sprinkles over drizzle with surface
winds remaining strong and ceilings remaining higher than a 1000
feet. Spotty rainfall amounts will be fairly negligible and less
than 0.10", thus do not expect hydrological impacts across the
eastern half of the area. More of a nuisance more than anything.

05

Long term issued 312 am cst Mon jan 21 2019
Tuesday through early next week
a shortwave disturbance and a surface cyclone will together move
rapidly east across the central plains on Tuesday. An attendant
cold front extending southwest from the surface low will push
steadily southeast, reaching northwest portion of the CWA around
midday Tuesday before clearing the southeastern counties at or
shortly after sunset. Breezy conditions will continue during the
day as southerly winds shift to the northwest with the passage of
the cold front. High temperatures should reach the 60s for most
areas prior to the arrival of the front, with the exception being
the northwest counties where mid and upper 50s will be about as
warm as it gets before the front arrives.

Warm advection showers will be possible during the morning,
mainly east of the interstate 35 corridor where the better
moisture will be in place. This will also be the case as scattered
showers pop up along the front during the afternoon, with
activity mainly across the eastern and southeastern portion of
the cwa. An isolated thunderstorm cannot be completely ruled out,
but most guidance indicates that deeper convection will be limited
to locations east of the forecast area where better instability
will exist.

Precipitation will initially shift southeast of the area Tuesday
evening, but a secondary band of showers will develop northwest of
the front as another upper trough drops southeast across mexico
and southwest texas. The timing of this second batch of precip
will be mainly after midnight, with the location being along and
south of the i-20 corridor. A few model outliers are indicating
that a brief round of light snow will be possible before activity
shifts southeast of the area Wednesday morning, so it will be
something to keep an eye on. However, at this time guidance is
heavily favoring thermal profiles which would produce all cold
rain, so weather grids will indicate all liquid precip with this
forecast set.

The longwave pattern will evolve into deep upper troughing across
the eastern third of the CONUS beginning Wednesday night and
continuing through the end of the forecast period. This upper air
pattern will keep the region susceptible to multiple shots of
cold air, but lacking with regard to available moisture. Following
the Tuesday front, a brief period of return flow will occur
Wednesday night and early Thursday before the next blast of cold
air arrives. This front will push through late Thursday, bringing
sub-freezing air to most of north and central texas Thursday
night. Friday morning lows will range from the mid 20s along the
red river to right at 32 across the far south, with early morning
wind chills in the teens and lower 20s respectively. Another cold
front will arrive on Saturday, with yet another on Monday, keeping
the cold and dry pattern in place through the early part of next
week.

30

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 60 52 64 33 48 0 30 20 20 5
waco 62 54 65 35 48 0 20 20 40 10
paris 55 47 60 30 43 0 40 60 30 10
denton 60 50 62 32 48 0 30 20 10 5
mckinney 58 50 63 32 46 0 30 30 20 5
dallas 62 54 65 33 47 0 30 30 20 5
terrell 60 51 63 32 46 0 30 40 30 10
corsicana 61 52 63 33 45 0 20 40 40 20
temple 63 53 66 35 48 0 10 20 50 10
mineral wells 65 50 62 31 48 0 10 10 10 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi53 minSSE 1410.00 miFair47°F35°F63%1020.2 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX6 mi54 minS 18 G 2610.00 miFair and Breezy48°F33°F56%1018.7 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi53 minSSE 18 G 2610.00 miFair and Breezy47°F36°F66%1020.8 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi58 minSSE 16 G 2110.00 miFair46°F35°F66%1021 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi56 minSSE 15 G 2610.00 miClear45°F32°F61%1021.7 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi53 minSSE 23 G 3110.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy48°F33°F56%1020.2 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi53 minS 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F33°F61%1020.4 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi53 minS 13 G 2010.00 miFair45°F33°F63%1021.1 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi53 minS 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy47°F34°F61%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from FTW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE4SE8SE7SE6SE9SE6SE10SE9SE10SE8SE9SE9SE7SE6SE9SE7SE9SE12SE12SE9S12S12
G21
SE14
1 day agoNW23
G37
NW24
G36
NW22
G34
NW21
G35
NW20
G30
NW18
G30
NW17
G23
NW11NW9NW9N9NW11
G18
N10N9N10NW7N6NW3NW5NW5NW4NW43W4
2 days agoS15S16
G26
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G23
S15
G26
S20
G27
S13
G25
S13S10S7S8W8SW10
G26
SW8W20
G29
NW17
G35
NW30
G44
NW26
G39
NW21
G37
NW24
G43
NW21
G34
NW26
G42
NW28
G46
NW27
G39
NW20
G37

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.