Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Travis Ranch, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 7:17PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 1:14 PM CDT (18:14 UTC) Moonrise 12:07PMMoonset 10:45PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 261759 aab
afdfwd
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service fort worth tx
1259 pm cdt Tue sep 26 2017

Aviation
Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are
expected this afternoon mainly west of interstate 35 i-35w but
some showers may work their way into the TAF sites late afternoon
into this evening. Thus, have included vcsh for for the 21z-03z
period in the metroplex TAF sites. MostlyVFR conditions are
expected through this evening outside of showers. Ceilings should
lower to around 5000 feet by 21z and MVFR ceilings are expected by
12z Wednesday. Some ifr conditions are possible Wednesday morning
and have highlighted that possibility with a tempo bkn009 between
12z and 16z.VFR conditions are expected to improve Wednesday
afternoon so have placed a sct015 bkn040 starting at 19z for the
extended portion of the dfw taf.

At waco, mostlyVFR conditions are expected through tonight.

Isolated showers are possible this afternoon and scattered showers
are possible this evening. Have placed vcsh starting at 18z and
placed a tempo 6sm shra during the 00z through 06z periods.

Ceilings are expected to lower to MVFR by 15z Wednesday.

58

Short term issued 218 am cdt Tue sep 26 2017
today and tonight
the main concern in the short term will be the placement of
highest rain and thunder chances. Widespread severe weather
appears unlikely given the modest lapse rates and limited deep
layer shear. Otherwise, it should feel slightly cooler for some
with widespread cloud cover and increasingly east and north winds.

For today---ongoing showers and embedded thunderstorms will
continue this morning as isentropic ascent along the 300k and 305k
theta surfaces continues for areas west of the i-35 corridor.

These pockets of concentrated precipitation should diminish
through mid-morning and it's possible that for a short window of
time, much of the area remains mostly rain-free. Otherwise, patchy
fog across southeastern zones will gradually dissipate with
cloudy to partly sunny skies across north and central tx.

Additional precipitation is expected to blossom later this
afternoon, especially for areas near and west of the hwy 281
corridor. This precipitation will be in response to increasing
isentropic lift as well as the encroaching cold front currently
across the tx rolling plains.

For tonight---the cold front will continue to slide southward
through central tx through Wednesday morning. Ascent along and
behind the front will persist and will result in another good
rain shield, mainly near and west of the hwy 281 corridor. As a
result, i've kept highest pops out west with lower rain chances
farther east.

24-bain

Long term issued 218 am cdt Tue sep 26 2017
Wednesday through next Monday
at the start of Wednesday, a cold front will be draped across
north texas with the large upper trough still over the western
u.S. Persistent low level isentropic ascent will continue through
much of the day resulting in a good coverage of showers and a few
thunderstorms mainly west of i-35. Areas east of i-35 will be
under more of an influence from upper ridging and increasing
subsidence through the day. As we go through the day Wednesday
into Thursday, the large upper trough over the western u.S. Will
finally begin to slowly deamplify and eject eastward. As it does,
ridging will strengthen over north texas leaving only the frontal
boundary as a primary focus for precipitation development. Rain
chances will generally be confined to areas west of i-35 Wednesday
night through Thursday night before diminishing areawide on
Friday. With the main trough moving through the plains on Friday,
a secondary push of cooler and noticeably drier air will slide
into north texas late Friday evening. This should effectively end
precipitation chances for north texas with the forecast remaining
dry into early next week.

Given weak mid level lapse rates and only weak instability during
peak heating, the overall severe weather threat Wednesday through
Friday looks minimal and we'll only mention isolated thunderstorms
in the forecast with showers prevailing. The bulk of the synoptic
forcing will remain over west texas through Thursday, so even with
the cold front draped across the cwa, highest rain chances
Wednesday and Thursday will be west of i-35. Some locally heavy
rainfall amounts may occur across our far western counties with
areas along and east of i-35 likely receiving less than an inch of
rain through the week.

Temperatures will be warm across the eastern half of the region on
Wednesday but as the cold front slides farther south, temperatures
will continue to cool. Highs will be at or below seasonal normals
Thursday through the weekend.

Dunn

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 87 73 86 68 82 30 30 30 20 20
waco 89 72 88 70 86 40 20 20 30 20
paris 87 70 87 68 82 10 10 20 20 20
denton 86 70 83 65 79 30 30 30 20 20
mckinney 87 71 86 67 80 20 30 20 20 20
dallas 88 74 87 70 82 30 30 20 20 20
terrell 88 71 90 69 85 20 10 20 20 20
corsicana 89 71 89 71 87 20 10 20 20 20
temple 87 71 86 70 85 40 30 30 30 20
mineral wells 83 68 80 63 77 60 60 50 40 40

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

58 90


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX5 mi84 minSSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F66°F52%1014.2 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi81 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F66°F51%1013.5 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX19 mi81 minS 710.00 miOvercast84°F68°F59%1013.4 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX20 mi79 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F67°F55%1014.2 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX21 mi84 minSSE 910.00 miOvercast82°F66°F58%1014.9 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX22 mi81 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F68°F57%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12
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SE9SE9SE4E3CalmSE5SE4SE4SE4SE3SE3SE4CalmSE3CalmE4CalmS5S7SE3
1 day agoSE8SE7SE7S7E10E7E5SE5SE7SE5SE3SE4E5CalmSE4CalmSE3CalmE4SE4SE6SE7S9SE10
G16
2 days agoE8E9
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SE9S6E4E4SE3E4CalmSE3S3SE3SE3S3SE3CalmCalmSE4S4SE7SE8S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.