Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Travis Ranch, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:46PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 12:22 AM CDT (05:22 UTC) Moonrise 7:33AMMoonset 8:42PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 290450
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
1150 pm cdt Tue mar 28 2017

Aviation
MVFR ceilings continue to work northward from central texas and
should reach waco by 06z and the metro terminals around 08z.

The broken line of thunderstorms currently west of the airports
will continue moving east and should begin to impact the western
airports around 08z. However, the radar shows that an outflow
boundary is getting out ahead of the storms so this should keep
storms below severe limits as they move across the metroplex airports.

The stronger storms currently across the concho valley may
impact waco beginning around 08z. Gusty winds will be the primary
hazard with these storms. All storms should move east of the
terminals shortly after sunrise withVFR through the day
Wednesday.

A gusty southeast wind between 14 and 20 knots sustained will
briefly turn to the west and become gusty as the line of storms
moves across the region. Once the storms move east of the region
Wednesday morning, southerly winds will return between 12 and 15
knots. A cold front will move across the region Wednesday evening
and turn the wind to the northwest.

Update
The line of storms currently in west texas continues to organize
as it moves east. It should reach the western portions of the cwa
around 11 pm and the i-35 corridor around 3 to 4 am unless some
cold pooling accelerates portions of the line. Damaging wind and
hail will be the primary threats with the squall line. Some brief
heavy rainfall is also likely. The storms should weaken as they
move east away from the large scale dynamics.

A new severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 4 am which
includes locations from the i-35 corridor westward. This watch
replaces the earlier tornado watch.

Other than updating the watch location. No major changes are
needed to the forecast at this time.

79

Prev discussion /issued 723 pm cdt Tue mar 28 2017/
/issued 340 pm cdt Tue mar 28 2017/

Tornado watch in effect for areas west and northwest of the
dallas-fort worth metroplex...

convection continues to increase over the texas panhandle and
south plains in advance of a deep upper level low, which was
centered over new mexico this afternoon. Storms will gradually
spread eastward later this afternoon and this evening in the
eastward developing region of good forcing associated with the
upper low. Activity will likely initiate along an eastward moving
dryline, with individual storms moving generally north-northeast.

These storms will are expected to develop upscale into a linear
mcs, which will push east across north and central texas
overnight.

Meanwhile, a warm front has taken its time moving north, but
appears to have made it north of the i-20 corridor. The boundary
will continue to approach the red river, and may become the focus
for a few isolated strong to severe storms. Discrete cells will
have the potential for producing large hail, damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado. The best potential for thunderstorms this
afternoon will likely be over our northwestern counties where the
strongest forcing will reside and the surface boundary will be
near.

As the line progresses east overnight, damaging straight-line
winds will be the primary threat. That said, decreasing
instability as surface heating wanes could be a factor that helps
mitigate the severe potential. The latest hi-res guidance
indicates a weakening trend as the line moves east of the i-35
corridor Wednesday morning. The dryline and/or lingering outflow
is likely to stall near the far-eastern counties as the upper low
continues trekking east across the southern plains. Another round
of good forcing associated with the upper low will help ignite
additional storms in the vicinity of the stalled boundary during
the peak heating hours Wednesday. Some of these storms may become
severe with large hail and damaging winds. The exact location of
the surface boundary will determine where storms initiate, and at
this time the highest pops will be over the eastern-most counties
with lower pops the farther west you go.

The upper low center will move east across oklahoma Wednesday
night, which may generate isolated storms along the red river. Due
to the expected low coverage, pops will remain fairly low. There
could be an isolated hail threat due to the cold air aloft but the
overall severe threat Wednesday night appears low.

Thursday should be a nice day as the upper low moves east and a
cold front pushes through the region. This will be short-lived,
however, as the next upper level storm system drops quickly
southeast from the pacific northwest into the four-corners region,
bringing a quick return to south winds, moisture and warmer
weather Friday. This system looks like it will similarly generate
multiple rounds of convection from Saturday afternoon through
Sunday night. There is still some model uncertainty with regard to
the timing and exact path the system will take, but the latest
guidance hints that there will again be at least some threat of
severe weather this weekend. We may have to also consider the
threat for localized flooding to to the multiple precipitation
events expected this week.

30

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 65 83 54 69 52 / 100 40 10 5 5
waco 65 82 54 73 50 / 100 50 5 5 5
paris 64 76 54 66 47 / 80 70 30 10 10
denton 63 80 51 67 47 / 100 40 10 5 5
mckinney 65 78 53 67 48 / 100 50 10 10 5
dallas 66 82 55 69 52 / 100 50 10 10 5
terrell 66 79 55 69 48 / 100 60 20 10 5
corsicana 66 80 56 71 51 / 90 60 20 10 5
temple 64 82 54 75 51 / 90 50 5 5 5
mineral wells 57 81 49 69 47 / 100 20 10 5 5

Fwd watches/warnings/advisories
None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX5 mi48 minSE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F60°F66%1006.4 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi30 minSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F60°F64%1005.8 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX19 mi30 minSE 15 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F61°F64%1004.8 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX20 mi28 minSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F61°F72%1005.8 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX21 mi48 minSE 14 G 2410.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F60°F63%1005.8 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX22 mi30 minSE 11 G 2010.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F62°F69%1004.3 hPa

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmE3CalmNE3NE5E4E34E5E4E8SE13
G17
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SE9SE12SE11SE11
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1 day agoS15
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S11S8SW5SW3SW7NW11NW4NW5NW6NW5N9N5N5N4N4N4CalmN4CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7SE7S7SE10
G15
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G26

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.