Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carlsbad, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 4:47PM Saturday November 17, 2018 9:35 AM PST (17:35 UTC) Moonrise 2:54PMMoonset 1:45AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ750 Coastal Waters From San Mateo Point To The Mexican Border And Out To 30 Nm- 231 Am Pst Sat Nov 17 2018
Today..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 1 to 2 ft at 12 seconds and S 3 ft at 14 seconds.
Tonight..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming nw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 2 ft at 13 seconds.
Sun night..Wind nw 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 14 seconds.
Mon..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 3 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon night..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell nw 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell nw 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 ft.
Wed..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming W 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 2 ft. Slight chance of showers.
PZZ700 231 Am Pst Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis for the far southern california coast.. At 2 am, a 1039 mb high was over eastern Montana and a 1014 mb low was over northern baja. Weak onshore flow will develop in the afternoons through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carlsbad city, CA
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location: 33.14, -117.39     debug


Area Discussion for - San Diego, CA
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Fxus66 ksgx 171652
afdsgx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san diego ca
852 am pst Sat nov 17 2018

Synopsis
High pressure aloft will keep the weather fair and dry through next
Tuesday with patchy night and morning low clouds and fog near the
coast. A weak trough will develop off the coast next weak and move
inland over the holiday weekend, bringing cooling and higher
humidity. Rain will be likely over northern parts of california by
Wednesday. Some light rain could even survive the trip into southern
california Wednesday night or thanksgiving day. The cooler weather
and higher humidity will prevail through the holiday weekend, and
some light, marine layer precipitation will be possible at times as
well.

Discussion For extreme southwestern california including orange...

san diego... Western riverside and southwestern san bernardino
counties...

satellite imagery at 8 am pdt showed mostly thin, high clouds
streaming across socal. There were some lower clouds well offshore.

The 12z miramar sounding had sfc-based inversion and light and
variable winds below 3500 ft. The sfc pressure gradients had a weak
onshore trend to the ne, but were neutral to the e. Wind reports
were light across the region. No forecast updates are planned.

From previous discussion...

moisture recovery will be slow through Monday as high pressure aloft
remains in place over the southwest. The marine layer depth won't
change much, and there will be a steady stream of high clouds.

Temperatures will be a little above average.

The storm door cracks opens just a bit next week as the resilient
west coast ridge breaks down ahead of a series of pacific troughs.

The first trough on Tuesday weakens as it moves inland across socal,
spending most of its energy breaking down the ridge. This trough
will deepen the marine layer slightly, and also bring a few degrees
of cooling west of the mountains.

From Wednesday through Friday a stronger, deeper long wave trough
moves inland across california. Most of it's energy will bypass us
to the north, but bring beneficial rains to northern and central
california. A moisture plume with precipitable water values between
1.00-1.20" makes landfall over central ca. Here in southern
california the system will be much weaker, but still strong enough
to warrant a chance for light rain, primarily Wednesday night into
Thursday. This trough will also bring a little more cooling the
second half of the week.

Aviation
171624z... Coastal areas... Sct-bkn high clouds off the coast continue
to push east and will come in after 17z. Sct-bkn clouds begin to
slowly fill for other areas early afternoon into the evening with
bases at or abv 15000 ft msl with unrestricted vis. Low clouds with
bases near 1000 ft msl may make an appearance late tonight though
confidence is low at this time.

Marine
No hazardous marine weather is expected through Wednesday.

Skywarn... Skywarn activation will not be needed this weekend.

Sgx watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Public... 10 moede
aviation marine... Apr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46224 - Oceanside Offshore, CA (045) 5 mi36 min 65°F3 ft
46225 - Torrey Pines Outer, CA (100) 14 mi36 min 66°F3 ft
LJAC1 - 9410230 - La Jolla, CA 20 mi42 min Calm G 1 67°F 64°F1017.4 hPa
LJPC1 - La Jolla, CA (073) 20 mi76 min SE 2.9 2 ft
46254 20 mi66 min 64°F2 ft
46258 27 mi36 min 65°F4 ft
SDBC1 - 9410170 - San Diego, CA 32 mi42 min 1017.3 hPa
46235 41 mi36 min 64°F3 ft
TIXC1 - Tijuana River Reserve, CA 41 mi111 min E 1.9 56°F 1018 hPa30°F
46232 - Point Loma South, CA (191) 42 mi36 min 65°F3 ft

Wind History for La Jolla, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Oceanside, Oceanside Municipal Airport, CA6 mi44 minENE 410.00 miFair58°F35°F42%1017.4 hPa
Carlsbad, McClellan-Palomar Airport, CA6 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair64°F35°F34%1017.2 hPa
Mcolf Camp Pendleton (Red Beach), CA10 mi40 minE 510.00 miFair0°F0°F%1017.6 hPa
Oceanside, Camp Pendleton, Marine Corps Air Station, CA11 mi1.7 hrsN 010.00 miFair47°F39°F74%1017.6 hPa
San Diego, Miramar MCAS/Mitscher Field Airport, CA22 mi1.7 hrsE 510.00 miFair63°F28°F28%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from CRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW43SW3SW5W5W6SW5S4S3CalmE3CalmE3E3E3E4E3CalmNE3E4NE6CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW4SW7W8W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SW4E3E3SE4E6E3E4E3CalmCalmE3SE3S4
2 days agoCalm3E7W8W7W6NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4NE4CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmSE3SE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for La Jolla, Scripps Pier, California
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La Jolla
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:44 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 AM PST     4.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:21 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:40 AM PST     2.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:53 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:46 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:07 PM PST     3.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:22 PM PST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.72.53.344.44.54.23.732.52.122.32.83.33.73.93.83.32.71.91.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for La Jolla (Scripps Institution Wharf), California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Diego, CA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Diego, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.