Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vincent, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 7:59PM Thursday June 22, 2017 1:20 PM CDT (18:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:21AMMoonset 6:28PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vincent, AL
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location: 33.41, -86.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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Fxus64 kbmx 221809
afdbmx
area forecast discussion
national weather service birmingham al
109 pm cdt Thu jun 22 2017

Update
For 18z aviation.

Short term
Today and tonight.

Currently watching several waves of rainfall moving through the
area the morning. Heaviest rains are along and north of i-22 i-20
and along i-65. Also watching the next band of rainfall developing
just south of greenville and moving northward. There will be a
brief lull in the SW with only isolated to scattered showers as a
dry slot works into the area but that will go ahead by 7 am and
the area will fill back in. Thus will keep the flash flood watch
for this area. SPC has also put the southern tier of counties in a
tornado watch as this band moves into the region. We have been
monitoring the over trends and see no reason to not agree with
this assessment. The main tornado threat for the day will be for
counties along and west of the i-65 corridor as the bands develop
and slide north through the area.

As we work into the evening hours we will see the bands begin to
diminish in size and intensity as most of the activity will shift
further west closer the center of cindy. This may provide another
little lull in activity across much of alabama through the night.

With that said though any banding that does develop could produce
locally heavy rains.

16

Long term
As we work into Friday, we will see the second stage of this
tropical system begin to impact the area. The low pressure system
itself will move into western tennessee and then slide east
northeast and begin to merge with a cold front. As the low gets
closer to the area we will see an increase in showers and storms
once again, this time along and north of the i-20 corridor. We may
need to issue a new flash flood watch as this system draws closer.

Despite that there will also be a threat for tornadoes with any
line that develops and moves through the area particularly in the
afternoon and into the evening hours.

By Saturday, cindy will have merged with a cold front coming down
from the north and be well removed from the area. However, the
front, the continued moist air mass, and a lingering weakness in
the subtropical ridge will result in a continued wet pattern
through the weekend, with the potential for continued flooding
concerns. As is typical, the GFS is quicker with the progression
of the front than the ECMWF and will stick closer to the slower
solution. But by Monday Monday night the cold front is expected to
pass through the area as a trough amplifies over the east coast. A
second cold front will move through and provide a cool airmass for
this time of the year for the upcoming week.

16

Aviation
18z TAF discussion.

Terminals currently impacted by heavy rain, and reduced vis and
cigs. This activity will continue through the afternoon as multiple
bands of storms move across the area. Winds could also be gusty,
especially in heavier storms. Activity could linger into the evening
hours. CIGS are expected to remain at ifr tonight, with southerly
winds.

14

Fire weather
Scattered to widespread showers and storms are expected through
the next several days with a moist airmass in place. The best
chance of rain will occur Thursday and Friday. A cold front will
then swing into the area for the weekend adding in more rain
chances through Sunday. Drier are will work into the area on
Monday and Tuesday. There are no fire weather concerns.

Preliminary point temps pops
Gadsden 78 72 85 72 84 100 70 70 80 60
anniston 78 72 87 72 84 90 70 50 80 70
birmingham 79 74 86 73 84 100 80 70 80 60
tuscaloosa 81 74 86 73 84 100 80 80 80 60
calera 79 73 86 73 84 100 80 60 80 70
auburn 81 72 87 73 84 80 30 20 50 70
montgomery 82 75 90 75 87 100 60 30 50 70
troy 83 73 88 74 87 90 40 20 40 70

Bmx watches warnings advisories
Flash flood watch through this evening for the following
counties: autauga... Bibb... Bullock... Chilton... Coosa... Dallas...

elmore... Fayette... Greene... Hale... Jefferson... Lamar... Lowndes...

macon... Marengo... Marion... Montgomery... Perry... Pickens... Pike...

shelby... Sumter... Tuscaloosa... Walker.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Birmingham, Birmingham International Airport, AL22 mi27 minSE 810.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity79°F73°F85%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from BHM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3E64E5E7E5E8E7E9
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1 day ago3E3E9E6SE5SE5SE44S4SE5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4E6E6E4E5E3E6E5
2 days agoNW7NW12S4E43SE3SE4E3CalmCalmCalmN3SE3CalmE3N3NE4E3SE4E445SE8S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Birmingham, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.