Saturday, October21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vincent, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:04PM Saturday October 21, 2017 10:36 AM CDT (15:36 UTC) Moonrise 8:29AMMoonset 7:37PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vincent, AL
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location: 33.41, -86.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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Fxus64 kbmx 211113
afdbmx
area forecast discussion
national weather service birmingham al
613 am cdt Sat oct 21 2017

Update
For 12z aviation.

Short term
Today and tonight.

High pressure centered over virginia will remain the predominate
feature for the region once again today and tonight. Really the
only weather we will see will be an increase in clouds as
southerly flow begins to increase over the area, once the high
pressure system begins to push further east. Highs will be another
1 to 2 degrees warmer than Friday for highs with a much more mild
night across the entire area tonight and with mostly cloudy
skies.

16

Long term
Sunday through Friday.

Our dry weather will come to an end on Sunday afternoon into the
evening as a potent upper-level trough approaches from the
southern plains. A mass of rain and embedded thunderstorms or
perhaps a qlcs will arrive from mississippi in the late afternoon.

Aside from a few stray showers, areas east of i-65 should stay
mostly dry through sunset, but west al should see increasing rain
chances after 3 pm. An area of meager instability will become
pinched off near the ms al due to drier southeasterly low-level
flow over alabama. Therefore, severe weather is not expected as
the area of moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunder moves
eastward into the nighttime ours. This forecast heavily leans
toward the open wave or more progressive scenario shown by the
ecmwf. The GFS appears to be be way too amplified and closed off
with the 500mb trough. I have sped up the departure of high rain
chances through the day on Monday into Monday night, and a further
increase in forward speed is possible. In fact, Monday afternoon
could end up dry for most of the forecast area.

A very strong upstream shortwave will reinforce the cold advection
regime on Tuesday into Wednesday with afternoon temperatures
barely reaching 60f in the north on Wednesday. A transition to
warmer conditions is expected on Thursday and Friday as southerly
flow develops in response to a developing large trough in the
western conus.

87 grantham

Aviation
12z TAF discussion.

Mainly a wind forecast for the next 24 hours as we remain on the
dry side of the approaching front. Clouds will also increase
through the day with best coverage in the west after sunset.

Deteriorating conditions outside of this TAF cycle.

16

Fire weather
Mild and dry weather will continue through Saturday and early
Sunday. Widespread soaking rainfall is expected Sunday night into
Monday. Relative humidity values should remain above critical
thresholds. There are no fire weather concerns.

Preliminary point temps pops
Gadsden 78 57 79 66 72 0 0 10 90 100
anniston 79 59 80 67 72 0 0 10 90 100
birmingham 80 63 81 68 72 0 0 30 100 80
tuscaloosa 82 64 82 68 74 0 0 70 100 60
calera 80 63 80 67 72 0 0 40 100 80
auburn 80 62 78 69 73 0 0 20 80 100
montgomery 84 64 84 70 75 0 0 30 100 80
troy 83 63 83 70 75 0 0 30 100 90

Bmx watches warnings advisories
None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Birmingham, Birmingham International Airport, AL22 mi44 minE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy67°F55°F68%1024.6 hPa

Wind History from BHM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5NE43NE5SE6E5SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E534NE4NE53E7
1 day agoCalmNW3E4NE335E4E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3
2 days agoSE10SE63433SE5E3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Birmingham, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.