Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 5:59PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 4:50 AM MST (11:50 UTC) Moonrise 9:10PMMoonset 9:41AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 231111
afdpsr
area forecast discussion
national weather service phoenix az
411 am mst Wed jan 23 2019

Update Aviation and fire weather discussions.

Synopsis
High pressure centered to the west of the region will keep dry
conditions over the region for the foreseeable future. A warming
trend over the next several days will eventually result in high
temperatures in the lower seventies across the lower deserts. A
few weak, but dry upper level disturbances will bring periods of
gusty winds and high level clouds through early next week, but
they will ultimately have little impact on our weather.

Discussion
The last week of january looks to be rather uneventful across the
southwestern u.S. With dry conditions persisting through at least
the middle of next week. This will be mostly be due to a stagnant
upper level flow pattern with a mostly stationary eastern pacific
ridge situated to our west and a polar vortex that sets up over
the eastern 2 3s of north america. For the desert southwest, this
will bring persistent north to northwesterly dry upper level flow
and mild temperatures likely lasting through the end of the month.

The cool airmass currently in place will result in one more below
normal temperature day before significant warming occurs into
Thursday. From Thursday through at least next Monday, highs should
top out in the lower 70s over the deserts, or a few degrees above
normal. Overnight lows will be closer to normals, or possibly a
couple degrees below normal as the dry air and generally clear
skies lead to very efficient nocturnal cooling conditions. Models
have been consistent showing multiple dry shortwave troughs
moving out of british columbia and the pacific northwest
southeastward through the interior west and eventually through or
near the desert southwest. The first trough Wednesday night into
Thursday will be the least significant and should only bring
locally breezy conditions. The second trough, moving through on
Saturday, is shown to be a bit stronger and farther southwest.

This one will likely bring stronger winds with more widespread
gusty conditions, especially across southern california. Forecast
pwats of less than a quarter inch for both disturbances fall below
10% of climatology for the period.

A third trough is shown to move through the southwestern u.S.

At some point early next week. This one is shown to carry a bit
more upper level moisture and will likely be a bit colder than the
previous two shortwaves. We should see an increase in clouds, but
again this system will pose no rain threat. Similar to the
Saturday system, this one too should bring gusty winds to portions
of the region. Temperatures also look to take a slight dip
starting next Tuesday, but readings should still remain within a
couple degrees of normals.

Aviation
South-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, and ksdl:
light northeasterly winds are bouncing off of south mountain and
resulting in temporary wind directions out of the southwest. A
more dominant easterly wind component will develop by mid morning
before the direction switches to the west in the early afternoon.

Wind speeds will remain on the light side mainly AOB 8 kts through
the TAF period. Skies will remain clear with scattered high
clouds moving in from the west after 12z tomorrow morning.

Southeast california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
wind speeds will continue to weaken overnight with speeds mainly
aob 10 kts through the 12z TAF period. Wind directions will favor
the northwest at both kipl and kblh. Skies will remain mostly
clear with scattered to broken cloud decks moving in from the west
late this evening.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Friday through Tuesday:
dry conditions under high pressure aloft will dominate through
Monday bringing above average temperatures to the desert
soutwhest. A wave moves through Monday night and Tuesday, bringing
cooler and drier air to the region. Through Monday, humidity
readings will remain fairly stable dipping into the 15 to 25
percent range each day. On Tuesday, humidity levels will remain
below 15 percent across the lower deserts. This, combined with
strong northerly winds on Tuesday will cause conditions to flirt
with red flag criteria, especially along and west of the lower
colorado river valley. &&

Spotter information statement
Spotters should follow standard reporting procedures.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... None.

Ca... None.

Discussion... Kuhlman
aviation... Hernandez
fire weather... Hernandez


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi59 minNNW 610.00 miFair45°F21°F39%1028.4 hPa

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN18N10N12N21
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1 day agoS12S13CalmN8N17
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NW16N14N13NW14N10NW11NW6N4S43N12N12N11N9N15
G22
2 days agoW5SW3NW3S4CalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmN3N3SW5SW4SE9SW4NW4CalmCalmS3NE4CalmCalmS12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.