Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 7:54PM Thursday June 22, 2017 4:57 PM MST (23:57 UTC) Moonrise 4:14AMMoonset 6:24PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 222207
afdpsr
area forecast discussion
national weather service phoenix az
307 pm mst Thu jun 22 2017

Synopsis
Anticipate little change in temperatures Friday as high pressure
remains situated across northern mexico. Temperatures increase
over the weekend. Storm chances return to the higher terrain as
well. Temperatures start to decline on Monday but still
excessively hot in some areas. Modest additional cooling is
anticipated Tuesday and Wednesday.

Discussion
Mid-afternoon temperatures are running several degrees lower than
those observed 24 hours ago. This is due in large part to the
increase in low-level moisture. Surface dewpoints are running 5 to
as much as 20 degrees (across SE ca) above what they were this
time yesterday. Moisture however remains too low to generate cape
and initiate convection across the lower deserts.

Isolated shower and thunderstorm activity has mainly been
confined to the mogollon rim this afternoon. Westerly flow around
the anticyclone to the south will continue to steer storms away
from the lower deserts and pops are near 0 percent for tonight.

Otherwise, temperatures overnight will be cooler than those the
past few nights but still above normal.

Previous discussion
Friday through Sunday...

the high will sag southward on Friday and dew points will decline
as well. Anticipate little change in temperatures. Over the
weekend, ridging consolidates over the west and the high
strengthens. Accordingly, temperatures increase at least a few
degrees. Expecting to stay below records but we may be only a few
degrees below the peak values we saw on Tuesday. A complicating
factor will be the return of deeper moisture into arizona as a
backdoor front pushes against the southern continental divide.

However, models are not indicating a major influx that would lead
to widespread storms. Rather, it would be more like what we've
seen the past couple days with high-based storms over the favored
higher terrain areas of arizona sending outflow pretty far afield
to the lower elevations. Unfavorable steering flow will also tend
to prevent storms from getting to the central arizona deserts
(including metro phoenix). Anticipate Sunday afternoon evening
being more active than Saturday.

Monday through Wednesday...

a combination of higher dew points and debris clouds will nudge
temperatures down a bit on Monday. However, a number of locations
will still reach high to very high heat risk levels. Thus,
extended the excessive heat warning to Monday for portions of our
forecast area including metro phoenix. A trough passing to the
north will weaken the ridge leading to a modest cooling trend
Tuesday and Wednesday. Anticipate a decrease in storm activity
over arizona but not altogether since there will still be some
lingering moisture over the southeast third of the state.

Aviation
South-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, and ksdl:
west winds occasionally gusting to around 20 kts will continue
through late afternoon, subsiding after sunset. The switch to
easterly winds will occur later than normal, around 10z at kphx.

Temperatures will be slightly cooler than previous days, and
should remain critical thresholds. Intermittent high clouds will
continue through tomorrow afternoon.

Southeast california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
no aviation impacts through Friday morning as skies remain mostly
clear. Winds will favor a southerly direction, especially during the
afternoon and early evening hours. Some afternoon breeziness is
likely at kblh with gusts near 20 kts.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Sunday through Thursday:
high pressure will generally remain positioned over the southwest
through late next week, maintaining above normal temperatures. A
modest increase in moisture will occur next week, but still should
see minimum rh values in the 10-20% range each afternoon. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible each afternoon across the higher
terrain of south-central arizona, including southern gila county,
but rainfall amounts will be light. Lightning ignitions remain a
concern given the dry sub-cloud layers, along with gusty outflow
winds. For now, it appears any significant moisture intrusion will
hold off until after the period, maintaining dry fuel conditions
area-wide.

Climate
Record highs this week:
date phoenix yuma
---- ------- ----
6 22 116 in 1988 115 in 1960
6 23 116 in 1974 116 in 1959
6 24 118 in 1929 120 in 1957
6 25 120 in 1990 119 in 1994
6 26 122 in 1990 122 in 1990

Spotter information statement
Spotters should follow standard reporting procedures.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... Excessive heat warning until 8 pm mst Monday for azz530-533-534-
537-538-540-542>544-546-548-550-551.

Excessive heat warning until 9 pm mst 9 pm pdt Sunday for
azz531-532-535-536-539-541-545-547-549-552>556-559>562.

Heat advisory until 9 pm mst Sunday for azz557-558-563.

Ca... Excessive heat warning until 8 pm pdt Monday for caz560-561-563-
566>570.

Excessive heat warning until 9 pm pdt Sunday for caz562-564-565.

Visit us on facebook, twitter, and at weather.Gov phoenix
discussion... Hirsch
previous discussion... Aj
aviation... Rogers mo
fire weather... Rogers
climate... Aj


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi66 minS 18 G 2310.00 miA Few Clouds and Breezy111°F57°F17%1002.2 hPa

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS11W11SW12SW12SW10W7S7S6CalmS10S7S7S15S10S5S15S12S14S14S11
G15
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G23
1 day agoSE9E8SW14SW10W9W11W12SE8SE74CalmNW5NW5NW4CalmS7S7S10S9SE10S10S12S11S12
2 days agoSE11S9SW16SW10W9SW7S4S5CalmN4CalmN6NW4S3W3CalmCalmE53SE5--SE73SE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.