Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 7:54PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 6:57 PM MST (01:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:54AMMoonset 12:14AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 192213
afdpsr
area forecast discussion
national weather service phoenix az
313 pm mst Tue jun 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the region this week resulting in a
rapid warming trend with many lower desert communities exceeding
the 110 degree threshold both Thursday and Friday. Some cooling
is anticipated over the weekend as a weak low pressure system
passes north of the region. There are no signs of rainfall through
early next week.

Discussion
Currently the center of the subtropical ridge is about 200 miles
west of northern baja california. This is resulting in dry north-
northwest flow across the desert southwest. We are presently
sitting under clear skies and temperatures slightly below normal.

Over the next few days, models are in great agreement and show the
anti-cyclone strengthening while it shifts northward and
eastward. As the aforementioned high moves closer to the
southwest u.S. Heights will increase resulting in a warming trend
with the hottest conditions of the year Thursday and Friday. On
Thursday and Friday, the naefs mean 500 mb climatological
percentiles are above the 90th percentile across our cwa, with the
highest percentiles in southwest and southeast california, where
500 mb heights greater than the 99th percentile are forecast (this
is where we expect the warmest temperatures to be, especially on
Friday). The heatrisk continues to indicate a moderate to high
event and areas where the heatrisk is high have been highlighted
under our excessive heat warning on Thursday and Friday.

Operational models have come into better agreement for the weekend,
depicting a separate, but stronger vort MAX dropping southeastward
through the intermountain west. Main impact across our area will be
a cooling trend along with seasonably breezy conditions each
afternoon Friday through Sunday. Early next week, models are in
generally good agreement that the monsoon high will emerge near the
az nm border. This will ultimately mean that the seasonably hot
conditions will return, but pops will remain more or less near 0
percent.

Aviation
South-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, and ksdl and southeast
california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
strong high pressure and dry northwesterly flow aloft to keep skies
mainly clear across the entire region through the TAF period. Winds
to remain mainly on the light side (8 kts or less) through wed.

Winds to mainly favor typical diurnal trends in the greater phoenix
area, a southerly direction at kblh, and a southeasterly direction at
kipl.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Friday through Tuesday: unseasonably hot weather to persist into
Friday with hotter deserts exceeding the 110 mark before modest
cooling back towards more average late june temperatures returns
over the weekend and early next week. Minimum afternoon humidity
values will fall into the single digits on Friday, then into the 10-
20% range over the weekend and into early next week. Overnight
recoveries will be poor to fair. Gusty winds can be expected from
Friday into Saturday with the passage of a weather disturbance to
the north, but otherwise typical afternoon upslope gustiness will be
common during the period. There are no sign of rain for the
districts through early next week.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation will not be needed.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... Excessive heat warning from 10 am Thursday to 9 pm mst Friday
for azz540>546-548-550-551-556-560-562.

Heat advisory from 10 am Thursday to 9 pm mst Friday for azz563.

Excessive heat warning from 10 am to 9 pm mst Friday for azz532-
536-539-553.

Ca... Excessive heat warning from 10 am Thursday to 9 pm pdt Friday
for caz561-566.

Excessive heat warning from 10 am to 9 pm pdt Friday for caz567-
568-570.

Discussion... Hernandez hirsch
aviation... Percha
fire weather... Percha CB mo


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi66 minSE 910.00 miFair103°F27°F7%1006.1 hPa

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE5SW5SW6S3CalmS7N6NW5N6N4N7CalmNE3NE3CalmSE3CalmS8Calm4E4SE8SE9
1 day agoSW19SW13SW12S12S8S8S9S6S9SE3SW3N6CalmCalmCalm3CalmSW6W85W7CalmNE5E5
2 days agoW18W15SW14SW10S9SE8S12S10S8SW8S6S7S10S9S9S11S15S13
G22
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.